Greedy-Inhabitant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

-$131

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

132

Trades

1,548

lifetime

Volume

$15.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$73

1 position

First seen

2026-04-16

last 07-13 18:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

42% 100% +$5

Other

28% 100% +$1

Politics

22% — —

Sports

6% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No		+200	$204	36¢	$73	$-131	07-13 18:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	6	$1.0K	600	600	+0	open	—	07-01 07:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	8	$976	800	800	+0	open	—	07-08 02:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	9	$680	600	600	+0	open	—	07-02 14:25
Fed rate hike in 2026?	5	$576	600	400	+200	open	—	07-13 18:08
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	16	$484	295	504	-209	open	—	06-13 06:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3	$454	400	200	+200	open	—	06-12 18:52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$328	200	200	+0	open	—	07-12 07:54
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	13	$300	200	200	+0	open	—	06-24 15:07
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	3	$284	200	200	+0	open	—	07-03 13:06
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	2	$276	200	200	+0	open	—	06-04 10:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	2	$264	200	200	+0	open	—	06-12 07:13
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	2	$256	200	200	+0	open	—	06-12 19:19
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	2	$247	206	206	+0	open	—	06-05 12:55
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	3	$240	200	200	+0	open	—	06-08 07:21
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	4	$212	166	166	+0	open	—	07-01 10:26
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	2	$212	200	200	+0	open	—	07-08 15:26
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	2	$208	200	200	+0	open	—	06-01 19:18
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	2	$192	200	200	+0	open	—	07-11 10:49
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	2	$145	200	200	+0	open	—	07-08 18:30
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	5	$144	200	200	+0	open	—	06-30 03:19
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	3	$138	177	177	+0	open	—	06-26 04:24
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	3	$130	100	100	+0	open	—	07-07 18:28
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	6	$103	102	102	+0	open	—	06-27 22:41
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$100	100	100	+0	open	—	07-03 17:43
will netherlands reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134487	3	$98	100	100	+0	open	—	06-30 01:19
will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	2	$88	200	200	+0	open	—	06-30 22:59
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	2	$73	61	61	+0	open	—	06-09 18:05
will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	2	$72	200	200	+0	open	—	07-01 10:24
sports prediction markets taxed as gambling	2	$69	0	100	-100	open	—	06-08 15:01
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	2	$67	64	64	+0	open	—	05-30 18:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 18:08:59	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	29¢	$58	0x69c853…
07-12 07:54:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	200	82¢	$164	0xad5698…
07-12 03:45:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0x498ff9…
07-11 10:49:32	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	48¢	$96	0x1a79ff…
07-09 09:57:41	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0xacacc7…
07-08 18:30:47	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	28¢	$57	0xc320a1…
07-08 15:26:56	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	200	53¢	$106	0xa31f40…
07-08 02:24:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	200	37¢	$74	0x19bb6f…
07-08 02:23:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0x83f958…
07-07 18:28:35	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	70	65¢	$46	0xab5aa8…
07-07 18:28:34	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	65¢	$20	0xe58904…
07-07 18:28:32	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x7e21ee…
07-07 14:51:55	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0xed6c15…
07-07 01:40:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	61¢	$122	0xf9d0fb…
07-06 23:21:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0xa9f42a…
07-06 15:18:14	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	45	52¢	$23	0xc2841f…
07-06 15:18:10	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0x126083…
07-06 15:18:07	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56	52¢	$29	0xb48ff5…
07-06 10:42:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	69¢	$138	0x0bdb15…
07-06 10:42:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x0cf5c7…
07-06 01:17:11	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0x3c071a…
07-03 17:43:11	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0x75b4a3…
07-03 13:06:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	48	71¢	$34	0x193db8…
07-03 13:05:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	152	71¢	$108	0x091e91…
07-03 12:32:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x44b55f…
07-03 10:03:11	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xd15542…
07-02 14:25:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	200	72¢	$144	0x38fffa…
07-02 14:24:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0xf3e728…
07-01 10:26:26	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	SELL	73	65¢	$47	0x3a6d5f…
07-01 10:24:46	will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	Yes	SELL	200	18¢	$36	0x5e0cd2…
07-01 10:24:37	will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	Yes	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0xc07182…
07-01 07:14:49	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0xe8d313…
07-01 07:14:11	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x9a6525…
07-01 06:20:56	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	73	65¢	$47	0xf1f651…
06-30 22:59:52	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	Yes	SELL	200	22¢	$44	0x2d8c58…
06-30 22:54:14	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	Yes	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0xc18b57…
06-30 07:30:32	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0x6d7c4e…
06-30 07:27:10	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x3b05db…
06-30 03:19:37	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	84	36¢	$30	0x64ff63…
06-30 03:18:43	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	46	36¢	$16	0x371147…
06-30 03:18:13	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	13	36¢	$5	0xdcaea6…
06-30 03:16:05	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	58	36¢	$21	0x075b4b…
06-30 02:57:13	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0xdceb62…
06-30 01:19:17	will netherlands reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134487	No	SELL	16	49¢	$8	0xc21bbb…
06-30 01:19:17	will netherlands reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134487	No	SELL	84	49¢	$41	0x24a132…
06-30 01:02:19	will netherlands reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134487	No	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x5db7cb…
06-29 12:36:01	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	86¢	$172	0x3dda9e…
06-29 12:35:56	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0xe0fa03…
06-27 22:41:19	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x7bf432…
06-27 22:41:08	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	49	51¢	$25	0x421f9e…
06-27 22:37:49	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	1	49¢	$0	0x818008…
06-27 22:37:40	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0x718e4c…
06-27 06:51:28	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	SELL	93	63¢	$59	0x1a247f…
06-27 06:51:23	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	93	63¢	$59	0x80ca02…
06-27 00:34:43	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	51	50¢	$26	0xceff77…
06-27 00:34:43	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	51	51¢	$26	0x2b00c5…
06-26 04:24:26	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	140	39¢	$55	0x1dbbf1…
06-26 04:24:26	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	37	39¢	$15	0x147450…
06-26 04:24:08	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	177	39¢	$69	0x9ccfe2…
06-25 13:19:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	195	35¢	$68	0x138896…
06-25 13:19:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x355c46…
06-25 13:18:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x0d4ecf…
06-24 15:07:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	65	75¢	$49	0x26079b…
06-24 14:55:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x4b9f0f…
06-24 14:55:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x3f6a2a…
06-24 14:55:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x0bae64…
06-24 14:55:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xfc9f0c…
06-24 14:55:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xca9847…
06-24 14:55:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x22027c…
06-24 14:50:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0xe444c3…
06-24 14:25:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0xb7ec37…
06-24 14:23:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xe02470…
06-24 14:21:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	18	75¢	$13	0x139668…
06-24 14:00:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	52	75¢	$39	0x9b4991…
06-24 13:27:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x234d47…
06-17 13:25:16	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x138d10…
06-15 06:16:34	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	64¢	$128	0x081994…
06-15 06:16:28	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0x114dbb…
06-14 06:08:15	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0x8177f7…
06-13 06:06:27	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	19	42¢	$8	0x0b95f7…
06-13 06:05:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	178	42¢	$75	0x7acf55…
06-12 19:19:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	64¢	$128	0x288840…
06-12 18:52:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	200	79¢	$158	0xfaca3b…
06-12 16:21:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0x4c32b9…
06-12 13:41:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0xf78547…
06-12 07:13:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	66¢	$132	0xf23060…
06-12 07:13:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0xc71c6e…
06-11 17:23:15	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	30	78¢	$23	0xa4a805…
06-11 17:06:25	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	29	78¢	$22	0xfe15ae…
06-11 17:06:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0x787d27…
06-11 17:05:15	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x756cb5…
06-11 17:05:10	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0xbee39f…
06-11 17:05:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	35	78¢	$27	0xb03113…
06-11 17:05:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0xa7a137…
06-11 17:05:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0x75b12d…
06-09 18:05:45	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	SELL	61	60¢	$37	0x516827…
06-08 15:01:45	sports prediction markets taxed as gambling	No	SELL	90	69¢	$62	0xe50faf…
06-08 07:21:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	SELL	39	60¢	$23	0xf07331…
06-08 07:16:24	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	SELL	161	60¢	$97	0xf7383e…
06-08 07:16:19	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x755f88…