Favorable-Amenity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.6%

Resolved

Trades

243

lifetime

Volume

$472

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 06-14 22:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 60% $-2

Politics

6% — —

Other

2% 0% $-6

Sports

2% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	16	$37	45	35	+10	open	—	04-28 02:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	13	$25	55	45	+10	open	—	04-27 20:43
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	10	$20	43	33	+11	open	—	04-27 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	7	$18	28	11	+17	open	—	04-28 02:34
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	9	$13	25	20	+5	open	—	04-27 20:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	3	$12	49	49	+0	open	—	05-10 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	7	$12	20	15	+5	open	—	04-27 20:56
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	6	$11	20	10	+10	open	—	04-28 02:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4PM ET	7	$11	40	34	+6	open	—	04-27 20:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	5	$10	15	10	+5	open	—	04-28 02:32
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	05-10 16:59
Will XRP reach $2.00 in May?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-10 18:49
Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on May 23?	2	$9	9	9	+0	open	—	05-23 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	3	$9	11	6	+5	open	—	04-28 03:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	5	$8	28	23	+5	open	—	04-27 20:42
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	5	$8	15	10	+5	open	—	04-28 02:47
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$7	22	22	+0	open	—	05-09 11:27
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$7	27	27	+0	open	—	05-09 11:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11PM ET	6	$7	37	30	+7	open	—	04-28 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	3	$6	10	5	+5	open	—	04-27 20:56
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 4PM ET	5	$6	15	10	+5	open	—	04-27 20:48
Ethereum Up or Down on May 9?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	05-09 12:30
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-27 20:41
Bitcoin above 77,000 on April 27, 5PM ET?	3	$5	10	5	+5	open	—	04-27 20:49
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 11?	1	$5	15	0	+15	No	$-5	05-10 17:04
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 17?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-10 17:01
ufc mic12 mau4 2026 06 14	1	$5	25	0	+25	open	—	06-14 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	3	$5	10	5	+5	open	—	04-28 02:12
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 21?	2	$5	39	39	+0	open	—	05-21 10:39
XRP Up or Down on May 20?	1	$4	8	0	+8	open	—	05-19 16:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 22:20:42	ufc mic12 mau4 2026 06 14	Michael Chandler	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0x401368…
05-23 21:19:27	Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on May 23?	No	SELL	9	52¢	$5	0x489793…
05-23 21:13:32	Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on May 23?	No	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x976432…
05-21 10:39:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	39	1¢	$0	0xb7c817…
05-19 16:02:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	39	11¢	$4	0x92e15e…
05-19 16:02:55	XRP Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x448805…
05-18 15:59:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbe19cf…
05-18 09:17:38	Will XRP reach $1.40 on May 18?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x8adf55…
05-18 09:17:22	Will XRP reach $1.40 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x14e01b…
05-18 09:17:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 20?	No	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x91638e…
05-18 09:17:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x0f7057…
05-18 09:17:08	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on May 18?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8ce437…
05-18 09:17:08	Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x728204…
05-18 09:17:08	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x00171d…
05-14 21:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x098fca…
05-14 20:59:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x434b18…
05-14 20:04:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4a1716…
05-14 20:03:38	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7853d6…
05-14 19:27:00	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	2	26¢	$0	0x283f80…
05-14 19:18:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xd2f20d…
05-14 19:06:14	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3520e6…
05-14 18:21:39	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x68dc51…
05-14 18:12:26	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xa91781…
05-14 17:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe1f23c…
05-14 17:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x763243…
05-14 17:20:45	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x51359f…
05-14 17:18:26	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe31d87…
05-14 16:59:38	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0xb6e439…
05-14 16:46:20	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x876a1e…
05-14 16:17:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x51e0e3…
05-14 16:13:01	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa4da6e…
05-14 16:07:37	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x4b8641…
05-11 06:43:03	XRP Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xbaf8a5…
05-11 06:43:03	XRP Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x753caf…
05-10 19:19:11	Ethereum Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x704731…
05-10 18:49:57	Will XRP reach $2.00 in May?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x6bc81e…
05-10 18:19:25	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on May 10?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x8069c9…
05-10 17:04:38	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x43dc3f…
05-10 17:02:02	Will XRP reach $2.00 in May?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xffe447…
05-10 17:01:31	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x2b83b1…
05-10 16:59:56	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x1b50ce…
05-10 16:59:51	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	No	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x9f8e02…
05-10 16:59:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	14¢	$7	0x762918…
05-09 23:27:10	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	No	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x60a998…
05-09 12:30:34	Ethereum Up or Down on May 9?	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$5	0xf73f36…
05-09 11:27:53	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	27	15¢	$4	0xeb0dcb…
05-09 11:27:53	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	22	19¢	$4	0x84b945…
05-07 07:56:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xb05fd6…
05-07 00:16:34	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xc56546…
05-05 10:34:18	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner	Nongshim Red Force	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x524b84…
05-05 10:01:36	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Nongshim Red Force	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xab82fb…
05-05 08:02:18	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x01fc4a…
05-01 13:42:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	9¢	$3	0x9a8ac3…
05-01 13:39:36	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	22	15¢	$3	0xf2a696…
05-01 13:37:18	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	27	12¢	$3	0x44d05b…
04-28 05:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc09807…
04-28 05:57:00	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x073989…
04-28 04:56:50	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x880c8f…
04-28 04:55:12	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xcf9a3a…
04-28 04:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	5¢	$1	0x022377…
04-28 03:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0x6929d1…
04-28 03:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x2432ca…
04-28 03:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xf9a48d…
04-28 03:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x4eaa96…
04-28 03:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd20e58…
04-28 03:41:12	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x897775…
04-28 03:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xa036a7…
04-28 03:41:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x3efa8c…
04-28 03:37:52	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xb4bf90…
04-28 03:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xe6184c…
04-28 03:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xd6302b…
04-28 03:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x445a2b…
04-28 03:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x393a37…
04-28 03:31:26	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xcb9381…
04-28 03:31:26	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x0cb4f0…
04-28 03:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xf00439…
04-28 03:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x40276e…
04-28 03:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x5a9e35…
04-28 03:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x4099cd…
04-28 03:18:34	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x05898b…
04-28 03:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xed5db0…
04-28 03:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x799359…
04-28 03:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x448685…
04-28 03:01:00	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd50935…
04-28 03:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xcc0904…
04-28 02:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe06659…
04-28 02:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x915b30…
04-28 02:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x83cd61…
04-28 02:51:08	Ethereum above 2,290 on April 27, 11PM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xac398e…
04-28 02:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xac7984…
04-28 02:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x8c2080…
04-28 02:47:34	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x9c5c93…
04-28 02:47:22	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xbc6089…
04-28 02:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x044634…
04-28 02:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x378b63…
04-28 02:46:58	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x0e977b…
04-28 02:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x76d25c…
04-28 02:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x9f160b…
04-28 02:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xbe2622…
04-28 02:46:50	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x8b2e8a…