Unfit-Fluke — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,022

lifetime

Volume

$8.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 06-30 18:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 79% +$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 189 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	2	$59	32	32	+0	Up	$-3	05-14 03:27
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	2	$46	26	25	+0	Down	$-2	05-12 21:57
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8PM ET	2	$42	21	21	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 05:09
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10PM ET	2	$42	21	21	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 05:10
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10AM ET	3	$42	24	24	+0	Down	$-2	05-11 14:58
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	2	$39	23	23	+0	Down	$-3	05-12 02:29
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	2	$38	21	21	+0	Down	$-2	05-14 03:12
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	2	$38	21	21	+0	Down	$-2	05-13 21:41
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 4PM ET	1	$36	36	0	+36	Down	+$0	05-11 20:55
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	2	$35	18	18	+0	Down	$-1	05-12 21:56
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET	2	$34	19	19	+0	Down	$-2	05-12 15:56
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	1	$31	32	0	+32	Down	+$1	05-12 02:25
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	1	$31	32	0	+32	Down	+$1	05-12 01:11
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	1	$31	31	0	+31	Down	+$0	05-10 20:41
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	1	$31	31	0	+31	Down	+$0	05-11 23:25
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	2	$31	23	23	+0	open	—	05-28 20:12
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5PM ET	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	05-17 01:33
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	2	$30	17	17	+0	open	—	05-28 12:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$30	37	0	+37	Up	+$7	05-11 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	05-17 14:11
Bitcoin above 81,600 on May 10, 3PM ET?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	05-10 22:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	05-16 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	2	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	05-26 20:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6PM ET	2	$29	16	16	+0	open	—	05-14 22:57
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	2	$29	16	16	+0	open	—	05-15 01:26
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	2	$29	15	15	+0	Up	$-1	05-11 13:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	3	$29	19	18	+0	open	—	05-22 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	3	$28	20	20	+0	open	—	05-25 01:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3PM ET	2	$28	14	14	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 20:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5PM ET	2	$28	16	16	+0	open	—	05-16 21:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 23:57:23	btc updown 15m 1782863100	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x82031e…
06-30 23:50:10	solana up or down june 30 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x1df4b5…
06-30 23:48:41	ethereum up or down june 30 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x6e515e…
06-30 22:50:41	ethereum up or down june 30 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x73a948…
06-30 22:37:52	eth updown 15m 1782858600	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xd9169a…
06-30 22:37:17	btc updown 15m 1782858600	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x810387…
06-30 22:29:05	eth updown 5m 1782858300	Down	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x68380f…
06-30 22:27:34	eth updown 5m 1782858300	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x645eaa…
06-30 22:14:07	xrp updown 5m 1782857400	Down	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xed4e6d…
06-30 22:13:22	xrp updown 5m 1782857400	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x822ddc…
06-30 22:07:32	btc updown 15m 1782856800	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6caf67…
06-30 22:02:02	btc updown 5m 1782856800	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x912b76…
06-30 21:56:56	xrp up or down june 30 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x07fa70…
06-30 21:12:26	btc updown 5m 1782853800	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc10341…
06-30 20:56:20	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xd59bd4…
06-30 20:55:40	xrp up or down june 30 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x16762f…
06-30 20:46:43	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xd6b1a8…
06-30 18:41:13	btc updown 15m 1782844200	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x0d58ac…
06-30 16:52:10	ethereum up or down june 30 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xd1e547…
06-30 12:56:10	eth updown 15m 1782823500	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x8a0569…
06-30 12:24:55	btc updown 15m 1782821700	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x823498…
06-30 12:11:25	eth updown 15m 1782820800	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x1ce9ca…
06-30 12:07:22	btc updown 15m 1782820800	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x09c715…
06-30 11:56:26	eth updown 15m 1782819900	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x611130…
06-30 03:50:25	xrp up or down june 29 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x33aba3…
06-30 03:49:11	btc updown 5m 1782791100	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x292550…
06-30 03:33:52	btc updown 5m 1782790200	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdd9fbe…
06-30 02:59:31	btc updown 5m 1782788100	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4f8819…
06-30 02:12:32	xrp updown 5m 1782785400	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x91f916…
06-30 00:58:20	xrp updown 5m 1782780900	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xee2cbf…
06-30 00:38:35	btc updown 15m 1782779400	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xe5acb1…
06-30 00:38:02	eth updown 5m 1782779700	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x82dc98…
06-30 00:33:43	btc updown 5m 1782779400	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x402054…
06-29 23:52:25	solana up or down june 29 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xb8fac0…
06-29 23:49:22	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xd94e1d…
06-29 23:12:26	eth updown 5m 1782774600	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2b8604…
06-29 22:58:11	btc updown 5m 1782773700	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe1af7e…
06-29 22:45:52	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xb3d24f…
06-29 22:40:38	btc updown 15m 1782772200	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xa3d14d…
06-29 21:58:59	btc updown 15m 1782769500	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x20a26b…
06-29 21:54:20	btc updown 15m 1782769500	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x51d6ae…
06-29 21:24:02	btc updown 15m 1782767700	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x8557e8…
06-29 19:52:20	ethereum up or down june 29 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xe23f93…
06-29 19:22:32	eth updown 15m 1782760500	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xc265fb…
06-29 19:07:23	btc updown 15m 1782759600	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8891eb…
06-29 19:02:41	btc updown 5m 1782759600	Down	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xa8fd83…
06-29 19:02:20	btc updown 5m 1782759600	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x423714…
06-29 16:51:19	ethereum up or down june 29 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x7b8d3a…
06-29 11:45:17	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xae90e0…
06-29 11:42:31	btc updown 15m 1782732600	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xe82e43…
06-29 11:11:19	btc updown 15m 1782730800	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x27f190…
06-29 10:50:19	xrp up or down june 29 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8490ea…
06-29 09:51:22	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x4aee5f…
06-29 03:52:52	eth updown 15m 1782704700	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x6b8bd9…
06-29 03:08:32	eth updown 15m 1782702000	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xee3a55…
06-29 00:55:56	ethereum up or down june 28 2026 8pm et	Down	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x029bf2…
06-29 00:50:58	ethereum up or down june 28 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x258f41…
06-29 00:38:32	eth updown 5m 1782693300	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x356b45…
06-29 00:34:43	eth updown 5m 1782693000	Down	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0xdd82da…
06-29 00:33:25	eth updown 5m 1782693000	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x240f02…
06-29 00:18:05	eth updown 5m 1782692100	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x51a819…
06-28 23:55:20	btc updown 4h 1782676800	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2fd5a5…
06-28 19:12:05	eth updown 15m 1782673200	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x50a1f5…
06-28 17:50:49	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4171a0…
06-28 17:37:58	xrp updown 5m 1782668100	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x64b087…
06-28 17:27:37	eth updown 15m 1782666900	Down	SELL	9	94¢	$9	0x45ae78…
06-28 17:26:23	eth updown 15m 1782666900	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xe82c0b…
06-28 16:50:26	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x56229e…
06-28 15:54:37	bitcoin above 60k on june 28 2026	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xf3cd8c…
06-28 14:57:07	btc updown 15m 1782657900	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x74c3cf…
06-28 14:50:56	ethereum up or down june 28 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x7cacea…
06-28 13:07:37	eth updown 15m 1782651600	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xba662a…
06-28 04:12:35	eth updown 15m 1782619200	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x0bb8e0…
06-28 04:11:44	eth updown 15m 1782619200	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa8d3ec…
06-28 01:10:25	eth updown 15m 1782608400	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x7024d5…
06-28 01:09:20	xrp updown 5m 1782608700	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x09f1ef…
06-27 22:11:47	btc updown 15m 1782597600	Down	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xf58441…
06-27 15:57:56	solana up or down june 27 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb8f4e8…
06-27 14:07:14	xrp updown 5m 1782569100	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x743449…
06-27 12:56:11	btc updown 15m 1782564300	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x6e53b0…
06-27 12:51:52	xrp updown 5m 1782564600	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x421a1d…
06-27 11:46:35	xrp updown 5m 1782560700	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xf9de60…
06-27 02:25:16	btc updown 15m 1782526500	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x9059a9…
06-26 18:55:35	btc updown 15m 1782499500	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x55558b…
06-26 18:55:31	eth updown 15m 1782499500	Down	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xe2bb4b…
06-26 18:43:20	btc updown 15m 1782498600	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x5f43e8…
06-26 17:40:25	btc updown 15m 1782495000	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xeff829…
06-26 16:40:25	btc updown 15m 1782491400	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x683efc…
06-26 15:56:10	ethereum up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x898187…
06-26 02:11:16	eth updown 15m 1782439200	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xa55daa…
06-26 01:25:52	btc updown 15m 1782436500	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x456952…
06-26 00:55:41	eth updown 15m 1782434700	Down	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xf97ffa…
06-26 00:26:28	eth updown 15m 1782432900	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x44b84f…
06-25 23:55:17	xrp up or down june 25 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7bcdfb…
06-25 21:55:28	eth updown 15m 1782423900	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xb21079…
06-25 21:40:56	btc updown 15m 1782423000	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x596093…
06-25 21:40:25	eth updown 15m 1782423000	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x626e88…
06-25 19:55:20	bitcoin up or down june 25 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x3f7abe…
06-25 02:55:13	solana up or down june 24 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x444a45…
06-25 01:55:59	xrp up or down june 24 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb74a8c…