Greedy-Inhabitant — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$82

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.8%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

1,611 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$18.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 07-13 18:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Crypto

36% 99% -$2

Other

28% 93% -$69

Politics

22% 0% $0

Sports

10% 33% +$4

Tech

3% 0% -$8

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-13).

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	6	$1.0K	600	600	+0	open	—	07-01 07:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	8	$976	800	800	+0	open	—	07-08 02:24
Fed rate hike in 2026?	6	$698	600	600	+0	Yes	-$82	07-13 18:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	9	$680	600	600	+0	No	+$0	07-02 14:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	5	$594	400	400	+0	No	+$2	06-12 18:52
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	18	$572	504	504	+0	Yes	$0	06-13 06:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$328	200	200	+0	open	—	07-12 07:54
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$304	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	06-18 07:46
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	13	$300	200	200	+0	No	+$0	06-24 15:07
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$296	200	200	+0	No	+$0	06-16 23:53
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	2	$295	200	200	+0	No	+$3	07-11 07:40
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	3	$284	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	07-03 13:06
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	2	$276	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	06-04 10:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	2	$264	200	200	+0	open	—	06-12 07:13
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	2	$256	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	06-02 11:48
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	2	$256	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	06-12 19:19
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	2	$247	206	206	+0	Yes	+$0	06-05 12:55
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	3	$240	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	06-08 07:21
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	4	$212	166	166	+0	Max Holloway	+$0	07-01 10:26
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	2	$212	200	200	+0	No	+$0	07-08 15:26
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	2	$208	200	200	+0	No	+$0	06-01 19:18
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	2	$205	214	214	+0	No	+$8	07-11 19:53
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	2	$192	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	07-11 10:49
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	4	$151	100	100	+0	open	—	07-13 14:38
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	2	$145	200	200	+0	open	—	07-08 18:30
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	5	$144	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	06-30 03:19
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	3	$138	177	177	+0	No	$0	06-26 04:24
sports prediction markets taxed as gambling	3	$138	100	100	+0	open	—	06-08 15:01
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$133	80	80	+0	Yes	+$0	07-10 08:10
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	3	$130	100	100	+0	open	—	07-07 18:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 18:08:59	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	29¢	$58	0x69c853…
07-13 14:38:17	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	76¢	$23	0x78aef5…
07-13 14:38:07	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	75¢	$30	0x86d731…
07-13 14:38:04	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	77¢	$23	0xfb3fad…
07-13 14:37:55	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x152d82…
07-12 12:29:04	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	74	74¢	$55	0xe32c83…
07-12 07:56:29	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	74	74¢	$55	0x3f47d1…
07-12 07:54:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	200	82¢	$164	0xad5698…
07-12 03:45:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0x498ff9…
07-11 22:53:28	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	200	12¢	$24	0x4867cf…
07-11 22:16:50	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0xe982db…
07-11 19:53:14	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	214	50¢	$107	0xe56a74…
07-11 16:41:10	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	214	46¢	$98	0xbd3691…
07-11 10:49:32	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	48¢	$96	0x1a79ff…
07-11 07:40:59	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	SELL	200	74¢	$149	0xd10625…
07-10 20:58:53	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0x70123a…
07-10 08:10:49	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	80	83¢	$66	0x545637…
07-10 07:42:47	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	80	83¢	$66	0xa4f135…
07-09 09:57:41	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0xacacc7…
07-08 18:30:47	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	28¢	$57	0xc320a1…
07-08 15:26:56	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	200	53¢	$106	0xa31f40…
07-08 02:24:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	200	37¢	$74	0x19bb6f…
07-08 02:23:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0x83f958…
07-07 18:28:35	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	70	65¢	$46	0xab5aa8…
07-07 18:28:34	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	65¢	$20	0xe58904…
07-07 18:28:32	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x7e21ee…
07-07 14:51:55	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0xed6c15…
07-07 01:40:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	61¢	$122	0xf9d0fb…
07-06 23:21:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0xa9f42a…
07-06 22:31:47	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	82	62¢	$51	0x2123c6…
07-06 21:28:49	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	82	62¢	$51	0xaed008…
07-06 15:18:14	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	45	52¢	$23	0xc2841f…
07-06 15:18:10	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0x126083…
07-06 15:18:07	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56	52¢	$29	0xb48ff5…
07-06 10:42:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	69¢	$138	0x0bdb15…
07-06 10:42:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x0cf5c7…
07-06 01:17:11	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0x3c071a…
07-03 17:43:11	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0x75b4a3…
07-03 13:06:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	48	71¢	$34	0x193db8…
07-03 13:05:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	152	71¢	$108	0x091e91…
07-03 12:32:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x44b55f…
07-03 10:03:11	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xd15542…
07-02 14:25:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	200	72¢	$144	0x38fffa…
07-02 14:24:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0xf3e728…
07-01 10:26:26	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	SELL	73	65¢	$47	0x3a6d5f…
07-01 10:24:46	will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	Yes	SELL	200	18¢	$36	0x5e0cd2…
07-01 10:24:37	will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	Yes	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0xc07182…
07-01 07:14:49	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0xe8d313…
07-01 07:14:11	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x9a6525…
07-01 06:20:56	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	73	65¢	$47	0xf1f651…
06-30 22:59:52	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	Yes	SELL	200	22¢	$44	0x2d8c58…
06-30 22:54:14	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	Yes	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0xc18b57…
06-30 07:30:32	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0x6d7c4e…
06-30 07:27:10	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x3b05db…
06-30 03:19:37	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	84	36¢	$30	0x64ff63…
06-30 03:18:43	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	46	36¢	$16	0x371147…
06-30 03:18:13	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	13	36¢	$5	0xdcaea6…
06-30 03:16:05	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	58	36¢	$21	0x075b4b…
06-30 02:57:13	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0xdceb62…
06-30 02:52:25	Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	171	25¢	$43	0xb0aa97…
06-30 02:38:16	Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	171	25¢	$43	0x5929b5…
06-30 01:19:17	will netherlands reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134487	No	SELL	16	49¢	$8	0xc21bbb…
06-30 01:19:17	will netherlands reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134487	No	SELL	84	49¢	$41	0x24a132…
06-30 01:02:19	will netherlands reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134487	No	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x5db7cb…
06-29 12:36:01	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	86¢	$172	0x3dda9e…
06-29 12:35:56	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0xe0fa03…
06-27 22:41:19	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x7bf432…
06-27 22:41:08	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	49	51¢	$25	0x421f9e…
06-27 22:37:49	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	1	49¢	$0	0x818008…
06-27 22:37:40	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0x718e4c…
06-27 06:51:28	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	SELL	93	63¢	$59	0x1a247f…
06-27 06:51:23	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	93	63¢	$59	0x80ca02…
06-27 00:34:43	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	51	50¢	$26	0xceff77…
06-27 00:34:43	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	51	51¢	$26	0x2b00c5…
06-26 04:24:26	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	140	39¢	$55	0x1dbbf1…
06-26 04:24:26	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	37	39¢	$15	0x147450…
06-26 04:24:08	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	177	39¢	$69	0x9ccfe2…
06-25 13:19:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	195	35¢	$68	0x138896…
06-25 13:19:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x355c46…
06-25 13:18:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x0d4ecf…
06-24 15:07:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	65	75¢	$49	0x26079b…
06-24 14:55:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x4b9f0f…
06-24 14:55:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x3f6a2a…
06-24 14:55:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x0bae64…
06-24 14:55:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xfc9f0c…
06-24 14:55:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xca9847…
06-24 14:55:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x22027c…
06-24 14:50:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0xe444c3…
06-24 14:25:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0xb7ec37…
06-24 14:23:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xe02470…
06-24 14:21:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	18	75¢	$13	0x139668…
06-24 14:00:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	52	75¢	$39	0x9b4991…
06-24 13:27:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x234d47…
06-18 07:46:52	Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	200	76¢	$152	0x31c3ed…
06-17 21:15:02	Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0xdffdac…
06-17 13:25:16	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x138d10…
06-16 23:53:14	Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	200	74¢	$148	0x0b6fbe…
06-16 14:53:31	Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x4e52e9…
06-15 15:54:51	Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	52	69¢	$36	0xe1dd4b…
06-15 15:28:04	Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0x660ea2…