Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$91

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.1%

Resolved

4,253

Trades

7,993

lifetime

Volume

$17.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 10-30 11:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 67 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 72% +$2

Other

22% 82% -$84

Politics

10% 14% -$9

Tech

0% 0% $0

Sports

0% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 506 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?	2	$322	250	250	+0	Yes	-$2	10-11 11:44
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	2	$268	176	176	+0	open	—	10-09 06:33
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	2	$238	251	251	+0	open	—	10-08 04:37
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	2	$237	168	168	+0	open	—	10-09 14:55
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$231	150	150	+0	Yes	+$0	10-16 08:58
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	4	$228	250	250	+0	open	—	10-11 06:33
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	2	$181	116	116	+0	open	—	10-07 18:57
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	2	$178	100	100	+0	No	-$1	10-16 09:46
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	5	$168	300	300	+0	No	-$6	10-10 21:26
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	2	$137	99	99	+0	open	—	10-08 17:30
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$132	100	100	+0	open	—	10-16 09:31
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	2	$115	83	83	+0	open	—	10-04 20:51
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$108	153	153	+0	No	-$1	10-04 00:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	4	$107	177	2	+175	Up	-$105	10-23 20:43
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	2	$96	59	59	+0	open	—	10-08 17:12
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	3	$95	129	1	+129	Up	+$34	10-30 10:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	2	$93	61	61	+0	open	—	10-11 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	6	$89	200	1	+199	Up	+$111	10-29 00:25
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$82	204	204	+0	open	—	10-06 09:00
Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	2	$80	50	50	+0	open	—	10-14 22:20
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?	2	$64	50	50	+0	open	—	10-15 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	4	$63	168	0	+168	Down	+$21	10-30 11:47
us announces end of iranian blockade by march 31 2027	2	$61	50	50	+0	open	—	10-14 22:26
Will American Doctor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	4	$61	40	40	+0	open	—	08-10 17:57
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$60	51	51	+0	open	—	10-05 06:26
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	2	$60	119	119	+0	open	—	10-10 07:20
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$55	51	51	+0	No	$0	10-04 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	19	$54	136	33	+103	Up	+$11	10-24 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	20	$54	96	8	+87	Down	-$1	10-26 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	2	$51	128	0	+128	Down	-$51	10-29 11:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 11:53:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	77	33¢	$25	0xa797ac…
10-30 11:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	37	21¢	$8	0x034f16…
10-30 11:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0x0dbeab…
10-30 11:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	78	53¢	$42	0xae9266…
10-30 11:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x3633b0…
10-30 11:42:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	64	74¢	$47	0x786de9…
10-30 11:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xcf84c3…
10-30 11:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x752382…
10-30 11:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	91	19¢	$17	0x397826…
10-30 11:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0x496178…
10-30 11:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	9	37¢	$3	0xbf9721…
10-30 11:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x31ca6a…
10-30 11:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	109	38¢	$42	0x1e834f…
10-30 10:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x69eefa…
10-30 10:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x7f1da5…
10-30 10:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0xe409c2…
10-30 10:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	48¢	$1	0x5a456a…
10-30 10:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	55	52¢	$29	0x2d2a66…
10-30 10:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	52¢	$17	0x2a8f94…
10-30 10:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x64a979…
10-30 10:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0x553014…
10-30 10:12:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0xcb04e4…
10-30 10:12:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	82	73¢	$60	0xaeba8f…
10-30 10:12:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	47	74¢	$35	0x57b1f7…
10-30 09:59:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x67bbe9…
10-30 09:59:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x00e541…
10-30 09:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	86	20¢	$17	0xdc5b9d…
10-30 09:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	62	20¢	$12	0x2bbe60…
10-30 09:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xd11959…
10-30 09:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$2	0xfcc954…
10-30 08:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x05a454…
10-30 08:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xe0b9d1…
10-30 08:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x9c0f8e…
10-30 08:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x33d674…
10-30 08:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x1088d1…
10-30 08:48:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x99eb7f…
10-30 08:48:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xe77793…
10-30 08:48:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x54915d…
10-30 08:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x729ed0…
10-30 08:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x659bcc…
10-30 08:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x86eb87…
10-30 08:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x413622…
10-30 08:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x268c95…
10-30 08:36:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xf3e149…
10-30 08:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xa69e5f…
10-30 08:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xd44ece…
10-30 08:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x2d7473…
10-30 08:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0xf39459…
10-30 08:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0xdaa0a9…
10-30 08:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0xe82bb4…
10-30 08:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x6377b0…
10-30 08:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xdec245…
10-30 08:25:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x6a7c7c…
10-30 08:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xe9354d…
10-30 08:23:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0x3887aa…
10-30 08:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0xd9cac7…
10-30 08:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0x4d72aa…
10-30 08:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x5fba25…
10-30 08:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x0deca0…
10-30 08:19:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x15aa61…
10-30 08:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x1146a8…
10-30 08:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x0d99ea…
10-30 08:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x9988a8…
10-30 08:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x367e24…
10-30 08:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0xddddae…
10-30 08:16:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x1ecb7f…
10-30 08:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xb9cdd8…
10-30 08:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x9cd99b…
10-30 08:10:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x60a79c…
10-30 08:02:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x72a815…
10-30 08:02:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xa5c7ba…
10-30 08:02:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x416945…
10-30 08:01:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xbded4b…
10-30 07:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x222adc…
10-30 07:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xf2f94c…
10-30 07:57:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x04b36c…
10-30 07:57:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xa843c2…
10-30 07:57:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xd30135…
10-30 07:57:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x8527f1…
10-30 07:57:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x836988…
10-30 07:54:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x6f396e…
10-30 07:54:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x7ade0a…
10-30 07:40:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0xe7dc40…
10-30 07:40:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xba096e…
10-30 07:40:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x3e15b5…
10-30 07:36:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x9478f7…
10-30 07:36:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xe8c8de…
10-30 07:36:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x23992b…
10-30 07:36:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x7cc44c…
10-30 07:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x9e25ec…
10-30 07:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x76743a…
10-30 07:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x1434ad…
10-30 07:30:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xe92f59…
10-30 07:30:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x439155…
10-30 07:30:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x78d579…
10-30 07:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x6147c4…
10-30 07:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x9c11b0…
10-30 07:26:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0x660d61…
10-30 07:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x20bdde…
10-30 07:26:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x1537bd…