Anchored-Availability — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$147

Unrealized P&L

-$39

Hit rate

91.5%

Resolved

873

Trades

985

lifetime

Volume

$6.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$83

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 11-14 11:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 87% -$147

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+1,302	$88	4¢	$47	-$41	11-14 11:01
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in November?	Yes		+2,577	$34	1¢	$36	+$3	11-14 11:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?	6	$88	1,302	+1,302	open	—	11-14 11:01
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in November?	4	$34	2,577	+2,577	open	—	11-14 11:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 19:00 UTC	2	$19	20	+20	Down	+$1	04-03 19:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 18:15 UTC	3	$18	19	+19	Up	+$0	04-03 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	1	$18	19	+19	Down	+$1	05-05 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	2	$18	19	+19	Down	+$0	05-26 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$18	18	+18	Down	+$0	05-05 13:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 19:45 UTC	1	$18	18	+18	Down	+$0	06-04 19:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 05:15 UTC	1	$16	16	+16	Up	+$0	06-05 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	1	$16	16	+16	Up	+$0	05-06 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	2	$16	17	+17	Down	+$1	05-05 21:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	2	$16	16	+16	Down	+$0	05-06 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$14	14	+14	Down	+$1	05-18 14:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 00:15 UTC	2	$14	14	+14	Up	+$0	04-13 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	1	$13	13	+13	Down	+$0	05-26 16:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 07:45 UTC	2	$11	11	+11	Up	+$0	04-13 07:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 19:30 UTC	1	$11	11	+11	Down	+$0	04-04 19:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 17:30 UTC	1	$11	11	+11	Down	+$0	04-04 17:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 09:00 UTC	1	$11	11	+11	Up	+$0	04-04 09:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 07:30 UTC	1	$11	11	+11	Up	+$0	04-04 07:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 07:15 UTC	1	$11	11	+11	Down	+$0	04-04 07:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 10:00 UTC	2	$11	11	+11	Down	+$0	04-04 10:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 12:00 UTC	1	$11	11	+11	Down	+$0	04-04 12:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 06:00 UTC	1	$11	11	+11	Up	+$0	04-04 06:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 07:45 UTC	1	$11	11	+11	Up	+$0	04-04 07:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 06:45 UTC	1	$11	11	+11	Up	+$0	04-04 06:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 06:15 UTC	1	$10	11	+11	Down	+$0	04-04 06:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 21:45 UTC	1	$10	10	+10	Up	+$0	04-04 21:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 11:30 UTC	1	$10	11	+11	Up	+$0	04-04 11:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 20:30 UTC	1	$10	10	+10	Up	+$0	04-03 20:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 11:05:11	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in November?	Yes	BUY	676	1¢	$8	0x8977a9…
11-14 11:01:02	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	4¢	$3	0x1114c1…
11-13 14:33:43	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in November?	Yes	BUY	1,416	1¢	$20	0x3a973b…
11-13 14:17:33	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in November?	Yes	BUY	435	1¢	$5	0x20da01…
11-13 14:14:52	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in November?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x09d391…
11-12 14:54:34	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3bb0ce…
11-10 20:02:04	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	8¢	$6	0x8bb7cd…
11-10 19:22:39	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,034	7¢	$72	0x3bf33b…
11-10 17:52:54	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	6¢	$3	0x59f3a8…
11-10 17:52:33	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xb128b9…
06-07 06:39:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x9f5541…
06-07 06:33:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x2ccd11…
06-07 06:28:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xfb8223…
06-07 06:24:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x3d3a73…
06-07 06:18:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x412510…
06-07 06:14:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x0c48a5…
06-07 06:08:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x2096f3…
06-07 06:04:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x949781…
06-07 05:59:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x55f33c…
06-07 05:58:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xb9d164…
06-07 05:43:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xc0935b…
06-07 05:34:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x877260…
06-07 05:29:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x9f7019…
06-07 05:19:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x0be873…
06-07 05:09:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x107684…
06-07 05:04:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x6fb74f…
06-07 04:54:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xb07940…
06-07 04:29:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xc25be2…
06-07 04:19:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x22186b…
06-07 04:14:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x72787e…
06-07 04:04:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x0ea328…
06-07 03:53:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x285944…
06-07 03:49:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x0ed188…
06-07 03:44:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x70889e…
06-07 03:34:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xe73a5a…
06-07 03:23:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x3ecdaa…
06-07 03:19:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x0bcdf2…
06-07 03:08:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xc0044e…
06-07 03:04:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x29c417…
06-07 02:59:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xe1aa26…
06-07 02:54:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x2fbab3…
06-07 02:48:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x21fced…
06-07 02:29:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xa046f3…
06-07 02:24:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xf8430c…
06-07 02:19:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x986cc3…
06-07 02:13:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xef0a38…
06-07 02:04:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xf3baf9…
06-07 01:59:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xdc318f…
06-07 01:54:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xaca556…
06-07 01:49:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x021fc4…
06-07 01:49:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x012c83…
06-07 01:39:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x751f21…
06-07 01:34:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x0e051d…
06-07 01:29:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x3174fc…
06-07 01:14:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xdae3eb…
06-07 01:08:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xeb58cb…
06-07 01:04:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x9fada4…
06-07 00:58:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x4eb3f4…
06-07 00:49:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x9a0f3a…
06-07 00:44:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x96e8a7…
06-07 00:34:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x39171c…
06-07 00:29:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xfc32f9…
06-07 00:24:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xd13f9f…
06-07 00:19:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x01036b…
06-07 00:13:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xff2ac3…
06-07 00:04:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x7e3351…
06-06 23:59:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xb7efc8…
06-06 23:39:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x7647b9…
06-06 23:34:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x439a2a…
06-06 23:28:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x0c9e74…
06-06 23:24:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xc25c22…
06-06 23:19:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x828746…
06-06 23:14:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xfe6b90…
06-06 23:08:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xf05bb4…
06-06 22:48:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 22:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x1ebbf4…
06-06 22:44:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xc89882…
06-06 22:34:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x45aeec…
06-06 22:24:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xf49549…
06-06 22:09:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x144a76…
06-06 22:03:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x45a78a…
06-06 21:49:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x9ac509…
06-06 21:44:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xb04d4d…
06-06 21:38:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x939a30…
06-06 21:34:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x87486b…
06-06 21:14:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xb961ae…
06-06 21:09:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x24eb7e…
06-06 20:58:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x016acb…
06-06 20:49:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x07c433…
06-06 20:44:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xfda78a…
06-06 20:39:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x5703dc…
06-06 20:34:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x4f2044…
06-06 20:19:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x8ff55a…
06-06 19:59:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xe2af2a…
06-06 19:53:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xb4db9d…
06-06 19:39:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x7ff96e…
06-06 19:28:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xf4b78d…
06-06 19:14:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x06cae9…
06-06 18:53:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x737fdc…
06-06 18:29:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x802598…
06-06 18:04:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xc4de52…