Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$517

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

59.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$114

Open exposure

$11

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 11-11 05:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Sports

54% 38% -$506

Other

36% 62% -$9

Crypto

7% 67% -$1

Politics

3% 75% +$0

Tech

0% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No		+6	$6	100¢	$6	$0	11-11 05:41
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?	No		+5	$5	97¢	$5	+$0	11-11 05:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba ind nyk 2026 02 10	1	$546	650	0	+650	Pacers	-$546	02-10 02:56
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$498	300	1,001	-701	No	-$5	03-29 04:51
nba chi mia 2026 02 01	1	$402	600	0	+600	Heat	+$198	02-01 19:34
nba mem gsw 2026 02 09	1	$375	500	0	+500	Warriors	+$125	02-10 02:55
will gold gc hit high 6000 by end of march	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	03-29 04:59
will silver si hit high 120 by end of march	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	03-29 04:59
nba lac hou 2026 02 10	1	$280	1,000	0	+1,000	Rockets	-$280	02-10 04:57
nba sac was 2026 02 01	1	$270	600	0	+600	Wizards	+$330	02-01 19:32
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	03-29 04:58
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	01-26 08:08
nba lal nyk 2026 02 01	1	$180	500	0	+500	Knicks	-$180	02-01 19:29
nba dal phx 2026 02 10	1	$120	430	0	+430	Suns	-$120	02-10 04:59
will sp 500 spx hit 7100 high in march 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-29 04:57
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	1	$98	100	0	+100	Yes	+$2	01-26 08:11
will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	1	$97	97	0	+97	No	+$0	03-29 05:00
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	1	$33	100	0	+100	Yes	-$33	01-26 08:09
Will the Republican Party win the TX-06 House seat?	1	$11	11	0	+11	Yes	+$0	10-25 02:25
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	09-18 06:33
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	08-14 18:18
will openai ipo by july 31 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	07-11 19:12
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-08 19:30
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-02 08:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-10 04:50
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	11-11 05:41
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	11-11 05:40
netanyahu out by march 31 854	3	$2	301	0	+301	No	-$2	03-29 04:44
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$2	500	0	+500	No	-$2	03-29 04:49
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$1	465	0	+465	Yes	-$1	03-29 04:48
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	1	$1	400	0	+400	No	-$1	03-29 04:44
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	1	$1	400	0	+400	No	-$1	03-29 04:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 05:41:09	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xea8a29…
11-11 05:40:40	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa2595a…
10-25 02:25:36	Will the Republican Party win the TX-06 House seat?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xc01be3…
09-18 06:33:07	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xe9e2ca…
08-14 18:18:54	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x757b2d…
07-11 19:12:50	will openai ipo by july 31 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1be8e9…
06-08 19:30:33	Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8cb6fc…
05-02 08:37:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9c3399…
04-10 04:50:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x480614…
03-29 05:00:28	will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xfeacf8…
03-29 04:59:38	will gold gc hit high 6000 by end of march	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xf24fa3…
03-29 04:59:18	will silver si hit high 120 by end of march	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x1835a7…
03-29 04:58:26	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xd4aab8…
03-29 04:57:56	will sp 500 spx hit 7100 high in march 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0a242f…
03-29 04:51:04	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$2	0x94502f…
03-29 04:50:38	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	264	0¢	$1	0x87a666…
03-29 04:49:32	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xe46f08…
03-29 04:48:46	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	No	BUY	465	0¢	$1	0xf7add9…
03-29 04:47:56	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$1	0x43fa9b…
03-29 04:45:18	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xd8e549…
03-29 04:44:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$1	0xc2e05b…
03-29 04:44:00	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	273	1¢	$2	0x6e7af9…
03-29 04:42:42	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x08148a…
03-29 04:42:40	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xafbb1c…
03-01 01:46:49	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	500	62¢	$310	0x36116c…
03-01 01:45:59	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	500	37¢	$187	0x39cde3…
02-10 04:59:07	nba dal phx 2026 02 10	Mavericks	BUY	430	28¢	$120	0x824d72…
02-10 04:57:07	nba lac hou 2026 02 10	Clippers	BUY	1,000	28¢	$280	0x8c5e38…
02-10 02:56:33	nba ind nyk 2026 02 10	Knicks	BUY	650	84¢	$546	0xe4800f…
02-10 02:55:07	nba mem gsw 2026 02 09	Warriors	BUY	500	75¢	$375	0x058850…
02-01 19:34:00	nba chi mia 2026 02 01	Heat	BUY	600	67¢	$402	0x102ebb…
02-01 19:32:10	nba sac was 2026 02 01	Wizards	BUY	600	45¢	$270	0x68c4d8…
02-01 19:29:44	nba lal nyk 2026 02 01	Lakers	BUY	500	36¢	$180	0x34fce9…
01-26 08:11:57	will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x59ef7a…
01-26 08:09:49	will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	No	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x6d6ded…
01-26 08:08:59	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x2b2134…