Light-Cookbook — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.3%

Resolved

Trades

215

lifetime

Volume

$541

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 05-17 23:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 64% +$12

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	4	$23	39	39	+0	open	—	05-14 20:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	5	$21	17	17	+0	open	—	05-02 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	2	$18	21	21	+0	open	—	05-16 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	2	$18	18	18	+0	open	—	05-16 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	6	$16	28	28	+0	Up	+$4	05-13 04:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	4	$16	27	27	+0	Down	+$8	05-13 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	4	$14	11	11	+0	Down	+$0	05-14 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	5	$13	66	26	+40	Up	+$3	05-13 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	7	$13	51	51	+0	open	—	05-14 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	4	$12	34	34	+0	open	—	05-14 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	4	$12	18	18	+0	open	—	04-28 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	04-27 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-28 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$10	11	11	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 04:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	4	$10	16	16	+0	open	—	05-14 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	4	$10	14	14	+0	open	—	05-14 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	3	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	05-02 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	3	$8	10	8	+2	open	—	05-02 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-16 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	3	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-02 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	04-30 01:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	4	$7	17	17	+0	open	—	05-14 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	4	$7	9	9	+0	open	—	05-16 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	3	$7	17	14	+3	Up	+$1	05-14 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$7	33	0	+33	open	—	05-16 06:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$7	7	7	+0	Up	+$3	05-12 23:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$6	11	11	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 22:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	3	$6	11	5	+6	open	—	05-14 18:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$6	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 22:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$6	8	8	+0	open	—	05-14 18:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 23:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xb52cf9…
05-17 23:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x9274c2…
05-17 23:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x5af2e4…
05-17 23:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xeec8be…
05-17 23:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xbb38e2…
05-17 23:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x483c8e…
05-17 04:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0x678ed8…
05-17 04:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xde3433…
05-16 06:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xe32acc…
05-16 06:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x0c4984…
05-16 06:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xcf2315…
05-16 06:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x0d6400…
05-16 06:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	18	71¢	$13	0xe48325…
05-16 05:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x745cbf…
05-16 05:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc1c1dc…
05-16 05:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xd45a37…
05-16 05:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	21	61¢	$13	0x42372f…
05-16 05:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x740e3f…
05-16 05:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x430fe7…
05-16 05:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x9542ff…
05-16 05:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0xc6fd09…
05-16 05:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x7c5cd1…
05-16 05:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xeadb5f…
05-16 05:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x5397bd…
05-15 00:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x1a194d…
05-15 00:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	21	12¢	$3	0x49c52a…
05-15 00:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x677b39…
05-15 00:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x76d10c…
05-15 00:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd07af4…
05-15 00:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x24da7d…
05-14 20:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	25	23¢	$6	0x9e4e85…
05-14 20:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x2208bc…
05-14 20:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	9	26¢	$2	0x57d6a8…
05-14 20:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x10830d…
05-14 20:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	29	2¢	$1	0xfadddf…
05-14 20:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xddbede…
05-14 20:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x9d4745…
05-14 20:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0xb8d95d…
05-14 20:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x8d2f55…
05-14 20:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0x906b89…
05-14 20:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x480ad3…
05-14 20:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	19	41¢	$8	0xe30287…
05-14 20:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x784145…
05-14 20:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x1bb6d8…
05-14 20:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xd78aa3…
05-14 18:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0x6c93b4…
05-14 18:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x582808…
05-14 18:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xf74843…
05-14 18:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xcfa141…
05-14 18:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xfdae0f…
05-14 18:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x536d31…
05-14 18:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	7	35¢	$2	0x0bbe9b…
05-14 18:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x103350…
05-14 18:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xdd0700…
05-14 18:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x2ba988…
05-14 18:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x5d2f81…
05-14 18:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x37e07b…
05-14 18:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0xc9f840…
05-14 18:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x35e711…
05-14 18:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x341f6e…
05-14 18:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x76e714…
05-14 18:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0x84b13b…
05-14 18:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc6c2e7…
05-14 18:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x7b3d64…
05-14 18:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x635a2b…
05-14 05:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x670746…
05-14 05:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x9a14b7…
05-14 05:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xb69933…
05-14 01:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0x84dabc…
05-14 01:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x53878c…
05-14 01:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x71fb43…
05-14 01:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	14	29¢	$4	0xf56a21…
05-14 01:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x87a1bc…
05-14 01:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x9ffd9c…
05-14 01:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x407bb1…
05-14 01:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x0a3208…
05-14 01:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x1f69b6…
05-14 01:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x49433f…
05-14 00:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xb98394…
05-13 22:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	10	15¢	$1	0x98faa8…
05-13 22:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xf3c349…
05-13 22:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	40¢	$4	0x4734f5…
05-13 22:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x9de374…
05-13 22:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0x6ae50c…
05-13 22:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xb8e280…
05-13 22:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x2d539b…
05-13 22:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xb02644…
05-13 22:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0xeee6c3…
05-13 22:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x6d7d48…
05-13 21:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x8e6b56…
05-13 21:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x7a607d…
05-13 21:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	17	49¢	$8	0xc61dd3…
05-13 21:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x8b647f…
05-13 21:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0x2c26da…
05-13 21:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x639bd8…
05-13 21:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x5024f4…
05-13 21:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xee92f0…
05-13 21:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9b164e…
05-13 21:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x4b3c1c…
05-13 21:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xca29ac…