Distinct-Drug — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

-$34

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

135

Trades

1,495

lifetime

Volume

$13.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$97

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 06-28 21:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 100% +$7

Politics

26% — —

Other

21% 100% +$1

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 170 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No		+213	$149	46¢	$97	$-51	06-17 13:25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes		-50	$-18	0¢	$-0	+$18	06-02 17:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	12	$1.1K	1,008	1,008	+0	open	—	06-28 21:45
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	11	$857	600	802	-202	open	—	06-13 06:06
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	8	$836	600	600	+0	open	—	06-08 20:55
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	7	$578	602	602	+0	open	—	06-13 03:16
Fed rate hike in 2026?	6	$387	400	187	+213	open	—	06-17 13:25
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$352	200	200	+0	open	—	06-26 06:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$308	200	200	+0	open	—	06-01 17:21
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	2	$304	200	200	+0	open	—	06-01 20:32
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	6	$260	200	200	+0	open	—	06-04 22:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$252	200	200	+0	open	—	05-29 15:28
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	4	$240	200	200	+0	open	—	06-10 00:03
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	3	$158	200	200	+0	open	—	06-26 11:05
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$152	100	100	+0	open	—	05-25 11:09
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	3	$152	200	200	+0	open	—	05-26 14:36
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	3	$128	84	84	+0	open	—	06-09 00:29
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	1	$110	200	0	+200	open	—	05-27 18:33
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	4	$106	86	86	+0	open	—	06-10 11:11
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	3	$100	400	200	+200	open	—	06-10 10:17
will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	2	$76	63	63	+0	open	—	06-09 18:05
sports prediction markets taxed as gambling	1	$69	0	100	-100	open	—	06-08 15:01
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	2	$62	50	50	+0	open	—	06-05 13:17
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	2	$56	200	200	+0	open	—	06-02 13:52
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	2	$43	53	53	+0	open	—	06-05 11:19
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	2	$43	52	52	+0	open	—	06-11 08:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	2	$42	51	51	+0	open	—	06-26 05:50
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	3	$24	200	200	+0	open	—	06-05 15:06
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	2	$24	20	20	+0	open	—	06-25 11:09
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	4	$18	0	50	-50	open	—	06-02 17:22
eth updown 5m 1776837000	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-22 05:54
eth updown 5m 1776436800	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-17 14:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 21:45:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	200	59¢	$118	0x18a740…
06-28 20:46:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0xa59393…
06-26 11:05:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0x2da5b4…
06-26 11:05:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	185	41¢	$76	0xe0ea3c…
06-26 11:01:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0xe495c3…
06-26 06:11:49	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	88¢	$176	0x9b1a5f…
06-26 06:08:05	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0xe90fa4…
06-26 05:50:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	41¢	$21	0xcbe8f1…
06-26 04:17:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	41¢	$21	0x30a2cc…
06-25 12:30:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	200	38¢	$76	0xfb387c…
06-25 11:50:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	200	59¢	$118	0xdaa65b…
06-25 11:44:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0xf65b80…
06-25 11:44:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x3a0ff2…
06-25 11:09:13	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x1305df…
06-25 11:08:59	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x6fd482…
06-22 14:33:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	208	51¢	$106	0x97ca04…
06-22 13:42:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	208	51¢	$106	0x56c0cd…
06-17 13:25:16	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x138d10…
06-15 08:19:00	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	32	64¢	$20	0x3d0670…
06-15 06:22:49	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	9	64¢	$6	0xd8f8fa…
06-15 06:21:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	93	64¢	$59	0xdb1426…
06-15 06:17:48	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	54	64¢	$34	0x4f571d…
06-15 06:16:37	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0x1ceb4a…
06-13 06:06:27	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	202	42¢	$85	0x0b95f7…
06-13 03:16:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	200	52¢	$104	0x9701da…
06-13 03:16:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x206461…
06-12 06:46:45	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	43¢	$86	0x048d04…
06-12 06:17:39	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0x68ff03…
06-11 17:05:43	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	18	78¢	$14	0x4213d7…
06-11 17:05:43	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	12	78¢	$9	0x0029b2…
06-11 17:05:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	140	78¢	$109	0xd04ca4…
06-11 17:05:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	30	78¢	$23	0x3b5e5e…
06-11 17:05:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0xf3db15…
06-11 08:21:22	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	SELL	52	41¢	$21	0xa9bd4e…
06-11 08:10:28	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	BUY	52	41¢	$21	0x19f1b5…
06-10 11:11:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	43	62¢	$27	0x200272…
06-10 11:04:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	43	61¢	$26	0x915be1…
06-10 10:17:49	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	SELL	200	12¢	$24	0x5bc569…
06-10 05:42:39	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	43	61¢	$26	0x99246a…
06-10 05:42:39	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	43	62¢	$27	0x51eb7a…
06-10 05:17:40	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0x42a2d4…
06-10 00:03:55	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	SELL	197	60¢	$118	0xdabd4d…
06-09 18:05:45	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	SELL	63	60¢	$38	0x516827…
06-09 00:29:07	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	48	76¢	$36	0xcfd5b0…
06-09 00:28:55	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	36	76¢	$27	0xc1aa7b…
06-08 20:55:22	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	147	82¢	$121	0x51b58f…
06-08 20:52:12	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	53	82¢	$43	0xc367c4…
06-08 20:52:09	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0x55fc6a…
06-08 15:01:45	sports prediction markets taxed as gambling	No	SELL	100	69¢	$69	0xe50faf…
06-08 07:16:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	SELL	3	59¢	$1	0x6e6198…
06-08 07:16:22	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xc79fde…
06-08 07:16:22	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	197	60¢	$118	0x7920d3…
06-07 22:14:21	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	84	76¢	$64	0x3fbbe3…
06-07 20:35:49	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	200	72¢	$144	0x2649b4…
06-07 20:34:04	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0xc84750…
06-07 19:45:27	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	83	55¢	$46	0x5bd1b7…
06-07 19:45:19	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	117	55¢	$64	0x7dcce1…
06-07 19:45:04	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0x448c6f…
06-06 22:04:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	78	28¢	$22	0x5edf06…
06-06 18:34:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	122	28¢	$34	0x60311e…
06-06 09:34:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0x575989…
06-05 15:06:15	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	Yes	SELL	184	6¢	$11	0x27bf76…
06-05 15:06:10	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	Yes	SELL	16	6¢	$1	0xfe098a…
06-05 15:05:34	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x0f2902…
06-05 13:17:33	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0xd212f7…
06-05 12:55:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	202	60¢	$121	0x375a81…
06-05 12:53:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	202	60¢	$121	0xa08e89…
06-05 11:59:15	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0xed48d3…
06-05 11:19:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	53	41¢	$22	0xd3dc2c…
06-05 07:36:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	53	41¢	$22	0x3b383a…
06-05 07:14:46	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x1844fe…
06-05 00:39:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	189	72¢	$136	0xe6a165…
06-04 22:37:15	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	101	65¢	$66	0x8710c7…
06-04 22:31:01	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0xbdd87b…
06-04 22:27:37	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xeb2f15…
06-04 22:27:21	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	50	65¢	$32	0x107444…
06-04 22:27:19	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	46	65¢	$30	0xc478e7…
06-04 22:27:06	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x601b99…
06-03 20:19:33	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	11	72¢	$8	0x6d6e11…
06-03 20:19:30	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0xe8f5da…
06-03 20:12:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	164	63¢	$103	0x11c5bd…
06-03 20:02:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	11	63¢	$7	0x329c12…
06-03 19:57:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	25	63¢	$16	0x376e9a…
06-03 19:48:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0xed8710…
06-03 15:56:03	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	63	60¢	$38	0x728ea4…
06-02 17:22:44	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x4b9d4b…
06-02 17:22:35	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xb64c60…
06-02 17:22:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xf0ba43…
06-02 13:52:42	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	SELL	200	12¢	$24	0x70ccbb…
06-02 10:12:42	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	35	36¢	$13	0xedf414…
06-02 08:52:31	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x868943…
06-01 20:32:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	200	76¢	$152	0xe853ae…
06-01 17:21:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	77¢	$154	0x07fe9e…
06-01 15:57:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x19f126…
06-01 15:56:21	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0xbdb9ea…
05-29 15:28:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	200	63¢	$126	0x4d356c…
05-29 14:33:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x2a0fe4…
05-27 18:33:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0x60828f…
05-26 14:36:04	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	143	38¢	$54	0xb9b730…
05-26 14:34:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	57	38¢	$22	0x456e35…