Realized P&L
+$158
Unrealized P&L
-$279
Hit rate
47.3%
Resolved
24
Trades
836
lifetime
Volume
$124.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$149
Open exposure
$21.3K
16 positions
First seen
2026-09-22
last 10-30 08:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
57% 67% -$338
Politics
43% 80% +$496
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +6,651 $5,294 89¢ $5.9K +$605 10-26 18:43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +6,194 $4,904 72¢ $4.5K -$414 10-02 13:37
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,945 $2,862 98¢ $2.9K +$35 10-16 17:13
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,276 $2,263 100¢ $2.3K +$5 10-12 12:19
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +2,000 $1,940 97¢ $1.9K +$10 10-22 13:23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +6,444 $1,977 30¢ $1.9K -$76 09-29 19:33
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +6,651 $1,521 16¢ $1.1K -$457 10-23 10:03
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +416 $382 99¢ $414 +$32 10-01 22:46
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +250 $190 70¢ $176 -$14 09-28 12:44
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes -4,651 -$63 3¢ $-119 -$56 10-18 18:55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes -3,248 -$61 2¢ $-54 +$7 09-29 19:59
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes -5,777 -$64 1¢ $-32 +$32 09-29 20:00
Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes -6,651 -$16 0¢ $-17 -$1 10-18 18:27
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes -3,918 -$20 0¢ $-14 +$6 10-08 17:07
Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes -6,651 -$19 0¢ $-10 +$9 10-30 08:53
Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes -6,522 -$7 0¢ $-10 -$3 10-11 07:14