Elastic-Condition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.52K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.0%

Resolved

1,842

Trades

4,230

lifetime

Volume

$188.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-04 15:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 82% +$1,519

Other

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 163 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 28 9pm et	5	$883	484	484	+0	Up	+$83	03-01 03:35
bitcoin up or down march 1 4am et	7	$829	438	438	+0	Down	-$11	03-01 10:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3AM ET	8	$800	826	0	+826	Up	+$26	10-06 07:54
bitcoin up or down march 8 6am et	17	$789	409	409	+1	Up	+$29	03-08 11:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 05:30 UTC	8	$721	780	143	+637	Up	-$41	10-05 05:40
bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 9am et	7	$700	712	0	+712	Up	+$12	08-09 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	10	$686	744	128	+615	Down	-$49	10-05 07:28
bitcoin up or down february 28 9am et	8	$658	358	358	+0	Down	+$58	02-28 15:08
bitcoin up or down march 8 7am et	5	$648	350	348	+2	Down	+$50	03-08 12:03
bitcoin up or down february 23 4am et	6	$647	327	327	+0	Up	+$7	02-23 10:02
bitcoin up or down march 8 8am et	8	$639	340	339	+1	Down	+$40	03-08 13:04
bitcoin up or down february 28 7pm et	10	$637	338	338	+0	Down	+$37	03-01 01:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	7	$617	317	317	+0	Up	+$17	05-05 03:02
bitcoin up or down february 23 3am et	8	$614	314	314	+0	Down	+$14	02-23 09:04
bitcoin up or down february 22 8am et	8	$603	304	304	+0	Down	+$3	02-22 14:01
bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 9am et	15	$600	627	0	+627	Down	+$27	07-18 13:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8AM ET	6	$600	606	0	+606	Down	+$6	10-05 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9AM ET	6	$600	627	0	+627	Up	+$27	11-04 14:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET	9	$600	634	0	+634	Down	+$34	06-14 12:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 14:00 UTC	6	$600	608	0	+608	Up	+$8	07-26 14:11
bitcoin up or down october 4 2026 11pm et	6	$600	601	0	+601	Down	+$1	10-05 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4AM ET	11	$580	436	228	+207	Down	-$12	10-05 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1AM ET	6	$578	303	303	+0	Down	+$28	05-04 06:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5AM ET	10	$561	560	494	+66	Down	-$290	10-06 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 2AM ET	6	$554	542	406	+136	Up	-$110	09-19 06:58
bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 11pm et	7	$550	564	0	+564	Up	+$14	06-20 03:58
bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 4am et	7	$541	555	37	+519	Up	+$10	06-28 08:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	6	$525	544	0	+544	Up	+$19	10-27 15:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	6	$525	535	0	+535	Down	+$10	09-13 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2AM ET	5	$500	539	0	+539	Down	+$39	10-06 06:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 15:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xf24ee6…
11-04 15:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x0b3e61…
11-04 15:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xa19585…
11-04 15:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x694544…
11-04 14:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xa2e181…
11-04 14:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x1dbaf5…
11-04 14:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xf84e12…
11-04 14:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xf8930e…
11-04 14:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x1ce18f…
11-04 14:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x798c7a…
11-04 14:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x0fe903…
11-04 14:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xace612…
11-04 14:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xeb0391…
11-04 14:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x9169ac…
11-04 14:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x1e4b79…
11-04 14:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x11a5d8…
11-04 13:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x3f5e7a…
11-04 13:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xcf144b…
11-04 13:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	124	81¢	$100	0x33510c…
11-04 13:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x5ad4b0…
11-01 14:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x2554c0…
11-01 13:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x1024d4…
11-01 13:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x57aca0…
11-01 13:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xfc4337…
11-01 13:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xb534ce…
11-01 13:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x75a376…
11-01 12:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x66548a…
11-01 12:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x0d86a0…
11-01 12:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x21f5dc…
11-01 12:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xbb070c…
11-01 12:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	117	85¢	$100	0x6959b9…
11-01 12:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xd5b651…
11-01 12:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xe600bb…
11-01 12:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	105	80¢	$84	0xb20f44…
11-01 12:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x1576b5…
11-01 11:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x99ca7a…
11-01 11:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xd98d16…
11-01 11:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x7edd43…
11-01 11:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x08faf9…
11-01 11:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x2f0e6e…
11-01 10:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	66	8¢	$5	0x92824b…
11-01 10:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x9a4754…
11-01 10:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xeeefd8…
11-01 09:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x888b63…
11-01 07:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xc7e969…
11-01 07:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xdb89fa…
11-01 07:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x918a45…
11-01 02:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xaead34…
11-01 02:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xae5ade…
11-01 02:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x1ce39b…
11-01 02:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x35ce6c…
10-31 14:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xc147a5…
10-31 14:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x3c5d90…
10-31 14:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	83¢	$21	0x77c432…
10-31 14:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x961f6e…
10-31 14:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x8f2d18…
10-31 14:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xe9e47e…
10-31 13:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x4cb854…
10-31 13:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xea4026…
10-31 13:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x6ba3ab…
10-31 13:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x8fc9f7…
10-31 13:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	29	45¢	$13	0x8a517b…
10-31 13:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x938d59…
10-31 13:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x568ec3…
10-31 13:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xfa96e3…
10-31 13:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x3fddef…
10-27 15:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xf97257…
10-27 15:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x3ebe89…
10-27 15:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x446540…
10-27 15:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xb428ca…
10-27 15:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x8b9e5f…
10-27 15:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xf9bbed…
10-27 15:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x3eb75a…
10-27 15:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xb0b56e…
10-27 14:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0xe930e8…
10-27 14:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x51b283…
10-27 14:37:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x5d4595…
10-27 14:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x7f57c9…
10-27 14:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x61d256…
10-27 13:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2c494c…
10-27 13:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x23a0e2…
10-27 13:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x613723…
10-27 13:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x9baac7…
10-27 13:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x9955b0…
10-27 13:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x9166bc…
10-25 14:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xc4ffd0…
10-25 14:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x6fc246…
10-25 14:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xd79f3d…
10-25 14:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xd96e3c…
10-25 13:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	108	92¢	$100	0x96ded0…
10-25 13:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x28ceb6…
10-25 13:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0x5fdd94…
10-25 13:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x6c6000…
10-25 12:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xd4754b…
10-25 12:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x929a3e…
10-25 12:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	104	97¢	$100	0xaa0428…
10-25 12:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xe27b6f…
10-25 12:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x99920f…
10-25 12:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x746151…
10-25 12:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x81e011…