Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

96.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$15

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-31 18:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 100% +$2

Other

43% 96% +$2

Politics

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No		+15	$15	100¢	$15	+$0	10-31 18:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	2	$49	24	24	+0	No	$0	04-05 12:23
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	2	$44	44	0	+44	No	+$0	08-15 11:32
bitcoin above 72k on april 23	2	$35	35	0	+35	Yes	+$0	04-22 20:21
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	08-24 17:11
will bitcoin reach 115k in february 2026	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	02-04 05:24
bitcoin above 66k on august 13 2026	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	08-13 06:16
will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 19 2026	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	08-19 18:36
bitcoin above 74k on april 13	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	04-13 11:16
bitcoin above 66k on april 16	1	$27	27	0	+27	Yes	+$0	04-13 23:20
bitcoin above 72k on april 24	1	$26	26	0	+26	Yes	+$0	04-24 04:55
bitcoin above 70k on april 22	1	$26	26	0	+26	Yes	+$0	04-21 14:14
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	1	$26	26	0	+26	Yes	+$0	04-25 15:06
bitcoin above 72k on april 1	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	04-01 10:15
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	1	$25	25	0	+25	Yes	+$0	09-07 17:03
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 300 319	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	04-20 10:37
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	10-02 11:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 2?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	09-01 15:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 21?	1	$23	24	0	+24	No	+$0	10-20 05:08
bitcoin above 80k on april 13	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	04-12 01:53
will russia enter stinky by march 31	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	03-30 23:57
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	1	$22	22	0	+22	Yes	+$0	04-26 15:13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	10-26 04:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 4?	1	$21	21	0	+21	Yes	+$0	09-03 11:11
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	09-14 15:32
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	10-17 23:05
will bitcoin reach 74k august 3 9 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	08-07 14:24
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 400 419	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	04-16 07:44
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 220 239	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	04-14 20:22
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	10-09 21:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 26?	1	$19	19	0	+19	Yes	+$0	10-25 20:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 18:57:04	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1e35ac…
10-30 18:37:49	Republican Senate odds hit 45% by October 31?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb8fcb3…
10-26 04:28:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x80b2c2…
10-25 20:21:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb481c8…
10-20 05:08:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$23	0x4cc15c…
10-19 22:36:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb4f687…
10-17 23:05:47	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb109b8…
10-16 18:19:42	will bitcoin dip to 76k on october 16 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4fea64…
10-10 22:39:04	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf60c3b…
10-09 21:35:08	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xdef720…
10-05 05:25:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xa7277e…
10-02 16:29:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 3?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x763680…
10-02 11:22:17	Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xfc81cb…
09-28 01:14:06	will ethereum dip to 2600 september 21 27 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa3b3cc…
09-25 20:20:15	Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 21-27?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xdbe027…
09-23 10:22:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 24?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc28b1e…
09-22 22:43:10	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf24120…
09-17 19:02:10	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xa9ae93…
09-14 15:32:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xe3ddcf…
09-07 17:03:16	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x7c50b3…
09-03 11:11:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xaa8a9c…
09-01 15:54:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 2?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x9d0b03…
08-27 16:12:54	IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x7c1502…
08-26 23:19:09	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x8121ca…
08-25 07:30:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 26?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xeb225e…
08-24 17:11:54	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe70942…
08-19 18:36:27	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 19 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xddd989…
08-15 11:32:15	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x6fdd30…
08-14 18:53:06	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x2e250b…
08-13 06:16:06	bitcoin above 66k on august 13 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xe4b5e3…
08-12 03:49:19	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf0a54f…
08-07 14:24:33	will bitcoin reach 74k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf6530a…
04-29 11:18:12	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x91574d…
04-29 09:19:08	Will XRP reach $2.00 in April?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x70e723…
04-28 18:50:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xdfc0f3…
04-26 21:38:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x15a162…
04-26 15:13:08	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x61f807…
04-25 15:06:24	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xc4794e…
04-24 14:43:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 25?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x808978…
04-24 08:54:16	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0xd1539b…
04-24 04:55:30	bitcoin above 72k on april 24	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x076cd9…
04-23 02:22:00	bitcoin above 86k on april 24	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf6d625…
04-22 20:21:02	bitcoin above 72k on april 23	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xd30786…
04-22 17:47:38	bitcoin above 72k on april 23	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x0ccd94…
04-22 06:26:28	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on april 22	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x890718…
04-21 14:14:46	bitcoin above 70k on april 22	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xd05b90…
04-20 20:50:00	bitcoin above 64k on april 23	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa1a049…
04-20 10:37:36	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 300 319	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc39fdb…
04-19 19:00:02	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 115 139	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x934a17…
04-19 00:13:46	will bitcoin dip to 66k april 13 19	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x402db0…
04-18 02:32:32	bitcoin above 72k on april 19	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x2de06f…
04-17 22:30:20	will bitcoin dip to 64k april 13 19	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa679ed…
04-17 09:01:06	ethereum above 2200 on april 17	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb9e587…
04-16 07:44:38	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 400 419	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xbac4fa…
04-16 04:16:24	will we continue the change democratic bulgaria ppdb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x879f2a…
04-14 20:22:36	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 220 239	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x9dcdec…
04-14 08:03:51	ethereum above 2700 on april 15	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb27829…
04-13 23:20:57	bitcoin above 66k on april 16	Yes	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x93f0cf…
04-13 11:16:49	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x0dd207…
04-12 05:38:13	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x234013…
04-12 01:53:29	bitcoin above 80k on april 13	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xcebd3e…
04-06 22:27:29	bitcoin above 64k on april 7	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x126a76…
04-05 12:23:53	will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x787e15…
04-02 20:13:47	will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x5f9328…
04-01 10:15:17	bitcoin above 72k on april 1	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xb5bbb2…
03-30 23:57:43	will russia enter stinky by march 31	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x71d21a…
03-27 02:09:21	bitcoin above 60k on march 28	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x98f49d…
02-04 05:24:26	will bitcoin reach 115k in february 2026	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x6b65e9…
01-28 03:41:05	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2687dc…
01-24 07:06:02	will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$16	0x6b6a6a…
01-20 01:50:12	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc7f24e…
01-15 11:59:46	will karen khachanov win the 2026 australian open	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x08ab79…
01-09 02:59:42	will giovanni mpetshi perricard win the 2026 australian open	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x172380…