Vigorous-Ballpark — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$447

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.2%

Resolved

1,504

Trades

2,180

lifetime

Volume

$15.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 06-01 23:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

75% 93% -$104

Crypto

25% 41% -$343

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on April 29?	2	$60	61	0	+61	No	+$1	04-29 08:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	17	$58	72	10	+62	Up	+$20	05-20 12:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	17	$54	50	30	+20	Up	+$10	05-20 10:49
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on April 28?	2	$52	52	0	+52	No	+$1	04-28 09:04
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 25?	3	$45	47	0	+47	No	+$2	04-24 22:04
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on April 27?	3	$43	43	0	+43	No	+$1	04-27 21:00
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 17c	2	$40	42	0	+42	No	+$2	04-19 20:13
highest temperature in nyc on april 18 2026 72forhigher	2	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	04-18 15:09
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 18 2026 30corhigher	2	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	04-18 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	13	$31	51	0	+51	Down	-$16	05-20 13:54
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 25?	3	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	04-25 16:37
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on April 25?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	04-25 16:30
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 28?	1	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$1	04-28 19:04
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on April 29?	1	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$1	04-29 06:29
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on April 29?	1	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$1	04-29 07:31
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 28?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-28 15:08
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 28?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-28 17:49
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 28?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-28 16:10
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on April 28?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-28 15:01
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on April 28?	1	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$1	04-28 10:32
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or higher on April 28?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-28 13:32
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on April 29?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-29 08:31
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 28?	1	$30	31	0	+31	Yes	-$30	04-28 18:05
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on April 28?	1	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$1	04-28 18:12
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on April 28?	1	$30	32	0	+32	No	+$2	04-28 19:51
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on April 28?	1	$30	32	0	+32	No	+$2	04-28 18:11
highest temperature in chicago on april 24 2026 76forhigher	2	$30	32	0	+32	No	+$2	04-24 05:52
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 25?	2	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-24 18:34
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on April 27?	2	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$1	04-26 21:56
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on April 28?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-28 09:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 23:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xb84922…
06-01 23:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x638477…
06-01 23:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x94a826…
06-01 22:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x5afbbf…
06-01 22:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x799150…
06-01 22:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x064fba…
05-24 10:15:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x547848…
05-24 10:09:36	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x058fc1…
05-24 10:09:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2f1a95…
05-24 10:00:28	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	32¢	$4	0x77d5af…
05-24 10:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0xf12c93…
05-24 10:00:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	18	25¢	$4	0x50f725…
05-24 09:59:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xb523d9…
05-24 09:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xe3cb8a…
05-24 09:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x71686d…
05-24 09:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0xaf953d…
05-24 09:45:09	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x8af028…
05-24 09:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb93528…
05-24 09:39:44	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xe4b12b…
05-24 09:35:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0xb82f57…
05-24 09:35:25	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	32¢	$4	0xd7c2a8…
05-24 09:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	27¢	$4	0xdf608a…
05-24 09:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x31d74c…
05-24 05:15:09	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0xdd3ddb…
05-24 05:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0xe38236…
05-24 05:10:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0xa1587f…
05-24 05:10:21	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	22¢	$4	0x55af64…
05-24 05:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x5ebd37…
05-24 04:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x01a61a…
05-24 04:55:09	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	26¢	$4	0xf20c6e…
05-24 04:55:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	29¢	$5	0xdcb237…
05-24 04:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x24c14b…
05-24 04:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0xe39e49…
05-24 04:00:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0xb182e2…
05-24 04:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x582137…
05-24 04:00:08	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	17	26¢	$4	0x4bc17a…
05-24 02:25:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x7f2e39…
05-24 02:20:32	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0xac0c23…
05-24 02:20:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0x96fae2…
05-24 02:19:47	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xb51dd2…
05-24 02:19:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x9a307c…
05-24 02:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x554840…
05-24 02:14:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x046455…
05-24 00:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x59ad4e…
05-24 00:10:17	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	32¢	$4	0xd524bd…
05-23 22:00:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	27¢	$3	0x8c61a2…
05-23 21:50:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x0e17b9…
05-23 21:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0xec390c…
05-23 20:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0xb4ed9e…
05-23 20:49:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x90a789…
05-23 20:44:34	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xbf63a0…
05-23 18:30:12	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x5d3bb4…
05-23 18:30:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xa43a4b…
05-23 18:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x4113c0…
05-23 17:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x32a05c…
05-23 17:20:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0x8bbc80…
05-23 17:20:27	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x6b4df0…
05-23 17:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x165253…
05-23 17:15:18	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0x0d58ed…
05-23 17:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x7a30d6…
05-23 17:14:41	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x7cc179…
05-23 17:14:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x8a098d…
05-23 17:10:13	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0xb00117…
05-23 17:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x4a8b58…
05-23 17:10:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	26¢	$4	0x069d49…
05-23 16:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x8c6748…
05-23 16:35:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x835236…
05-23 11:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xbf9c98…
05-23 11:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xe728bc…
05-23 11:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x03200e…
05-23 11:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0xb33610…
05-23 11:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0xf613c0…
05-23 11:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xa46e62…
05-23 10:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x2cdd0b…
05-23 10:45:15	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x55205d…
05-23 10:45:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0x429339…
05-23 10:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	23¢	$3	0x9f4c94…
05-23 10:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x6e052b…
05-23 10:19:52	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf9abd1…
05-23 10:10:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0x54fca2…
05-23 10:04:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x0acfba…
05-23 10:00:25	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x3a55a9…
05-23 09:35:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0xf0f937…
05-23 09:29:44	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x444afc…
05-23 07:50:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x2b72a4…
05-23 07:45:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xb9eda7…
05-23 07:40:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0x64b623…
05-23 07:20:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0xf25739…
05-23 07:15:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xb27656…
05-23 07:15:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe79020…
05-23 07:10:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0xbcb3c6…
05-23 07:05:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0x52a992…
05-23 07:00:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x356792…
05-23 06:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xfc384a…
05-23 06:25:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0x94208c…
05-23 06:05:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x2b4752…
05-23 06:00:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x2ee4e2…
05-23 05:50:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x526081…
05-23 05:20:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0xac51fe…
05-23 04:45:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x1f4be5…