Annual-Setback — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$474

Unrealized P&L

+$91

Hit rate

53.3%

Resolved

2,840

Trades

3,601

lifetime

Volume

$48.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$276

1 position

First seen

2026-04-07

last 10-27 22:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 186 days

Categories

Other

96% 39% -$794

Sports

3% 46% +$313

Politics

0% — —

Crypto

0% 67% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+581	$185	48¢	$276	+$91	10-27 22:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	5	$457	269	269	+0	Argentina	+$77	07-12 03:41
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$236	158	158	+0	Yes	+$56	07-19 21:45
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-07-21?	1	$228	278	0	+278	Yes	+$50	07-20 15:15
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$201	216	216	+0	Yes	+$99	07-18 23:19
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	7	$185	581	0	+581	open	—	10-27 22:08
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	2	$185	243	0	+243	Argentina	+$58	07-04 00:20
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 3pt5	2	$178	101	101	+0	Under	+$22	07-19 20:55
sud boc ohi 2026 07 23 spread home 2pt5	2	$161	101	101	+0	O'Higgins FC	-$9	07-24 01:25
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	5	$150	104	104	+0	Yes	+$38	07-10 20:54
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-09?	3	$142	120	120	+0	Yes	+$82	10-09 18:55
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	3	$124	164	105	+59	Yes	+$21	06-14 06:30
Hapoel Jerusalem FC vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv FC: O/U 2.5	4	$118	92	92	+0	Over	+$14	10-24 17:10
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	2	$107	131	131	+0	open	—	08-15 17:00
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$104	77	77	+0	No	+$4	07-15 21:10
Will Hamburger SV vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?	3	$104	160	104	+56	No	+$44	10-17 15:20
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$103	73	73	+0	No	+$3	06-21 18:36
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-17?	1	$101	140	0	+140	Yes	+$39	05-17 07:09
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 penalty shootout	4	$100	73	73	+0	No	+$2	07-01 22:45
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-09-04?	2	$98	56	56	+0	Yes	+$8	09-04 18:52
Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 6.5	2	$95	57	57	+0	Under	+$15	10-20 18:10
ucl fen gor 2026 07 21 spread home 1pt5	1	$95	158	0	+158	Górnik Zabrze	-$95	07-20 15:03
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	2	$93	83	83	+0	Yes	+$33	05-20 17:57
Will FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	2	$91	110	110	+0	Yes	+$69	10-10 15:23
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-02?	2	$89	51	51	+0	Yes	+$11	08-02 20:29
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$89	88	88	+0	No	-$11	05-30 18:43
Will AZ win on 2026-10-15?	2	$86	58	58	+0	Yes	+$20	10-15 18:32
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-10-15?	2	$86	56	56	+0	Yes	+$16	10-15 18:34
Will Bayern Munich win DFB-Pokal?	1	$84	101	0	+101	Yes	+$17	05-21 08:02
Will Korea Republic vs. Ecuador end in a draw?	2	$82	108	108	+0	No	+$16	09-24 12:16
Frosinone Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 7.5	2	$81	52	52	+0	Under	+$21	10-16 20:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 08:47:28	Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	39	61¢	$24	0xffc659…
10-27 22:08:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xe08a59…
10-27 22:08:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x6ce34f…
10-27 22:07:05	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	38	99¢	$37	0x9fee3c…
10-27 22:06:54	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x3e5420…
10-27 21:41:38	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xd994ea…
10-27 21:40:09	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xadc19f…
10-27 21:28:27	SV 07 Elversberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	37	35¢	$13	0xeca7d3…
10-27 21:24:39	AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	26	58¢	$15	0x140b4d…
10-27 21:21:29	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	30	38¢	$11	0x98ed18…
10-27 21:15:27	Will Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	58	17¢	$10	0x4af20d…
10-27 21:10:59	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	38	37¢	$14	0xcfa1e9…
10-27 20:46:48	Will Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	58	26¢	$15	0x0d47fb…
10-27 20:45:03	Will SV 07 Elversberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	38	32¢	$12	0x9eb68e…
10-27 20:17:08	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x7d9cbd…
10-27 20:07:00	Will 1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x440fa9…
10-27 20:04:39	AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0xbdce88…
10-27 19:55:15	efl fle ars 2026 10 27 ags viktor gyokeres 90056730	Yes	BUY	56	62¢	$35	0x977407…
10-27 19:31:41	VfL Bochum vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xd896be…
10-27 19:31:27	Rot-Weiss Essen vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x77cb45…
10-27 19:31:15	Rot-Weiss Essen vs. RB Leipzig: Team to Advance	RB Leipzig	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x9b02a7…
10-27 19:13:48	Will Bradford City AFC vs. Peterborough United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0xc1f861…
10-27 19:12:38	Will Torino FC vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x5cfcbc…
10-27 19:10:12	SV 07 Elversberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0xf822d0…
10-27 19:09:15	Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Karlsruher SC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x433eea…
10-27 18:49:50	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	46	94¢	$43	0x55e12b…
10-27 18:47:42	VfL Bochum vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	31	20¢	$6	0xe5cd7b…
10-27 18:44:18	Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)	RB Leipzig	BUY	35	17¢	$6	0x42e17e…
10-27 18:43:05	Will Rot-Weiss Essen vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	104	13¢	$13	0xb57774…
10-27 18:23:24	Rot-Weiss Essen vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x74e596…
10-27 18:20:30	VfL Bochum vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	31	51¢	$16	0x50f713…
10-27 18:20:15	Will Torino FC vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	60	24¢	$14	0x4bd2c8…
10-27 17:51:35	Rot-Weiss Essen vs. RB Leipzig: Team to Advance	RB Leipzig	BUY	45	36¢	$16	0x47c3ea…
10-27 17:50:24	Will Rot-Weiss Essen vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	104	26¢	$27	0xfbfe59…
10-27 17:35:57	VfL Bochum vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0xf8b093…
10-27 17:35:08	VfL Bochum vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	33	11¢	$4	0x0664c3…
10-27 17:30:09	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	46	39¢	$18	0x75fb90…
10-27 17:06:11	VfL Bochum vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	33	33¢	$11	0x5371ec…
10-27 17:05:15	VfL Bochum vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x4366e5…
10-27 16:55:50	Will Hamburger SV vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x246cf2…
10-27 14:37:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	68	22¢	$15	0x6c4ea5…
10-27 13:52:35	Will Torino FC vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x632cb7…
10-27 13:52:23	Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	56	27¢	$15	0x5e3273…
10-27 12:46:24	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x590c29…
10-27 07:53:20	Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: Team to Advance	1. FC Nürnberg	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x80110d…
10-26 21:13:53	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	SELL	26	91¢	$24	0xa8370a…
10-26 21:13:08	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xf85eae…
10-26 21:08:51	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x72cd29…
10-26 20:47:47	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x1aa58b…
10-26 20:46:39	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x8a903f…
10-26 20:12:15	Will Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x1d2642…
10-26 19:29:11	Will Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	68	8¢	$5	0x91c374…
10-26 19:10:05	fl1 psg lyo 2026 10 25 ags ferran torres 90055142	Yes	BUY	45	49¢	$22	0xc642e1…
10-26 18:51:57	Maccabi Haifa FC vs. Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0x5e63af…
10-26 18:50:30	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0x942faf…
10-26 17:55:18	Will Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	68	25¢	$17	0xeda64e…
10-26 17:51:08	Will Çaykur Rizespor vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	58	6¢	$3	0x342fb9…
10-26 16:42:38	Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	32	25¢	$8	0x265829…
10-26 16:19:41	Will Çaykur Rizespor vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	58	26¢	$15	0x04ffb2…
10-26 14:43:26	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	49	6¢	$3	0xac7e89…
10-26 14:42:32	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	51	62¢	$32	0x8fef4d…
10-26 09:38:12	Will Maccabi Haifa FC vs. Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0x2cc0f0…
10-25 22:44:35	Will Amine Gouiri (Marseille) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x1fd689…
10-25 21:35:51	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0x9de2be…
10-25 21:28:00	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	36	78¢	$28	0x50a523…
10-25 20:55:47	Raphinha: 2+ goals	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xc7a8fc…
10-25 20:55:02	Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals	Yes	BUY	34	35¢	$12	0x5c0024…
10-25 20:53:12	Raphinha: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x326522…
10-25 20:52:57	Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	35	34¢	$12	0x331ed4…
10-25 20:02:14	Jude Bellingham: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x416a57…
10-25 19:57:35	Hapoel Petah Tikva FC vs. Beitar Jerusalem FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	21	7¢	$1	0xc4523d…
10-25 19:44:36	Hapoel Petah Tikva FC vs. Beitar Jerusalem FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0xaf4f08…
10-25 19:41:51	Hapoel Petah Tikva FC vs. Beitar Jerusalem FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x208ca5…
10-25 19:36:11	Will Udinese Calcio vs. AC Milan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xbe4510…
10-25 19:34:45	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x7b783e…
10-25 19:28:41	lal bar rea 2026 10 25 ags raphinha 90036930	Yes	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0xb5cd18…
10-25 19:28:27	lal bar rea 2026 10 25 ags kylian mbappe 90027501	Yes	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0x0df9c4…
10-25 19:27:59	lal bar rea 2026 10 25 ags yan diomande 90131516	Yes	BUY	32	22¢	$7	0x3a2246…
10-25 19:12:35	Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	25	94¢	$23	0xb56421…
10-25 18:44:57	Hapoel Petah Tikva FC vs. Beitar Jerusalem FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x016a06…
10-25 18:35:45	Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0x97be8a…
10-25 18:07:47	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	SELL	33	84¢	$28	0x0c612f…
10-25 17:29:41	Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x15f37d…
10-25 17:03:15	Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	36	33¢	$12	0xf005fa…
10-25 16:34:00	Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	36	53¢	$19	0x2482e1…
10-25 16:18:38	Will Angers SCO vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xfbba3f…
10-25 16:08:32	Will AS Monaco FC vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x09d33b…
10-25 16:07:26	Sparta Rotterdam vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x2fb726…
10-25 16:05:54	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x11af34…
10-25 16:01:47	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0xe0867a…
10-25 16:00:21	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	24	7¢	$2	0x79a933…
10-25 15:24:09	Will Genoa CFC vs. Venezia FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	36	22¢	$8	0x7e3460…
10-25 15:21:23	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0xb38cff…
10-25 15:20:45	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	38	42¢	$16	0x080299…
10-25 15:17:33	Will PSV vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	38	89¢	$33	0xa80a58…
10-25 14:48:42	Will AS Monaco FC vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	37	30¢	$11	0x0abcde…
10-25 14:47:11	Will Atalanta BC vs. Frosinone Calcio end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	29	20¢	$6	0xf29d7d…
10-25 14:46:59	Will Genoa CFC vs. Venezia FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	53	23¢	$12	0x15bc04…
10-25 14:42:06	AFC Bournemouth leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	22	91¢	$20	0x7ff53c…
10-25 13:53:02	Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Score in First Half	Yes	BUY	18	23¢	$4	0x5ac09c…