Grounded-Burnout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$262

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.5%

Resolved

Trades

127

lifetime

Volume

$50.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$398

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-16 06:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Other

39% 92% +$103

Crypto

39% 94% +$43

Politics

18% 100% +$28

Tech

4% 100% +$88

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	33	$3.9K	1,948	1,948	+0	No	+$22	06-30 05:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	2	$3.2K	1,600	1,600	+0	No	+$3	05-19 00:27
Trump out as President by May 31?	2	$3.2K	1,600	1,600	+0	No	+$5	05-16 01:04
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	10	$3.2K	1,585	1,585	+0	No	+$8	04-19 06:22
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	2	$3.1K	1,574	1,574	+0	No	+$2	03-28 05:37
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	3	$3.1K	1,576	1,576	+0	No	+$8	03-25 06:31
bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	7	$3.1K	1,565	1,565	+0	No	+$6	03-24 00:06
will solana reach 120 in march 2026	2	$2.4K	1,214	1,214	+0	No	+$1	03-30 05:42
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	4	$2.3K	1,182	1,182	+0	Yes	+$18	03-12 15:03
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	2	$1.9K	930	930	+0	No	+$3	01-25 08:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	3	$1.8K	954	954	-0	No	+$18	07-19 23:28
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	2	$1.5K	775	775	+0	No	+$1	03-05 15:47
will ethereum reach 4200 in february 2026	3	$1.5K	773	773	+0	No	+$2	02-24 12:25
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$1.5K	811	811	+0	open	—	08-16 06:48
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$1.5K	759	759	+0	No	+$13	08-11 15:55
xrp above 1pt1 on february 9	4	$1.5K	957	552	+405	Yes	+$21	02-09 00:48
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$1.2K	582	582	+0	No	-$1	03-16 15:33
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	2	$974	488	488	+0	No	+$1	06-26 08:07
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	2	$967	524	524	+0	Yes	+$44	08-16 06:48
solana above 50 on february 12	1	$955	957	0	+957	Yes	+$2	02-11 02:00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	2	$809	406	406	+0	No	+$2	06-27 03:05
will ethereum reach 3600 in february 2026	1	$772	773	0	+773	No	+$1	02-26 08:31
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$589	297	297	+0	No	+$2	07-03 00:33
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	2	$523	270	270	+0	No	+$5	08-16 06:48
will no ceo be announced in 2025 864	1	$521	0	521	-521	Yes	-$1	01-01 04:25
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$518	260	260	+0	No	+$1	07-29 18:00
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	2	$513	260	260	+0	No	+$5	07-24 16:27
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	2	$468	269	269	+0	open	—	08-16 06:48
xrp above 1pt1 on february 8	3	$444	223	223	+0	Yes	+$2	02-07 22:22
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	10	$432	234	234	+0	Yes	+$33	06-29 12:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-16 06:48:19	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	811	93¢	$754	0x35a44e…
08-16 06:48:13	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	524	96¢	$505	0x2902e5…
08-16 06:48:09	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	270	98¢	$264	0xb818eb…
08-16 06:48:00	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	269	85¢	$229	0xb68026…
08-12 01:59:30	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	811	93¢	$754	0xf91ed4…
08-11 15:55:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	759	99¢	$754	0xdfdee4…
08-01 06:20:39	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	269	88¢	$238	0xd1c93a…
07-29 18:12:00	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	270	96¢	$259	0x72bef2…
07-29 18:00:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	172	100¢	$171	0x76109a…
07-29 18:00:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x04b8c6…
07-26 02:35:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	260	99¢	$258	0x4a6729…
07-24 16:27:52	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	260	100¢	$259	0xc82170…
07-19 23:29:45	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	524	88¢	$461	0xc79974…
07-19 23:29:18	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	239	98¢	$233	0xbae082…
07-19 23:28:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	716	98¢	$698	0x233f71…
07-16 07:00:32	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	260	98¢	$254	0x1b99d4…
07-13 11:58:40	Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?	No	BUY	254	90¢	$229	0x36c943…
07-13 11:57:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	239	96¢	$230	0x304dd8…
07-03 02:35:29	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	759	98¢	$741	0x10f137…
07-03 00:33:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	297	99¢	$295	0x552cbb…
06-30 05:28:43	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xb10d4c…
06-29 22:18:10	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	202	100¢	$202	0x052c0d…
06-29 12:04:01	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	100¢	$87	0xc27d64…
06-29 12:01:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x46ebe5…
06-29 12:00:40	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9f86a5…
06-29 12:00:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x4f5a2a…
06-29 11:56:49	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xbdd674…
06-29 11:55:04	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xc5d8af…
06-29 11:54:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x560c8e…
06-29 11:50:47	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x242f12…
06-29 11:48:05	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x9b0dcb…
06-28 11:08:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	297	99¢	$293	0x9be547…
06-28 11:07:53	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	954	95¢	$910	0x9e510d…
06-27 22:06:29	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	313	100¢	$313	0x8bfa6d…
06-27 03:05:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	SELL	406	100¢	$406	0x8b19fd…
06-26 08:07:47	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	SELL	488	100¢	$488	0xa306f8…
06-24 02:12:26	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	BUY	488	100¢	$487	0x1d5de3…
06-24 02:00:28	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x60ba12…
06-24 02:00:26	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf873b3…
06-24 02:00:25	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe92adf…
06-24 02:00:25	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x663386…
06-24 02:00:20	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbbf80c…
06-24 01:58:07	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5e8261…
06-24 01:19:17	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcd60c9…
06-24 01:18:34	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0eddeb…
06-24 00:39:55	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	313	99¢	$311	0x271bdf…
06-23 13:14:10	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	812	100¢	$810	0x69abd5…
06-22 08:10:20	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	BUY	406	99¢	$404	0x7c1227…
06-20 12:04:50	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	69	99¢	$69	0x39a5fc…
06-20 11:52:32	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb81957…
06-20 11:04:25	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe697e4…
06-20 10:49:20	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x789857…
06-20 10:46:52	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0231b8…
06-20 10:25:58	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x96b3f8…
06-20 10:15:41	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0ef8d8…
06-20 09:45:29	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x854568…
06-20 09:45:23	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x464272…
06-20 09:32:28	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	307	99¢	$305	0x6315e3…
06-18 12:09:38	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	202	99¢	$201	0x59e0b7…
06-15 10:04:24	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0x4131ef…
06-15 09:54:55	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0x8c3df5…
06-15 04:03:43	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8f3a31…
06-15 04:03:10	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcd8672…
06-15 04:03:09	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xafa83c…
06-15 04:03:09	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2324f6…
06-15 04:03:07	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb4008e…
06-15 02:50:43	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0x76419c…
06-15 01:42:37	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	84	99¢	$83	0xb06cde…
06-03 05:11:52	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	234	85¢	$200	0x538f96…
06-01 08:17:34	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	203	99¢	$200	0x70d26e…
05-20 06:56:49	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1,623	98¢	$1,594	0xed97fa…
05-19 00:27:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	1,600	100¢	$1,594	0x15b871…
05-16 01:05:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	1,600	99¢	$1,590	0x13a847…
05-16 01:04:38	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	1,600	100¢	$1,592	0x81a9f2…
05-06 09:24:58	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	1,600	99¢	$1,587	0x84c278…
04-19 06:22:00	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	531	100¢	$530	0x57121f…
04-19 06:16:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x766013…
04-19 06:16:08	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	337	100¢	$337	0x82f7ae…
04-19 06:13:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	129	100¢	$129	0xb03b0a…
04-19 06:08:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x082e93…
04-19 06:08:02	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	181	100¢	$181	0x388830…
04-19 05:59:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	91	100¢	$90	0x48733d…
04-19 05:53:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	207	100¢	$207	0xc2b6f8…
04-19 05:47:50	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x37d46a…
04-03 02:16:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,585	99¢	$1,574	0x1ba55d…
03-30 05:42:02	will solana reach 120 in march 2026	No	SELL	1,214	100¢	$1,213	0x2e5df3…
03-28 14:10:05	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	361	100¢	$361	0xae452c…
03-28 14:09:49	will solana reach 120 in march 2026	No	BUY	1,214	100¢	$1,212	0x9e835e…
03-28 05:37:37	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	SELL	1,574	100¢	$1,573	0xb857c8…
03-27 02:41:59	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	BUY	1,574	100¢	$1,571	0xf95acc…
03-25 06:31:51	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x98d132…
03-25 04:01:23	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	1,559	100¢	$1,554	0xe9661b…
03-24 15:49:31	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	1,576	99¢	$1,563	0x029c65…
03-24 00:06:17	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	815	100¢	$814	0xd6af3b…
03-23 20:21:07	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	147	100¢	$146	0x4836fa…
03-23 15:23:09	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	313	100¢	$313	0x871293…
03-23 14:55:51	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x898064…
03-23 14:29:35	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x38afbd…
03-23 12:36:17	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	192	100¢	$192	0xe0ba9c…
03-16 15:35:07	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1,565	100¢	$1,557	0x432767…