Lonely-Southeast — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$101

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

27.6%

Resolved

Trades

111

lifetime

Volume

$315

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

1 position

First seen

2026-03-23

last 06-17 03:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

83% 25% -$73

Crypto

11% 13% -$31

Tech

6% 67% +$5

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-17).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No		-16	-$11	96¢	$-15	-$4	05-10 06:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
googl up or down on march 24 2026	3	$33	68	0	+68	Down	-$33	03-24 13:14
Will Google say "Banana" during earnings call?	1	$20	35	0	+35	Yes	+$15	04-18 08:33
tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 0pt39	5	$18	30	0	+30	Yes	-$15	04-18 12:28
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $395 on May 11?	2	$14	21	0	+21	No	-$14	05-11 12:06
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	1	$11	0	16	-16	open	—	05-10 06:24
will tsla close between 375 and 380 week march 27 2026	1	$10	50	0	+50	No	-$10	03-24 02:47
googl up or down on march 26 2026	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	-$10	03-26 04:55
will gold gc hit low 4300 by end of march	1	$10	27	0	+27	No	-$10	03-23 14:10
tsla up or down on march 23 2026	1	$10	14	0	+14	Up	+$4	03-23 12:33
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of May 4 above $142?	1	$10	12	0	+12	No	+$2	05-07 13:31
Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$9	6	6	+0	No	-$1	05-10 17:21
Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$9	6	6	+0	No	-$1	05-10 17:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 05:25 UTC	1	$9	21	0	+21	Down	-$9	03-23 05:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 14:10 UTC	2	$7	101	0	+101	Down	-$7	03-23 14:13
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$6	12	0	+12	Yes	+$3	05-03 06:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 12:15 UTC	4	$6	1,089	0	+1,089	Up	-$6	03-23 12:29
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	4	$6	51	0	+51	Yes	-$6	04-19 13:55
pltr above 162 on march 27 2026	1	$5	8	0	+8	No	-$5	03-24 02:44
will tsla close between 380 and 385 week march 27 2026	1	$5	24	0	+24	No	-$5	03-24 03:07
Will Google say "NVIDIA" during earnings call?	1	$5	9	0	+9	Yes	+$4	04-18 08:34
tsla close above 390 on april 20 2026	1	$5	7	0	+7	Yes	+$2	04-17 17:32
Will Circle Internet (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$5	13	0	+13	Yes	+$0	05-10 16:05
Will CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$5	11	0	+11	No	-$5	05-01 03:08
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at >$410 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24?	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$1	04-20 16:53
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of April 20 above $410?	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$1	04-20 17:37
Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$4	18	0	+18	Yes	-$4	05-03 06:12
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $130-$132 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19?	2	$3	12	12	+0	No	-$1	06-17 03:21
Will Moderna (MRNA) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$3	16	0	+16	No	-$3	04-30 13:14
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of April 20 above $405?	1	$3	6	0	+6	No	+$3	04-19 07:39
Will Eli Lilly and Co (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$2	11	0	+11	Yes	-$2	04-21 11:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 03:21:39	Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $128-$130 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x609b63…
06-17 03:21:30	Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $126-$128 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xffed54…
06-17 03:21:22	Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $130-$132 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19?	Yes	SELL	12	12¢	$1	0x8ce748…
06-14 06:31:25	Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $130-$132 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xac799c…
06-14 06:31:07	Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $128-$130 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x9853e3…
06-14 06:30:58	Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $126-$128 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x150483…
06-12 13:04:55	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x64dafb…
06-12 13:04:49	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x5a46a1…
05-11 12:06:41	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $395 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$6	0x662f56…
05-11 11:55:47	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $395 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0xba07f0…
05-10 17:21:35	Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	6	77¢	$4	0x80b0e5…
05-10 17:21:10	Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x9da144…
05-10 17:13:37	Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0x164329…
05-10 16:09:27	Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xf18b72…
05-10 16:07:33	Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x00ba7f…
05-10 16:05:26	Will Circle Internet (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xbe34ed…
05-10 06:24:01	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	16	68¢	$11	0xc1f20e…
05-08 07:46:48	Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x786cce…
05-08 07:46:10	Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x76e773…
05-07 13:31:55	Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of May 4 above $142?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x8792d9…
05-03 06:15:20	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe4b979…
05-03 06:15:00	Will Circle Internet (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x059bec…
05-03 06:14:12	Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x985f60…
05-03 06:14:02	Will SoundHound AI (SOUN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x19cad2…
05-03 06:13:44	Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc815cf…
05-03 06:13:02	Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x9e2300…
05-03 06:12:36	Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x25defd…
05-03 06:12:06	Will Applovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc9448f…
05-03 06:11:20	Will Paramount Skydance (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x53d27d…
05-01 03:14:52	Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0xd17b24…
05-01 03:08:20	Will CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x6dbbee…
04-30 14:31:08	Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa32042…
04-30 14:30:22	Will CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x73a3b6…
04-30 13:15:22	Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb94d97…
04-30 13:14:50	Will Moderna (MRNA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xb76d0f…
04-30 13:14:36	Will Moderna (MRNA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x5c9a5f…
04-25 00:16:18	Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x6bada4…
04-24 11:27:02	Will Palantir (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x92a6e0…
04-22 12:40:38	Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xc3216e…
04-21 19:34:34	Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x855b55…
04-21 11:38:32	Will Eli Lilly and Co (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0xfe38df…
04-20 17:37:46	Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of April 20 above $410?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xe0aab0…
04-20 16:53:08	Will Tesla (TSLA) close at >$410 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xa7e3bf…
04-19 13:55:24	Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x92d790…
04-19 07:39:08	Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of April 20 above $405?	No	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x8e4b8f…
04-18 15:22:34	Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x058f36…
04-18 14:25:30	Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x99b7b4…
04-18 12:28:48	ibm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 1pt81	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe35fab…
04-18 12:28:02	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 0pt39	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3ed022…
04-18 12:27:54	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 0pt39	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xac988c…
04-18 12:20:34	Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xcfd0ea…
04-18 10:32:04	msci quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 21 2026 4pt44	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x58baec…
04-18 10:31:40	cbre quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 23 2026 1pt12	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x05acfb…
04-18 10:31:26	intc quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 23 2026 0	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0e266a…
04-18 10:31:10	ibkr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 21 2026 0pt60	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x32c855…
04-18 10:06:26	Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xfa1900…
04-18 08:35:42	Will Sandisk (SNDK) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x066909…
04-18 08:34:06	Will Google say "NVIDIA" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa1651c…
04-18 08:33:54	Will Google say "Banana" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xa28aa3…
04-17 17:32:00	tsla close above 390 on april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x055358…
04-16 02:11:28	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 0pt39	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xbd96fd…
04-14 07:53:51	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x53acb2…
04-12 17:12:35	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 0pt39	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xe00ab2…
04-11 17:01:05	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 0pt39	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x873fde…
03-26 04:55:35	googl up or down on march 26 2026	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x57747b…
03-24 13:14:31	googl up or down on march 24 2026	Up	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x6ce5c3…
03-24 13:14:09	xrp up or down on march 24 2026	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x200783…
03-24 13:13:47	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-24 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3e3fbe…
03-24 13:13:35	bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa70dc0…
03-24 10:11:21	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x7340ee…
03-24 10:08:51	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xb768eb…
03-24 03:07:27	will tsla close between 380 and 385 week march 27 2026	Yes	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0x58150e…
03-24 02:49:21	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x37b56d…
03-24 02:48:29	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-24 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9811bc…
03-24 02:48:17	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-24 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xfc9196…
03-24 02:47:47	will tsla close between 375 and 380 week march 27 2026	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xd8695b…
03-24 02:47:13	googl above 300 on march 27 2026	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x99af98…
03-24 02:47:01	googl above 305 on march 27 2026	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xd24fc9…
03-24 02:44:11	pltr above 162 on march 27 2026	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xdb1db4…
03-24 02:40:31	googl up or down on march 24 2026	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x126962…
03-24 02:37:25	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-24 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x10a4c0…
03-24 02:37:11	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-24 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xcb3ebc…
03-23 15:40:11	aapl up or down on march 23 2026	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x96b124…
03-23 15:39:53	tsla up or down on march 24 2026	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x98e1b3…
03-23 15:38:49	sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x8e2cec…
03-23 15:37:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0e7e92…
03-23 15:37:21	pdd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 19 2026 3pt06	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xb1315b…
03-23 14:14:37	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8f2d6e…
03-23 14:14:23	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9f371f…
03-23 14:13:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	98	6¢	$6	0x5b2637…
03-23 14:12:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa544bc…
03-23 14:11:11	googl up or down on march 24 2026	Up	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x467b46…
03-23 14:10:43	will gold gc hit low 4300 by end of march	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xa814ab…
03-23 14:10:33	will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of march	Yes	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0x58c6aa…
03-23 12:35:11	amzn up or down on march 23 2026	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x16a73e…
03-23 12:34:17	aapl up or down on march 23 2026	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf7dee2…
03-23 12:33:35	tsla up or down on march 23 2026	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xa35ad5…
03-23 12:32:29	tsla close above 380 on march 23 2026	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x3af1af…
03-23 12:32:21	tsla close above 390 on march 23 2026	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x9bfcf3…
03-23 12:31:25	nvda up or down on march 23 2026	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3ad89a…