Unfit-Fluke — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$115

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.5%

Resolved

2,359

Trades

2,750

lifetime

Volume

$14.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 10-27 10:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 168 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 86% +$115

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 15:30 UTC	3	$65	40	39	+0	Down	-$5	08-19 15:32
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	2	$59	32	32	+0	Up	-$3	05-14 03:27
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	2	$46	26	25	+0	Down	-$2	05-12 21:57
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8PM ET	2	$42	21	21	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 05:09
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10PM ET	2	$42	21	21	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 05:10
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10AM ET	3	$42	24	24	+0	Down	-$2	05-11 14:58
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	2	$39	23	23	+0	Down	-$3	05-12 02:29
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	2	$38	21	21	+0	Down	-$2	05-14 03:12
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	2	$38	21	21	+0	Down	-$2	05-13 21:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 18:30 UTC	2	$38	31	8	+23	Down	+$1	08-01 18:35
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 4PM ET	1	$36	36	0	+36	Down	+$0	05-11 20:55
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	2	$35	18	18	+0	Down	-$1	05-12 21:56
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET	2	$34	19	19	+0	Down	-$2	05-12 15:56
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	1	$31	32	0	+32	Down	+$1	05-12 02:25
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	1	$31	32	0	+32	Down	+$1	05-12 01:11
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	1	$31	31	0	+31	Down	+$0	05-11 23:25
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	1	$31	31	0	+31	Down	+$0	05-10 20:41
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	2	$31	23	23	+0	Down	-$13	05-28 20:12
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5PM ET	2	$30	15	15	+0	Down	+$0	05-17 01:33
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	2	$30	17	17	+0	Down	-$4	05-28 12:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$30	37	0	+37	Up	+$7	05-11 05:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 11:35 UTC	1	$30	33	0	+33	Up	+$3	08-21 11:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$30	33	0	+33	Down	+$3	09-04 12:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$30	31	0	+31	Down	+$1	05-17 14:11
Bitcoin above 81,600 on May 10, 3PM ET?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	05-10 22:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	2	$29	15	15	+0	Down	-$1	05-16 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	2	$29	30	0	+30	Down	+$1	05-26 20:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6PM ET	2	$29	16	16	+0	Up	-$1	05-14 22:57
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	2	$29	16	16	+0	Down	-$1	05-15 01:26
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	2	$29	15	15	+0	Up	-$1	05-11 13:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 14:01:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xcbc82e…
10-27 10:06:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x68dbfd…
10-27 01:12:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xcdfe14…
10-27 00:18:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x70ac3b…
10-26 23:07:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x7ed024…
10-26 16:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x800848…
10-26 16:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf6be51…
10-26 13:47:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x673004…
10-26 13:01:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x8d31cf…
10-26 03:01:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xed5d9a…
10-26 02:42:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xb638a6…
10-26 01:17:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc3808f…
10-26 00:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xfc966d…
10-25 23:51:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc06c4b…
10-25 23:16:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xcef680…
10-25 22:16:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x2791b1…
10-25 21:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc94d4f…
10-25 21:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2c89fb…
10-25 14:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xea0c66…
10-25 01:56:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x40f272…
10-24 22:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x740ae7…
10-24 21:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xbe1a9d…
10-24 16:57:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x01891e…
10-24 15:01:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x1acb78…
10-24 14:55:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc28b5b…
10-24 14:21:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x941068…
10-24 13:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x0da03f…
10-23 23:06:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x29ed4f…
10-23 13:47:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd4e079…
10-23 11:36:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe28809…
10-23 01:13:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8cd7bb…
10-23 01:06:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xd51154…
10-23 00:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x9883ed…
10-22 23:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xbbe6ac…
10-22 23:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x243519…
10-22 19:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x2b6320…
10-22 17:16:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x09127c…
10-22 14:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x1344ef…
10-22 13:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x13bdaa…
10-22 12:01:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5ac4a4…
10-22 10:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa6fb47…
10-22 03:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x2b91d3…
10-21 23:41:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x81a7e0…
10-21 18:56:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x6bfe91…
10-21 16:37:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x57de32…
10-21 14:37:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x9417a0…
10-21 12:31:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xdeeac1…
10-21 12:23:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xde19ae…
10-21 10:16:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xb69d4f…
10-21 09:26:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc7709d…
10-21 07:58:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x5e3756…
10-21 07:36:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x4f119c…
10-21 06:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xeaa3b6…
10-21 04:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x35e22e…
10-21 04:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x6c3438…
10-21 04:12:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x5be283…
10-20 15:21:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x12dd17…
10-20 15:21:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xbd8ce9…
10-20 15:06:50	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x2c8937…
10-20 10:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xed1544…
10-20 10:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe10ec7…
10-20 10:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x455c9f…
10-20 02:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9b489b…
10-20 01:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x707a36…
10-20 00:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1c256d…
10-19 22:07:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x5315e0…
10-19 19:46:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa00192…
10-19 18:46:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x97d2e4…
10-19 15:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x8bebed…
10-19 14:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xa24bfe…
10-19 14:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x921c5b…
10-19 13:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x35f945…
10-19 11:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xee0495…
10-19 00:16:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xab9b8a…
10-18 18:56:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xee6ed0…
10-18 17:06:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x45aac5…
10-18 03:31:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x67cd33…
10-18 03:16:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x564f88…
10-17 23:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc3b7a6…
10-17 17:46:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x7c52fa…
10-17 14:20:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x049d59…
10-17 14:08:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xaee176…
10-17 13:36:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xcfba58…
10-17 12:07:29	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe1fdf0…
10-17 02:06:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe7911e…
10-17 01:42:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf4ccbe…
10-17 00:27:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x1c8f67…
10-16 23:07:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x29f645…
10-16 22:11:50	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xfe0150…
10-16 17:41:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x42be7e…
10-16 17:31:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xef02ca…
10-16 12:52:01	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd97492…
10-16 10:16:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x179af3…
10-16 04:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x0a04df…
10-16 03:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xfd7220…
10-16 01:16:55	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xfd03c9…
10-15 22:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x892bce…
10-15 21:01:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xb18e34…
10-15 18:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x72a3de…
10-15 16:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xdb0102…