Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12PM ET
open
Total volume
$491
Trades
53
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$8,449
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 16:56
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+29.5¢
(top1%: 70% YES on $78
vs crowd: 41% YES on $412)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $55 | $22 | +$33 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $35 | $74 | $39 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $79 | $147 | $68 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $55 | $23 | +$32 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $36 | $26 | +$10 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 7 | $25 | $18 | +$7 |
| Below median | 7 | $43 | $5 | +$38 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $49 | $49 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $122 | $122 |
| unranked | 2 | $10 | — | +$10 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Humming-Gap 0xe741…6d56 | Down | +213 | $99 | $99 | 1 | 05-14 16:06 |
| Noteworthy-Vintner 0x1f6b…267e | Down | +209 | $23 | $23 | 4 | 05-14 16:43 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | +153 | $22 | $22 | 4 | 05-14 16:51 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +140 | $55 | $55 | 9 | 05-14 16:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x02f7…dd8f | Down | +95 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 05-13 03:47 |
| Irritating-Lamb 0xfc10…a8d5 | Down | +76 | $23 | $23 | 5 | 05-14 16:36 |
| Unlawful-Incandescence 0x8617…5fa2 | Up | +50 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 16:54 |
| Round-Critic 0x385b…b81d | Down | +33 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 16:11 |
| Orderly-Balance 0xea58…520c | Up | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-14 16:41 |
| Any-Eyeball 0x6006…c7e4 | Up | +20 | $19 | $24 | 2 | 05-14 16:56 |
| Irritating-Lamb 0xfc10…a8d5 | Up | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 16:09 |
| Circular-Characterization 0xd64e…42b9 | Up | +19 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 05-14 16:29 |
| Substantial-Asterisk 0x70b0…65c8 | Up | +15 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 16:54 |
| Miserable-Geranium 0x929a…5f88 | Down | +15 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-14 16:54 |
| Substantial-Asterisk 0x70b0…65c8 | Down | +15 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 16:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x4a54…84b2 | Up | +11 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-14 16:51 |
| Wee-Playroom 0xf247…5216 | Down | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 16:16 |
| Brilliant-Waterwheel 0x0546…2889 | Up | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 16:24 |
| Tired-Art 0xa64d…cad1 | Down | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 16:29 |
| Any-Eyeball 0x6006…c7e4 | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 16:56 |
| Insistent-Institution-Streetcar 0xd543…f65b | Up | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 16:24 |
| Massive-Scissors 0xd599…5eb6 | Up | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 16:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x093c…7f43 | Up | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 16:34 |
| Total-Neighbor 0x3f12…3251 | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 16:09 |
| Wavy-Ambiguity 0x4270…d531 | Down | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 16:54 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 16:56:41 | Any-Eyeball 0x6006…c7e4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x962066… |
| 05-14 16:56:41 | Any-Eyeball 0x6006…c7e4 | Up | SELL | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0x39e332… |
| 05-14 16:54:38 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x173d3a… |
| 05-14 16:54:35 | Substantial-Asterisk 0x70b0…65c8 | Up | BUY | 15 | 27¢ | $4 | 0x32e0aa… |
| 05-14 16:54:23 | Unlawful-Incandescence 0x8617…5fa2 | Up | BUY | 50 | 30¢ | $15 | 0x6b7e03… |
| 05-14 16:54:17 | Metallic-Towtruck 0x7d7f…faed | Down | SELL | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0x182652… |
| 05-14 16:54:14 | (anonymous) 0x4a54…84b2 | Down | SELL | 7 | 71¢ | $5 | 0x0b1090… |
| 05-14 16:54:14 | Wavy-Ambiguity 0x4270…d531 | Down | BUY | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0xff4a6c… |
| 05-14 16:54:12 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0x3520f1… |
| 05-14 16:54:10 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x2face8… |
| 05-14 16:54:09 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 20 | 28¢ | $6 | 0x273768… |
| 05-14 16:54:07 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 7 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x881e42… |
| 05-14 16:54:05 | Miserable-Geranium 0x929a…5f88 | Down | BUY | 15 | 82¢ | $12 | 0xeb53b4… |
| 05-14 16:54:05 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 31 | 20¢ | $6 | 0x8c5599… |
| 05-14 16:54:05 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xaed468… |
| 05-14 16:51:50 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x4cb817… |
| 05-14 16:51:50 | (anonymous) 0x4a54…84b2 | Up | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0xa60254… |
| 05-14 16:51:50 | Enormous-Cappelletti 0x03dd…8642 | Up | SELL | 9 | 87¢ | $8 | 0x6610ae… |
| 05-14 16:51:50 | (anonymous) 0x4a54…84b2 | Up | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x87a69d… |
| 05-14 16:51:49 | (anonymous) 0x4595…4353 | Up | SELL | 15 | 88¢ | $13 | 0xdd6902… |
| 05-14 16:43:47 | Noteworthy-Vintner 0x1f6b…267e | Down | BUY | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x5485c8… |
| 05-14 16:41:41 | Orderly-Balance 0xea58…520c | Up | BUY | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0x2221c6… |
| 05-14 16:41:31 | Rare-Law 0xb206…328e | Up | SELL | 25 | 95¢ | $23 | 0x52b9a4… |
| 05-14 16:36:32 | Irritating-Lamb 0xfc10…a8d5 | Down | BUY | 15 | 19¢ | $3 | 0x196071… |
| 05-14 16:34:03 | (anonymous) 0x093c…7f43 | Up | BUY | 3 | 79¢ | $2 | 0x79ec9b… |
| 05-14 16:29:37 | Wee-Playroom 0xf247…5216 | Up | SELL | 9 | 83¢ | $8 | 0x8fe58f… |
| 05-14 16:29:37 | Irritating-Lamb 0xfc10…a8d5 | Down | BUY | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xd8613a… |
| 05-14 16:29:35 | Bare-Belief 0x2fb3…2da0 | Up | SELL | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xf92498… |
| 05-14 16:29:33 | Tired-Art 0xa64d…cad1 | Down | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x9d6de8… |
| 05-14 16:29:05 | Circular-Characterization 0xd64e…42b9 | Up | BUY | 9 | 86¢ | $8 | 0x4f344c… |
| 05-14 16:26:51 | Noteworthy-Vintner 0x1f6b…267e | Down | BUY | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x43b7f9… |
| 05-14 16:24:04 | Circular-Characterization 0xd64e…42b9 | Up | BUY | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0x500add… |
| 05-14 16:24:04 | Insistent-Institution-Streetcar 0xd543…f65b | Up | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x37fd92… |
| 05-14 16:24:04 | Brilliant-Waterwheel 0x0546…2889 | Up | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x008095… |
| 05-14 16:21:25 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0xfb649c… |
| 05-14 16:16:47 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 15 | 20¢ | $3 | 0x546471… |
| 05-14 16:16:43 | Wee-Playroom 0xf247…5216 | Down | BUY | 9 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x7a1b3e… |
| 05-14 16:14:34 | Noteworthy-Vintner 0x1f6b…267e | Down | BUY | 89 | 19¢ | $17 | 0xcf70c3… |
| 05-14 16:14:15 | Noteworthy-Vintner 0x1f6b…267e | Down | BUY | 15 | 19¢ | $3 | 0x885485… |
| 05-14 16:11:39 | Round-Critic 0x385b…b81d | Down | BUY | 33 | 15¢ | $5 | 0xd811d7… |
| 05-14 16:11:35 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 18 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x87f40a… |
| 05-14 16:11:30 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 110 | 14¢ | $15 | 0x4c9571… |
| 05-14 16:11:30 | Any-Eyeball 0x6006…c7e4 | Up | BUY | 25 | 86¢ | $22 | 0x3da9fd… |
| 05-14 16:11:27 | Irritating-Lamb 0xfc10…a8d5 | Down | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x29b942… |
| 05-14 16:09:33 | Irritating-Lamb 0xfc10…a8d5 | Up | BUY | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0xddbe21… |
| 05-14 16:09:15 | Substantial-Asterisk 0x70b0…65c8 | Down | BUY | 15 | 28¢ | $4 | 0x7a1850… |
| 05-14 16:09:12 | Total-Neighbor 0x3f12…3251 | Down | BUY | 2 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x881613… |
| 05-14 16:09:08 | Massive-Scissors 0xd599…5eb6 | Up | BUY | 3 | 73¢ | $2 | 0x98f3dd… |
| 05-14 16:06:34 | Irritating-Lamb 0xfc10…a8d5 | Down | BUY | 20 | 47¢ | $9 | 0x50a653… |
| 05-14 16:06:29 | Irritating-Lamb 0xfc10…a8d5 | Down | BUY | 15 | 45¢ | $7 | 0xeec383… |
| 05-14 16:06:26 | Humming-Gap 0xe741…6d56 | Down | BUY | 213 | 46¢ | $99 | 0x70d29f… |
| 05-14 16:06:26 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 33 | 55¢ | $18 | 0xd5bc7e… |
| 05-13 03:47:28 | (anonymous) 0x02f7…dd8f | Down | BUY | 95 | 51¢ | $49 | 0xfa405a… |