Ignorant-Beneficiary-Warren — Polymarket

├──spot/

│ ├──tokens

│ ├──token-analysis

│ ├──wallets

│ ├──tier & flow

│ ├──orderflow

│ ├──trades

│ └──heatmap

├──perps/

│ ├──tokens

│ ├──token-analysis

│ ├──wallets

│ ├──favourites

│ ├──heatmap

│ ├──treemap

│ └──orderflow

├──cex-perps/

│ ├──tokens

│ ├──tier & flow

│ ├──funding

│ ├──spreads

│ ├──sentiment

│ ├──orderflow

│ ├──trades

│ └──heatmap

└──options/

├──btc

├──eth

└──sol

Realized P&L (30d)

+$282

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.1%

Resolved (30d)

18

Trades (30d)

31

31 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$1.20K

$1.20K lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 11:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 39% +$282

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	1	$159	300	0	+300	open	—	05-05 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	2	$140	100	352	-252	open	—	05-05 11:30
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	2	$117	131	0	+131	Down	+$13	05-04 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	3	$113	227	0	+227	open	—	05-05 07:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	05-05 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$93	300	0	+300	Down	+$207	05-04 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$76	141	0	+141	open	—	05-05 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$74	813	0	+813	Down	$-74	05-04 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$62	100	0	+100	Down	+$38	05-05 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$58	200	0	+200	Up	+$142	05-05 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	1	$47	81	0	+81	open	—	05-05 08:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$47	100	0	+100	open	—	05-05 08:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7AM ET	1	$37	75	0	+75	open	—	05-05 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$15	132	0	+132	Down	$-15	05-04 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$10	37	0	+37	Up	$-10	05-05 03:24
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$10	25	0	+25	Down	+$15	05-05 00:14
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$9	61	0	+61	Down	$-9	05-04 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$9	100	0	+100	Up	$-9	05-04 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$7	100	0	+100	Down	$-7	05-05 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$7	100	0	+100	Up	$-7	05-05 01:39
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	05-04 23:44
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$3	10	0	+10	Down	$-3	05-04 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$2	100	0	+100	open	—	05-05 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$2	8	0	+8	Up	$-2	05-05 03:00
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	$-1	05-04 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	$-1	05-05 01:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 11:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	352	23¢	$82	0x23b931…
05-05 11:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	75	49¢	$37	0x7f6e15…
05-05 11:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	300	53¢	$159	0x2d4039…
05-05 10:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x0f6e2c…
05-05 08:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x65aa10…
05-05 08:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	141	54¢	$76	0x2beb87…
05-05 08:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x6c254a…
05-05 08:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	81	58¢	$47	0xdce31d…
05-05 07:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x726161…
05-05 06:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x0e1524…
05-05 06:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	27	49¢	$13	0x405a4b…
05-05 03:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x7365e0…
05-05 03:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0xb99274…
05-05 02:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x3c6034…
05-05 01:49:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x28eef8…
05-05 01:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x6d8794…
05-05 01:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb6c5d0…
05-05 01:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xc6ed15…
05-05 00:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xac2a1c…
05-05 00:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x2e3ad2…
05-05 00:14:56	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x07627c…
05-04 23:44:42	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x944864…
05-04 23:29:52	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2930a3…
05-04 23:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xd1b179…
05-04 23:04:32	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x2f6478…
05-04 23:04:16	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	89¢	$27	0xbb993c…
05-04 22:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	132	12¢	$15	0x8d1db6…
05-04 22:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	813	9¢	$74	0xc9bc91…
05-04 22:34:50	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	61	15¢	$9	0x9f71bd…
05-04 22:29:40	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xfe739e…
05-04 21:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	300	31¢	$93	0xa11cf3…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	19	$1.80K	117	05-05 11:51
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	17	$2.44K	85	05-05 10:45
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	11	$2.05K	24	05-05 08:30
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	11	$758	58	05-05 08:30
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	10	$736	57	05-05 08:30
Wordy-Biosphere 0xa689…559b	9	$671	15	05-05 08:30
Exotic-Scholar 0x63ad…c072	8	$1.66K	33	05-05 08:11
Long-Term-Siege 0xc5d5…6caa	8	$1.61K	85	05-05 08:31

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