Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$170

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

6.7%

Resolved

Trades

557

lifetime

Volume

$3.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$130

10 positions

First seen

2026-08-11

last 10-08 22:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

74% 9% -$98

Politics

21% 0% -$68

Tech

4% 0% -$5

Crypto

1% 75% +$1

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	+40	$17	78¢	$31	+$14	10-06 22:51
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	No	+30	$24	75¢	$22	-$1	10-04 09:53
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	+20	$3	64¢	$13	+$10	10-03 21:48
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	+21	$13	56¢	$12	-$1	10-07 04:05
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	Yes	+20	$13	57¢	$11	-$2	10-07 03:58
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	No	+21	$8	44¢	$9	+$1	10-07 04:05
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	+40	$23	22¢	$9	-$14	10-06 22:51
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	No	+20	$9	43¢	$8	$0	10-07 02:07
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	+30	$6	25¢	$7	+$1	10-04 09:53
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+20	$17	36¢	$7	-$10	10-03 21:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Andrew McCullagh win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?	23	$202	283	143	+140	No	-$9	10-07 16:02
Will Michelle Dracoulis win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election?	16	$156	160	160	+0	No	-$14	10-08 10:24
Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?	16	$147	175	135	+40	open	—	10-07 16:37
Will Casey Farrell win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election?	18	$116	180	180	+0	Yes	-$33	10-08 22:09
Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?	17	$115	142	82	+60	open	—	10-03 21:37
Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in September 2026?	8	$114	79	79	+0	No	-$3	10-02 02:44
Will Alex Cora be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?	14	$110	120	100	+20	No	-$5	10-06 17:02
Will Israel Adesanya fight Gregory Rodrigues next?	16	$104	179	100	+79	open	—	10-08 15:22
Will Quillan Salkilld fight Benoit Saint Denis next?	11	$100	95	95	+0	Yes	-$14	10-04 09:44
Will Jean Silva fight Kevin Vallejos next?	9	$96	100	60	+40	open	—	10-03 06:22
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?	12	$91	181	21	+160	open	—	10-03 06:37
Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Paulo Costa next?	11	$89	140	60	+80	open	—	10-03 06:32
Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years?	8	$87	100	60	+40	open	—	10-07 05:57
Will Conor McGregor fight Max Holloway next?	12	$80	88	88	+0	open	—	10-04 09:43
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?	13	$80	151	3	+148	No	-$1	10-03 22:12
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?	10	$79	100	100	+0	open	—	10-07 15:55
Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?	6	$61	120	0	+120	open	—	10-04 13:27
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	9	$61	79	20	+59	open	—	10-04 09:53
Will Conor McGregor fight Nate Diaz next?	14	$56	142	102	+40	open	—	10-07 19:33
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	6	$54	100	20	+80	open	—	10-05 11:05
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of October 2026?	4	$52	60	20	+40	No	-$1	10-04 11:00
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026?	4	$51	60	20	+40	open	—	10-03 03:59
Will Eddie Howe be the next head coach of the England national team?	4	$50	60	20	+40	open	—	10-05 10:22
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.10T and $1.20T at the end of October 2026?	7	$49	100	20	+80	No	-$4	10-01 08:28
Will Rafael Fiziev fight Mateusz Gamrot next?	4	$47	60	20	+40	open	—	10-07 07:12
Will Conor McGregor fight Ian Garry next?	4	$42	40	40	+0	open	—	10-03 21:26
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?	2	$42	50	50	+0	open	—	09-08 09:49
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	6	$41	81	1	+80	open	—	10-06 22:51
Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years?	4	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	10-07 16:48
Will Caio Borralho fight Gregory Rodrigues next?	4	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	10-03 21:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 22:09:18	Will Casey Farrell win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x921c42…
10-08 17:44:12	Will Casey Farrell win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xc3dc25…
10-08 15:22:26	Will Israel Adesanya fight Gregory Rodrigues next?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x346f21…
10-08 15:06:39	Will Israel Adesanya fight Gregory Rodrigues next?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xd901ed…
10-08 10:53:26	Will Israel Adesanya fight Gregory Rodrigues next?	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0xed2f9c…
10-08 10:50:06	Will Israel Adesanya fight Gregory Rodrigues next?	Yes	BUY	19	12¢	$2	0xa2eeca…
10-08 10:50:06	Will Israel Adesanya fight Gregory Rodrigues next?	No	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0x14f018…
10-08 10:47:02	Will Casey Farrell win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xc5562d…
10-08 10:24:47	Will Michelle Dracoulis win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x70e385…
10-08 05:19:35	Will Casey Farrell win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x978132…
10-07 19:33:39	Will Conor McGregor fight Nate Diaz next?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x869652…
10-07 18:29:24	Will Conor McGregor fight Nate Diaz next?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xac7ccd…
10-07 17:13:53	Will Conor McGregor fight Nate Diaz next?	Yes	SELL	14	4¢	$1	0xa581a7…
10-07 16:48:35	Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xd210ea…
10-07 16:40:34	Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xc0aba5…
10-07 16:37:37	Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xf77807…
10-07 16:10:04	Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xa24002…
10-07 16:02:28	Will Andrew McCullagh win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xee8520…
10-07 15:56:35	Will Andrew McCullagh win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x08d246…
10-07 15:55:40	Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0xd83b92…
10-07 15:55:28	Will Andrew McCullagh win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x63a9bd…
10-07 15:51:08	Will Conor McGregor fight Nate Diaz next?	Yes	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0x05788e…
10-07 15:50:52	Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x723803…
10-07 15:29:29	Will Conor McGregor fight Nate Diaz next?	Yes	SELL	19	13¢	$2	0xe013a2…
10-07 15:14:04	Will Israel Adesanya fight Gregory Rodrigues next?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xf4ca50…
10-07 15:14:02	Will Israel Adesanya fight Gregory Rodrigues next?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xdd03dd…
10-07 14:23:14	Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x220560…
10-07 14:19:47	Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xd22d23…
10-07 13:00:22	Will Michelle Dracoulis win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x428875…
10-07 12:37:08	Will Conor McGregor fight Nate Diaz next?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0xaeb65d…
10-07 11:38:10	Will Conor McGregor fight Nate Diaz next?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x6fa53e…
10-07 10:44:35	Will Aldo Antolli win the next Kingborough mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0xaae337…
10-07 10:43:39	Will Aldo Antolli win the next Kingborough mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xfb67c5…
10-07 10:35:03	Will Casey Farrell win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xd71539…
10-07 10:21:27	Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?	Yes	SELL	13	34¢	$4	0xa9b42d…
10-07 10:14:41	Will Casey Farrell win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd1ae8f…
10-07 09:59:15	Will Michael Penix Jr. be the highest-scoring QB of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xd199e6…
10-07 09:48:39	Will Quillan Salkilld fight Mauricio Ruffy next?	Yes	SELL	18	14¢	$3	0x54a907…
10-07 09:24:23	Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?	Yes	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0xdc9f30…
10-07 09:16:41	Will Conor McGregor fight Nate Diaz next?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xaf7b13…
10-07 08:56:36	Will Josh Allen be the highest-scoring QB of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x39a0b2…
10-07 07:12:02	Will Rafael Fiziev fight Mateusz Gamrot next?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x75f99d…
10-07 07:11:56	Will Rafael Fiziev fight Mateusz Gamrot next?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x69b7dd…
10-07 06:20:50	Will Andrew McCullagh win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x25a020…
10-07 05:57:26	Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years?	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x2870bf…
10-07 04:48:05	Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x0961a1…
10-07 04:05:02	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xc6f92d…
10-07 04:05:02	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x2b42d2…
10-07 04:04:57	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa432f3…
10-07 03:58:15	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	Yes	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0x75e08e…
10-07 02:46:57	Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?	No	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0xf9a5e3…
10-07 02:07:33	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x40cb5d…
10-07 02:06:51	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xcfa068…
10-07 02:06:51	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x57a2b6…
10-07 01:35:54	Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x8c4176…
10-07 01:25:24	Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xcb522c…
10-07 01:18:14	Will Andrew McCullagh win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xed747d…
10-06 23:01:15	Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0xf1cf5c…
10-06 23:00:42	Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xa15b48…
10-06 22:51:50	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x3ca252…
10-06 22:51:50	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x1ee3eb…
10-06 20:47:08	Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x8518f7…
10-06 18:19:44	Will Quillan Salkilld fight Mauricio Ruffy next?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xfc77c7…
10-06 18:06:42	Will Conor McGregor fight Nate Diaz next?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xde7fd1…
10-06 18:06:42	Will Conor McGregor fight Nate Diaz next?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xc4ab4e…
10-06 17:42:02	Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x96d808…
10-06 17:05:33	Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x5b472a…
10-06 17:02:32	Will Alex Cora be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?	Yes	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0xe3f8e5…
10-06 17:02:17	Will Alex Cora be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x318b0d…
10-06 17:01:59	Will Alex Cora be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb2d4f3…
10-06 15:56:18	Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x7a72c8…
10-06 15:56:18	Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x1f9b40…
10-06 15:10:56	Will Andrew McCullagh win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x47b0af…
10-06 15:10:56	Will Andrew McCullagh win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x07d8bb…
10-06 14:55:05	Will Andrew McCullagh win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xddb79e…
10-06 14:49:06	Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?	Yes	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xbb7353…
10-06 14:48:48	Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x58b1bd…
10-06 14:41:06	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0x2eb3a7…
10-06 14:40:50	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0x312fa6…
10-06 11:43:22	Will Michelle Dracoulis win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election?	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x5f230c…
10-06 07:41:42	Will Rafael Fiziev fight Mateusz Gamrot next?	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x3aa4f0…
10-06 03:33:33	Will Michelle Dracoulis win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xacc3df…
10-06 02:05:38	Will Alex Cora be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x77740b…
10-06 01:35:43	Will Michelle Dracoulis win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election?	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x21ed0b…
10-06 01:33:32	Will Michelle Dracoulis win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x1196c3…
10-06 00:58:11	Will Rafael Fiziev fight Mateusz Gamrot next?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x45e83f…
10-05 21:03:26	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xb5244c…
10-05 18:38:01	Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x69c2dc…
10-05 17:14:19	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x5fa8a4…
10-05 17:14:19	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x57ec64…
10-05 17:01:22	Will Matthew Garwood win the next Launceston mayoral election?	No	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x191f59…
10-05 16:56:28	Will Andrew McCullagh win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xa8a5aa…
10-05 16:56:23	Will Matthew Garwood win the next Launceston mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x766409…
10-05 11:05:56	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x1c8dce…
10-05 11:05:56	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x03c839…
10-05 10:22:59	Will Eddie Howe be the next head coach of the England national team?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x3fe3cc…
10-05 10:22:59	Will Eddie Howe be the next head coach of the England national team?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x0b13a2…
10-05 09:44:08	Will Quillan Salkilld fight Mauricio Ruffy next?	Yes	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x320295…
10-05 09:23:02	Will Andrew McCullagh win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x06394e…
10-05 09:00:47	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xf8f1cd…