Naughty-Inlay — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

75.3%

Resolved

Trades

2,039

lifetime

Volume

$4.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-13

last 06-08 18:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 60% +$1

Other

2% — —

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 130 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		-64	$-4	5¢	$-3	+$1	06-04 07:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 1am et	16	$75	79	78	+1	open	—	03-19 06:17
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 2am et	10	$68	54	53	+1	open	—	03-24 07:20
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 5pm et	4	$54	42	41	+1	open	—	03-24 22:03
bitcoin up or down april 8 2026 5pm et	7	$47	29	28	+0	open	—	04-08 22:24
bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 8pm et	10	$47	42	41	+2	open	—	04-22 00:49
bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 6pm et	5	$46	38	37	+1	open	—	04-22 22:19
bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 8pm et	10	$38	54	51	+3	open	—	04-23 00:55
bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 3am et	12	$37	29	28	+0	open	—	03-28 07:48
bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 6pm et	8	$36	35	34	+0	open	—	03-28 22:34
bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 4pm et	10	$36	29	29	+0	open	—	03-28 20:46
bitcoin up or down april 17 2026 6pm et	7	$35	35	33	+1	open	—	04-17 22:28
bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 10pm et	4	$34	27	27	+0	open	—	03-19 02:54
bitcoin up or down april 8 2026 2am et	8	$33	34	33	+1	open	—	04-08 07:00
bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 10pm et	6	$33	25	24	+1	open	—	04-01 02:50
bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 4pm et	11	$33	29	29	+1	open	—	04-01 20:59
bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 11pm et	10	$33	40	33	+7	open	—	04-22 03:58
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 5am et	11	$32	41	41	+0	open	—	03-19 10:02
bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 9pm et	4	$32	28	27	+1	open	—	04-23 01:12
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 5pm et	12	$31	27	27	+0	open	—	03-19 21:58
bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 3pm et	10	$30	25	25	+0	open	—	03-28 19:44
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 3am et	3	$28	23	23	+0	open	—	03-25 07:54
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 3am et	8	$28	30	29	+0	open	—	03-24 08:07
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 1am et	17	$28	63	29	+34	open	—	03-30 05:51
bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 11pm et	10	$28	28	27	+0	open	—	03-29 03:57
bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 4am et	10	$27	30	30	+0	open	—	03-28 08:46
bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 1pm et	5	$27	35	23	+12	open	—	03-18 17:19
bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 4pm et	5	$27	23	22	+1	open	—	04-14 20:57
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 2am et	5	$26	41	10	+31	open	—	03-19 06:29
bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 3am et	7	$26	27	22	+5	open	—	03-26 07:28
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 8pm et	8	$26	21	20	+1	open	—	04-14 00:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 18:49:43	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 2pm et	Up	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x4ce9b6…
06-08 18:04:46	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1cb9fe…
06-08 06:18:49	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x321020…
06-08 06:12:13	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x54c265…
06-08 06:10:13	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 2am et	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xb796c6…
06-08 06:00:54	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x5d4855…
06-08 05:53:12	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x6e577b…
06-08 05:50:33	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x184c97…
06-08 05:37:42	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x91ec1b…
06-08 05:34:15	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 1am et	Up	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0xb4db64…
06-08 05:32:18	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x299b73…
06-08 04:26:28	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd10caf…
06-06 19:22:25	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb24dcb…
06-06 03:31:34	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x9c2c65…
06-06 03:30:40	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 11pm et	Up	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0xbbd4f4…
06-06 03:30:06	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x40183c…
06-06 01:51:58	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 9pm et	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdc82f1…
06-06 01:42:52	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb718d7…
06-04 07:05:13	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	6¢	$4	0x8b5a07…
06-04 06:11:01	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe3fa2b…
06-04 06:04:37	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x824603…
06-04 06:02:30	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe191ca…
06-04 05:37:07	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf4ae57…
06-04 03:20:55	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc986f1…
06-03 20:38:03	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 4pm et	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xc854ff…
06-03 20:23:45	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x47c110…
06-03 20:17:28	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 4pm et	Down	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xf25a7a…
06-03 20:13:58	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe9b8f2…
06-03 20:07:51	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5008a5…
06-03 18:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	3	57¢	$1	0x6829ec…
06-03 18:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb2ce3b…
06-03 02:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb7806a…
06-03 02:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7dbd7b…
06-03 01:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7cd466…
06-03 00:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8PM ET	Down	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x474b3e…
06-02 17:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x5063dd…
06-02 17:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x920446…
06-02 08:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3073ed…
06-02 07:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0xa3fc8a…
06-02 07:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc749f2…
06-02 07:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x2a8d9c…
06-02 07:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd7acb8…
06-02 07:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6ba60a…
06-02 07:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc254b3…
06-02 06:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x76afc2…
06-02 06:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0xfbf7f9…
06-02 06:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0xaee10f…
06-02 06:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x768cff…
06-02 06:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x0ca6e4…
06-02 06:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xddce35…
06-02 06:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf5e750…
06-02 01:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xf6f221…
06-02 01:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7cc271…
06-02 01:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9PM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x2e162f…
06-01 21:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x5ae580…
06-01 21:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x757904…
06-01 21:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb73e9d…
06-01 21:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb3b09e…
06-01 20:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xee88ae…
06-01 20:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd4c974…
06-01 20:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xaf8dab…
06-01 20:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0xe80a55…
06-01 20:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x7691ab…
06-01 18:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x402bf4…
06-01 06:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5e0ba9…
06-01 05:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x0c664b…
06-01 05:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x20b508…
05-31 15:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0x5eac46…
05-31 15:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4c165d…
05-29 22:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xabe893…
05-29 21:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x08e39c…
05-29 21:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8f6c47…
05-29 21:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x134962…
05-29 19:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	3	86¢	$2	0xe5e9ba…
05-29 19:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfdddc4…
05-29 19:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0xd96e16…
05-29 19:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x6318aa…
05-27 06:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0x3d8c52…
05-27 06:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xea54d2…
05-27 05:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf21ac2…
05-25 19:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3bee7d…
05-23 20:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbcce90…
05-21 22:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x326ed5…
05-21 22:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xab63dc…
05-21 19:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x98a0f6…
05-21 18:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x42f997…
05-21 18:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x456c88…
05-21 18:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xab665d…
05-21 17:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x47aa81…
05-21 17:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x7c4dae…
05-21 08:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x26edb4…
05-21 08:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	19	41¢	$8	0x7d802d…
05-21 08:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xdc166e…
05-21 08:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4387c9…
05-21 08:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x675545…
05-21 08:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xcebf55…
05-21 00:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x53d68b…
05-20 23:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6b53f4…
05-20 23:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x978478…
05-20 22:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x77c5d0…