Distinct-Drug — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$211

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.3%

Resolved

1,444

Trades

1,618

lifetime

Volume

$20.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 07-13 18:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 67 days

Categories

Crypto

33% 99% -$110

Politics

29% 6% -$82

Other

26% 90% -$21

Sports

9% 33% +$11

Tech

4% 20% -$8

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-13).

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	18	$1.5K	1,408	1,408	+0	No	+$8	07-03 01:52
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	12	$942	802	802	+0	Yes	+$0	06-13 06:06
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	8	$836	600	600	+0	No	$0	06-08 20:55
Fed rate hike in 2026?	10	$712	600	600	+0	Yes	-$40	07-10 18:27
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	6	$692	400	400	+0	open	—	07-01 07:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	6	$620	618	618	+0	No	+$0	05-29 15:28
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	7	$578	602	602	+0	Yes	-$17	06-13 03:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	4	$552	400	400	+0	open	—	07-07 01:40
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	5	$496	400	400	+0	No	+$8	07-01 14:46
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	6	$454	600	600	+0	No	-$58	07-13 18:10
Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$345	200	200	+0	No	+$5	06-16 22:28
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$329	200	200	+0	Yes	+$5	07-10 19:45
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	2	$312	200	200	+0	No	+$0	07-01 15:41
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$304	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	06-18 06:42
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	2	$304	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	06-01 20:32
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$296	200	200	+0	No	+$0	06-16 23:53
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$268	200	200	+0	No	+$0	06-02 17:35
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	6	$260	200	200	+0	open	—	06-04 22:37
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	4	$240	200	200	+0	Yes	$0	06-10 00:03
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	4	$233	138	138	+0	Yes	+$0	07-10 08:11
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	2	$212	200	200	+0	No	+$0	07-08 15:26
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	4	$204	138	138	+0	open	—	06-16 17:27
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	2	$192	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	07-11 10:50
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$175	129	129	+0	Yes	+$0	06-16 15:23
will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	2	$170	100	100	+0	No	+$0	07-11 20:09
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	3	$152	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-26 14:36
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$152	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	05-25 11:09
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	3	$151	100	100	+0	open	—	07-13 14:38
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$150	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-26 19:33
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	4	$144	400	400	+0	No	-$8	06-10 10:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 18:10:37	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	200	38¢	$76	0x91970f…
07-13 14:38:14	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	76¢	$53	0x0edbba…
07-13 14:38:13	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	77¢	$23	0xa34620…
07-13 14:37:55	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x152d82…
07-12 13:44:14	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xa3b725…
07-12 13:44:04	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	SELL	61	73¢	$44	0x145ceb…
07-11 23:02:52	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	BUY	64	73¢	$47	0xc5b1ca…
07-11 20:09:19	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0x3a6c4b…
07-11 13:53:01	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x29dc32…
07-11 10:50:04	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	48¢	$96	0x8abf7f…
07-10 19:45:08	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	200	83¢	$167	0x9dc802…
07-10 19:30:01	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0x6b890e…
07-10 18:27:34	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	54¢	$108	0x1980e7…
07-10 08:11:23	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	79	83¢	$66	0xc65102…
07-10 07:42:47	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	79	83¢	$66	0xa4f135…
07-09 10:10:17	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0x18f36d…
07-09 09:57:41	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0xacacc7…
07-08 17:30:11	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	59	86¢	$51	0x5d7fe9…
07-08 15:26:56	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	200	53¢	$106	0xa31f40…
07-08 07:15:25	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0x5d9970…
07-07 19:58:53	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0xd34ded…
07-07 14:51:55	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0xed6c15…
07-07 01:40:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	61¢	$122	0xf9d0fb…
07-06 23:21:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0xa9f42a…
07-06 22:31:47	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0x2123c6…
07-06 21:28:52	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0xaa22c8…
07-06 01:08:34	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	68¢	$2	0xc34f27…
07-06 01:08:16	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	71¢	$2	0xd3312e…
07-06 01:08:13	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	71¢	$18	0x65e8e5…
07-06 01:08:13	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	28	71¢	$20	0x3a709c…
07-06 00:52:02	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xc7ae99…
07-06 00:49:40	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	64	71¢	$45	0x42cb26…
07-05 13:57:17	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	200	29¢	$58	0x6193cf…
07-05 08:57:07	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0x66f9c2…
07-04 21:57:02	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	200	32¢	$64	0x0e43d7…
07-04 21:10:10	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0xb725fd…
07-03 01:52:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	200	74¢	$148	0x972763…
07-02 15:56:02	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	59	86¢	$51	0xa0b930…
07-02 14:24:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0xf3e728…
07-01 15:41:14	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	200	78¢	$156	0x61c098…
07-01 15:33:02	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0x6bdd85…
07-01 14:46:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0xdb4b15…
07-01 14:00:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x656e89…
07-01 10:26:26	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	SELL	75	65¢	$49	0x3a6d5f…
07-01 07:14:53	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x2d63bd…
07-01 07:14:35	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	190	85¢	$162	0xaa9911…
07-01 07:14:28	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x2eeaf3…
07-01 07:14:11	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x9a6525…
07-01 06:20:56	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	75	65¢	$49	0xf1f651…
06-30 02:52:34	Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	168	25¢	$42	0x5e3827…
06-30 02:38:16	Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	168	25¢	$42	0x5929b5…
06-28 21:45:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	200	59¢	$118	0x18a740…
06-28 20:49:13	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x809a4f…
06-28 20:46:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0xa59393…
06-28 20:35:41	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x6f7d0d…
06-28 20:23:05	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0xace2fa…
06-28 20:23:05	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x04cdd4…
06-28 20:23:04	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x49473f…
06-26 11:05:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0x2da5b4…
06-26 11:05:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	185	41¢	$76	0xe0ea3c…
06-26 11:01:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0xe495c3…
06-26 06:11:49	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	88¢	$176	0x9b1a5f…
06-26 06:08:05	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0xe90fa4…
06-26 05:50:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	41¢	$21	0xcbe8f1…
06-26 04:17:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	41¢	$21	0x30a2cc…
06-25 12:30:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	200	38¢	$76	0xfb387c…
06-25 11:50:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	200	59¢	$118	0xdaa65b…
06-25 11:44:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0xf65b80…
06-25 11:44:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x3a0ff2…
06-25 11:09:13	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x1305df…
06-25 11:08:59	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x6fd482…
06-25 00:45:38	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	54	60¢	$32	0xec48ad…
06-25 00:39:02	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	54	60¢	$32	0xd72620…
06-22 14:33:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	208	51¢	$106	0x97ca04…
06-22 13:42:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	208	51¢	$106	0x56c0cd…
06-18 06:42:31	Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	183	76¢	$139	0x591582…
06-18 06:42:31	Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	17	76¢	$13	0x28c302…
06-17 21:15:02	Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0xdffdac…
06-17 13:25:16	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x138d10…
06-16 23:53:14	Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	200	74¢	$148	0x0b6fbe…
06-16 22:28:56	Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	200	88¢	$175	0x415ea0…
06-16 22:28:17	Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0xf8b952…
06-16 17:27:14	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	70¢	$38	0x188abd…
06-16 15:23:53	Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	129	68¢	$88	0xfc6545…
06-16 14:56:19	Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	129	68¢	$88	0x8421a7…
06-16 14:53:31	Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x4e52e9…
06-16 04:02:21	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	70¢	$38	0xdfc748…
06-15 14:02:13	Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	65	69¢	$45	0xa01db1…
06-15 12:54:03	Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	65	69¢	$45	0xe4bfc7…
06-15 08:19:00	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	32	64¢	$20	0x3d0670…
06-15 08:11:37	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	13	64¢	$9	0xb85a29…
06-15 06:22:49	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	9	64¢	$6	0xd8f8fa…
06-15 06:21:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	93	64¢	$59	0xdb1426…
06-15 06:17:48	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	54	64¢	$34	0x4f571d…
06-15 06:16:37	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0x1ceb4a…
06-13 06:06:27	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	202	42¢	$85	0x0b95f7…
06-13 05:55:21	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	202	42¢	$85	0x9a837a…
06-13 03:16:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	200	52¢	$104	0x9701da…
06-13 03:16:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x206461…
06-12 06:46:45	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	43¢	$86	0x048d04…