Greedy-Inhabitant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

132

Trades

1,512

lifetime

Volume

$12.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$389

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 06-30 07:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 100% +$5

Other

22% 100% +$1

Politics

20% — —

Sports

3% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 147 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	+200	$138	100¢	$199	+$61	06-12 18:52
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	+400	$262	48¢	$190	$-72	06-17 13:25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	-50	$-14	0¢	$-0	+$14	06-02 13:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	4	$684	400	400	+0	open	—	06-30 07:30
Fed rate hike in 2026?	4	$518	600	200	+400	open	—	06-17 13:25
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	16	$484	295	504	-209	open	—	06-13 06:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3	$454	400	200	+200	open	—	06-12 18:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	7	$392	400	400	+0	open	—	06-25 13:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$308	200	200	+0	open	—	06-02 01:18
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	13	$300	200	200	+0	open	—	06-24 15:07
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	2	$276	200	200	+0	open	—	06-04 10:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	2	$264	200	200	+0	open	—	06-12 07:13
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	2	$256	200	200	+0	open	—	06-12 19:19
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	2	$247	206	206	+0	open	—	06-05 12:55
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	3	$240	200	200	+0	open	—	06-08 07:21
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	2	$208	200	200	+0	open	—	06-01 19:18
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	5	$144	200	200	+0	open	—	06-30 03:19
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	3	$138	177	177	+0	open	—	06-26 04:24
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	2	$117	93	93	+0	open	—	06-27 06:51
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	6	$103	102	102	+0	open	—	06-27 22:41
will netherlands reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134487	3	$98	100	100	+0	open	—	06-30 01:19
will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	2	$73	61	61	+0	open	—	06-09 18:05
sports prediction markets taxed as gambling	2	$69	0	100	-100	open	—	06-08 15:01
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	2	$67	64	64	+0	open	—	05-30 18:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?	2	$60	76	76	+0	open	—	06-02 14:39
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	1	$50	200	0	+200	open	—	06-05 07:14
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	2	$43	53	53	+0	open	—	06-05 11:19
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	1	$14	0	50	-50	open	—	06-02 13:27
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-30 22:40
eth updown 5m 1776436800	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-17 14:44
eth updown 5m 1776837000	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-22 05:54
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-24 12:59
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-14 19:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 07:30:32	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0x6d7c4e…
06-30 07:27:10	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x3b05db…
06-30 03:19:37	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	84	36¢	$30	0x64ff63…
06-30 03:18:43	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	46	36¢	$16	0x371147…
06-30 03:18:13	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	13	36¢	$5	0xdcaea6…
06-30 03:16:05	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	58	36¢	$21	0x075b4b…
06-30 02:57:13	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0xdceb62…
06-30 01:19:17	will netherlands reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134487	No	SELL	16	49¢	$8	0xc21bbb…
06-30 01:19:17	will netherlands reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134487	No	SELL	84	49¢	$41	0x24a132…
06-30 01:02:19	will netherlands reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134487	No	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x5db7cb…
06-29 12:36:01	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	86¢	$172	0x3dda9e…
06-29 12:35:56	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0xe0fa03…
06-27 22:41:19	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x7bf432…
06-27 22:41:08	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	49	51¢	$25	0x421f9e…
06-27 22:37:49	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	1	49¢	$0	0x818008…
06-27 22:37:40	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0x718e4c…
06-27 06:51:28	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	SELL	93	63¢	$59	0x1a247f…
06-27 06:51:23	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	93	63¢	$59	0x80ca02…
06-27 00:34:43	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	51	50¢	$26	0xceff77…
06-27 00:34:43	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	51	51¢	$26	0x2b00c5…
06-26 04:24:26	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	140	39¢	$55	0x1dbbf1…
06-26 04:24:26	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	37	39¢	$15	0x147450…
06-26 04:24:08	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	177	39¢	$69	0x9ccfe2…
06-25 13:19:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	195	35¢	$68	0x138896…
06-25 13:19:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x355c46…
06-25 13:18:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x0d4ecf…
06-24 15:07:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	65	75¢	$49	0x26079b…
06-24 14:55:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x4b9f0f…
06-24 14:55:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x3f6a2a…
06-24 14:55:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x0bae64…
06-24 14:55:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xfc9f0c…
06-24 14:55:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xca9847…
06-24 14:55:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x22027c…
06-24 14:50:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0xe444c3…
06-24 14:25:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0xb7ec37…
06-24 14:23:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xe02470…
06-24 14:21:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	18	75¢	$13	0x139668…
06-24 14:00:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	52	75¢	$39	0x9b4991…
06-24 13:27:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x234d47…
06-17 13:25:16	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x138d10…
06-15 06:16:34	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	64¢	$128	0x081994…
06-15 06:16:28	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0x114dbb…
06-14 06:08:15	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0x8177f7…
06-13 06:06:27	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	19	42¢	$8	0x0b95f7…
06-13 06:05:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	178	42¢	$75	0x7acf55…
06-12 19:19:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	64¢	$128	0x288840…
06-12 18:52:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	200	79¢	$158	0xfaca3b…
06-12 16:21:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0x4c32b9…
06-12 13:41:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0xf78547…
06-12 07:13:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	66¢	$132	0xf23060…
06-12 07:13:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0xc71c6e…
06-11 17:23:15	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	30	78¢	$23	0xa4a805…
06-11 17:06:25	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	29	78¢	$22	0xfe15ae…
06-11 17:06:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0x787d27…
06-11 17:05:15	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x756cb5…
06-11 17:05:10	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0xbee39f…
06-11 17:05:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	35	78¢	$27	0xb03113…
06-11 17:05:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0xa7a137…
06-11 17:05:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0x75b12d…
06-09 18:05:45	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	SELL	61	60¢	$37	0x516827…
06-08 15:01:45	sports prediction markets taxed as gambling	No	SELL	90	69¢	$62	0xe50faf…
06-08 07:21:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	SELL	39	60¢	$23	0xf07331…
06-08 07:16:24	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	SELL	161	60¢	$97	0xf7383e…
06-08 07:16:19	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x755f88…
06-08 03:28:36	sports prediction markets taxed as gambling	No	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x63f8c8…
06-05 12:55:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	206	60¢	$124	0x375a81…
06-05 12:53:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	206	60¢	$124	0xa08e89…
06-05 11:19:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	53	41¢	$22	0xd3dc2c…
06-05 07:36:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	53	41¢	$22	0x3b383a…
06-05 07:14:46	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x1844fe…
06-04 10:17:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	200	69¢	$138	0x4bb6ff…
06-03 20:41:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	72	63¢	$46	0xbef1a4…
06-03 20:30:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0x26b6ad…
06-03 20:12:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	127	63¢	$80	0x11c5bd…
06-03 19:48:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0xed8710…
06-03 15:56:03	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	61	60¢	$37	0xd9512a…
06-02 14:48:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	No	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0xcc19bc…
06-02 14:39:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?	Yes	SELL	76	40¢	$30	0xc4ddf7…
06-02 14:39:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	76	39¢	$30	0x8f1780…
06-02 13:27:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	50	29¢	$14	0x9c0493…
06-02 01:18:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	77¢	$154	0xfd8d72…
06-01 19:18:55	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	SELL	200	52¢	$104	0x7e77f2…
06-01 15:57:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x19f126…
06-01 12:25:45	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0xbb8566…
05-31 23:26:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0xfa9893…
05-31 23:26:33	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xbae73e…
05-31 23:02:26	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	160	62¢	$99	0x6f8644…
05-31 23:02:02	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	30	62¢	$19	0xc07fc1…
05-31 22:14:19	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x7cbdb4…
05-31 15:03:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x32e8aa…
05-30 22:40:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xd4f2a4…
05-30 21:41:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x4fe75f…
05-30 18:31:29	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	64	52¢	$33	0xa991e5…
05-30 18:09:35	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	64	52¢	$33	0x4fb8a4…
05-29 15:43:06	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x633efc…
05-29 15:33:02	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc65fe0…
05-29 15:32:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf73d2f…
05-29 14:52:59	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x832bf2…
05-29 14:38:05	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1b0d2f…
05-29 14:29:22	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdc9e83…