Mindless-Degradation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$316

Unrealized P&L

+$20

Hit rate

85.4%

Resolved

406

Trades

6,733

lifetime

Volume

$27.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$56

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-01 16:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 122 days

Categories

Politics

57% 58% +$349

Other

32% 39% +$107

Sports

7% 15% +$9

Crypto

4% 64% -$152

Tech

0% 100% +$3

Pop-Culture

0% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 318 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jakob Glesnes win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	+106	$1	21¢	$23	+$22	10-30 22:42
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+825	$2	2¢	$19	+$17	10-29 21:16
France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?	Yes	+781	$9	1¢	$7	-$2	10-27 15:41
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	+305	$11	1¢	$4	-$7	10-20 22:36
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	+130	$6	2¢	$2	-$4	10-21 06:00
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	+100	$6	1¢	$1	-$5	10-21 06:00
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	+101	$2	0¢	$0	-$2	10-21 06:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump say portugal or portuguese this week january 25	197	$3.9K	3,388	3,047	+340	No	+$420	01-25 13:13
will trump say liberation day this week january 25	71	$2.4K	1,486	1,483	+3	No	+$195	01-25 16:47
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	113	$1.5K	17,340	16,330	+1,011	No	+$38	01-17 17:07
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	104	$1.4K	2,445	2,627	-182	Yes	+$118	01-12 21:33
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	241	$919	33,711	40,243	-6,532	No	+$181	01-07 16:40
ukraine strikes another tanker in black sea by january 15 2026	22	$915	1,008	1,008	+0	Yes	+$286	01-10 11:01
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	547	$679	170,096	115,863	+54,233	No	+$39	02-19 22:38
will god be said at the 83rd golden globes	71	$610	2,902	2,460	+442	Yes	+$28	01-12 00:15
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 560 579	12	$563	378	378	+0	Yes	+$74	01-09 16:10
minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	23	$542	387	387	+0	No	+$14	01-28 13:45
will trump say detroit economic club this week january 25	31	$520	393	340	+52	No	+$17	01-25 10:41
will trump say maga or make america great again during remarks on january 28	41	$450	778	148	+630	Yes	+$13	01-28 15:45
will henrique gouveia e melo win the 2026 portugal presidential election	37	$411	2,090	2,312	-222	No	+$49	01-12 19:18
will trump say hell 8 times during iowa speech 852	49	$311	1,324	0	+1,324	Yes	-$311	01-27 22:33
nicols maduro seen in public by january 5	82	$274	10,044	8,782	+1,262	Yes	+$52	01-04 01:12
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	20	$264	2,788	3,437	-648	No	+$25	01-23 22:28
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	98	$249	4,871	4,708	+163	Yes	+$56	01-31 11:02
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	102	$235	4,377	4,296	+81	No	+$13	01-13 17:28
Will the Central Bank of Chile increase the monetary policy rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	5	$216	113	113	+0	open	—	11-01 16:52
Will the Central Bank of Chile decrease the monetary policy rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	6	$213	112	112	+0	open	—	11-01 16:51
will russia enter sofiivka by january 31	13	$207	312	345	-33	No	+$11	01-07 16:44
will solana dip to 100 in january 2026	6	$204	2,483	2,483	+0	Yes	-$75	01-24 18:59
will seattle have more than 8 inches of precipitation in february	25	$187	1,101	60	+1,041	No	-$123	02-22 12:49
will trump shake hands with volodymyr zelenskyy at the world economic forum	26	$185	3,465	1,613	+1,852	Yes	+$37	01-22 15:23
Will Evan Dickens be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	10	$177	114	114	+0	open	—	10-21 12:47
will trump say maduro this week january 18	25	$167	828	828	+0	Yes	-$27	01-16 21:20
will tesla say cybertruck during earnings call	11	$161	230	192	+38	Yes	-$19	01-28 18:57
will trump say fuck or fucking or fucked in january	8	$158	160	99	+60	No	+$5	01-22 16:38
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	42	$158	4,606	5,446	-840	Yes	+$15	02-01 13:28
ukraine hits moscow by february 28 2026	3	$153	2,010	0	+2,010	No	-$153	02-22 16:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 20:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x5c6b34…
11-01 16:52:06	Will the Central Bank of Chile increase the monetary policy rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	No	SELL	47	99¢	$46	0xca6b21…
11-01 16:51:58	Will the Central Bank of Chile increase the monetary policy rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0xdd5fd9…
11-01 16:51:57	Will the Central Bank of Chile increase the monetary policy rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0x6641d4…
11-01 16:51:22	Will the Central Bank of Chile decrease the monetary policy rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xb3520b…
11-01 16:51:22	Will the Central Bank of Chile decrease the monetary policy rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xac2e56…
11-01 16:51:22	Will the Central Bank of Chile decrease the monetary policy rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x29d47b…
11-01 16:51:21	Will the Central Bank of Chile decrease the monetary policy rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0xa1d538…
10-31 22:25:28	Will Josefina Rodríguez Zamora win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	Yes	SELL	150	1¢	$1	0xb92c26…
10-31 22:23:09	Will Miriam Martínez Sánchez win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	Yes	SELL	150	1¢	$2	0xb6429c…
10-31 21:35:39	Will Lalas Abubakar win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	BUY	21	15¢	$3	0xab34c8…
10-31 21:34:19	Will Ranko Veselinović win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	31	2¢	$1	0x00c660…
10-31 21:34:00	Will Ranko Veselinović win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xb63e96…
10-31 21:33:45	Will Ranko Veselinović win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	53	2¢	$1	0xf5bb1e…
10-31 21:33:36	Will Ranko Veselinović win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x2c58c2…
10-30 23:32:31	Will Andrew Privett win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	145	1¢	$1	0xf72ed4…
10-30 23:31:22	Will Yevhen Cheberko win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0x807f85…
10-30 23:31:15	Will Yevhen Cheberko win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0x9803ca…
10-30 23:31:10	Will Yevhen Cheberko win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	83	6¢	$5	0x36121a…
10-30 23:30:03	Will Robert Voloder win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	30	14¢	$4	0x368155…
10-30 23:29:57	Will Robert Voloder win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	30	14¢	$4	0x0a6d4c…
10-30 23:29:51	Will Robert Voloder win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	30	15¢	$4	0xbf8a80…
10-30 23:28:43	Will Brendan Hines-Ike win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0x3c83d0…
10-30 23:28:37	Will Brendan Hines-Ike win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0x5f0bf4…
10-30 23:28:33	Will Brendan Hines-Ike win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0xb94cb8…
10-30 23:28:27	Will Brendan Hines-Ike win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$3	0x6dfd5a…
10-30 23:24:21	Will Oleksandr Svatok win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	No	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0xf7932b…
10-30 23:16:24	Will Carlos Terán win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	30	15¢	$5	0xe0bda2…
10-30 23:15:10	Will Andreas Maxsø win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	30	15¢	$4	0x9ae27d…
10-30 23:15:03	Will Andreas Maxsø win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	30	15¢	$5	0x57aa55…
10-30 23:12:40	Will Jack Maher win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	30	14¢	$4	0xd69468…
10-30 23:12:34	Will Jack Maher win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	30	14¢	$4	0x2db349…
10-30 23:12:30	Will Jack Maher win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	30	15¢	$4	0x57ab0e…
10-30 23:11:21	Will Kamal Miller win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0x5c6eed…
10-30 23:10:13	Will Daniel Munie win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xd3792b…
10-30 23:04:48	Will Aaron Long win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	BUY	55	13¢	$7	0x4b2f71…
10-30 23:04:09	Will Aaron Long win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	No	BUY	66	81¢	$54	0xb61538…
10-30 23:02:04	Will Yevhen Cheberko win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	BUY	211	2¢	$3	0x5ea879…
10-30 23:01:57	Will Brendan Hines-Ike win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	BUY	225	1¢	$3	0xe5c74b…
10-30 22:59:00	Will Robert Voloder win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x041cd9…
10-30 22:58:46	Will Robert Voloder win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	BUY	190	1¢	$2	0xe6fb0b…
10-30 22:57:19	Will Michael Boxall win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	30	15¢	$4	0x319d80…
10-30 22:57:13	Will Michael Boxall win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	30	15¢	$5	0x7a5cf8…
10-30 22:52:03	Will Oleksandr Svatok win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x6cdd2d…
10-30 22:51:58	Will Oleksandr Svatok win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$25	0xefcaa5…
10-30 22:51:52	Will Oleksandr Svatok win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$25	0x298869…
10-30 22:43:54	Will Daniel Munie win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x3b54e3…
10-30 22:43:37	Will Kamal Miller win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	BUY	99	1¢	$1	0xe180fd…
10-30 22:43:21	Will Jack Maher win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	BUY	143	2¢	$2	0x698360…
10-30 22:42:43	Will Andreas Maxsø win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	BUY	227	1¢	$3	0xb2dcf4…
10-30 22:42:33	Will Carlos Terán win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	BUY	225	1¢	$3	0x3051fc…
10-30 22:42:25	Will Jakob Glesnes win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	BUY	106	1¢	$1	0xc9744c…
10-30 22:42:01	Will Michael Boxall win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	BUY	295	1¢	$3	0x78085e…
10-30 22:41:01	Will Stian Gregersen win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x4b7b95…
10-30 22:39:12	Will Henry Kessler win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0xeb6e21…
10-30 22:39:03	Will Henry Kessler win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x2fe525…
10-30 22:38:58	Will Henry Kessler win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$25	0x0218d4…
10-30 22:38:52	Will Henry Kessler win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$25	0xbd719d…
10-30 22:34:40	Will Adilson Malanda win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x8fd439…
10-30 22:34:34	Will Adilson Malanda win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$25	0x095eb5…
10-30 22:31:31	Will Joel Waterman win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x1f2ead…
10-30 22:31:24	Will Joel Waterman win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x611a0a…
10-30 22:28:01	Will Sebastien Ibeagha win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x5f7273…
10-30 22:25:09	Will Andrés Reyes win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	No	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0xd3fbea…
10-30 22:25:03	Will Andrés Reyes win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0x6b1385…
10-30 22:24:55	Will Andrés Reyes win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	30	15¢	$4	0xff1e0e…
10-30 22:24:49	Will Andrés Reyes win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	30	15¢	$4	0xd2eca0…
10-30 22:21:58	Will Rudy Camacho win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	30	14¢	$4	0x548c87…
10-30 22:21:51	Will Rudy Camacho win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	30	15¢	$4	0xc61bfe…
10-30 22:21:43	Will Rudy Camacho win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	30	15¢	$4	0x0f63a6…
10-30 22:19:24	Will Rudy Camacho win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9bc716…
10-30 00:23:16	Will Robin Jansson win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	46	9¢	$4	0x3075b7…
10-30 00:23:09	Will Robin Jansson win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x26eff0…
10-30 00:16:52	Will Oleksandr Svatok win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	28	15¢	$4	0xb97bc6…
10-30 00:16:51	Will Oleksandr Svatok win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	53	15¢	$8	0x64bb81…
10-30 00:16:12	Will Oleksandr Svatok win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc6f79b…
10-30 00:15:10	Will Andrés Reyes win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0xb24557…
10-30 00:08:36	Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?	No	SELL	343	15¢	$51	0x04a158…
10-29 21:17:04	Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	452	1¢	$3	0x360c32…
10-29 21:16:54	Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	BUY	481	0¢	$1	0xe10250…
10-29 21:16:30	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	825	0¢	$2	0xbcd15f…
10-29 19:50:25	Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?	No	SELL	26	53¢	$14	0x850e16…
10-29 16:16:17	Will VfL Osnabrück win the 2026-27 DFB-Pokal?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xca719c…
10-29 15:38:04	Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be at least 5.5%?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0xa20fad…
10-29 03:40:44	Will December be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	0¢	$0	0x8130da…
10-29 03:40:44	Will December be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x346588…
10-28 22:43:55	Will Google say "Youtube" 10+ times during earnings call?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xf8cefc…
10-28 21:08:25	Will "Right" be said 5+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 26?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x1cfb5b…
10-28 16:04:16	Will Google say "Youtube" 10+ times during earnings call?	No	SELL	57	5¢	$3	0x0c0892…
10-28 14:05:55	Will Belarus win the UEFA EURO 2028?	Yes	BUY	86	0¢	$0	0x6f698f…
10-28 14:05:52	Will Belarus win the UEFA EURO 2028?	Yes	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0xc9b422…
10-28 14:05:52	Will Belarus win the UEFA EURO 2028?	Yes	BUY	125	0¢	$0	0x9fb8f0…
10-28 14:05:52	Will Belarus win the UEFA EURO 2028?	Yes	BUY	111	0¢	$0	0x4c4e4d…
10-28 14:05:52	Will Belarus win the UEFA EURO 2028?	Yes	BUY	37	0¢	$0	0x15e3f0…
10-28 14:05:52	Will Belarus win the UEFA EURO 2028?	Yes	BUY	101	0¢	$0	0x080a95…
10-28 02:54:32	Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 5.2% and 5.5%?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xfe63ba…
10-28 02:54:32	Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 5.2% and 5.5%?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd4ff36…
10-28 02:54:32	Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd13dc9…
10-28 02:54:32	Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x8c2e64…
10-28 02:54:32	Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x4c3f42…