Courageous-Weight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$53

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.4%

Resolved

Trades

385

lifetime

Volume

$10.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 06-05 01:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 68% +$53

Other

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1776819600	13	$271	306	295	+11	open	—	04-22 01:10
eth updown 5m 1774511100	1	$211	216	0	+216	open	—	03-26 07:49
will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	1	$209	210	0	+210	open	—	04-03 04:14
will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	1	$209	209	0	+209	open	—	03-29 02:25
btc updown 5m 1774590900	1	$208	210	0	+210	open	—	03-27 05:59
eth updown 5m 1774590600	1	$206	208	0	+208	open	—	03-27 05:54
eth updown 5m 1774510800	1	$202	212	0	+212	open	—	03-26 07:44
eth updown 5m 1775609100	2	$198	206	0	+206	open	—	04-08 00:47
eth updown 5m 1775610000	1	$195	217	0	+217	open	—	04-08 01:03
btc updown 5m 1773128100	1	$191	242	0	+242	open	—	03-10 07:39
btc updown 5m 1774596300	1	$180	181	0	+181	open	—	03-27 07:29
will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 6 12	1	$178	178	0	+178	open	—	04-08 05:11
btc updown 5m 1774596000	1	$176	180	0	+180	open	—	03-27 07:24
btc updown 5m 1774594800	1	$172	175	0	+175	open	—	03-27 07:04
btc updown 5m 1773127500	1	$164	192	0	+192	open	—	03-10 07:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	7	$147	149	149	+0	Down	+$27	05-07 00:41
btc updown 5m 1773127200	1	$138	165	0	+165	open	—	03-10 07:23
btc updown 5m 1773126900	1	$136	138	0	+138	open	—	03-10 07:19
btc updown 5m 1773126600	1	$135	136	0	+136	open	—	03-10 07:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$132	126	126	+0	open	—	05-19 16:06
btc updown 15m 1776739500	8	$132	162	155	+7	open	—	04-21 02:59
btc updown 5m 1773126000	1	$131	135	0	+135	open	—	03-10 07:03
btc updown 5m 1773125700	1	$128	131	0	+131	open	—	03-10 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	6	$127	102	102	+0	Up	+$27	05-06 01:47
btc updown 5m 1773124200	1	$125	128	0	+128	open	—	03-10 06:33
eth updown 15m 1776816000	7	$124	101	98	+3	open	—	04-22 00:08
btc updown 5m 1773060900	1	$120	126	0	+126	open	—	03-09 12:58
btc updown 15m 1773020700	1	$117	120	0	+120	open	—	03-09 01:56
btc updown 15m 1773018900	1	$116	117	0	+117	open	—	03-09 01:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	3	$115	129	129	+0	Down	+$15	05-07 00:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 01:29:46	eth updown 15m 1780622100	Up	SELL	121	1¢	$1	0x651eca…
06-05 01:17:33	eth updown 15m 1780622100	Up	BUY	91	44¢	$40	0xd400fc…
06-05 01:16:37	eth updown 15m 1780622100	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xae7722…
06-05 01:02:12	eth updown 15m 1780621200	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xe32678…
06-05 00:56:49	eth updown 5m 1780620900	Up	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x880e24…
05-26 00:38:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xd5fdd4…
05-26 00:38:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	54	85¢	$46	0x4ef047…
05-26 00:30:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0x761d64…
05-26 00:28:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x5bfcaa…
05-26 00:28:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	85¢	$8	0x007915…
05-26 00:28:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xf2cb3e…
05-26 00:28:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x867ea9…
05-26 00:28:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	85¢	$9	0x697788…
05-26 00:28:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	18	85¢	$15	0x4aeaf6…
05-26 00:25:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x6864e1…
05-21 00:18:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	83	35¢	$29	0x824acb…
05-21 00:15:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x099c2b…
05-21 00:07:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa455d4…
05-19 16:35:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xf9ce0c…
05-19 16:34:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x228f73…
05-19 16:34:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x8dfeeb…
05-19 16:34:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x7d6fc2…
05-19 16:33:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x617ece…
05-19 16:21:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	124	16¢	$20	0x437262…
05-19 16:16:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0x972d33…
05-19 16:14:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	19	75¢	$14	0x8d8398…
05-19 16:13:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x081bf6…
05-19 16:09:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	18	56¢	$10	0xc81fae…
05-19 16:09:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0xb59695…
05-19 16:08:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xcf138b…
05-19 16:06:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	126	65¢	$82	0xa8a487…
05-19 16:02:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	126	40¢	$50	0xa3c958…
05-19 15:56:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	47	79¢	$37	0x977b69…
05-19 15:51:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x196c03…
05-19 15:46:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xb3b3d5…
05-19 15:23:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	18	93¢	$17	0xd54d35…
05-19 15:23:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x463885…
05-19 15:23:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$4	0x4d659b…
05-19 15:22:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x4a864b…
05-19 00:57:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	40	64¢	$26	0x390baf…
05-19 00:46:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x62a434…
05-19 00:42:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	58	87¢	$50	0x1987f1…
05-19 00:26:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x439dfb…
05-18 16:10:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xa31a6c…
05-18 16:10:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	31	90¢	$28	0x12898d…
05-18 16:10:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0xbaef9e…
05-18 16:02:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x114e67…
05-18 16:01:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x3089df…
05-18 15:59:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x715f47…
05-12 01:17:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	94	61¢	$57	0xc436ee…
05-12 01:16:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xe05f67…
05-12 01:08:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	14	65¢	$9	0x19cdee…
05-12 01:08:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0xf6b539…
05-12 01:08:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0x250188…
05-12 01:07:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x808482…
05-12 01:07:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xf2b90b…
05-12 01:07:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0xd5f523…
05-12 01:05:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0xa7a8f3…
05-12 01:03:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	28	40¢	$11	0xecfb1c…
05-12 01:02:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xb01e92…
05-12 00:49:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x85b331…
05-12 00:45:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	159	32¢	$50	0x77e426…
05-12 00:43:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	23	97¢	$23	0x1074f5…
05-12 00:43:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x935380…
05-12 00:37:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x91bd5f…
05-12 00:35:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	18	37¢	$6	0xdacb57…
05-12 00:30:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x7f643b…
05-12 00:28:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0xa385c8…
05-12 00:27:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0x8d6053…
05-12 00:22:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xa5e623…
05-12 00:22:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xf89c4c…
05-12 00:22:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x3589c9…
05-12 00:22:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x0e567b…
05-12 00:22:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x0a8c33…
05-12 00:22:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x038069…
05-12 00:21:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xef69d1…
05-12 00:19:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	71	44¢	$31	0x6deafc…
05-12 00:18:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	71	71¢	$50	0x0c53bf…
05-12 00:14:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0xf5ea62…
05-12 00:12:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x78120b…
05-11 04:50:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	89	22¢	$20	0xf7a895…
05-11 04:45:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x398265…
05-11 04:33:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	30	72¢	$22	0xc64878…
05-11 04:33:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xac1fdd…
05-11 04:33:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x392b4a…
05-11 04:33:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xe811e9…
05-11 04:31:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xc5d506…
05-11 04:16:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xbc928c…
05-11 04:13:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6f2fbf…
05-11 01:09:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xbd7d75…
05-11 01:09:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	56	75¢	$42	0x438b73…
05-11 01:09:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x1efb1d…
05-11 01:09:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x0c7a48…
05-11 01:06:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0xf7ddda…
05-11 00:57:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0xc455be…
05-11 00:50:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	28	45¢	$12	0x5315da…
05-11 00:48:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x2a9d31…
05-11 00:37:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	42	94¢	$40	0x38bf02…
05-11 00:36:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x4b7fdf…
05-11 00:36:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x7ff8c2…