Black-Athletics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

26.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,529

lifetime

Volume

$55.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 08-10 11:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

49% 25% $-18

Politics

31% 50% $-0

Tech

13% — —

Sports

7% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	6	$965	576	576	+0	open	—	07-27 23:50
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	8	$861	629	629	+0	open	—	07-27 19:37
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	9	$832	590	590	+0	open	—	07-08 02:10
will coin dip to 125 in july 2026	4	$828	449	448	+0	open	—	07-29 21:41
will rklb dip to 58 by july 27 2026	5	$681	506	506	+0	open	—	07-30 21:16
will nflx reach 75 by july 27 2026	3	$659	476	286	+191	open	—	07-30 13:29
will pltr dip to 120 by july 27 2026	4	$654	513	300	+213	open	—	07-28 10:03
iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	10	$645	393	393	+0	open	—	07-31 17:32
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	5	$641	425	382	+44	open	—	07-30 07:45
iran military action against a gulf state on july 29 20260708212322954	9	$627	429	429	+0	open	—	07-26 10:47
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	3	$621	519	519	+0	open	—	07-23 09:23
will amzn reach 260 by july 20 2026	3	$617	333	333	+0	open	—	07-24 08:26
iran full airspace closure by august 15	3	$617	441	441	+0	open	—	08-02 00:25
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	9	$615	421	421	+0	open	—	06-30 01:01
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	3	$615	484	484	+0	open	—	08-10 04:01
israel closes its airspace by august 15	3	$614	349	349	+0	open	—	08-07 03:34
iran military action against a gulf state on july 27 20260708212322952	6	$613	385	385	+0	open	—	07-26 10:07
iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	5	$551	455	364	+91	open	—	07-22 22:36
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	2	$551	441	353	+88	open	—	07-28 21:53
will nvda dip to 184 in july 2026	4	$533	431	129	+302	open	—	07-31 15:31
gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	7	$521	345	345	+0	open	—	07-08 04:01
untitled market 1 20260627173541502	5	$514	281	281	+0	open	—	07-07 15:11
will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	6	$487	352	352	+0	open	—	06-29 14:41
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	7	$443	315	315	+0	open	—	07-20 22:37
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	5	$431	320	320	+0	open	—	07-25 06:47
will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	4	$431	323	323	+0	open	—	08-07 16:33
iran full airspace closure by july 27	3	$430	309	309	+0	open	—	07-23 02:00
will open reach 5 00 by august 3 2026	5	$429	221	221	+0	open	—	08-07 00:03
will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	9	$420	283	283	+0	open	—	07-26 05:12
will pltr dip to 102 in july 2026	4	$415	214	214	+0	open	—	07-31 20:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 11:00:55	will wti reach 80 by august 10 2026	Yes	SELL	146	90¢	$132	0x6b90bd…
08-10 09:54:37	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	BUY	276	76¢	$210	0x4cba3b…
08-10 09:20:37	will wti reach 80 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	244	86¢	$210	0x0f5131…
08-10 08:52:19	will googl reach 355 by august 10 2026	Yes	SELL	38	96¢	$37	0x4af251…
08-10 08:52:04	will googl reach 355 by august 10 2026	Yes	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0x2904b4…
08-10 08:10:48	will hood dip to 92 50 by august 10 2026	Yes	SELL	26	85¢	$22	0x341f81…
08-10 08:01:40	will googl reach 355 by august 10 2026	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x97f805…
08-10 07:44:04	will mu dip to 870 by august 10 2026	Yes	SELL	123	89¢	$109	0xce1ec3…
08-10 07:03:36	will mu dip to 870 by august 10 2026	Yes	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x03c529…
08-10 06:54:04	will open dip to 2 50 by august 10 2026	No	SELL	24	99¢	$23	0x3a641c…
08-10 06:20:49	will mu dip to 870 by august 10 2026	Yes	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x39f439…
08-10 04:01:04	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	97	65¢	$63	0x477cfe…
08-10 03:12:58	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	387	65¢	$252	0x572a47…
08-10 00:55:55	will open dip to 2 50 by august 10 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x5431f8…
08-10 00:32:36	will googl reach 355 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	228	92¢	$210	0x01f694…
08-10 00:22:39	will hood dip to 92 50 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	259	81¢	$210	0xe701c5…
08-10 00:22:39	will mu dip to 870 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	244	86¢	$210	0x728527…
08-10 00:07:52	will spy reach 795 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	226	93¢	$210	0x7787a8…
08-09 23:47:43	will nflx dip to 65 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	211	96¢	$202	0xd71b85…
08-09 23:42:46	will open dip to 2 50 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	209	97¢	$202	0x2c45bc…
08-09 11:06:52	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	34	85¢	$29	0xdbb373…
08-09 07:38:28	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	126	83¢	$105	0x57209c…
08-09 07:04:28	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	8	83¢	$6	0x6ce976…
08-09 07:00:52	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x465e0d…
08-09 02:27:45	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	169	80¢	$135	0x69a186…
08-08 13:19:07	iran successfully targets shipping by august 16 2026	Yes	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x9d1a96…
08-08 13:19:03	iran successfully targets shipping by august 16 2026	Yes	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x8dc93c…
08-08 13:18:52	iran successfully targets shipping by august 16 2026	Yes	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xb45cd7…
08-07 20:00:34	will hood dip to 85 by august 3 2026	Yes	SELL	45	0¢	$0	0xd0bf0a…
08-07 20:00:34	will aapl dip to 300 by august 3 2026	Yes	SELL	45	0¢	$0	0x8ad7e3…
08-07 16:33:37	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	No	SELL	216	68¢	$147	0xa0f416…
08-07 14:46:36	will tsla reach 330 by august 3 2026	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x448aeb…
08-07 13:42:37	will nflx dip to 62 50 by august 3 2026	No	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0xa1034c…
08-07 12:58:36	will tsla reach 330 by august 3 2026	Yes	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0x6348bb…
08-07 11:49:36	will tsla reach 330 by august 3 2026	Yes	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0xfaf795…
08-07 08:16:07	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	No	SELL	96	69¢	$66	0x1e6b8d…
08-07 08:15:34	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	No	SELL	11	69¢	$8	0x40ec73…
08-07 08:13:58	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	No	BUY	323	65¢	$210	0x781657…
08-07 03:34:36	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	70	94¢	$65	0xb4f2dc…
08-07 00:40:51	will open dip to 2 50 by august 3 2026	No	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0xc9bb9e…
08-07 00:39:50	will open dip to 2 50 by august 3 2026	No	SELL	57	99¢	$56	0x15a6b2…
08-07 00:25:50	will abnb dip to 138 by august 3 2026	No	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x477fae…
08-07 00:03:51	will open reach 5 00 by august 3 2026	No	SELL	122	99¢	$121	0x245721…
08-06 17:16:51	will aapl dip to 300 by august 3 2026	Yes	SELL	22	4¢	$1	0xfa4791…
08-06 16:46:51	will aapl dip to 300 by august 3 2026	Yes	SELL	17	3¢	$1	0xafaa2b…
08-06 14:01:51	will open dip to 2 50 by august 3 2026	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x09aba6…
08-06 03:22:51	will nflx dip to 62 50 by august 3 2026	No	SELL	120	99¢	$119	0x964b9e…
08-06 03:21:50	will nflx dip to 62 50 by august 3 2026	No	SELL	63	99¢	$63	0x44eda6…
08-06 01:31:09	will open reach 5 00 by august 3 2026	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x48bf39…
08-06 01:31:02	will open reach 5 00 by august 3 2026	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xcfc294…
08-05 15:49:21	will open reach 5 00 by august 3 2026	No	SELL	66	99¢	$66	0x6264e5…
08-05 04:30:50	will hood dip to 85 by august 3 2026	Yes	SELL	45	14¢	$6	0x41f5cd…
08-05 04:21:20	will tsla reach 330 by august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xe4ace7…
08-05 02:07:50	will ukraine target moscow by august 7 2026 20260801211847596	Yes	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0x8927cf…
08-05 00:44:50	will hood dip to 85 by august 3 2026	Yes	SELL	23	14¢	$3	0x079d56…
08-04 21:56:47	iran successfully targets shipping by august 16 2026	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x72cd66…
08-04 21:56:44	iran successfully targets shipping by august 16 2026	Yes	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0xa3f4e3…
08-04 21:56:44	iran successfully targets shipping by august 16 2026	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x92fa11…
08-04 20:26:45	will ukraine target moscow by august 7 2026 20260801211847596	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x9e5c2b…
08-04 16:20:50	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	No	SELL	163	85¢	$139	0x6353ec…
08-04 11:01:50	will aapl dip to 300 by august 3 2026	Yes	SELL	45	79¢	$36	0x2a32b1…
08-04 06:18:51	will aapl dip to 300 by august 3 2026	Yes	SELL	195	68¢	$132	0x192e2f…
08-04 00:38:41	will aapl dip to 300 by august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	324	65¢	$210	0xe12e92…
08-03 12:01:23	will hood dip to 85 by august 3 2026	Yes	SELL	170	82¢	$140	0xe7ac45…
08-03 11:50:02	will abnb dip to 138 by august 3 2026	No	SELL	156	85¢	$132	0x4948fd…
08-03 08:54:42	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 15	No	SELL	21	82¢	$17	0xc68b00…
08-03 06:47:32	will abnb dip to 138 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	259	81¢	$210	0xaa7a93…
08-03 06:41:33	will hood dip to 85 by august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	284	74¢	$210	0x3da853…
08-03 04:07:03	will elon post chatgpt on x this week 20260724155239127	No	SELL	97	86¢	$83	0xbc7494…
08-03 04:07:02	will elon post chatgpt on x this week 20260724155239127	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xe23a37…
08-03 02:37:42	will nflx dip to 62 50 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	211	96¢	$202	0x1275c3…
08-03 02:37:41	will abnb reach 164 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	241	87¢	$210	0xbb2bce…
08-03 01:34:09	will open dip to 2 50 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	209	97¢	$202	0x738524…
08-03 00:19:06	will open reach 5 00 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	221	95¢	$210	0xb571f4…
08-02 23:50:09	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	No	SELL	30	84¢	$25	0xe79b81…
08-02 23:26:18	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	No	SELL	11	84¢	$9	0x2ed3c4…
08-02 21:50:56	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	No	SELL	46	84¢	$38	0x1f604b…
08-02 09:09:03	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	No	BUY	250	81¢	$202	0xee0f74…
08-02 04:55:08	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 15	No	SELL	83	77¢	$64	0xa05893…
08-02 00:25:11	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	88	75¢	$66	0x34cc3b…
08-01 23:54:24	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	353	71¢	$251	0x009533…
08-01 22:10:32	will anthropic reset claude usage limit by august 15 1785441877172	Yes	BUY	269	78¢	$210	0x379c58…
08-01 17:43:53	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	484	62¢	$300	0x07393c…
08-01 16:03:56	mlb nyy chc 2026 08 01	New York Yankees	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0xea7522…
08-01 15:19:00	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	441	68¢	$300	0x251ad3…
08-01 08:19:06	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 15	No	BUY	104	74¢	$77	0xe78f85…
08-01 05:56:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x66adcc…
08-01 05:55:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	SELL	32	75¢	$24	0xaf78e8…
08-01 05:06:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	39	72¢	$28	0x76e3a1…
07-31 20:03:11	will pltr dip to 102 in july 2026	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xaeb9aa…
07-31 17:32:11	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	No	SELL	21	91¢	$20	0x914291…
07-31 15:33:14	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	SELL	30	68¢	$20	0x44acbe…
07-31 15:31:23	will nvda dip to 184 in july 2026	No	SELL	113	99¢	$112	0xcff47b…
07-31 13:30:29	will nvda dip to 184 in july 2026	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x219593…
07-31 13:00:29	will nvda dip to 184 in july 2026	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x4b33db…
07-31 04:58:50	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xe8793e…
07-31 02:25:09	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	279	89¢	$248	0x1a89ed…
07-30 23:14:00	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	349	86¢	$300	0x86b808…
07-30 21:16:12	will rklb dip to 58 by july 27 2026	No	SELL	114	88¢	$100	0xf020b7…
07-30 19:05:12	will rklb dip to 58 by july 27 2026	No	SELL	114	91¢	$103	0x39f84f…