Elated-Brood — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.7%

Resolved

Trades

406

lifetime

Volume

$1.98K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 08-12 09:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 87% +$2

Other

37% 100% +$3

Politics

13% 100% +$1

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-02 11:03
Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-10 21:05
wti closes above 91 on june 4 2026	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-04 20:05
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-02 11:04
will bitcoin reach 64k on june 6	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-06 16:26
will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-09 17:04
will bitcoin reach 67k on june 22	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-22 16:26
fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 goals ismael saibari gte2	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	07-04 17:22
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-08 12:01
will bitcoin dip to 60k on june 23	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-23 17:54
will bitcoin reach 67k on june 14	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-15 01:17
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-16 12:24
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-13 21:58
will ethereum dip to 1400 june 1 7 2026	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-07 03:20
will bitcoin reach 65k on june 11	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-11 23:19
ethereum above 1600 on june 15 2026	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-14 21:41
will solana dip to 60 june 1 7 2026	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-07 22:40
ethereum above 1600 on june 8 2026	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-08 13:34
wti closes above 87 on june 9 2026	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-09 20:10
Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-02 12:53
will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 5	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-06 00:29
ethereum above 1700 on june 17 2026	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-17 05:10
fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 spread home 2pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-30 01:50
0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	07-13 07:02
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-03 16:12
will bitcoin dip to 65k on july 21	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	07-21 23:50
will ethereum reach 1750 on june 11	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-11 23:00
ethereum above 1700 on june 7 2026	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-07 11:58
israel closes its airspace by june 11	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-11 17:35
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 23	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	07-23 20:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 16:18:55	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x0efdae…
08-12 15:20:03	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x75d89b…
08-12 09:31:00	solana above 80 on august 13 2026	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x89e2b0…
08-12 01:44:34	ethereum above 1800 on august 12 2026	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x40c487…
08-11 16:02:31	ethereum above 1800 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5902c0…
08-10 17:18:10	swe sir bro 2026 08 10 spread away 1pt5	IK Sirius	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x49424b…
08-10 17:09:39	swe sir bro 2026 08 10 spread away 1pt5	IK Sirius	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd1eb07…
08-08 18:09:30	will leonardo bonucci attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630267	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4276f5…
08-07 15:01:39	ethereum above 2000 on august 8 2026	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd70b7e…
08-07 13:03:34	ethereum above 2000 on august 8 2026	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x44636f…
08-07 11:47:19	chi bgu xin 2026 08 07 spread away 1pt5	Beijing Guoan FC	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x4dcbfd…
08-07 10:53:16	chi bgu xin 2026 08 07 spread away 1pt5	Beijing Guoan FC	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x70c390…
08-06 16:19:12	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 6	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x7dbc99…
08-06 14:41:23	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 6	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9e53a6…
08-05 16:59:38	cs2 ntr cyb 2026 08 05	Nuclear TigeRES	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x6bc731…
08-05 16:35:21	cs2 ntr cyb 2026 08 05	Nuclear TigeRES	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5eb60f…
08-04 17:15:29	amd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 1pt61	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf89607…
08-04 16:41:27	amd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 1pt61	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1cec64…
08-03 20:51:53	iran successfully targets shipping on july 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbb4a85…
08-02 04:42:12	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 27 august 2 2026	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x6db8c8…
08-01 19:08:50	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xcf61c4…
08-01 10:44:54	clf lev rwe 2026 08 01 spread home 1pt5	Bayer Leverkusen	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc60055…
08-01 09:34:21	clf lev rwe 2026 08 01 spread home 1pt5	Bayer Leverkusen	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x513f07…
07-31 16:28:53	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 31	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x512eb7…
07-31 15:55:59	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 31	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x200c5c…
07-31 10:22:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe669f7…
07-31 03:16:33	ethereum above 2000 on july 31 2026	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x194273…
07-30 19:31:48	ethereum above 2000 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa319b1…
07-30 13:16:26	wti closes above 89 on july 30 2026	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x89ab53…
07-30 05:35:57	wti closes above 89 on july 30 2026	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x04b41c…
07-30 04:30:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xab4a5b…
07-28 01:05:21	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 27	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x06bcee…
07-27 22:57:58	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 27	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7bf0c8…
07-26 16:14:30	ethereum above 1800 on july 27 2026	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x20f77a…
07-26 09:59:12	ethereum above 1800 on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9cb859…
07-26 09:53:00	will bitcoin dip to 62k july 20 26 2026	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xa53528…
07-25 15:18:33	will bitcoin dip to 62k july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf6db36…
07-24 23:34:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x097869…
07-24 12:20:25	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x291f63…
07-23 20:33:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 23	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x3d0764…
07-23 19:13:00	uel stg ben 2026 07 23 spread home 1pt5	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x9fe74a…
07-23 18:50:33	uel stg ben 2026 07 23 spread home 1pt5	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x29cfe7…
07-23 14:24:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 23	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x402a7f…
07-23 10:01:30	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x34ef95…
07-23 06:30:42	ethereum above 2000 on july 23 2026	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xe82944…
07-23 00:01:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x717560…
07-22 19:30:42	ethereum above 2000 on july 23 2026	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xedb088…
07-22 15:52:16	googl quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 22 2026 2pt89	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xadbdda…
07-22 06:48:51	ethereum above 2000 on july 22 2026	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x089f09…
07-21 23:50:58	will bitcoin dip to 65k on july 21	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3db8f2…
07-21 19:02:52	googl quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 22 2026 2pt89	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x56cdc9…
07-21 17:17:07	will bitcoin dip to 65k on july 21	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x702b91…
07-21 16:28:09	ethereum above 2000 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd34ce1…
07-20 12:03:33	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 20	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xd088d7…
07-20 12:02:58	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 20	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7bff8f…
07-19 20:40:15	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lamine yamal gte2	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xd978e5…
07-18 21:11:25	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread home 3pt5	England	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x740924…
07-18 20:30:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc85bee…
07-18 15:44:19	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread home 3pt5	England	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe3fa77…
07-18 05:31:00	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lamine yamal gte2	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8b00ef…
07-18 03:24:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x05f41d…
07-17 05:46:52	ethereum above 1800 on july 17 2026	Yes	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x0c5bc5…
07-17 03:19:24	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 16	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x936efc…
07-16 20:06:14	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 16	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb9a54b…
07-16 08:40:10	ethereum above 1800 on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4b7163…
07-15 20:38:50	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals marcus rashford gte1	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x7dfb1e…
07-15 19:44:44	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals jude bellingham gte2	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x4ed0d2…
07-15 19:21:37	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 assists lionel messi gte2	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xbfc997…
07-15 18:17:20	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals marcus rashford gte1	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xeee867…
07-15 15:34:04	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 assists lionel messi gte2	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8aa85c…
07-14 21:06:16	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals jude bellingham gte2	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8ff4e5…
07-14 19:23:05	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals mikel oyarzabal gte2	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xd28049…
07-14 17:06:41	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals mikel oyarzabal gte2	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf0503e…
07-13 07:02:05	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb96760…
07-13 04:45:50	ethereum above 1900 on july 13 2026	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x189702…
07-13 01:12:29	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4a7117…
07-12 13:09:22	ethereum above 1900 on july 13 2026	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x70d563…
07-09 20:45:08	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals kylian mbappe gte3	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x18e4cb…
07-09 13:39:32	ethereum above 1800 on july 9 2026	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x748ee4…
07-09 12:42:49	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals kylian mbappe gte3	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xad1d09…
07-09 05:37:08	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals ismael saibari gte1	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x50d44c…
07-09 05:16:01	ethereum above 1800 on july 9 2026	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x882cca…
07-09 02:41:44	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals ismael saibari gte1	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbcea6e…
07-07 21:38:31	will ethereum reach 1850 on july 7	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x22cf1b…
07-07 21:38:29	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 7	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x34a8a9…
07-07 20:53:05	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 goals luis diaz gte2	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xa235b0…
07-07 20:49:10	will ethereum reach 1850 on july 7	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xef7915…
07-07 19:28:16	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 7	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd9f2bd…
07-07 18:57:50	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 goals luis diaz gte2	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa4cb26…
07-07 17:22:38	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 spread away 1pt5	Argentina	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x8e8e59…
07-07 17:08:37	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 spread away 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4e1919…
07-07 14:05:20	spy closes above 740 on july 7 2026	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xbc3299…
07-07 08:27:25	spy closes above 740 on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5cb6be…
07-06 13:11:43	ethereum above 1800 on july 6 2026	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd86f15…
07-06 10:04:16	ethereum above 1800 on july 6 2026	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfc3f62…
07-06 02:14:38	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 spread home 1pt5	England	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xfa3ef0…
07-06 01:51:38	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 spread home 1pt5	England	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x422537…
07-04 17:22:50	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 goals ismael saibari gte2	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x66893c…
07-04 16:31:35	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 goals ismael saibari gte2	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x849f76…
07-03 00:24:05	will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	Yes	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x2a1a34…