Mushy-Chop — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

140

lifetime

Volume

$15.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$109

Open exposure

$23

1 position

First seen

2026-03-10

last 06-05 17:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

34% 0% $-1

Crypto

25% — —

Sports

24% 0% $-1

Politics

17% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No		+25	$24	94¢	$23	$-1	06-02 03:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	6	$1.3K	668	668	+0	open	—	03-29 10:26
will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$887	459	459	+0	open	—	03-13 13:55
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$886	467	467	+0	Yes	$-1	03-27 13:48
Netanyahu out by April 30?	4	$865	449	449	+0	open	—	03-26 16:54
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	8	$729	380	380	+0	No	$-1	04-12 00:04
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$518	275	275	+0	open	—	03-31 09:44
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	11	$517	267	267	+0	open	—	03-31 00:10
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	2	$443	232	232	+0	open	—	03-16 17:20
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	2	$439	232	232	+0	open	—	03-19 06:52
bitcoin above 72k on march 12	3	$437	227	227	+0	open	—	03-12 18:42
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$435	222	222	+0	open	—	03-11 17:21
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	2	$433	226	226	+0	open	—	03-19 13:09
will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	4	$433	219	219	-0	open	—	03-28 05:09
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	7	$431	226	226	+0	open	—	04-25 02:07
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	3	$430	219	219	+0	open	—	03-23 18:13
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$429	221	221	+0	No	$-1	03-17 17:53
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	2	$428	222	222	+0	open	—	03-10 13:39
will florida win the 2026 ncaa tournament	3	$426	236	236	+0	open	—	03-19 00:10
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	2	$423	220	220	+0	open	—	03-24 13:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$422	215	215	+0	open	—	04-27 09:18
will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$422	220	220	+0	open	—	03-25 19:39
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	2	$412	211	211	+0	open	—	03-22 16:55
will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$407	208	208	+0	open	—	03-26 01:01
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	6	$313	165	165	+0	open	—	05-25 10:31
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	5	$241	130	130	+0	open	—	05-09 15:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	4	$225	118	118	-0	open	—	05-19 23:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	4	$199	103	103	+0	open	—	04-04 13:05
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	4	$198	103	103	+0	open	—	06-05 09:04
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	4	$192	98	98	+0	open	—	04-02 21:56
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$167	88	88	+0	open	—	04-03 16:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 17:41:18	will wti crude oil wti hit high 125 in june	No	SELL	49	94¢	$46	0x470c14…
06-05 09:38:40	will wti crude oil wti hit high 125 in june	No	BUY	49	95¢	$47	0xc50423…
06-05 09:04:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0x053edb…
06-05 01:01:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0xfd96aa…
06-04 15:21:30	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	58	97¢	$56	0xf1fcd9…
06-04 10:17:22	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	58	98¢	$56	0xdc2a12…
06-03 13:00:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	59	96¢	$57	0xf5818b…
06-03 04:42:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	59	96¢	$57	0x193e3b…
06-02 03:12:04	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xddf2e9…
05-25 10:31:06	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	58	96¢	$56	0x75f4b1…
05-25 02:29:29	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	58	96¢	$56	0x4645ea…
05-25 01:58:48	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	55	96¢	$53	0x0c8bc6…
05-24 19:55:02	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0x1d45df…
05-20 21:02:32	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	52	91¢	$47	0x85db97…
05-20 13:02:22	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	52	90¢	$47	0xaf1f0e…
05-19 23:12:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	46	97¢	$45	0x4743ec…
05-19 16:09:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0x6b4b30…
05-19 08:04:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	71	96¢	$68	0xc746cd…
05-18 23:59:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	71	94¢	$67	0x14c02e…
05-15 19:12:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	66	95¢	$63	0x14d9d5…
05-15 12:08:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	66	96¢	$63	0x6a00c2…
05-11 13:25:05	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	59	97¢	$57	0xff6258…
05-11 07:24:49	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0x7533e3…
05-09 15:14:59	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	SELL	64	95¢	$61	0xa67f5f…
05-09 08:12:02	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	58	95¢	$55	0x624fe6…
05-09 08:10:31	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0xe96ae4…
05-06 12:57:24	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	SELL	66	89¢	$59	0xf32bcf…
05-06 04:54:02	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	66	92¢	$61	0xe7d13f…
04-27 09:18:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	215	98¢	$211	0x3adbd6…
04-27 03:14:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	215	98¢	$211	0x291196…
04-25 02:07:28	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	226	96¢	$217	0x3afb94…
04-24 21:08:58	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	158	94¢	$149	0x5791ad…
04-24 21:02:50	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x4737cb…
04-24 20:19:06	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1394b4…
04-24 20:06:02	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x875d9a…
04-24 20:02:42	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xb6461e…
04-24 20:01:20	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	34	94¢	$32	0x241e38…
04-19 06:02:26	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	58	96¢	$56	0x6d3355…
04-18 22:27:58	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	58	96¢	$56	0xd6a9ea…
04-12 14:59:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0xb36e94…
04-12 08:55:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	BUY	54	98¢	$52	0x184cee…
04-12 00:04:19	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	53	92¢	$49	0xdffe69…
04-11 16:54:13	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	53	92¢	$49	0x461432…
04-10 13:04:49	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	62	95¢	$59	0x3b003f…
04-10 05:55:31	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	62	94¢	$59	0xd1f394…
04-08 23:42:29	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	49	97¢	$47	0xb4164f…
04-08 16:39:05	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	49	97¢	$47	0x1e4db1…
04-08 11:05:57	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	46	97¢	$44	0x1ced35…
04-08 03:56:57	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	46	97¢	$44	0x062b48…
04-07 06:52:47	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0xcfbcb6…
04-07 01:50:09	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xf23acf…
04-06 17:29:35	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	64	94¢	$60	0xc073a5…
04-06 12:26:55	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	64	95¢	$61	0x69d715…
04-06 12:23:47	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	43	95¢	$41	0x6364e8…
04-06 07:21:27	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	43	95¢	$41	0xaa7dca…
04-04 13:05:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	SELL	43	96¢	$41	0x970bb5…
04-04 07:53:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	BUY	43	96¢	$41	0x4d4bff…
04-04 07:43:53	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	64	95¢	$60	0x60a10a…
04-04 00:42:55	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	64	95¢	$61	0x68364d…
04-04 00:37:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	SELL	60	96¢	$58	0x0df18b…
04-03 16:36:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0xbc8f1b…
04-03 16:33:29	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	49	95¢	$47	0x7565d7…
04-03 11:27:41	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	49	95¢	$47	0xa565c2…
04-02 21:56:39	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	53	98¢	$51	0x03aa3b…
04-02 17:50:57	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x5826f1…
04-02 16:34:53	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0x3c084a…
04-02 10:59:55	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x87357c…
04-02 02:29:35	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	38	96¢	$37	0x9c2aac…
04-01 17:36:11	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	38	96¢	$37	0xed8ece…
03-31 09:44:15	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0xb07262…
03-31 00:55:55	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0x07b7ed…
03-31 00:10:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	38	98¢	$37	0xab24a6…
03-30 16:52:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0xebef39…
03-30 04:42:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	229	97¢	$221	0x3f57fd…
03-29 22:51:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	84	97¢	$81	0x308840…
03-29 22:51:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xf787fc…
03-29 22:50:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0x02204d…
03-29 22:49:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$14	0xd33783…
03-29 22:47:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x1f70d8…
03-29 22:40:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0xe4249a…
03-29 22:34:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xdef650…
03-29 22:34:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0x4cce50…
03-29 10:26:50	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	221	98¢	$215	0x7779de…
03-29 04:12:16	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	221	98¢	$216	0xfc098d…
03-28 05:09:23	will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	219	100¢	$219	0xa4454a…
03-27 21:14:37	will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	188	97¢	$182	0x12fa3d…
03-27 21:06:23	will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x4de9b5…
03-27 21:06:21	will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xec7b5b…
03-27 13:48:35	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	226	95¢	$214	0x4c18f6…
03-27 06:39:27	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	226	95¢	$215	0x6f3833…
03-27 00:02:31	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	223	94¢	$211	0xc926e6…
03-26 17:00:15	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	223	93¢	$208	0xce86cd…
03-26 16:54:17	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	221	97¢	$213	0xd14e32…
03-26 09:54:03	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	221	97¢	$213	0x76ae7f…
03-26 01:01:19	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	208	98¢	$203	0xf9082f…
03-25 19:48:19	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	208	98¢	$204	0xfb625b…
03-25 19:39:13	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	220	95¢	$210	0xa25362…
03-25 15:22:19	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	220	96¢	$212	0x616dba…
03-24 18:45:51	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	229	96¢	$219	0xf5fbd6…
03-24 13:43:21	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	229	96¢	$219	0x232cdc…