Knowledgeable-Season — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.4%

Resolved

Trades

115

lifetime

Volume

$365

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 06-10 02:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 53% +$8

Other

20% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
djia up or down on june 10 2026	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	06-10 02:12
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	1	$10	26	0	+26	open	—	05-13 22:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?	1	$10	32	0	+32	open	—	06-02 20:33
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of May 25 2026?	1	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	05-27 02:04
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$10	20	0	+20	Down	$-10	05-11 13:06
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on May 14?	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	05-14 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$10	17	0	+17	Down	$-10	05-11 12:30
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	3	$8	21	0	+21	Down	$-8	05-12 17:46
wti closes above 90 on june 8 2026	3	$7	47	0	+47	open	—	06-08 15:25
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$7	11	0	+11	Up	$-4	05-12 04:26
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	2	$7	13	13	+0	open	—	06-08 13:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	3	$6	13	0	+13	Down	+$4	05-12 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$6	19	0	+19	Down	$-6	05-11 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Down	$-5	05-12 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-11 08:48
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-11 12:35
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	+$3	05-11 11:32
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	1	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	06-02 20:55
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 1 above $225?	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	06-02 21:31
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-11 11:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-11 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	06-01 06:17
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	$-5	05-12 17:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$5	23	0	+23	Down	$-5	05-11 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-11 11:10
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-11 13:05
spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	06-08 02:15
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-31 07:50
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$5	13	0	+13	Up	+$8	05-12 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$5	27	0	+27	Up	$-5	05-12 04:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 02:12:34	djia up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x1b0450…
06-08 15:25:22	wti closes above 90 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x1b64d5…
06-08 15:16:33	wti closes above 90 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xd7d177…
06-08 13:45:40	wti closes above 90 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xafcaf9…
06-08 13:31:21	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	13	37¢	$5	0x7a5273…
06-08 02:15:22	spx up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x939501…
06-08 02:15:13	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x475b54…
06-02 21:32:22	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $480 in June?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x66e512…
06-02 21:31:33	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 1 above $225?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xff81a5…
06-02 21:30:01	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in June?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xe738d9…
06-02 20:55:15	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x2edd2d…
06-02 20:36:19	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June?	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xa7e491…
06-02 20:34:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x20eb06…
06-02 20:33:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x8898b3…
06-01 06:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2c987a…
05-31 07:50:50	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x20ecee…
05-27 02:08:23	will amzn reach 272 by may 25 2026	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x958e02…
05-27 02:06:04	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $630 Week of May 25 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x1d5b69…
05-27 02:04:11	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of May 25 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x56ba2c…
05-14 08:10:43	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x9df071…
05-13 22:49:44	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2256b9…
05-13 22:46:38	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 in May?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x37386c…
05-13 22:44:27	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xf2ab70…
05-13 22:44:09	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x477bdb…
05-13 22:43:47	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x2e76e8…
05-12 17:46:21	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe8348b…
05-12 17:46:10	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xc41671…
05-12 17:45:58	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x06b45f…
05-12 17:05:52	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xbfdb52…
05-12 15:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x665327…
05-12 12:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x279f4e…
05-12 12:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x47bef0…
05-12 06:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x471e0d…
05-12 06:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf19d13…
05-12 06:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xe9e237…
05-12 04:30:37	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x076725…
05-12 04:26:20	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x7442bf…
05-12 04:25:26	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x4c347f…
05-12 04:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0x1ac2fa…
05-12 02:20:31	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xb4f8fe…
05-12 02:20:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x914d15…
05-12 02:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x321771…
05-12 02:10:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x5019e5…
05-12 02:10:18	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x197ae4…
05-12 02:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x742e71…
05-12 02:05:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xde3102…
05-12 02:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x36626f…
05-12 01:55:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x988222…
05-12 01:55:27	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x8ee3c1…
05-12 01:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xf83512…
05-12 01:24:57	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x887ee1…
05-12 01:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xa65ee8…
05-11 19:31:13	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x13d8af…
05-11 19:30:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x28aade…
05-11 18:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xd6e140…
05-11 18:24:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x364762…
05-11 18:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x086653…
05-11 16:35:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x05d7f8…
05-11 15:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xb47ed8…
05-11 13:06:30	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xae2038…
05-11 13:06:29	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2dec4f…
05-11 13:05:17	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x373774…
05-11 12:35:48	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x2a3d03…
05-11 12:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x8fa78a…
05-11 12:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xb46142…
05-11 12:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x4c41e6…
05-11 12:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0ca1cb…
05-11 12:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xd93db0…
05-11 12:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xad0ed9…
05-11 12:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x03f688…
05-11 11:56:11	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xa948b4…
05-11 11:46:55	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9e18c0…
05-11 11:35:20	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x87835b…
05-11 11:32:35	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xbe50aa…
05-11 11:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x1987d4…
05-11 11:31:08	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xcf6cd3…
05-11 11:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xe52a3e…
05-11 11:02:50	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x30d349…
05-11 11:01:21	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x1acf3a…
05-11 11:00:32	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xd42315…
05-11 10:32:11	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x5b9adf…
05-11 10:31:27	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x70353d…
05-11 10:27:21	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x8cfb51…
05-11 09:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x43a5e8…
05-11 09:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xf5ed20…
05-11 09:45:15	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x0d669d…
05-11 09:31:45	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x4e7804…
05-11 09:31:15	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x143ccb…
05-11 09:22:01	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xa905aa…
05-11 08:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x8b9436…
05-11 08:30:27	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xb9f295…
05-11 08:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x8214c0…
05-11 08:10:54	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x6af8fa…
05-11 08:02:04	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0x19b96a…
05-11 07:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd41ff4…
05-11 07:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xea743b…
05-11 07:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1fe156…
05-11 07:06:23	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x4cc028…
05-11 07:01:41	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x051d58…
05-11 07:00:21	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xaf10fe…