Flustered-Departure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.1%

Resolved

Trades

494

lifetime

Volume

$2.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 05-09 19:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 71% +$17

Politics

2% 0% $-58

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 179 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	18	$252	304	304	+0	Down	+$32	05-05 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	7	$163	231	164	+67	Down	+$3	05-05 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	9	$131	165	156	+9	Up	+$16	05-05 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	7	$70	111	111	+0	Down	+$6	05-05 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	9	$68	89	89	+0	Up	+$6	05-05 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	6	$66	91	91	+0	Up	+$6	05-05 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	6	$65	67	67	+0	open	—	04-30 16:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	6	$61	82	51	+31	open	—	05-01 17:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$58	58,000	0	+58,000	Yes	$-58	05-09 19:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	9	$56	54	54	+0	open	—	05-01 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	8	$55	61	61	+0	open	—	05-01 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	4	$47	58	58	+0	open	—	04-30 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	8	$46	46	46	+0	open	—	05-01 15:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	13	$45	114	53	+61	Down	+$7	05-05 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	7	$45	43	43	+0	open	—	04-30 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	4	$44	46	46	+0	open	—	04-30 17:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	5	$43	44	44	+0	open	—	04-30 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	2	$43	36	36	+0	open	—	04-30 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	4	$42	42	42	+0	open	—	04-30 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	3	$35	91	0	+91	Down	$-35	05-05 16:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	6	$34	36	36	+0	open	—	04-30 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	5	$34	33	33	+0	open	—	05-01 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	5	$34	36	36	+0	Up	+$8	05-05 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	3	$33	52	20	+32	open	—	05-01 14:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	3	$33	57	23	+34	open	—	05-01 18:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	3	$32	41	32	+8	open	—	05-01 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	3	$32	47	23	+24	open	—	05-01 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	3	$32	44	20	+24	open	—	04-30 20:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	3	$31	56	24	+33	open	—	04-30 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	4	$31	40	40	+0	Down	+$7	05-05 13:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 19:32:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50,000	0¢	$50	0x3ac6c2…
05-09 19:24:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8,000	0¢	$8	0x878d03…
05-06 14:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xb15c97…
05-06 14:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	23	69¢	$16	0x7cf6b9…
05-06 14:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x4a5150…
05-05 22:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xabbb42…
05-05 22:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x37c7fd…
05-05 22:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	56¢	$4	0x2a6495…
05-05 22:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xc3e1dc…
05-05 18:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x76edcf…
05-05 17:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	36	30¢	$11	0x7bd5d8…
05-05 17:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x80f836…
05-05 17:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	27	44¢	$12	0x522cd4…
05-05 17:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xed78c6…
05-05 17:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	28	47¢	$13	0xb974e6…
05-05 17:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x184049…
05-05 17:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$3	0x58c469…
05-05 17:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xd41f2e…
05-05 17:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0xb76d1c…
05-05 17:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	13	48¢	$6	0x8e9ef4…
05-05 17:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x68c61b…
05-05 16:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0xa9c42f…
05-05 16:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x274a77…
05-05 16:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x224ae9…
05-05 16:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x5ce1e6…
05-05 16:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x612331…
05-05 16:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x14c267…
05-05 16:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	32	36¢	$11	0x0fc01e…
05-05 16:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0x90dfc0…
05-05 16:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xf56934…
05-05 16:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	56	44¢	$24	0xa801e4…
05-05 16:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x1f0e4f…
05-05 16:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	31	35¢	$11	0xb53a29…
05-05 16:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x00b67c…
05-05 16:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	57	51¢	$29	0x29fd3c…
05-05 16:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xb9ba6c…
05-05 16:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	59	41¢	$24	0xfcfb28…
05-05 16:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x51aba6…
05-05 16:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	51	45¢	$23	0x60cdd5…
05-05 16:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xed7d92…
05-05 16:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x0805b9…
05-05 16:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	49	50¢	$24	0xac3c70…
05-05 16:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x0b56fd…
05-05 16:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	17	53¢	$9	0xe673ed…
05-05 16:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	12	53¢	$6	0xb4ac41…
05-05 16:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xb57e30…
05-05 16:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	19	53¢	$10	0x4c3e02…
05-05 16:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x233adb…
05-05 16:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x4b4212…
05-05 16:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xb49c59…
05-05 15:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x3b576c…
05-05 15:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	67	50¢	$33	0x2e91ae…
05-05 15:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0xa0ca55…
05-05 15:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0x2628d1…
05-05 15:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xd14421…
05-05 15:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	48	50¢	$24	0x1a0523…
05-05 15:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x41dfcd…
05-05 15:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf83248…
05-05 15:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	9	27¢	$2	0x452e84…
05-05 15:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xe4d0e0…
05-05 15:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	61	49¢	$30	0xa82dab…
05-05 15:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x6adbe5…
05-05 15:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	56	43¢	$24	0x30aea4…
05-05 15:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x7981f8…
05-05 15:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	31	56¢	$17	0x9f4a00…
05-05 15:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	46¢	$14	0x40713e…
05-05 15:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x53c578…
05-05 15:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x76894e…
05-05 15:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	13	43¢	$6	0x2e950a…
05-05 15:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	43¢	$1	0x8abe27…
05-05 15:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	14	43¢	$6	0x4d5d96…
05-05 15:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xa281ba…
05-05 15:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xdca03c…
05-05 15:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	53	43¢	$23	0xcd455c…
05-05 15:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x6b75f6…
05-05 15:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0x9e7a9a…
05-05 15:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xeca17a…
05-05 15:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xffda1c…
05-05 14:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xe90abd…
05-05 14:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	36	42¢	$15	0x426d43…
05-05 14:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x09d967…
05-05 14:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xde64cf…
05-05 14:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xc08cc4…
05-05 14:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$3	0x84e17a…
05-05 14:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	17	49¢	$8	0x692b34…
05-05 14:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xf8d0db…
05-05 14:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x032bec…
05-05 14:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0xdfecd2…
05-05 14:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x977941…
05-05 14:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	28	59¢	$16	0x8ca0f4…
05-05 14:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xe32394…
05-05 14:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	61	3¢	$2	0x66c403…
05-05 14:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0x9a02d2…
05-05 14:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xb331f0…
05-05 14:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xc34079…
05-05 14:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	13	39¢	$5	0x0cb6e5…
05-05 14:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x367d3a…
05-05 14:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x423f93…
05-05 14:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	14	57¢	$8	0xa51021…
05-05 14:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0xc55d5e…