Black-Athletics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

+$11

Hit rate

26.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,276

lifetime

Volume

$31.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-13

last 07-21 17:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

40% 25% $-18

Politics

28% 50% $-0

Tech

19% — —

Sports

12% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?	No		+0	$-11	76¢	$0	+$11	07-07 08:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	9	$832	590	590	+0	open	—	07-08 02:10
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	9	$615	421	421	+0	open	—	06-30 01:01
gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	7	$521	345	345	+0	open	—	07-08 04:01
untitled market 1 20260627173541502	5	$514	281	281	+0	open	—	07-07 15:11
will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	6	$487	352	352	+0	open	—	06-29 14:41
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	7	$443	315	315	+0	open	—	07-20 22:37
will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	8	$406	283	268	+15	open	—	07-15 08:26
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	3	$330	224	145	+78	open	—	07-17 16:04
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	5	$319	216	216	+0	open	—	06-22 14:46
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?	5	$310	208	208	+0	open	—	07-07 08:20
will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	58	$306	225	225	+0	open	—	06-23 16:27
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	5	$295	205	205	+0	open	—	06-26 01:56
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	3	$293	194	194	+0	open	—	06-25 21:13
israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	4	$288	167	167	+0	open	—	07-14 02:46
will trump say alexander or hamilton during tribute to america rally 20260630160620577	4	$288	225	225	+0	open	—	07-05 01:49
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	4	$279	208	208	+0	open	—	06-30 13:54
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	4	$278	176	176	+0	open	—	06-22 20:24
will taiwan semiconductor tsm q2 revenue usd be above 40b 20260619202534028	4	$277	201	201	+0	open	—	07-09 22:53
iran successfully targets shipping by july 15 20260629202434612	5	$277	229	229	+0	open	—	07-02 04:11
iran successfully targets shipping by july 15 20260707223722047	3	$277	199	199	+0	open	—	07-08 17:43
will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 17 2026 20260624195228148 249 148 455 443 813	4	$277	185	185	+0	open	—	06-30 01:01
will trump praise lionel messi by june 30	3	$277	173	173	+0	open	—	06-28 20:21
israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884	3	$277	218	218	+0	open	—	07-03 18:20
andrii sybiha appointed as ukrainian minister of foreign affairs by july 31 20260716170642931	3	$276	161	161	+0	open	—	07-18 20:14
gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	4	$276	145	145	+0	open	—	07-04 22:28
gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	3	$276	142	142	+0	open	—	07-08 03:15
bkfibaqas syr ira 2026 07 05	5	$276	159	159	+0	open	—	07-05 14:06
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	3	$275	155	155	+0	open	—	07-02 13:32
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	3	$273	208	208	+0	open	—	07-15 20:54
will tsla dip to 345 by july 6 2026	3	$273	139	139	+0	open	—	07-09 14:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 17:22:19	will abnb reach 150 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	24	69¢	$17	0x6310bf…
07-21 16:32:19	will spy dip to 720 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	59	97¢	$57	0x008f82…
07-21 13:43:19	will abnb reach 152 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	54	80¢	$43	0x819440…
07-21 07:57:19	will trump speak to luiz inacio lula da silva in july 20260626154217439	No	SELL	54	75¢	$41	0x26be84…
07-21 07:25:03	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	161	84¢	$135	0x624ac2…
07-21 05:08:19	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	SELL	33	76¢	$25	0x28e2e4…
07-21 04:54:18	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	SELL	33	78¢	$26	0x8a31f8…
07-21 02:22:15	will abnb reach 152 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	90	76¢	$68	0x20c497…
07-21 00:02:45	will abnb reach 150 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	73	63¢	$46	0xf423e8…
07-20 23:26:25	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x4cf504…
07-20 23:24:00	will meta dip to 630 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	143	63¢	$90	0x29f2fc…
07-20 23:21:45	will coin dip to 150 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	18	60¢	$11	0x0ef476…
07-20 22:37:46	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x4c3acd…
07-20 21:33:57	will googl dip to 325 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	173	78¢	$135	0x2353fe…
07-20 21:30:16	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	SELL	28	72¢	$20	0xa35cf8…
07-20 21:29:45	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x5b3542…
07-20 21:29:40	will coin dip to 150 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x425c46…
07-20 21:17:45	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	SELL	31	71¢	$22	0x18ad6b…
07-20 20:38:43	will abnb reach 150 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	15	63¢	$9	0x21920a…
07-20 20:36:45	will abnb reach 150 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x4dbc03…
07-20 20:30:45	will abnb reach 150 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	11	66¢	$7	0x4b1e3a…
07-20 20:28:42	will googl dip to 320 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	155	87¢	$135	0xb62012…
07-20 20:23:33	will abnb dip to 136 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	85	82¢	$70	0x69144d…
07-20 20:13:48	will abnb reach 150 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	153	59¢	$90	0x43176b…
07-20 20:13:46	will tsla reach 412 50 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	110	82¢	$90	0xb93a1c…
07-20 19:28:34	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	BUY	132	68¢	$90	0x656376…
07-20 18:03:55	wnba nyl dal 2026 07 20	Dallas Wings	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0x647e23…
07-20 16:41:37	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x390f47…
07-20 13:42:01	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	SELL	13	76¢	$10	0x8c900b…
07-20 13:31:42	will spy dip to 710 in july 2026	No	SELL	24	87¢	$21	0x514275…
07-20 13:00:10	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	SELL	30	77¢	$23	0xbec9b0…
07-20 12:54:48	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x8fa6ff…
07-20 12:16:40	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	BUY	62	72¢	$45	0x71d5c0…
07-20 00:33:27	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	SELL	19	79¢	$15	0xbc0692…
07-19 23:44:27	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	24	98¢	$23	0xc96e48…
07-19 23:36:37	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	SELL	76	74¢	$56	0x1787f4…
07-19 22:50:06	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	BUY	95	71¢	$67	0x911809…
07-19 22:44:27	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	29	94¢	$27	0xaadcc0…
07-19 22:24:28	Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x4a5009…
07-19 22:23:28	Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x0610f0…
07-19 21:53:28	will 5 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228790	No	SELL	22	91¢	$20	0x5bdf50…
07-19 21:52:28	will 5 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228790	No	SELL	33	92¢	$30	0xd17232…
07-19 19:29:45	will spy dip to 710 in july 2026	No	BUY	80	84¢	$67	0x2d6571…
07-19 14:01:31	Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	41	88¢	$36	0xd02530…
07-19 14:00:31	Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	17	88¢	$15	0x8bca2c…
07-19 05:27:31	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	SELL	21	67¢	$14	0xe96d2c…
07-19 03:33:31	will spy reach 780 in july 2026	No	SELL	46	94¢	$43	0xe9d7b6…
07-19 01:10:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	45	91¢	$41	0x3c8458…
07-19 01:10:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x7fab75…
07-19 00:39:10	will 5 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228790	No	BUY	55	82¢	$45	0xad36e4…
07-19 00:15:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x36558c…
07-18 23:03:22	will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xf0503f…
07-18 23:02:22	will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x713e68…
07-18 20:14:22	andrii sybiha appointed as ukrainian minister of foreign affairs by july 31 20260716170642931	No	SELL	64	88¢	$57	0x7eb0ab…
07-18 18:53:24	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	Yes	SELL	18	85¢	$15	0x6f24c4…
07-18 18:42:24	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	Yes	SELL	71	79¢	$56	0x0bd12b…
07-18 17:17:33	andrii sybiha appointed as ukrainian minister of foreign affairs by july 31 20260716170642931	No	SELL	96	88¢	$85	0xa77591…
07-18 16:08:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	77	88¢	$67	0x02d72e…
07-18 15:57:22	will 5 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228790	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x3b7d05…
07-18 13:25:15	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	SELL	71	66¢	$47	0x717fbc…
07-18 12:23:24	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0x5f5bff…
07-18 07:43:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	17	83¢	$14	0x3ff508…
07-18 06:59:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	69	81¢	$56	0x37afce…
07-18 06:28:54	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	Yes	BUY	89	76¢	$67	0x7d8387…
07-18 02:28:40	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0x01b5be…
07-17 21:08:12	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x2e915e…
07-17 21:07:52	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	SELL	24	89¢	$21	0x79a4c5…
07-17 20:30:57	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	78	86¢	$67	0x3bfcef…
07-17 19:55:15	will trump meet with giorgia meloni in july 2026 20260626153701912	Yes	BUY	54	84¢	$45	0x8d643b…
07-17 19:40:34	will apple tv announce a new project at sdcc 2026 20260713165131275	No	BUY	24	67¢	$16	0xc9cebe…
07-17 17:59:54	will spy dip to 730 in july 2026	No	SELL	93	48¢	$44	0x770af6…
07-17 17:10:19	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	BUY	107	63¢	$67	0xff3f7b…
07-17 16:50:37	andrii sybiha appointed as ukrainian minister of foreign affairs by july 31 20260716170642931	No	BUY	161	84¢	$135	0x47bb8d…
07-17 16:23:58	will nflx dip to 62 50 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	22	98¢	$21	0x447c58…
07-17 16:13:52	will nflx reach 85 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0x12b8c8…
07-17 16:11:52	will wti reach 85 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0x956a63…
07-17 16:04:19	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	78	86¢	$67	0xb40df1…
07-17 15:25:54	will nflx dip to 65 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	31	92¢	$29	0x54df5f…
07-17 14:18:24	will nflx dip to 65 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	47	91¢	$42	0x503c52…
07-17 12:01:54	will msft reach 427 50 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	49	99¢	$48	0x5a050d…
07-17 12:00:55	will msft reach 427 50 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xdca1ed…
07-17 11:00:52	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	30	82¢	$25	0x13b6d6…
07-17 07:35:12	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	58	77¢	$45	0x7bea66…
07-17 06:25:54	will nflx reach 87 50 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	49	98¢	$49	0x7e10b9…
07-16 22:52:05	will nflx reach 87 50 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x50d390…
07-16 22:09:41	will trump praise allah again by july 31 20260709192527504	No	SELL	36	78¢	$28	0x5c46b0…
07-16 21:54:13	will nflx reach 85 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0x3c65fc…
07-16 21:17:38	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	14	76¢	$11	0x7ad10b…
07-16 21:15:38	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	14	75¢	$11	0x0af344…
07-16 20:00:26	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	42	68¢	$29	0x1d1d68…
07-16 18:22:38	will wti reach 85 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	45	95¢	$43	0x99e5d7…
07-16 17:40:17	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	70	64¢	$45	0xd5175a…
07-16 12:26:53	will nflx dip to 62 50 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	73	93¢	$67	0xa58449…
07-16 12:25:29	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	145	88¢	$128	0x8e2149…
07-16 11:50:31	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	SELL	107	49¢	$52	0x0643e7…
07-16 10:22:47	will nflx reach 87 50 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	71	95¢	$67	0xd67cbf…
07-16 09:44:32	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 20 2026 20260714195149522	Yes	SELL	84	3¢	$3	0xdb07e8…
07-16 09:27:08	will msft reach 427 50 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	70	97¢	$67	0x313ec4…
07-16 07:46:10	will wti reach 85 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	75	90¢	$67	0xbd934a…
07-16 07:36:26	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	87	78¢	$67	0x579803…