Double-Modernity-Atrium — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$153

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.0%

Resolved

1,437

Trades

1,588

lifetime

Volume

$15.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 07-12 16:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Crypto

43% 99% -$1

Other

22% 90% -$36

Politics

21% 29% -$104

Sports

7% 44% -$10

Tech

7% 50% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Fed rate hike in 2026?	6	$740	600	600	+0	Yes	-$40	07-08 07:16
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	13	$722	501	501	+0	Yes	+$2	06-13 05:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	9	$712	600	600	+0	open	—	07-08 22:04
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	9	$672	533	533	+0	Yes	+$2	06-12 15:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	8	$560	482	482	+0	No	+$0	06-26 05:32
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	6	$376	411	411	+0	Yes	-$20	06-12 16:25
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	4	$370	400	400	+0	No	-$58	07-12 16:35
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$340	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-30 22:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$308	200	200	+0	open	—	06-02 01:18
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$296	200	200	+0	No	+$0	06-17 01:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$271	174	174	+0	No	+$0	06-12 16:22
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	7	$271	400	400	+0	Yes	-$20	06-14 13:50
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	2	$260	200	200	+0	open	—	06-04 22:27
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	2	$256	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	06-02 11:48
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$248	200	200	+0	No	+$0	07-04 20:07
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	3	$208	200	200	+0	No	+$0	06-01 14:16
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	2	$204	212	212	+0	Yes	+$0	07-09 09:57
starmer out by july 31 2026	8	$182	142	142	+0	Yes	$0	06-08 19:03
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	4	$162	197	197	+0	No	+$0	06-26 04:34
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	2	$142	200	200	+0	open	—	07-08 18:30
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	4	$141	149	149	+0	Yes	-$4	07-10 18:33
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$138	100	100	+0	open	—	06-02 21:53
sports prediction markets taxed as gambling	4	$138	100	100	+0	open	—	06-07 18:34
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	2	$126	129	129	+0	open	—	05-30 04:45
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	8	$124	200	200	+0	No	+$0	07-04 21:10
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	2	$121	114	114	+0	No	+$0	06-22 13:46
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	2	$110	74	74	+0	open	—	07-12 12:29
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$100	100	100	+0	open	—	07-03 17:43
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026?	4	$96	100	100	+0	No	+$0	06-15 18:45
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	2	$95	73	73	+0	Max Holloway	+$0	07-01 10:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 16:35:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	200	29¢	$58	0xa55fe5…
07-12 12:29:04	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	74	74¢	$55	0xe32c83…
07-12 07:56:29	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	74	74¢	$55	0x3f47d1…
07-11 02:02:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0xce65ed…
07-10 18:33:29	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	74	8¢	$6	0xc40bb1…
07-10 13:32:31	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	74	14¢	$10	0x143bb7…
07-10 08:10:49	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	75	83¢	$62	0x545637…
07-10 07:42:47	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	75	83¢	$62	0xb9b0cd…
07-09 09:57:52	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	212	48¢	$102	0x11378c…
07-09 09:57:41	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	212	48¢	$102	0xacacc7…
07-08 22:04:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	200	83¢	$166	0x281eba…
07-08 21:57:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0xf023cf…
07-08 18:30:47	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	27¢	$54	0x940a6a…
07-08 12:02:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	200	49¢	$98	0x020890…
07-08 11:52:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0xce0943…
07-08 07:16:46	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0xe03a2c…
07-06 01:17:11	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0x3c071a…
07-04 21:10:56	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	5	31¢	$1	0xe1a61c…
07-04 21:10:56	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x18c528…
07-04 21:10:50	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	23	31¢	$7	0x2b49cf…
07-04 21:10:49	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	105	31¢	$32	0xb044de…
07-04 21:10:47	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x634747…
07-04 21:10:46	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	47	31¢	$15	0xf6741e…
07-04 21:10:46	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0x46123b…
07-04 21:10:26	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0x1d30ee…
07-04 20:07:25	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	76	62¢	$47	0x4aa0be…
07-04 20:07:25	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	124	62¢	$77	0x1fd81e…
07-04 20:07:20	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x6b0585…
07-03 17:43:11	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	91	50¢	$46	0x75b4a3…
07-03 10:04:04	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	9	50¢	$4	0x56ac7b…
07-03 10:03:11	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xd15542…
07-03 00:14:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x34eff9…
07-03 00:14:38	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	14	69¢	$10	0x1bdbc4…
07-03 00:14:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0x0164e6…
07-01 10:26:26	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	SELL	73	65¢	$47	0x3a6d5f…
07-01 06:20:56	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	73	65¢	$47	0xf1f651…
06-30 16:55:35	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x5b2662…
06-30 16:55:20	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x835bbb…
06-30 02:52:34	Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	171	25¢	$43	0x5e3827…
06-30 02:38:16	Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	171	25¢	$43	0x5929b5…
06-26 05:32:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	1	53¢	$0	0xe4be07…
06-26 05:11:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	81	51¢	$41	0x767cd3…
06-26 04:34:16	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	177	39¢	$69	0x78a9bf…
06-26 04:24:08	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	177	39¢	$69	0x9ccfe2…
06-25 21:06:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0798c3…
06-25 21:06:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	77	51¢	$39	0xed4acf…
06-25 11:20:50	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xe18bd7…
06-25 11:09:13	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x1305df…
06-22 13:46:49	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	SELL	114	53¢	$60	0x411127…
06-22 13:45:05	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	114	53¢	$60	0xa46679…
06-22 08:14:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	200	56¢	$112	0x6acf71…
06-22 07:43:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x89adb8…
06-17 13:25:16	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x138d10…
06-17 01:12:13	Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	200	74¢	$148	0x26504b…
06-16 17:27:14	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x188abd…
06-16 14:53:31	Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x4e52e9…
06-16 04:02:21	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xdfc748…
06-15 21:38:57	Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x227f04…
06-15 21:10:52	Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0x99ed0e…
06-15 19:41:04	Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x654f4c…
06-15 19:03:13	Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x0f11ee…
06-15 18:58:19	Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0xba6e52…
06-15 18:45:21	Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026?	No	SELL	56	48¢	$27	0x6e14e8…
06-15 18:07:24	Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026?	No	SELL	44	48¢	$21	0x7d475c…
06-15 18:01:34	Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0x9d8b87…
06-15 17:55:43	Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	34	69¢	$24	0x709e41…
06-15 17:41:40	Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026?	No	BUY	56	48¢	$27	0x67afde…
06-15 17:41:25	Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026?	No	BUY	44	48¢	$21	0xccd936…
06-15 12:54:03	Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	64	69¢	$44	0xe4bfc7…
06-15 06:16:31	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	64¢	$128	0xbc1c30…
06-15 06:16:28	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0x114dbb…
06-14 14:00:19	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	61¢	$122	0x61a06f…
06-14 13:50:10	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	SELL	57	37¢	$21	0x90e8ee…
06-14 06:08:15	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0x8177f7…
06-14 05:36:21	Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	31	27¢	$8	0xc5b771…
06-13 05:55:28	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x553004…
06-13 05:55:25	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x2b20db…
06-13 05:55:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xcd2d76…
06-13 05:55:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x1725f7…
06-13 01:09:18	Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	31	61¢	$19	0x8d0844…
06-12 19:54:03	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	SELL	143	24¢	$34	0xa2b784…
06-12 16:25:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x274c03…
06-12 16:25:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x32f507…
06-12 16:22:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	174	78¢	$135	0x2156e1…
06-12 16:21:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	174	78¢	$135	0x8ae9b8…
06-12 15:41:00	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	SELL	200	45¢	$90	0x031d4e…
06-12 15:38:48	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0xc88f3d…
06-12 14:53:36	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	143	38¢	$54	0x8de4a1…
06-12 14:53:36	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	57	38¢	$22	0x3305b3…
06-12 14:52:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	200	80¢	$160	0x353ae2…
06-12 14:50:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0xe4a6ee…
06-11 09:37:22	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	42	16¢	$7	0xad3f69…
06-11 09:37:22	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	42	16¢	$7	0x794183…
06-11 09:37:15	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	42	16¢	$7	0xc23cb9…
06-11 09:37:15	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	42	15¢	$6	0x94e1b6…
06-11 03:55:34	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	38	83¢	$32	0xfb79ef…
06-11 03:32:42	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	23	84¢	$19	0x364142…
06-11 03:32:42	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	30	84¢	$25	0x0bdbf6…
06-11 03:32:39	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	91	83¢	$76	0x877e7b…
06-10 01:00:19	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	SELL	9	36¢	$3	0x53dc10…