Double-Modernity-Atrium — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

137

Trades

1,461

lifetime

Volume

$10.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 06-09 19:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 100% +$6

Politics

14% — —

Other

14% 100% +$1

Tech

8% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 144 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	5	$562	400	400	+0	open	—	06-05 00:39
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	7	$494	333	333	+0	open	—	06-04 13:28
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	4	$371	406	406	+0	open	—	06-06 18:35
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$340	200	200	+0	open	—	05-30 22:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$308	200	200	+0	open	—	06-02 01:18
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	2	$260	200	200	+0	open	—	06-04 22:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$252	200	200	+0	open	—	06-03 20:12
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	3	$208	200	200	+0	open	—	06-01 14:16
starmer out by july 31 2026	8	$182	142	142	+0	open	—	06-08 19:03
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	3	$140	200	200	+0	open	—	06-01 08:07
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	2	$126	129	129	+0	open	—	05-30 04:45
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	3	$82	114	114	+0	open	—	06-10 01:00
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	2	$74	61	61	+0	open	—	06-03 15:56
sports prediction markets taxed as gambling	3	$69	0	100	-100	open	—	06-07 18:34
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	2	$62	50	50	+0	open	—	06-05 13:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	5	$60	200	200	+0	open	—	05-31 15:17
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	2	$56	200	200	+0	open	—	06-02 13:52
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	4	$43	53	53	+0	open	—	06-05 18:53
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	4	$19	31	31	+0	open	—	05-30 18:28
eth updown 5m 1776837000	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-22 05:54
eth updown 5m 1776436800	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-17 14:44
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-14 19:59
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-24 12:59
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-14 19:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-01 14:15
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	04-26 05:09
sol updown 5m 1776555300	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-18 23:39
solana up or down april 20 2026 2pm et	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-20 18:57
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 4AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-25 08:59
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-01 03:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 01:00:19	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	SELL	9	36¢	$3	0x53dc10…
06-10 00:59:37	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	SELL	105	36¢	$38	0xb40a53…
06-09 19:15:52	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	114	36¢	$41	0x0357ad…
06-08 19:03:37	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	SELL	107	64¢	$69	0x0ccf19…
06-08 19:03:36	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0xd87d5f…
06-08 19:03:34	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x610090…
06-08 10:45:03	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xf3880c…
06-08 10:24:37	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x7c1d4e…
06-08 10:08:33	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	SELL	16	64¢	$10	0x5b58c7…
06-08 10:05:00	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x9c2a02…
06-08 05:34:18	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	142	64¢	$91	0xe505ba…
06-07 18:34:10	sports prediction markets taxed as gambling	No	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x703089…
06-07 12:37:30	sports prediction markets taxed as gambling	No	SELL	23	69¢	$16	0x5e7e1b…
06-07 08:49:10	sports prediction markets taxed as gambling	No	SELL	67	69¢	$46	0x66f3cb…
06-06 18:35:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	200	26¢	$52	0x04d7e2…
06-06 09:34:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0x575989…
06-05 18:53:21	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	43	41¢	$18	0x052fb7…
06-05 13:17:33	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0xd212f7…
06-05 12:55:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	206	60¢	$124	0x375a81…
06-05 12:53:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	206	60¢	$124	0xa08e89…
06-05 11:59:15	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0xed48d3…
06-05 08:59:21	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x7bce5a…
06-05 07:36:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x7b9277…
06-05 07:36:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	53	41¢	$22	0x3b383a…
06-05 00:39:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	200	72¢	$144	0xe6a165…
06-04 22:27:07	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	200	65¢	$130	0x034c75…
06-04 22:27:06	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x601b99…
06-04 13:28:40	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	182	73¢	$133	0xdb11a8…
06-04 13:28:31	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	18	73¢	$13	0xba6d69…
06-04 11:56:42	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0xbc7499…
06-03 20:19:33	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0x6d6e11…
06-03 20:19:33	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	189	71¢	$134	0x5ebe73…
06-03 20:12:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	200	63¢	$126	0x11c5bd…
06-03 19:48:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0xed8710…
06-03 15:56:04	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	61	61¢	$37	0x06d9b5…
06-03 15:56:03	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	61	60¢	$37	0xd9512a…
06-03 15:13:36	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	200	69¢	$138	0xbfbb16…
06-03 05:32:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x29f2e3…
06-02 13:52:35	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	SELL	200	12¢	$24	0x3faa21…
06-02 08:52:31	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x868943…
06-02 01:18:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	77¢	$154	0xfd8d72…
06-01 16:02:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	69	76¢	$52	0xeba805…
06-01 15:57:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x19f126…
06-01 15:56:37	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x2bf898…
06-01 15:56:20	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	60	76¢	$46	0x1cb12b…
06-01 15:56:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	133	76¢	$101	0x1e5756…
06-01 14:16:21	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	SELL	189	52¢	$98	0x4b0f6e…
06-01 12:42:12	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0x7a83c9…
06-01 12:25:45	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0xbb8566…
06-01 08:07:44	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	SELL	177	35¢	$62	0xa28698…
06-01 08:07:44	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	SELL	23	35¢	$8	0x90769a…
06-01 08:06:34	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0xf04c82…
05-31 15:17:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	116	15¢	$17	0x66bf01…
05-31 15:17:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xa19f74…
05-31 15:17:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xcba835…
05-31 15:16:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	72	15¢	$11	0xfa157e…
05-31 15:03:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x91212f…
05-30 22:37:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0xf3e841…
05-30 21:41:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x2145e0…
05-30 18:28:45	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Yes	SELL	25	31¢	$8	0xe257d0…
05-30 17:27:07	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x4cd09e…
05-30 16:04:57	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x103fff…
05-30 15:50:17	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Yes	BUY	31	31¢	$9	0x664af2…
05-30 04:45:03	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	129	49¢	$63	0xd3a364…
05-30 04:44:56	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	129	49¢	$63	0x05b826…
05-29 15:43:04	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x774423…
05-29 15:33:02	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf4f5cd…
05-29 15:32:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfc90eb…
05-29 15:28:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1add85…
05-29 14:52:59	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe65b1e…
05-29 14:38:05	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x56773a…
05-29 14:29:20	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf346a9…
05-29 13:37:58	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x68b8e1…
05-28 19:57:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x58ae30…
05-28 15:09:27	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbcdc3f…
05-28 14:44:13	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x62c006…
05-28 14:44:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7f6163…
05-28 14:28:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4daed6…
05-28 14:23:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9f43ad…
05-28 14:22:43	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5ebe93…
05-28 14:18:37	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8ef91d…
05-28 14:14:00	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc27354…
05-28 05:13:43	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdf42a4…
05-28 03:58:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x76dbde…
05-28 03:24:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x64882e…
05-28 01:28:03	xrp updown 5m 1779931500	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8f8cd7…
05-28 01:24:09	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x59b868…
05-27 21:53:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x03d9f9…
05-27 21:48:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc364f6…
05-27 20:58:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb08ebf…
05-27 14:08:49	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6f7e7e…
05-27 13:52:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd2f9b9…
05-27 13:48:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa4d81c…
05-27 13:43:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x391e09…
05-27 12:18:47	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xab4515…
05-26 17:33:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7a7aad…
05-26 15:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5da233…
05-26 15:33:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xaf0a7a…
05-26 14:34:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x568815…
05-26 14:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5e1ec8…