Unruly-Vol — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$238

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.6%

Resolved

868

Trades

1,514

lifetime

Volume

$5.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-13 13:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 175 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 47% -$239

Other

0% 83% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 78k on february 3	21	$847	22,492	637	+21,855	No	-$166	02-03 16:47
bitcoin above 78k on february 2	33	$828	1,258	1,258	+0	Yes	+$89	02-02 10:48
bitcoin above 78k on february 1	7	$702	1,289	542	+747	No	+$30	02-01 15:27
bitcoin above 82k on january 30	9	$136	688	425	+263	Yes	$0	01-30 16:30
bitcoin above 86k on january 28	2	$128	65	65	+0	Yes	+$0	01-28 15:27
bitcoin above 84k on january 28	2	$125	63	63	+0	Yes	+$1	01-28 05:59
bitcoin above 86k on january 27	2	$121	61	61	+0	Yes	+$1	01-27 18:39
bitcoin above 82k on january 31	4	$118	429	429	+0	No	+$59	01-31 14:26
bitcoin above 84k on january 26	1	$61	61	0	+61	Yes	+$0	01-26 09:01
bitcoin above 86k on january 24	1	$61	61	0	+61	Yes	+$0	01-24 08:32
bitcoin above 86k on january 25	1	$60	60	0	+60	Yes	+$0	01-25 04:58
bitcoin above 86k on january 22	1	$60	60	0	+60	Yes	+$0	01-22 12:49
bitcoin above 88k on january 21	1	$51	51	0	+51	No	-$51	01-21 15:47
bitcoin above 86k on january 19	1	$51	51	0	+51	Yes	+$0	01-19 03:27
bitcoin above 86k on january 20	1	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	01-20 06:52
bitcoin above 90k on january 18	1	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	01-18 11:54
bitcoin above 84k on january 29	2	$40	300	0	+300	Yes	-$40	01-29 16:12
bitcoin above 80k on february 4	5	$26	403	0	+403	No	-$26	02-03 17:50
bitcoin above 92k on january 15	1	$24	24	0	+24	Yes	+$0	01-15 08:28
bitcoin above 90k on january 16	1	$23	23	0	+23	Yes	+$0	01-16 09:20
bitcoin above 82k on january 13	1	$23	23	0	+23	Yes	+$0	01-13 06:48
bitcoin above 92k on january 17	1	$23	23	0	+23	Yes	+$0	01-17 14:11
bitcoin above 64k on february 24	7	$22	21	21	+0	Yes	+$8	02-24 16:06
bitcoin above 90k on january 14	1	$21	21	0	+21	Yes	+$0	01-14 08:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 13:45 UTC	2	$21	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	06-19 13:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 10:45 UTC	2	$20	11	11	+0	Up	+$0	06-18 10:49
bitcoin above 86k on january 12	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	01-12 05:57
bitcoin above 66k on february 26	6	$20	193	26	+167	Yes	-$19	02-26 16:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 11:05 UTC	2	$15	20	0	+20	Down	+$1	08-14 11:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 06:45 UTC	2	$15	14	14	+0	Up	+$5	06-18 06:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 13:32:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC	Down	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x86e271…
10-13 13:30:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x026239…
10-13 13:29:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x32f6a3…
10-13 13:28:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:25 UTC	Down	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0xfca5de…
10-13 13:27:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2d03d0…
10-13 13:26:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:25 UTC	Down	SELL	4	63¢	$3	0x832c6d…
10-13 13:25:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc8ab80…
10-13 13:21:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x53eac5…
10-13 13:13:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:10 UTC	Up	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x3f1392…
10-13 13:12:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6e1ed6…
10-13 12:54:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:50 UTC	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0x5e4cb9…
10-13 12:51:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x67de21…
10-11 13:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	87¢	$2	0xe1f08b…
10-11 13:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd7eba1…
10-10 08:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x3d3c4e…
10-10 08:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x8f4287…
10-09 09:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5cc5bd…
10-08 09:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x597afa…
10-08 09:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xcdd0b9…
10-08 09:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x80c3ed…
10-08 09:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbd51dc…
10-07 07:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	63¢	$2	0xe701c8…
10-07 07:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xbc74a4…
10-07 07:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3415e0…
10-07 07:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2adc9d…
10-07 07:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x5dcde7…
10-07 07:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6a288a…
10-07 06:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x2b8bc9…
10-07 06:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$4	0x1ed370…
10-07 06:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8d6d9d…
10-06 17:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xc59081…
10-06 17:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xdd883d…
10-06 17:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb3ebfc…
10-06 17:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7c59d4…
10-06 16:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xffaac2…
10-06 16:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8024a4…
10-06 16:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x321355…
10-06 16:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x807305…
10-06 16:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x51b028…
10-05 07:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x14eda8…
10-05 06:53:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf5aa17…
10-04 16:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc3e9ca…
10-03 07:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd9d0ed…
10-03 07:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x881f1e…
10-03 07:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4fb3c0…
10-03 07:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb4d9cb…
10-03 07:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x439f34…
10-03 07:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xbab94f…
10-03 07:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x52856b…
10-03 07:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x441949…
10-03 07:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x84867f…
10-03 07:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe6f577…
10-02 07:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x710743…
10-02 06:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x34b04b…
10-02 06:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xde81ff…
10-02 06:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	78¢	$3	0x5cf201…
10-02 06:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x45aa02…
10-02 06:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x3fee82…
10-02 06:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0xe7d8bc…
10-02 06:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x469264…
10-01 10:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x87d44a…
10-01 10:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x89be43…
10-01 10:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x8d67cf…
10-01 10:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xfc7a21…
09-30 10:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x710797…
09-30 10:27:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xf07fb0…
09-29 14:14:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 14:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0xe873ee…
09-29 14:11:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x729932…
09-28 15:16:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc8bf08…
09-27 11:39:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 11:35 UTC	Down	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xe65bbd…
09-27 11:36:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x68d475…
09-27 11:35:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 11:35 UTC	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xbc1673…
09-27 11:35:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0e148e…
09-26 11:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0x677e99…
09-26 11:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3bf88e…
09-26 11:06:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x828b11…
09-26 10:55:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x69464c…
09-26 10:54:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xfeaa2e…
09-26 10:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xd28786…
09-26 10:47:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xc3853e…
09-26 10:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x5dacf4…
09-25 17:38:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x8c674a…
09-25 17:32:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd5c3ab…
09-24 08:57:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 08:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xed87fe…
09-23 18:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xdd8ae2…
09-22 11:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc60f3c…
09-21 11:18:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 11:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	74¢	$3	0x0987a0…
09-21 11:16:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5db3f5…
09-21 11:13:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 11:10 UTC	Up	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xdf25b2…
09-21 11:12:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x258fc9…
09-21 11:11:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb897c7…
09-21 11:09:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 11:05 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x3e509f…
09-21 11:09:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x249814…
09-21 10:56:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xcd80a5…
09-21 10:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4f39dc…
09-21 10:52:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x1a358d…
09-20 18:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x33a5d9…
09-19 08:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x01b097…
09-18 12:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa7719c…
09-17 11:48:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x468704…