Spiffy-Sailboat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.21K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.8%

Resolved

43,239

Trades

60,673

lifetime

Volume

$1.20M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 10-27 10:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 270 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 97% -$1,769

Other

6% 96% -$113

Politics

1% 41% +$674

Sports

0% 50% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 750 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	19	$1.2K	1,650	0	+1,650	No	+$441	05-26 13:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 09:05 UTC	3	$1.2K	1,210	0	+1,210	Down	+$15	06-04 09:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 11:30 UTC	1	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	Down	+$12	06-04 11:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 09:00 UTC	1	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	Down	+$12	06-04 09:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 19:15 UTC	1	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	Up	+$12	06-04 19:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	9	$1.1K	602	602	+0	No	+$98	04-29 14:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	14	$998	1,160	0	+1,160	No	+$161	05-30 07:07
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 05:15 UTC	4	$967	993	0	+993	Up	+$26	06-05 05:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 21:15 UTC	1	$942	951	0	+951	Down	+$10	06-04 21:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 18:05 UTC	6	$819	830	0	+830	Down	+$11	06-06 18:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	15	$816	864	0	+864	No	+$48	05-22 12:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 15:10 UTC	4	$812	820	0	+820	Up	+$8	06-08 15:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 22:05 UTC	4	$812	820	0	+820	Up	+$8	06-07 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	4	$812	820	0	+820	Up	+$8	06-08 13:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 12:30 UTC	4	$812	820	0	+820	Up	+$8	06-08 12:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 21:20 UTC	4	$812	820	0	+820	Down	+$8	06-07 21:24
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	3	$805	405	405	+0	No	+$5	04-24 14:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 23:15 UTC	4	$804	812	0	+812	Up	+$8	06-07 23:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 16:30 UTC	2	$802	810	0	+810	Up	+$8	06-07 16:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 15:50 UTC	2	$802	810	0	+810	Down	+$8	06-06 15:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 12:00 UTC	2	$802	810	0	+810	Down	+$8	06-07 12:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 12:35 UTC	2	$802	810	0	+810	Up	+$8	06-08 12:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	3	$795	805	0	+805	Up	+$10	05-18 11:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 12:15 UTC	2	$794	810	0	+810	Up	+$16	06-08 12:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 05:50 UTC	2	$794	810	0	+810	Up	+$16	06-08 05:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	6	$786	789	0	+789	Up	+$3	04-29 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1PM ET	5	$766	770	0	+770	Up	+$4	04-29 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	2	$762	765	0	+765	Up	+$3	05-17 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	4	$761	764	0	+764	Down	+$3	05-16 06:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-03 23:00 UTC	1	$742	749	0	+749	Down	+$7	06-03 23:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 11:16:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xd49fa2…
10-27 11:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xafa186…
10-27 11:02:18	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x042a75…
10-27 11:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfdabc6…
10-27 11:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd8056e…
10-27 10:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x171eab…
10-27 10:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf3ef11…
10-27 10:55:29	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x379ac0…
10-27 10:54:02	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 28?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xb0e536…
10-27 10:49:57	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 27?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x58823e…
10-27 10:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xf63c20…
10-27 10:46:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xaa0e9e…
10-27 10:46:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa81526…
10-27 10:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x43fa9a…
10-27 10:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x1f38b7…
10-27 10:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x4bc49d…
10-27 10:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x02c17f…
10-27 10:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xde9f65…
10-27 10:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x160cab…
10-27 10:18:26	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x293ae9…
10-27 10:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdf5f71…
10-27 10:17:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x86de85…
10-27 10:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x450e5d…
10-27 10:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 28?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xe10091…
10-27 10:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 28?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x4461a4…
10-27 10:02:38	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 29?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xf587b1…
10-27 10:02:26	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 29?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x9a4684…
10-27 10:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 29?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xb5ea47…
10-27 09:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x36496e…
10-27 09:56:59	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbc59a7…
10-27 09:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x89dbdb…
10-27 09:56:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xc15454…
10-27 09:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5f7724…
10-27 09:53:17	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 29?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xdab955…
10-27 09:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe7ecfd…
10-27 09:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc2f57c…
10-27 09:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xff6d92…
10-27 09:42:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xf9a7bc…
10-27 09:34:08	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 28?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xff849f…
10-27 09:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8315b5…
10-27 09:28:29	highest temperature in milan on october 29 2026 17c	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x1e465e…
10-27 09:25:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 28?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x634bbd…
10-27 09:24:59	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 28?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xc0db09…
10-27 09:24:59	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 28?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x49e593…
10-27 09:22:03	highest temperature in tel aviv on october 29 2026 29c	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x967da3…
10-27 09:22:02	highest temperature in tel aviv on october 29 2026 29c	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xf3db44…
10-27 09:14:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x13fd58…
10-27 09:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x936126…
10-27 09:07:42	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x65edab…
10-27 08:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x7734d3…
10-27 08:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xa4ee8b…
10-27 08:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4943b5…
10-27 08:51:45	highest temperature in seoul on october 29 2026 11c	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x8eff0a…
10-27 08:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5c7f47…
10-27 08:46:12	highest temperature in chengdu on october 29 2026 21c	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x7b1d53…
10-27 08:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa41ed2…
10-27 08:37:53	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 28?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x50c373…
10-27 08:36:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 28?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xac46b5…
10-27 08:36:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x31a0db…
10-27 08:35:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x2e320e…
10-27 08:30:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 29?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xceeb9e…
10-27 08:30:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 29?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xab5b0b…
10-27 08:25:51	highest temperature in warsaw on october 29 2026 12c	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x1cac37…
10-27 08:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 29?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xb1ee0a…
10-27 08:22:57	highest temperature in wellington on october 29 2026 19c	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xa109e2…
10-27 08:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xaec25e…
10-27 08:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 29?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x9f7e9a…
10-27 08:12:11	highest temperature in amsterdam on october 29 2026 17c	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xd0eea3…
10-27 08:12:09	highest temperature in amsterdam on october 29 2026 17c	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xc3e5ee…
10-27 08:11:36	highest temperature in madrid on october 29 2026 21c	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xc64597…
10-27 08:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x047ff4…
10-27 08:10:59	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on October 28?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x786b13…
10-27 08:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xa825ba…
10-27 08:10:56	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x363c1a…
10-27 08:05:27	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x7aaef2…
10-27 08:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x787838…
10-27 08:01:57	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6b5f3d…
10-27 08:01:29	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 28?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x711325…
10-27 07:59:29	lowest temperature in london on october 29 2026 8c	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xf0ba99…
10-27 07:59:29	lowest temperature in london on october 29 2026 11c	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xda28e0…
10-27 07:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x47a34e…
10-27 07:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5f0253…
10-27 07:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 27?	No	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0xa0cbf8…
10-27 07:51:14	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0b15fd…
10-27 07:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x375c31…
10-27 07:47:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x5e3f5a…
10-27 07:41:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 28?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xbf8770…
10-27 07:41:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 28?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xcaf67a…
10-27 07:33:51	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x25c208…
10-27 07:29:17	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 27?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x9e90ef…
10-27 07:17:57	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1ff222…
10-27 07:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xaf0d3b…
10-27 07:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x871f40…
10-27 07:17:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xf9d669…
10-27 07:15:24	Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on October 26?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x26f630…
10-27 07:11:05	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on October 28?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x73d9e9…
10-27 07:04:41	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7ed234…
10-27 07:04:12	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on October 28?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xdfdf56…
10-27 07:04:11	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 28?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xa760a9…
10-27 07:04:11	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 28?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x592a26…