Light-Cookbook — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.1%

Resolved

125

Trades

299

lifetime

Volume

$691

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 09-29 02:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% -$17

Other

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	4	$23	39	39	+0	Down	+$3	05-14 20:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	5	$21	17	17	+0	Down	+$5	05-02 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	2	$18	21	21	+0	Up	+$8	05-16 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	2	$18	18	18	+0	Up	+$8	05-16 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	6	$16	28	28	+0	Up	+$4	05-13 04:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	4	$16	27	27	+0	Down	+$8	05-13 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	4	$14	11	11	+0	Down	+$0	05-14 01:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:40 UTC	6	$14	16	16	+0	Up	+$2	09-29 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	5	$13	66	26	+40	Up	+$3	05-13 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	7	$13	51	51	+0	Down	+$1	05-14 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	4	$12	34	34	+0	Down	+$4	05-14 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	4	$12	18	18	+0	Up	+$0	04-28 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	04-27 23:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 06:45 UTC	2	$11	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	09-22 06:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 01:10 UTC	2	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	09-27 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	04-28 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	6	$10	9	9	+0	Up	+$0	09-29 02:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$10	11	11	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 04:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	4	$10	16	16	+0	Up	+$2	05-14 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	4	$10	14	14	+0	Up	+$2	05-14 18:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 01:25 UTC	7	$10	22	12	+11	Down	$0	09-27 01:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	6	$10	18	18	+0	Up	+$2	09-28 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	3	$9	7	7	+0	Up	+$4	05-02 02:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 06:50 UTC	4	$9	16	16	+0	Up	-$3	09-22 06:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	3	$8	10	8	+2	Up	+$0	05-02 02:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 06:35 UTC	5	$8	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	09-22 06:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 21:10 UTC	4	$8	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	09-28 21:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$4	05-16 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	3	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-02 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	04-30 01:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-29 02:50:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:50 UTC	Up	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0x989bdd…
09-29 02:50:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x36e846…
09-29 02:48:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x361fec…
09-29 02:47:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:45 UTC	Down	SELL	13	18¢	$2	0x2b9248…
09-29 02:45:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xc8699e…
09-29 02:44:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:40 UTC	Down	SELL	6	55¢	$4	0x0d9263…
09-29 02:44:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xefa2db…
09-29 02:42:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:40 UTC	Down	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x4c8f87…
09-29 02:41:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x9b1a45…
09-29 02:40:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:40 UTC	Up	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x458737…
09-29 02:40:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xcea197…
09-29 02:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xb14574…
09-29 02:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x8863d3…
09-29 02:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x90a3e9…
09-29 02:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x77e734…
09-29 02:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x1f2e1f…
09-29 02:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xfa0a45…
09-28 21:12:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 21:10 UTC	Down	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xb1df9d…
09-28 21:12:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x5efbe0…
09-28 21:11:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 21:10 UTC	Up	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0x4daa3d…
09-28 21:10:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x071b2b…
09-28 18:52:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xd207b1…
09-28 18:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x02bd18…
09-28 18:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xab6fc1…
09-28 18:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0xb0b165…
09-28 18:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x75bc2d…
09-28 18:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0x160dd7…
09-28 18:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x25abd2…
09-28 18:42:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 18:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xd3eae9…
09-28 18:41:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x4ed8de…
09-27 01:30:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 01:30 UTC	Up	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0xe29efc…
09-27 01:30:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd1de39…
09-27 01:30:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x1b5b49…
09-27 01:27:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7bd681…
09-27 01:27:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x03e972…
09-27 01:26:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 01:25 UTC	Up	SELL	4	41¢	$1	0x5b53b2…
09-27 01:26:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa37408…
09-27 01:25:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 01:25 UTC	Up	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0xc1450c…
09-27 01:25:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe2e676…
09-27 01:25:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc88fbd…
09-27 01:18:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb0907a…
09-27 01:17:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 01:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xa9d7d9…
09-27 01:17:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa2f6e3…
09-27 01:10:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 01:10 UTC	Up	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0xc105a5…
09-27 01:10:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 01:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x48098a…
09-22 06:55:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf14304…
09-22 06:55:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xfc4406…
09-22 06:53:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 06:50 UTC	Down	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0x9a7e17…
09-22 06:52:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x2e5b5a…
09-22 06:51:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 06:50 UTC	Up	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x0dd388…
09-22 06:51:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x98ad35…
09-22 06:46:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 06:45 UTC	Down	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0x383b0c…
09-22 06:46:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x22c1c4…
09-22 06:41:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 06:40 UTC	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x055928…
09-22 06:40:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x6e024c…
09-22 06:37:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 06:35 UTC	Up	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0x80d8df…
09-22 06:37:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb5d2e6…
09-22 06:36:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 06:35 UTC	Down	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0xc3fbef…
09-22 06:35:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xec2006…
09-22 06:35:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe07184…
09-22 06:31:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 06:30 UTC	Up	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x14d5fb…
09-22 06:30:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x45ce26…
09-22 06:30:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x800c1a…
09-22 06:28:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x15b054…
09-18 03:57:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 03:55 UTC	Up	SELL	12	26¢	$3	0x063bea…
09-18 03:56:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe7b181…
09-18 03:56:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd4ad87…
09-18 03:56:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc8fced…
09-18 03:50:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 03:50 UTC	Up	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0x3367dc…
09-18 03:50:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc51297…
09-18 03:50:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1dddec…
09-18 03:48:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb98141…
09-18 03:47:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 03:45 UTC	Down	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x112c44…
09-18 03:45:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xbd7471…
09-18 03:45:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x29b927…
09-18 03:45:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc8d41f…
05-17 23:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xb52cf9…
05-17 23:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x9274c2…
05-17 23:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x5af2e4…
05-17 23:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xeec8be…
05-17 23:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xbb38e2…
05-17 23:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x483c8e…
05-17 04:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0x678ed8…
05-17 04:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xde3433…
05-16 06:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xe32acc…
05-16 06:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x0c4984…
05-16 06:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xcf2315…
05-16 06:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x0d6400…
05-16 06:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	18	71¢	$13	0xe48325…
05-16 05:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x745cbf…
05-16 05:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc1c1dc…
05-16 05:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xd45a37…
05-16 05:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	21	61¢	$13	0x42372f…
05-16 05:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x740e3f…
05-16 05:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x430fe7…
05-16 05:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x9542ff…
05-16 05:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0xc6fd09…
05-16 05:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x7c5cd1…
05-16 05:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xeadb5f…
05-16 05:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x5397bd…