Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$469

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

54.0%

Resolved

559

Trades

1,460

lifetime

Volume

$14.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$49

4 positions

First seen

2026-08-15

last 10-27 07:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Crypto

56% 63% -$214

Other

35% 20% -$235

Politics

9% 12% -$17

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Sports

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 219 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	No	+29	$11	80¢	$23	+$12	08-24 02:15
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+20	$18	83¢	$17	-$1	10-27 00:07
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	+29	$17	20¢	$6	-$11	08-23 12:26
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	+20	$2	17¢	$3	+$1	10-27 01:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	23	$327	638	42	+596	No	+$6	08-28 04:03
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	13	$243	430	50	+380	Yes	+$1	08-28 04:03
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?	21	$193	373	0	+373	No	-$6	08-25 17:21
Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?	16	$183	260	100	+160	open	—	08-28 04:02
Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?	20	$182	340	0	+340	No	-$12	08-27 08:11
Will Imelda Castro Castro win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	15	$159	304	0	+304	open	—	08-27 07:37
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	19	$155	309	20	+289	No	+$3	08-28 04:12
Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?	20	$151	238	37	+201	Yes	-$4	08-28 04:03
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.7%?	18	$150	278	78	+200	No	-$13	08-28 04:03
Will RNI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?	20	$147	280	0	+280	No	-$7	08-25 08:48
Will the median home value in NYC be at least $689,000 on September 30?	14	$137	260	20	+240	No	-$14	09-18 01:58
Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	11	$128	240	0	+240	open	—	08-27 10:08
Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	16	$127	280	120	+160	No	-$36	08-28 04:11
Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?	13	$117	220	20	+200	open	—	09-18 01:58
Will Jack Grealish stay at Manchester City?	17	$117	213	0	+213	No	-$23	08-27 06:33
Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on August 31?	11	$107	200	0	+200	No	-$7	08-24 01:51
Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?	44	$101	197	0	+197	No	-$2	08-27 13:11
Will David Morales be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?	10	$98	184	0	+184	Yes	-$6	08-23 16:47
Will Mirana Be the Most Picked Hero at The International 2026?	15	$97	180	0	+180	Yes	+$23	08-23 06:30
Will Karmine Corp Win VCT EMEA Stage 2 2026?	8	$95	153	33	+120	Yes	-$10	08-28 04:03
Will valve announce Arjun as the new hero at The International 2026?	6	$94	160	0	+160	No	-$14	08-23 13:49
Will Emiliano Martinez stay at Aston Villa?	9	$92	160	0	+160	No	-$12	08-24 13:19
Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on August 31?	18	$90	178	0	+178	No	-$1	08-23 12:05
Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?	10	$89	174	0	+174	Yes	-$2	08-24 22:55
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?	7	$88	160	0	+160	Yes	-$8	08-28 00:42
Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	9	$86	160	0	+160	No	-$6	08-22 01:23
Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	17	$84	166	0	+166	Yes	-$1	08-27 09:23
Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?	10	$82	160	0	+160	open	—	08-27 13:27
Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	9	$74	160	0	+160	No	+$6	08-27 19:04
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	7	$72	100	60	+40	No	-$2	08-28 04:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 07:12:20	Will The Joint List win 5.5-6.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x7e878d…
10-27 07:09:09	Will The Joint List win 5.5-6.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xe1c5f4…
10-27 02:29:03	Will Young Kim win the CA-40 House seat?	Yes	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xfa0a46…
10-27 02:13:21	Will Young Kim win the CA-40 House seat?	Yes	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x3e639f…
10-27 01:54:56	Will Young Kim win the CA-40 House seat?	No	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0xdeae53…
10-27 01:38:23	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xb44146…
10-27 01:36:29	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0xc96431…
10-27 00:07:56	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xc8ff15…
10-26 23:53:57	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x4197a1…
10-26 23:39:53	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x25d140…
10-26 22:12:30	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xff7843…
09-18 02:00:25	Will The Seven Deadly Sins: Origin win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xaa7c69…
09-18 02:00:25	Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x82ef73…
09-18 02:00:24	Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?	No	SELL	14	19¢	$3	0x07f4ea…
09-18 02:00:16	Will Khamzat Chimaev fight Sean Strickland next?	Yes	SELL	32	1¢	$0	0xa5babc…
09-18 02:00:16	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?	Yes	SELL	31	8¢	$3	0x2f3c45…
09-18 01:58:15	Will Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xda18ed…
09-18 01:58:13	Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xc6ab43…
09-18 01:58:13	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xbc38cf…
09-18 01:58:13	Will The Seven Deadly Sins: Origin win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xb90d60…
09-18 01:58:13	Will the median home value in NYC be at least $689,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x27ab94…
09-18 01:58:13	Will Angela Smith be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x178026…
09-18 01:58:12	Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x8c4fce…
09-18 01:58:10	Will One in a Million win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xa51c72…
09-18 01:58:10	Will Javier Lamarque Cano win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x828991…
09-18 01:58:10	Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?	No	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x2d04ed…
09-18 01:58:10	Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x2032ce…
08-28 04:27:19	Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	No	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0x81e246…
08-28 04:27:01	Will Antonio Martín del Campo win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xfa5a98…
08-28 04:27:01	Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?	No	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x35c7d0…
08-28 04:12:33	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xec9250…
08-28 04:12:28	Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?	No	SELL	12	46¢	$6	0xf4be29…
08-28 04:12:24	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat?	Yes	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x366e97…
08-28 04:12:16	Will William Foxen win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0xd5d695…
08-28 04:12:12	Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $512,000 and $518,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x859171…
08-28 04:12:07	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x597dc5…
08-28 04:12:03	Will Shaun Deeb win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year?	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x32d03f…
08-28 04:11:46	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x980dff…
08-28 04:11:42	Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	No	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x415036…
08-28 04:11:37	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x2ee1ca…
08-28 04:11:25	Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	Yes	SELL	120	4¢	$5	0x1be481…
08-28 04:11:22	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0xd5c97e…
08-28 04:11:19	Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x10ef4f…
08-28 04:03:51	Will Sepideh Moafi – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?	Yes	SELL	60	17¢	$10	0x4f771f…
08-28 04:03:48	Will Ismael Burgueño Ruiz win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x58755d…
08-28 04:03:46	Will Lucas Ribeiro win the Governor of Paraíba election?	No	SELL	40	28¢	$11	0x9a3910…
08-28 04:03:43	Will Monika Piątkowska win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	60	17¢	$10	0x615faf…
08-28 04:03:42	Will Karmine Corp Win VCT EMEA Stage 2 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	38¢	$13	0x91af9f…
08-28 04:03:39	Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?	Yes	SELL	40	27¢	$11	0xea9718…
08-28 04:03:37	Will FUT Esports Win VCT EMEA Stage 2 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	34¢	$12	0x44471a…
08-28 04:03:34	Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xa50f86…
08-28 04:03:30	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	SELL	42	42¢	$18	0xf11e7b…
08-28 04:03:28	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.7%?	Yes	SELL	78	24¢	$19	0x2d2701…
08-28 04:03:15	Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?	Yes	SELL	37	64¢	$23	0x714b49…
08-28 04:03:10	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	Yes	SELL	50	53¢	$27	0xccdd8a…
08-28 04:02:46	Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?	No	SELL	100	48¢	$48	0xeb7512…
08-28 04:02:46	Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	60	42¢	$25	0x956088…
08-28 03:01:12	Will Khamzat Chimaev fight Sean Strickland next?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x717f89…
08-28 02:36:04	Will Ismael Burgueño Ruiz win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xe14c0e…
08-28 00:51:22	Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x37f9a1…
08-28 00:48:01	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xc1a673…
08-28 00:42:00	Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x519ea6…
08-27 23:41:16	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x2a25e0…
08-27 23:38:03	Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xf689bb…
08-27 23:37:55	Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x2f993b…
08-27 23:03:45	Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xeed89b…
08-27 23:03:19	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xa68baa…
08-27 22:30:37	Will Spirit Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x52d91e…
08-27 20:28:37	Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x6405c6…
08-27 19:31:33	Will Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xa7cb5e…
08-27 19:27:31	Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,137,000 on September 30?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x4268d3…
08-27 19:13:21	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xd072b9…
08-27 19:04:30	Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xfe7d04…
08-27 19:04:30	Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x625d29…
08-27 18:49:19	Will edgeX reach $1.60 before 2027?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x94d5d6…
08-27 18:31:25	Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seats in South Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0x93ec19…
08-27 18:17:07	Will Global Esports Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xfbfde5…
08-27 18:11:03	Will Global Esports Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	28¢	$4	0x5e19e4…
08-27 18:09:43	Will Global Esports Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x588b88…
08-27 17:26:43	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.25T and $1.50T at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6c2597…
08-27 16:34:06	Will Nongshim RedForce Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x018d80…
08-27 16:29:15	Will Nongshim RedForce Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x7e3206…
08-27 16:28:36	Will Global Esports Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xd2b917…
08-27 16:06:42	Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x9a4e60…
08-27 15:58:00	Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x7aed91…
08-27 15:07:10	Will Global Esports Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xc4a0b9…
08-27 15:00:27	Will Sepideh Moafi – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x9a5e28…
08-27 14:26:57	Will Angela Smith be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x8392dd…
08-27 14:12:49	Will Sepideh Moafi – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xc5ae25…
08-27 14:10:25	Will Sepideh Moafi – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x123f3c…
08-27 14:08:42	Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x2951c8…
08-27 14:07:06	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x5a2ada…
08-27 14:01:10	Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seats in South Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x5bcc35…
08-27 13:57:46	Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?	Yes	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0xc28e89…
08-27 13:57:46	Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?	Yes	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x44315e…
08-27 13:57:40	Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xfef4d2…
08-27 13:33:04	Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x50a54a…
08-27 13:31:00	Will The Seven Deadly Sins: Origin win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x82b298…
08-27 13:27:54	Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0xed3a35…
08-27 13:21:37	Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x35ccc1…