Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

54.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$81

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-09

last 10-10 19:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

80% 54% -$5

Politics

18% 56% -$2

Tech

2% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No		+2	$1	94¢	$2	+$1	08-18 16:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	2	$3	5	+5	Yes	-$1	09-08 18:27
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 09:15
spx up or down on september 23 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	09-23 06:24
will hood dip to 87 50 by august 10 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	08-10 06:14
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-13 21:34
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	6	+6	Yes	-$1	09-14 14:31
saudi arabia military action against yemen on september 21 20260916	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-17 17:46
spy up or down on september 11 2026	1	$1	6	+6	Up	-$1	09-11 09:08
Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-09 12:27
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$1	09-16 07:00
laptop airdrop by september 9	1	$1	6	+6	Yes	-$1	09-08 07:26
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $61 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-14 22:32
will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-13 17:25
spx up or down on august 18 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Down	+$2	08-17 22:19
will googl dip to 335 by august 10 2026	1	$1	6	+6	No	-$1	08-13 08:45
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on September 18?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-18 12:14
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	09-07 17:55
spx up or down on august 13 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Up	-$1	08-13 00:41
msft up or down on august 14 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Down	-$1	08-14 01:59
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $345 Week of August 31 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-01 06:40
spx up or down on august 10 2026	1	$1	4	+4	Down	+$3	08-10 14:17
spy up or down on august 11 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	08-11 14:49
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$1	6	+6	No	-$1	08-10 22:18
will warsh say good day during jackson hole speech on august 28	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	08-20 23:40
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	1	$1	4	+4	No	+$2	08-23 09:10
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-07 08:40
spy up or down on august 20 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	08-20 01:27
will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	08-17 12:03
will apple release a foldable iphone by september 15 877 292	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	09-02 20:29
will nvda dip to 216 in august 2026	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	08-29 10:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 19:25:42	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5c7907…
10-06 22:11:27	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x47f74e…
10-06 01:52:16	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x834110…
10-05 15:05:55	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,140 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x061372…
10-05 00:57:34	will coin reach 192 50 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x6f4fa3…
10-05 00:50:02	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xefcb4a…
10-02 06:04:59	spx up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xaf912e…
10-01 10:54:54	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xded300…
09-27 02:07:53	pakistan military action against afghanistan by september 30 2026 20260925	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xaa1d46…
09-26 08:11:14	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0ce6a2…
09-23 06:24:59	spx up or down on september 23 2026	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x149205…
09-20 21:50:19	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x457431…
09-19 09:15:42	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xef4df5…
09-18 12:14:46	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x644390…
09-17 17:46:01	saudi arabia military action against yemen on september 21 20260916	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x120342…
09-16 07:00:24	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x3e978a…
09-14 22:32:54	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $61 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x41c0e5…
09-14 14:31:37	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0x7acfee…
09-13 21:34:13	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb8b245…
09-11 09:08:22	spy up or down on september 11 2026	Down	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x19d653…
09-09 12:27:45	Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x528bb7…
09-08 18:27:52	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xc890ce…
09-08 07:26:01	laptop airdrop by september 9	No	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0x86bdbc…
09-07 17:55:52	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	No	BUY	4	41¢	$1	0x46a721…
09-07 08:40:15	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x8c8096…
09-03 11:34:10	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 11	No	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x9a1e60…
09-02 20:29:54	will apple release a foldable iphone by september 15 877 292	No	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xe7474a…
09-02 11:19:54	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $510 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xd2c759…
09-01 14:44:57	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xce0bd2…
09-01 06:40:42	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $345 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xdc9542…
08-29 10:01:18	will nvda dip to 216 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x2fc565…
08-24 09:57:16	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $66 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$1	0xd17689…
08-24 01:41:27	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $870 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x81be15…
08-23 09:10:24	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	No	BUY	4	41¢	$1	0x9252c8…
08-22 04:53:04	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x4d3bf0…
08-21 20:34:48	will trump say barack hussein obama during his rally with darline graham	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x20068b…
08-20 23:40:09	will warsh say good day during jackson hole speech on august 28	Yes	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x455b1f…
08-20 15:04:33	will pltr reach 180 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x66dcfd…
08-20 01:27:36	spy up or down on august 20 2026	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xac5f6d…
08-19 02:38:13	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x039563…
08-18 16:34:54	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa408f4…
08-18 06:59:07	will nvda dip to 212 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x792a00…
08-17 22:19:48	spx up or down on august 18 2026	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x3bf3bc…
08-17 12:03:06	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x65e6a6…
08-17 02:41:21	will rklb reach 84 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x55e05c…
08-14 01:59:42	msft up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xa37a05…
08-13 17:25:03	will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	Yes	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0xcc2a87…
08-13 08:45:22	will googl dip to 335 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xc3d2c4…
08-13 00:41:10	spx up or down on august 13 2026	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xfc312d…
08-12 16:40:33	will trump say stock market during remarks in new york 20260811183234690	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x51a8aa…
08-12 08:37:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x7c18a6…
08-12 00:34:09	will rklb reach 88 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0xbcf4df…
08-11 14:49:21	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x1976b5…
08-11 06:19:42	wti closes above 81 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xc46e1d…
08-10 22:18:19	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0xf0d184…
08-10 14:17:15	spx up or down on august 10 2026	Down	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x0aa4f1…
08-10 06:14:54	will hood dip to 87 50 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd6b65f…
08-09 22:14:43	will pltr reach 189 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	2	87¢	$1	0x24b02a…