Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.99K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.6%

Resolved

427

Trades

1,661

lifetime

Volume

$29.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 02-16 13:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Other

75% 80% -$1,560

Politics

15% 68% -$64

Crypto

6% 78% -$353

Pop-Culture

3% 87% +$9

Sports

1% 57% -$5

Tech

1% 50% -$12

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-02-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	14	$2.3K	1,166	1,166	+0	No	-$22	02-06 04:15
highest temperature in miami on january 26 77forbelow	6	$1.1K	559	559	+0	No	+$6	01-26 15:14
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	10	$838	440	440	+0	Yes	-$20	02-06 04:15
highest temperature in miami on january 24 82 83f	5	$800	809	792	+17	Yes	-$769	01-24 21:39
highest temperature in nyc on january 26 28 29f	8	$695	1,088	0	+1,088	No	+$220	01-26 22:48
highest temperature in seattle on january 25 44 45f	5	$687	695	0	+695	Yes	+$7	01-25 23:17
highest temperature in miami on january 24 80 81f	9	$551	558	0	+558	No	-$551	01-24 18:03
highest temperature in dallas on january 29 46forhigher	3	$545	562	0	+562	Yes	+$17	01-27 13:40
highest temperature in dallas on january 28 40forhigher	18	$513	535	0	+535	Yes	+$22	01-27 14:52
highest temperature in atlanta on january 28 42 43f	3	$451	461	0	+461	No	+$10	01-27 15:53
highest temperature in dallas on january 26 32 33f	2	$449	231	231	+0	Yes	+$12	01-27 08:23
highest temperature in wellington on january 27 13c	1	$410	415	0	+415	No	+$4	01-25 17:49
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	4	$400	407	0	+407	Yes	+$7	01-23 12:25
highest temperature in miami on january 26 88forhigher	4	$395	193	206	-14	No	+$3	01-27 07:38
will chase infiniti be nominated for best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	9	$360	364	0	+364	No	+$4	01-21 18:13
highest temperature in miami on january 27 62 63f	5	$331	246	90	+156	No	$0	01-27 13:22
highest temperature in seattle on january 26 46 47f	5	$324	319	319	+0	Yes	-$296	01-27 00:26
highest temperature in atlanta on january 25 42forhigher	12	$302	357	46	+310	No	+$22	01-26 00:10
highest temperature in miami on january 23 78 79f	2	$297	301	0	+301	No	+$3	01-23 16:43
highest temperature in dallas on january 24 38forhigher	1	$284	287	0	+287	No	+$3	01-24 05:34
highest temperature in seattle on january 26 44 45f	5	$282	287	0	+287	No	-$282	01-26 23:05
highest temperature in miami on january 26 78 79f	5	$243	123	123	+0	No	+$4	01-26 17:59
highest temperature in nyc on january 26 30 31f	1	$242	249	0	+249	No	+$7	01-26 15:30
will apt ros and bruno mars win song of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	3	$225	229	0	+229	No	+$4	01-31 12:03
highest temperature in miami on january 25 78 79f	2	$222	225	0	+225	No	+$3	01-25 14:42
highest temperature in buenos aires on january 28 36c	3	$219	222	0	+222	No	+$2	01-27 07:30
highest temperature in seattle on january 24 41forbelow	3	$204	2,078	0	+2,078	No	-$1	01-24 21:01
highest temperature in dallas on january 28 38 39f	3	$199	208	0	+208	No	+$9	01-27 08:06
highest temperature in toronto on january 27 neg 6corhigher	1	$191	193	0	+193	No	+$2	01-25 12:40
highest temperature in nyc on january 26 34 35f	4	$189	97	96	+0	No	+$3	01-26 19:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
02-16 13:14:41	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	22	94¢	$21	0xd4e7c9…
02-16 13:14:35	will ethan hawke win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x7cb796…
02-16 13:14:27	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	89	24¢	$21	0x39f7c1…
02-16 13:14:21	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	No	SELL	32	60¢	$19	0x4d617c…
02-16 13:14:15	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x337a8f…
02-16 13:14:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xb3fdc2…
02-16 13:14:05	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x4d2808…
02-16 13:13:59	Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$1	0x120a17…
02-16 13:13:51	Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xdf1ccb…
02-16 13:13:43	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x821d39…
02-16 13:13:35	Will the Phoenix Suns win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x07e6df…
02-16 13:13:29	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0xd2e0c4…
02-16 13:13:21	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	15	86¢	$13	0x25d9b7…
02-16 13:11:17	will the fed cutpausecut in the next three decisions decjanmar	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xba3149…
02-16 13:08:55	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	17	93¢	$16	0x43f2c4…
02-16 13:08:17	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x96f7b0…
02-16 13:08:03	will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by february 28	No	SELL	77	98¢	$75	0xcd97fb…
02-09 04:24:03	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	SELL	2	99¢	$1	0x0766a9…
02-09 04:23:49	will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 3035	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa8e658…
02-09 04:23:31	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x2e36c6…
02-09 04:23:17	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x5bc026…
02-09 04:23:05	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x0b9fa8…
02-06 04:22:23	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0x0af706…
02-06 04:22:11	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	23	26¢	$6	0x645080…
02-06 04:21:57	will the centrist reform alliance win the most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa16e41…
02-06 04:21:45	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf0016d…
02-06 04:21:33	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xe05aaf…
02-06 04:21:23	Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf10dbd…
02-06 04:20:55	will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 2025	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x3e9d4f…
02-06 04:20:43	will the liberal democratic party win the second most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5b20d2…
02-06 04:20:33	will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	No	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x560c07…
02-06 04:20:05	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	8	96¢	$7	0x33ebf5…
02-06 04:19:51	will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 1520	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0xcb4208…
02-06 04:19:41	Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	11	83¢	$9	0x6286ea…
02-06 04:19:29	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xaf6a7b…
02-06 04:19:13	Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0x05565f…
02-06 04:19:01	Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x4071e1…
02-06 04:18:47	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	22	49¢	$11	0x11e0f9…
02-06 04:18:33	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x8445ca…
02-06 04:18:21	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x62f82c…
02-06 04:18:09	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x64274c…
02-06 04:17:55	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x356d19…
02-06 04:17:43	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa6e3b8…
02-06 04:17:31	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	27	82¢	$22	0x66ab12…
02-06 04:17:19	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	23	97¢	$22	0x58ec72…
02-06 04:17:07	will bhumjaithai party bjt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	No	SELL	45	73¢	$33	0xb56bbe…
02-06 04:16:55	will pheu thai party pt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	No	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0x1ea119…
02-06 04:16:43	will turnout in the first round of the 2026 costa rican presidential election be between 70 and 72	No	SELL	36	98¢	$36	0x53f6fc…
02-06 04:16:29	will turnout in the first round of the 2026 costa rican presidential election be at least 72	No	SELL	75	99¢	$74	0xf7f5c8…
02-06 04:16:17	will laura virginia fernndez delgado win the first round by 46	No	SELL	76	100¢	$75	0x2914de…
02-06 04:16:05	will sentimental value win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	82	93¢	$77	0x5d5900…
02-06 04:15:55	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	430	95¢	$409	0x3498e4…
02-06 04:15:39	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	1,166	97¢	$1,128	0x835aa8…
02-06 03:50:35	will super bowl lx have between 120m and 124m viewers	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xec2870…
02-06 03:50:03	will super bowl lx have between 124m and 128m viewers	No	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x0542cd…
02-06 03:49:49	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0x241bc5…
02-06 03:49:35	will antnio jos seguro win the second round by at least 35	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x3ea870…
02-06 03:49:21	will sanseit win the second most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb4d940…
02-06 03:48:57	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x86d4ea…
02-06 03:48:21	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xf141e3…
02-06 03:48:07	will super bowl lx have between 116m and 120m viewers	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xff6082…
02-06 03:47:51	will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 1015	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x43a2de…
02-06 03:47:33	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0xd1f649…
02-06 03:47:15	will andr ventura win the second round by 05 218	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5abc16…
02-06 03:47:01	Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$1	0x85fc2f…
02-06 03:46:27	will the fed decide differently in the next three decisions decjanmar	No	SELL	2	99¢	$1	0x712b99…
02-06 03:45:31	will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	No	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x67404b…
02-06 03:45:03	ilhan omar town hall attack staged	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x31f139…
02-06 03:44:37	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	4	40¢	$1	0x0e9142…
02-06 03:43:55	will jaxson dart be the 2025 2026 nfl offensive rookie of the year 531	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf78f87…
02-06 03:43:19	Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x20b48c…
02-02 19:30:38	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	41	19¢	$8	0xbbbe00…
02-02 19:30:06	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	88	10¢	$9	0x286af9…
02-02 19:28:58	will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	No	SELL	98	32¢	$31	0x55db8c…
02-02 19:28:10	will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	No	SELL	39	13¢	$5	0x592c01…
02-01 04:33:46	ilhan omar town hall attack staged	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x65f732…
02-01 04:33:14	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	124	98¢	$121	0xadfc2d…
02-01 04:33:04	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0xd73e26…
02-01 04:32:54	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0x5d1523…
02-01 04:31:50	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	94	99¢	$93	0x3cb241…
02-01 04:31:44	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x48160d…
02-01 04:31:32	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x4e16b0…
02-01 04:31:22	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x6db33d…
02-01 04:31:02	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0xc27a6f…
02-01 04:30:48	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0xb5f11d…
02-01 04:30:36	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0xacd12c…
02-01 04:30:20	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x88bfe6…
02-01 04:28:32	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x7323e4…
02-01 04:28:22	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xace9a9…
02-01 04:28:12	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x366988…
01-31 12:03:42	will apt ros and bruno mars win song of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	No	BUY	77	98¢	$75	0x33f1b5…
01-31 12:03:36	will dtmf bad bunny win song of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	No	BUY	77	98¢	$75	0xf5d89c…
01-31 09:46:58	xrp up or down on january 31	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x73ab02…
01-31 09:31:58	xrp up or down on january 31	Down	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0x4c1a5d…
01-31 09:00:34	will apt ros and bruno mars win song of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	No	BUY	77	98¢	$75	0x9b861d…
01-31 08:00:50	highest temperature in nyc on january 31 18 19f	No	BUY	77	98¢	$75	0x19f2cd…
01-31 05:21:54	will xrp dip to 1pt6 in january 2026	No	BUY	77	98¢	$75	0x427583…
01-31 05:16:42	will dogecoin dip to 0pt1 in january 2026	No	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0x77e427…
01-31 05:15:04	2026 farmers insurance open winner hideki matsuyama win	No	BUY	58	99¢	$57	0x10e7c7…
01-31 05:15:00	will the price of xrp be between 1pt80 1pt90 on january 31	No	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x67c042…