Orange-Cloudburst — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.0%

Resolved

816

Trades

845

lifetime

Volume

$8.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 11-10 03:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 164 days

Categories

Other

79% 98% -$3

Sports

16% 99% +$1

Crypto

2% 100% +$0

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-10 10:42
Will knight Win MSI Finals MVP	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-12 14:02
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 16:02
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-24 15:36
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	05-27 17:22
Will Chris Moneymaker cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-09-14?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	09-16 10:16
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 1.5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	05-27 17:22
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-24 15:36
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-03 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-30 05:48
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	07-27 07:31
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	1	$10	10	0	+10	Adrian Mannarino	+$0	10-07 06:30
Will Endrick be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	05-18 22:39
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 4.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Under	+$0	05-13 12:01
Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	1	$10	10	0	+10	Taylor Fritz	+$0	10-23 16:52
Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 8 and 50 hours without failure?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-16 02:55
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 26?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-27 07:13
wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	1	$10	10	0	+10	Hayu Kinoshita	+$0	06-23 18:25
Bengals vs. Dolphins	1	$10	10	0	+10	Bengals	+$0	10-11 20:16
lol blg ly 2026 07 05 game1 kill over 27pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Under	+$0	07-06 04:26
Will FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Kawasaki Frontale end in a draw?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-24 06:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 03:46:10	Pacers vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf6233c…
11-09 03:28:40	Matsuyama: Masamichi Imamura vs Ryuki Matsuda	Ryuki Matsuda	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xed9dfe…
11-08 18:10:31	Knoxville: Emile Hudd vs Justin Boulais	Emile Hudd	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc5a375…
11-08 04:25:49	Rockets vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1cf42e…
11-08 00:26:46	Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee	Middle Tennessee	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x56bd1a…
11-07 16:35:49	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3ba27e…
11-07 16:09:01	Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbe735f…
11-05 06:27:16	Heat vs. Clippers	Heat	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdcfcf5…
11-01 02:37:49	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xee8bca…
11-01 01:38:54	Hawks vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x54f427…
11-01 01:09:24	UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Luana Santos	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe545a4…
11-01 00:43:13	76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4d08b9…
11-01 00:05:12	UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dakota Hope	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3a307f…
10-31 16:00:18	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x842000…
10-30 23:58:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc604a6…
10-30 22:23:21	Queretaro: Tatjana Maria vs Valeriya Strakhova	Tatjana Maria	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa9492c…
10-30 16:48:00	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd4fded…
10-29 15:14:14	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf97f0b…
10-27 13:12:08	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0f4636…
10-25 09:31:02	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfc3342…
10-24 13:22:20	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9c8347…
10-23 16:52:30	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x314b3a…
10-23 06:10:03	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x631aa1…
10-21 17:05:02	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Corentin Moutet	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ff934…
10-20 18:47:42	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3d11f2…
10-20 18:39:09	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdbb41e…
10-18 03:35:38	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x823646…
10-15 20:32:38	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa438ca…
10-15 19:37:40	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x88e8c6…
10-14 20:56:48	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x815eef…
10-14 11:41:25	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb4610b…
10-13 21:12:07	Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien	Luis Guto Miguel	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x212a2d…
10-13 20:58:55	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb4bce4…
10-13 14:15:22	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf81635…
10-13 01:32:59	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x152a72…
10-12 16:35:42	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf2530e…
10-12 09:05:03	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xefeb42…
10-11 20:16:12	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaa82e0…
10-11 10:49:51	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x867092…
10-11 10:26:14	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x77c2d2…
10-11 05:01:27	Kings vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf25ffb…
10-10 11:08:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8d37e7…
10-09 02:09:56	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcbf66e…
10-07 06:30:53	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x13a2bf…
10-06 20:46:27	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7bb600…
10-06 16:07:32	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x67f52a…
10-06 13:20:18	Samsun: Lola Radivojevic vs Oksana Selekhmeteva	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0accf4…
10-04 23:23:17	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x93fac4…
10-04 20:17:41	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x40bc1e…
10-04 07:45:11	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1fe05c…
10-03 14:50:29	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x25d7b2…
10-03 06:09:57	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6d2146…
10-03 02:52:59	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd0d383…
10-02 14:15:36	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x98e349…
10-02 14:12:41	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8321c2…
10-02 13:22:56	Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Lucas Poullain vs Joel Schwaerzler	Joel Schwaerzler	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc39488…
10-01 22:30:35	atp dias olivier 2026 10 01	Pedro Boscardin Dias	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x71b3e0…
10-01 20:46:21	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7175da…
10-01 20:36:06	Will Malta win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6db291…
10-01 20:36:03	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x524686…
10-01 11:43:51	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8bb7f8…
10-01 05:16:11	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb1cb53…
09-30 23:54:50	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc186f8…
09-29 20:39:48	Will Slovakia win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x13e552…
09-29 13:58:48	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9e7236…
09-29 13:18:53	atp giustin sperle 2026 09 29	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x7ec1b1…
09-29 13:15:59	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xda1996…
09-29 06:38:06	wta ribera you 2026 09 28	Marina Bassols Ribera	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe698b4…
09-29 00:46:30	atp dickers pereir 2026 09 28	Jose Pereira	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf12929…
09-28 20:43:09	atp zink krueger 2026 09 28	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1038a8…
09-28 17:00:08	atp angelin johns 2026 09 28	Lorenzo Angelini	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb12e71…
09-28 10:07:56	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4a3392…
09-27 20:24:47	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9a7278…
09-27 20:14:56	nfl cin pit 2026 09 27	Steelers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfd842d…
09-27 14:05:48	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7b7b94…
09-27 13:31:17	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2a772d…
09-27 12:11:59	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf23b05…
09-26 23:23:51	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe111dc…
09-26 20:05:57	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0ad55a…
09-26 19:53:24	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x88a756…
09-26 16:18:09	cs2 hero sng2 2026 09 26	Heroic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2d8683…
09-26 12:18:26	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x330075…
09-25 22:57:42	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x515ba0…
09-25 10:12:51	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x26145e…
09-24 20:45:11	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbf6f6f…
09-24 09:38:48	Singapore Open: Xinyu Wang vs Joanna Garland	Xinyu Wang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd8afc9…
09-23 22:37:47	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc3055a…
09-23 16:19:06	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54650c…
09-23 04:45:07	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdc9c0c…
09-21 02:19:43	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8d6200…
09-20 22:25:43	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa1004d…
09-20 09:13:46	val flfe genggc 2026 09 20 game1	Gen.G GC	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1ad15e…
09-20 02:59:39	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5970ab…
09-20 01:26:37	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb7d66d…
09-20 00:02:52	Southeastern Louisiana vs. Louisiana-Monroe	Southeastern Louisiana	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x40485b…
09-19 01:39:48	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf81cd5…
09-18 20:00:51	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18?	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcdf902…
09-18 19:32:18	Will AC Oulu win on 2026-09-18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd0497…
09-17 19:33:09	cs2 ence kamui 2026 09 17	KAMUI	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x77a40a…
09-17 17:27:06	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9d68d9…