Capital-Incision — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.9%

Resolved

206

Trades

244

lifetime

Volume

$34.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$141

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-04 00:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 166 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 98% +$7

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 88k on february 6	2	$338	169	169	+0	No	+$0	02-05 23:41
bitcoin above 92k on january 31	6	$336	20,986	20,986	+0	No	+$0	01-31 04:48
will bitcoin reach 100k january 19 25	2	$335	167	167	+0	No	+$0	01-25 09:51
will the price of ethereum be between 2800 2900 on january 6	4	$328	164	164	-0	No	+$0	01-06 02:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 4?	1	$208	208	0	+208	No	+$0	11-04 00:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 2?	1	$208	208	0	+208	Yes	+$0	11-02 10:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 3?	1	$208	208	0	+208	Yes	+$0	11-03 13:44
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 26-November 1?	1	$208	208	0	+208	No	+$0	11-01 22:11
bitcoin above 90k on february 4	2	$207	38,447	169	+38,278	No	-$39	02-04 13:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 1?	1	$207	207	0	+207	Yes	+$0	11-01 08:30
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	1	$206	207	0	+207	No	+$1	10-26 04:26
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 22?	1	$206	206	0	+206	No	+$0	10-22 07:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 19?	1	$206	206	0	+206	Yes	+$0	10-19 14:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 21?	1	$206	206	0	+206	Yes	+$0	10-21 12:01
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 19-25?	1	$206	206	0	+206	No	+$0	10-24 10:46
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 12-18?	1	$205	206	0	+206	No	+$1	10-16 22:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 16?	1	$204	205	0	+205	No	+$1	10-16 12:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 15?	2	$204	204	0	+204	Yes	+$0	10-15 11:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 13?	1	$204	204	0	+204	Yes	+$0	10-13 07:53
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 5-11?	1	$203	204	0	+204	No	+$1	10-08 22:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 5?	1	$203	203	0	+203	Yes	+$0	10-05 09:14
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 7?	1	$203	203	0	+203	Yes	+$0	10-07 10:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 4?	1	$203	203	0	+203	Yes	+$0	10-03 23:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 3?	1	$202	202	0	+202	Yes	+$0	10-03 14:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 25?	1	$202	202	0	+202	Yes	+$0	09-25 03:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 26?	1	$202	202	0	+202	Yes	+$0	09-26 01:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 28?	1	$202	202	0	+202	Yes	+$0	09-27 22:51
will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in september 2026	1	$202	202	0	+202	No	+$0	09-28 22:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 22?	2	$201	201	0	+201	Yes	+$0	09-22 08:23
will bitcoin dip to 78k on september 21 2026	1	$201	201	0	+201	No	+$0	09-21 21:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 00:17:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	208	100¢	$208	0xd5ef81…
11-03 13:44:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	208	100¢	$208	0xa58194…
11-02 10:00:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	208	100¢	$208	0x398673…
11-01 22:11:19	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	208	100¢	$208	0xafbacc…
11-01 08:30:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	207	100¢	$207	0xc25398…
10-26 04:26:03	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	BUY	207	100¢	$206	0x54317e…
10-24 10:46:42	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 19-25?	No	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0x1d4c3c…
10-22 07:01:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 22?	No	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0xc6501c…
10-21 12:01:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0xa72fd1…
10-19 14:32:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0x3bfcfb…
10-16 22:49:11	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 12-18?	No	BUY	206	100¢	$205	0x306802…
10-16 12:13:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 16?	No	BUY	205	100¢	$204	0x6d6229…
10-15 11:12:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x2f0d77…
10-15 11:05:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x835a19…
10-13 07:53:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	204	100¢	$204	0xb52d33…
10-08 22:45:54	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 5-11?	No	BUY	204	100¢	$203	0x7c923d…
10-07 10:58:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	203	100¢	$203	0xd15745…
10-05 09:14:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	203	100¢	$203	0xfa9a6b…
10-03 23:19:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 4?	Yes	BUY	203	100¢	$203	0x4f3bee…
10-03 14:45:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 3?	Yes	BUY	202	100¢	$202	0xd8ec38…
09-28 22:31:06	will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in september 2026	No	BUY	202	100¢	$202	0x95715a…
09-27 22:51:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 28?	Yes	BUY	202	100¢	$202	0xe9fe84…
09-26 01:54:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 26?	Yes	BUY	202	100¢	$202	0xf343c5…
09-25 03:14:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 25?	Yes	BUY	202	100¢	$202	0x11a7c0…
09-24 09:05:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 24?	Yes	BUY	201	100¢	$201	0x2a5998…
09-23 00:47:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	201	100¢	$201	0x4f7970…
09-22 08:23:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x7fcb40…
09-22 04:50:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x368821…
09-21 21:26:39	will bitcoin dip to 78k on september 21 2026	No	BUY	201	100¢	$201	0xb314f8…
09-21 09:30:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	201	100¢	$201	0xe16b4a…
09-20 21:36:04	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 14-20?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xe499f7…
09-20 00:17:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 20?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xa176c7…
09-18 06:47:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x11ed41…
09-16 23:01:40	will ethereum reach 2750 on september 16 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xcd3d84…
09-16 13:30:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 16?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xdb7c0e…
09-15 00:11:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	199	100¢	$199	0x853bab…
08-30 22:09:33	will ethereum reach 3100 in august 2026	No	BUY	199	100¢	$199	0xe0e254…
08-27 21:32:54	Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on August 29?	Yes	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xb7892c…
08-26 22:29:19	Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xdb03f1…
08-26 22:27:19	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,900 on August 28?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x4e3953…
08-25 18:22:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 26?	Yes	BUY	199	100¢	$199	0x234d45…
08-23 16:33:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	198	100¢	$198	0xe6e02a…
08-21 19:01:04	bitcoin above 52k on august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	187	100¢	$187	0x7ca899…
08-21 18:52:54	bitcoin above 52k on august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8f48e4…
08-19 22:29:54	ethereum above 1800 on august 20 2026	Yes	BUY	198	100¢	$198	0xec8799…
08-14 07:56:00	xrp above 1pt2 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	198	100¢	$198	0x3c9aa6…
08-07 15:43:58	bitcoin above 52k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	198	100¢	$198	0x49eeb6…
08-05 22:34:27	ethereum above 2200 on august 6 2026	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x6574b0…
08-05 19:11:09	ethereum above 2200 on august 6 2026	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x9d9182…
08-05 19:10:36	ethereum above 2200 on august 6 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x77f763…
08-05 00:22:09	bitcoin above 72k on august 5 2026	No	BUY	197	100¢	$197	0xabbc51…
08-04 03:30:48	bitcoin above 74k on august 4 2026	No	BUY	197	100¢	$197	0x898f76…
08-01 09:31:36	ethereum above 1600 on august 1 2026	Yes	BUY	196	100¢	$196	0xdffd21…
07-30 21:35:48	will ethereum dip to 1500 in july 2026 446 668	No	BUY	196	100¢	$196	0xcd530d…
07-28 20:48:50	solana above 110 on july 30 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x34c4b0…
07-28 20:48:32	solana above 40 on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x6c643f…
07-28 20:48:23	solana above 30 on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xac35d8…
07-27 21:28:25	xrp above 1pt3 on july 28 2026	No	BUY	196	100¢	$196	0x3fdd5a…
07-25 10:54:04	xrp above 1pt6 on july 27 2026	No	BUY	196	100¢	$196	0xd8e82a…
07-19 13:37:51	bitcoin above 52k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0x9f6fb2…
07-15 13:02:59	ethereum above 2100 on july 15 2026	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x34cb4f…
07-15 12:53:13	ethereum above 2100 on july 15 2026	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x240ebc…
07-15 12:44:29	ethereum above 2100 on july 15 2026	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x404e04…
07-14 12:41:01	bitcoin above 68k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0xf2ca02…
07-07 12:37:52	bitcoin above 50k on july 8 2026	Yes	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0xe6c541…
07-06 20:51:56	will bitcoin dip to 57k on july 6	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0x86f147…
07-06 00:50:43	bitcoin above 70k on july 6 2026	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0xad8792…
07-04 22:22:14	bitcoin above 52k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	194	100¢	$194	0xcdb529…
07-04 04:13:52	bitcoin above 52k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	194	100¢	$194	0x86e626…
07-03 09:25:34	bitcoin above 70k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	194	100¢	$194	0xca4627…
07-01 20:44:53	ethereum above 2000 on july 2 2026	No	BUY	193	100¢	$193	0x1bd494…
06-29 22:17:29	will ethereum reach 2500 in june 2026	No	BUY	193	100¢	$193	0x3bdbff…
06-28 21:16:59	Will the price of XRP be less than $0.70 on June 29?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0xfc2021…
06-26 21:12:22	Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on June 29?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x0080e8…
06-26 21:12:02	Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on June 28?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0xc2baf9…
06-25 22:22:17	ethereum above 2100 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x7d0ea8…
06-24 22:12:01	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 25?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbdfd71…
06-23 22:59:28	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on June 25?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x1ce954…
06-23 22:58:22	Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on June 26?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x4f0b41…
06-23 22:58:10	Will the price of Solana be between $20 and $30 on June 26?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x695746…
06-23 22:57:34	Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on June 26?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x5f4219…
06-23 22:56:10	solana above 100 on june 25 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd4c786…
06-21 21:44:49	Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on June 23?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x3e8b3b…
06-20 21:55:35	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.70 on June 23?	No	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0x034433…
06-20 21:54:08	solana above 120 on june 24 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x82bb46…
06-18 22:42:19	solana above 100 on june 20 2026	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xb3b960…
06-18 22:41:49	solana above 110 on june 20 2026	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x40f44d…
06-18 22:41:43	solana above 120 on june 20 2026	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x2a26c4…
06-14 23:23:30	Will the price of Solana be greater than $110 on June 18?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2b1c34…
06-14 23:22:57	Will the price of Solana be between $20 and $30 on June 18?	No	BUY	177	100¢	$176	0x74a2c7…
06-14 23:22:30	Will the price of Solana be between $20 and $30 on June 18?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcdced6…
06-11 22:37:54	Will the price of Solana be between $20 and $30 on June 14?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$189	0xb9e776…
06-11 12:29:58	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 11?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x1269ac…
06-11 12:29:51	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 11?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x06d0c6…
06-11 12:29:22	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 11?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xede45c…
06-11 12:29:00	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 11?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x7d8e64…
06-09 19:25:07	ethereum above 2000 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0xf9703b…
06-06 05:34:03	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on June 9?	No	BUY	155	100¢	$154	0x0fbe8c…
06-06 05:33:36	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on June 9?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x7e01a5…
06-06 05:33:22	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on June 9?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x000bf1…