Unfit-Fluke — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,470

lifetime

Volume

$11.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 07-20 23:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 79% +$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 189 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	2	$59	32	32	+0	Up	$-3	05-14 03:27
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	2	$46	26	25	+0	Down	$-2	05-12 21:57
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8PM ET	2	$42	21	21	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 05:09
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10PM ET	2	$42	21	21	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 05:10
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10AM ET	3	$42	24	24	+0	Down	$-2	05-11 14:58
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	2	$39	23	23	+0	Down	$-3	05-12 02:29
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	2	$38	21	21	+0	Down	$-2	05-14 03:12
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	2	$38	21	21	+0	Down	$-2	05-13 21:41
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 4PM ET	1	$36	36	0	+36	Down	+$0	05-11 20:55
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	2	$35	18	18	+0	Down	$-1	05-12 21:56
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET	2	$34	19	19	+0	Down	$-2	05-12 15:56
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	1	$31	32	0	+32	Down	+$1	05-12 01:11
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	1	$31	32	0	+32	Down	+$1	05-12 02:25
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	1	$31	31	0	+31	Down	+$0	05-10 20:41
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	1	$31	31	0	+31	Down	+$0	05-11 23:25
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	2	$31	23	23	+0	open	—	05-28 20:12
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5PM ET	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	05-17 01:33
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	2	$30	17	17	+0	open	—	05-28 12:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$30	37	0	+37	Up	+$7	05-11 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	05-17 14:11
Bitcoin above 81,600 on May 10, 3PM ET?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	05-10 22:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	05-16 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	2	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	05-26 20:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6PM ET	2	$29	16	16	+0	open	—	05-14 22:57
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	2	$29	16	16	+0	open	—	05-15 01:26
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	2	$29	15	15	+0	Up	$-1	05-11 13:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	3	$29	19	18	+0	open	—	05-22 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	3	$28	20	20	+0	open	—	05-25 01:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3PM ET	2	$28	14	14	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 20:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5PM ET	2	$28	16	16	+0	open	—	05-16 21:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 03:52:51	eth updown 5m 1784605800	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x3a3fcb…
07-21 03:42:36	eth updown 5m 1784605200	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x01d4c3…
07-21 02:47:25	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xa509a5…
07-21 02:37:34	eth updown 5m 1784601300	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2f847b…
07-21 02:29:12	btc updown 5m 1784600700	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd99f1b…
07-20 23:52:42	eth updown 4h 1784577600	Up	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x909d83…
07-20 23:46:04	btc updown 4h 1784577600	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xef4665…
07-20 22:09:55	btc updown 15m 1784584800	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x26f4a4…
07-20 22:01:28	eth updown 5m 1784584800	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x946942…
07-20 21:57:01	eth updown 5m 1784584500	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x67eed4…
07-20 20:21:31	btc updown 5m 1784578800	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xa5c036…
07-20 18:58:51	eth updown 15m 1784573100	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x73d811…
07-20 18:56:01	eth updown 15m 1784573100	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xe2706b…
07-20 15:46:07	btc updown 4h 1784548800	Up	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xaca9b4…
07-20 15:06:28	eth updown 15m 1784559600	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x30a35c…
07-20 15:06:24	btc updown 15m 1784559600	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xc44030…
07-20 13:36:40	eth updown 5m 1784554500	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x98193a…
07-20 11:46:19	btc updown 5m 1784547900	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x349bcd…
07-20 11:27:10	eth updown 5m 1784546700	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x98c2a8…
07-20 03:02:31	sol updown 5m 1784516400	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xa9ff7a…
07-20 02:31:34	eth updown 5m 1784514600	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x3b0b89…
07-19 11:52:06	ethereum up or down july 19 2026 7am et	Up	SELL	7	49¢	$4	0xf2da10…
07-19 11:48:21	ethereum up or down july 19 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xa10735…
07-19 11:37:01	eth updown 5m 1784460900	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x274139…
07-19 11:23:16	eth updown 5m 1784460000	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x484b69…
07-19 10:56:09	eth updown 15m 1784457900	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xc36959…
07-19 10:52:28	btc updown 5m 1784458200	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xfb0baa…
07-19 09:11:45	btc updown 5m 1784452200	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xdd50ae…
07-19 08:51:16	eth updown 15m 1784450700	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xfb6459…
07-19 08:37:40	btc updown 5m 1784450100	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x6ae0d0…
07-18 15:52:31	eth updown 5m 1784389800	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xccb70f…
07-18 15:24:01	btc updown 5m 1784388000	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xcf7366…
07-18 13:45:16	ethereum up or down july 18 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x3d69ae…
07-18 11:52:31	btc updown 4h 1784361600	Up	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xef4680…
07-18 11:27:39	btc updown 15m 1784373300	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x7a218e…
07-18 10:57:31	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x49a3d2…
07-18 10:26:09	eth updown 15m 1784369700	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x0aea27…
07-18 09:45:16	ethereum up or down july 18 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x059bbe…
07-18 02:24:13	sol updown 5m 1784341200	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe418c4…
07-18 02:18:58	sol updown 5m 1784340900	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x80a691…
07-18 01:55:18	eth updown 15m 1784339100	Up	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xdb28a1…
07-18 01:35:19	btc updown 15m 1784338200	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xd09d7d…
07-18 00:32:52	btc updown 5m 1784334600	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4af761…
07-17 23:53:18	sol updown 5m 1784332200	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1499bc…
07-17 23:51:52	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x48f6f6…
07-17 23:39:42	eth updown 15m 1784331000	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x0dfe47…
07-17 23:22:58	sol updown 5m 1784330400	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xcc8b70…
07-17 23:08:06	btc updown 15m 1784329200	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x5a3737…
07-17 23:08:01	btc updown 5m 1784329500	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb4d024…
07-17 22:45:12	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x243aa7…
07-17 22:21:57	btc updown 15m 1784326500	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x594a0e…
07-17 22:18:21	sol updown 5m 1784326500	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x457499…
07-17 22:12:28	sol updown 5m 1784326200	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe9731a…
07-17 21:35:15	eth updown 15m 1784323800	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x7dcdaa…
07-17 20:57:55	eth updown 15m 1784321100	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x254b3f…
07-17 20:47:43	solana up or down july 17 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xae5385…
07-17 20:42:22	eth updown 15m 1784320200	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xeafce9…
07-17 20:26:28	btc updown 15m 1784319300	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xc09fbc…
07-17 20:07:40	eth updown 5m 1784318700	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x16d5a7…
07-17 18:56:24	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xa8a1fe…
07-17 18:51:15	btc updown 15m 1784313900	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x939edd…
07-17 13:38:25	sol updown 5m 1784295300	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2b2ef9…
07-17 13:05:19	btc updown 15m 1784293200	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xebd333…
07-17 11:54:42	solana up or down july 17 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x438aba…
07-17 11:28:52	btc updown 5m 1784287500	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x400315…
07-17 10:12:33	eth updown 5m 1784283000	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x91310f…
07-17 09:49:49	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x43cd1d…
07-17 09:42:21	eth updown 15m 1784280600	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x83a5bf…
07-17 09:17:37	sol updown 5m 1784279700	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0149a0…
07-17 08:57:07	eth updown 5m 1784278500	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6e8a85…
07-17 02:52:31	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x7bfb1e…
07-17 02:50:39	solana up or down july 16 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x1a66ea…
07-17 02:39:33	btc updown 15m 1784255400	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x54235f…
07-17 02:11:19	eth updown 15m 1784253600	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xdf51df…
07-17 01:42:19	sol updown 5m 1784252400	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x398c58…
07-17 01:35:51	eth updown 15m 1784251800	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x435515…
07-17 01:35:18	btc updown 15m 1784251800	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xb686d6…
07-17 01:29:32	btc updown 5m 1784251500	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8086b2…
07-17 01:24:14	btc updown 15m 1784250900	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xf9c17d…
07-17 00:35:31	eth updown 15m 1784248200	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x123577…
07-17 00:09:14	btc updown 5m 1784246700	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc2fd45…
07-16 23:47:19	ethereum up or down july 16 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x61c61e…
07-16 23:46:26	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xa33801…
07-16 23:42:16	btc updown 15m 1784244600	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x262e0d…
07-16 23:09:56	eth updown 15m 1784242800	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x1b43ac…
07-16 22:56:32	eth updown 15m 1784241900	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xa2ccea…
07-16 22:42:22	btc updown 5m 1784241600	Down	SELL	12	62¢	$7	0xfa20ab…
07-16 22:41:13	btc updown 5m 1784241600	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x9d5e94…
07-16 22:28:52	btc updown 5m 1784240700	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0530d2…
07-16 22:18:23	btc updown 5m 1784240100	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5a3b73…
07-16 22:12:07	eth updown 15m 1784239200	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xae79c2…
07-16 21:09:19	eth updown 15m 1784235600	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x17ae60…
07-16 20:46:14	ethereum up or down july 16 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xd7494f…
07-16 19:48:56	eth updown 5m 1784231100	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2095a7…
07-16 19:08:23	btc updown 5m 1784228700	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x013cd2…
07-16 18:37:43	btc updown 5m 1784226900	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x261a1c…
07-16 17:57:26	btc updown 5m 1784224500	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x551493…
07-16 16:58:44	btc updown 5m 1784220900	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x7eec59…
07-16 16:48:19	ethereum up or down july 16 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xd94481…
07-16 16:26:43	btc updown 5m 1784219100	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x0a1922…