Harmful-Hedge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$60

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-13 06:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 94% +$0

Other

24% 73% -$1

Politics

8% 100% +$0

Tech

4% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$93	93	0	+93	No	+$0	03-31 08:40
bitcoin above 60k on march 27	1	$93	93	0	+93	Yes	+$0	03-26 08:11
ethereum above 1800 on march 19	1	$93	93	0	+93	Yes	+$0	03-18 09:45
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 460 479	1	$93	93	0	+93	No	+$0	03-09 08:36
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 360 379	1	$93	93	0	+93	No	+$0	03-04 07:09
elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 215 239	1	$93	93	0	+93	No	+$0	03-01 08:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	1	$92	93	0	+93	No	+$0	05-14 03:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$92	93	0	+93	No	+$0	05-11 10:51
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 480 499	1	$92	93	0	+93	No	+$0	02-02 07:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 9?	1	$92	92	0	+92	No	+$0	05-08 07:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 27?	1	$92	92	0	+92	Yes	+$0	04-26 08:58
bitcoin above 68k on april 22	1	$92	92	0	+92	Yes	+$0	04-21 09:54
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	1	$92	92	0	+92	No	+$0	04-30 06:26
ethereum above 2100 on april 16	1	$92	92	0	+92	Yes	+$0	04-16 06:58
ethereum above 1900 on april 8	1	$92	92	0	+92	Yes	+$0	04-08 03:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	1	$90	91	0	+91	Yes	+$0	05-21 01:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?	1	$90	91	0	+91	Yes	+$0	05-25 09:10
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 15?	1	$89	89	0	+89	No	+$0	06-15 08:09
bitcoin above 56k on june 7 2026	1	$88	89	0	+89	Yes	+$0	06-07 08:41
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$88	88	0	+88	No	+$0	05-30 03:33
bitcoin above 102k on january 14	1	$88	88	0	+88	No	+$0	01-14 03:58
ethereum above 3500 on january 8	1	$88	88	0	+88	No	+$0	01-08 07:16
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 12	1	$88	88	0	+88	No	+$0	02-12 07:08
bitcoin above 82k on january 5	1	$88	88	0	+88	Yes	+$0	01-04 03:37
Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	$0	08-07 11:30
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 420 439	1	$20	24	0	+24	No	+$4	01-25 06:28
Will Rodri join Paris Saint-Germain?	1	$12	13	0	+13	No	+$0	08-07 11:32
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	1	$12	13	0	+13	No	+$0	09-06 04:24
Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	10-13 06:01
Seahawks vs. Broncos	1	$2	4	0	+4	Broncos	-$2	10-13 05:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 06:01:40	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1a36f1…
10-13 05:41:43	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Seahawks	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x3870ee…
09-06 04:24:48	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0xc80f48…
08-07 11:32:42	Will Rodri join Paris Saint-Germain?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x6b7e58…
08-07 11:30:00	Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x827c80…
07-10 06:35:22	Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1b24d0…
07-10 06:21:32	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	525	0¢	$1	0x996c95…
06-15 08:09:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 15?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xc35c98…
06-07 08:41:09	bitcoin above 56k on june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$88	0xb1f1fc…
05-30 03:33:53	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xce7b53…
05-30 03:29:46	Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,055	0¢	$2	0x2ecef0…
05-25 09:10:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	91	100¢	$90	0xa717b9…
05-21 01:56:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	91	100¢	$90	0xe45ebd…
05-21 01:44:58	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,055	0¢	$2	0x98ebd3…
05-14 03:46:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$92	0x586acf…
05-11 10:51:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$92	0x628bf9…
05-08 07:53:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xb9c48f…
04-30 06:26:10	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xe565b1…
04-26 08:58:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x348505…
04-21 09:54:58	bitcoin above 68k on april 22	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x900052…
04-16 06:58:28	ethereum above 2100 on april 16	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x8e3c86…
04-08 03:13:01	ethereum above 1900 on april 8	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x80321f…
04-08 03:07:59	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 8	Yes	BUY	755	0¢	$2	0x4bcb60…
03-31 08:40:53	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0xc2c1ff…
03-26 08:11:11	bitcoin above 60k on march 27	Yes	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x15c17c…
03-18 09:45:57	ethereum above 1800 on march 19	Yes	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0xfac1d3…
03-09 08:36:33	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 460 479	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x7c84a5…
03-04 07:09:31	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 360 379	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0xeced28…
03-01 08:49:33	elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 215 239	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x756bb8…
02-12 07:34:11	will moonshot have the third best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xda873e…
02-12 07:32:29	will meituan have the second best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0c604c…
02-12 07:32:19	will alibaba have the second best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xed3cd8…
02-12 07:08:09	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 12	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xa2af8c…
02-02 07:04:10	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 480 499	No	BUY	93	100¢	$92	0xc46257…
01-25 06:28:12	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 420 439	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xf710e4…
01-14 03:58:16	bitcoin above 102k on january 14	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x4cbaea…
01-08 07:16:53	ethereum above 3500 on january 8	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xec9515…
01-04 03:37:31	bitcoin above 82k on january 5	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x4b2ece…