Wavy-Fertilizer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$150

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.0%

Resolved

1,201

Trades

1,353

lifetime

Volume

$20.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 07-13 18:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 99% -$94

Politics

20% 18% +$2

Other

19% 86% -$48

Sports

7% 25% $0

Tech

5% 0% -$9

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-13).

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	10	$846	800	800	+0	Yes	-$54	05-29 04:52
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	10	$707	841	841	+0	Yes	+$0	06-13 06:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	13	$675	624	624	+0	No	$0	06-28 20:52
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	4	$616	400	400	+0	No	+$0	06-08 20:55
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	9	$499	412	412	+0	Yes	-$3	06-12 18:56
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$414	400	400	+0	No	-$14	05-20 21:05
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	8	$340	200	200	+0	No	+$0	06-10 00:19
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	7	$340	400	400	+0	No	$0	07-08 21:04
Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$324	200	200	+0	No	+$4	06-12 17:52
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$296	200	200	+0	No	+$0	06-17 01:12
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	4	$288	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-30 20:04
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	4	$284	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	05-20 15:14
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$284	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	06-15 09:52
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	2	$252	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	06-12 19:02
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	4	$250	255	255	+0	open	—	06-02 18:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$244	200	200	+0	open	—	07-07 01:40
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	2	$241	201	201	+0	Yes	+$0	06-05 12:55
Fed rate hike in 2026?	2	$240	200	200	+0	Yes	-$40	07-08 07:16
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	2	$240	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	06-08 07:21
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	2	$220	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	05-23 05:55
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	5	$214	225	225	+0	open	—	05-24 18:53
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	2	$212	200	200	+0	No	+$0	07-08 15:26
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	2	$208	200	200	+0	No	+$0	06-01 19:18
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	2	$192	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	07-11 10:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$191	212	212	+0	No	+$0	05-25 22:59
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$177	130	130	+0	Yes	+$0	06-16 15:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$171	385	385	+0	No	+$0	05-25 13:45
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	4	$152	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-26 14:34
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$150	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-26 19:33
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	5	$142	127	127	+0	Yes	$0	07-10 08:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 18:13:01	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	100	59¢	$59	0x612908…
07-11 10:50:04	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	48¢	$96	0x8abf7f…
07-10 20:49:37	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x9467ae…
07-10 08:11:25	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x624f66…
07-10 08:11:23	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	76	83¢	$63	0xc65102…
07-10 07:42:47	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	77	83¢	$64	0xa4f135…
07-09 09:57:41	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0xacacc7…
07-08 21:04:17	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	124	53¢	$66	0x966924…
07-08 21:04:08	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	30	53¢	$16	0x480edc…
07-08 21:04:01	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xe65078…
07-08 21:04:01	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	44	53¢	$23	0x263944…
07-08 21:03:56	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0xa7d663…
07-08 17:41:56	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x9e0dd5…
07-08 17:30:11	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x4af1fe…
07-08 15:26:56	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	200	53¢	$106	0xa31f40…
07-08 07:16:28	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0x7671a1…
07-07 14:51:55	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0xed6c15…
07-07 01:40:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	61¢	$122	0xf9d0fb…
07-06 23:21:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0xa9f42a…
07-06 22:31:47	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	18	62¢	$11	0x2123c6…
07-06 22:31:46	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	56	62¢	$35	0xf5a395…
07-06 22:31:46	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x9460bb…
07-06 21:35:34	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x116688…
07-06 21:28:49	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	90	62¢	$56	0xaed008…
07-04 21:57:02	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	200	32¢	$64	0x0e43d7…
07-04 21:10:10	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0xb725fd…
06-30 02:52:34	Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	187	25¢	$47	0x5e3827…
06-30 02:38:16	Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	187	25¢	$47	0x5929b5…
06-29 22:40:22	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0xa34746…
06-29 20:26:47	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x6ef48c…
06-28 20:52:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x5f5d83…
06-28 20:46:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x29576e…
06-25 13:38:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	29¢	$0	0x3fbfea…
06-25 13:34:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x82166d…
06-25 13:19:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	15	36¢	$5	0x7489c7…
06-25 13:18:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0xdd26e0…
06-25 13:18:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x712c4e…
06-22 13:50:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	200	51¢	$102	0x2d9085…
06-22 13:40:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xe4095c…
06-17 13:25:16	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x138d10…
06-17 01:12:13	Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	200	74¢	$148	0x26504b…
06-16 15:23:53	Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	130	68¢	$88	0xfc6545…
06-16 14:56:19	Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	130	68¢	$88	0x8421a7…
06-16 14:53:31	Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x4e52e9…
06-16 04:02:34	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	70¢	$38	0x0d345e…
06-16 04:02:21	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	70¢	$38	0xdfc748…
06-15 09:52:58	Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	200	71¢	$142	0xb3378e…
06-15 06:13:22	Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x36c7f1…
06-13 06:05:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	221	42¢	$93	0x7acf55…
06-13 05:55:21	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	221	42¢	$93	0x9a837a…
06-13 05:37:00	Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	No	SELL	100	65¢	$65	0xe68131…
06-12 19:38:33	Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0xace309…
06-12 19:02:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	200	63¢	$126	0xb3ff13…
06-12 19:02:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x4205fc…
06-12 18:56:16	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x9552b8…
06-12 17:52:49	Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	200	82¢	$164	0x730b67…
06-12 16:06:57	Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0xcc6f57…
06-12 15:41:00	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x4bf2ce…
06-12 15:38:52	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x1d9f34…
06-12 15:38:51	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x9d845c…
06-12 15:38:51	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3ae637…
06-12 06:46:45	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	155	43¢	$67	0x048d04…
06-12 06:36:37	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	60	43¢	$26	0xa6282f…
06-12 06:36:36	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xecb241…
06-12 06:17:39	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	220	43¢	$95	0x68ff03…
06-11 09:37:19	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	42	16¢	$7	0x0384e0…
06-11 09:37:18	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	42	17¢	$7	0xe6860a…
06-11 09:37:15	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	42	16¢	$7	0xc23cb9…
06-11 09:37:15	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	42	15¢	$6	0x94e1b6…
06-10 11:05:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	25	62¢	$16	0x878f06…
06-10 11:05:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	18	62¢	$11	0x87fa24…
06-10 11:04:03	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	43	61¢	$26	0x229044…
06-10 05:42:39	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	43	61¢	$26	0x99246a…
06-10 05:42:39	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	43	62¢	$27	0x51eb7a…
06-10 00:31:22	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	SELL	75	36¢	$27	0x2c5899…
06-10 00:30:10	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0xa3370e…
06-10 00:19:25	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	SELL	134	85¢	$113	0xb16231…
06-10 00:18:46	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	SELL	30	85¢	$26	0x65c1a7…
06-10 00:18:39	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xd1b1ba…
06-10 00:18:39	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xca5731…
06-10 00:18:39	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x7ee951…
06-10 00:18:37	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xea9421…
06-10 00:18:37	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	SELL	28	85¢	$24	0x9dbcd5…
06-10 00:18:34	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x19f163…
06-09 19:15:52	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	76	36¢	$27	0xfcf0a1…
06-09 18:05:45	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	SELL	63	60¢	$38	0x516827…
06-09 14:55:31	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	200	62¢	$124	0xa75c20…
06-09 13:59:42	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x669c8f…
06-09 13:35:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	57	29¢	$17	0xfa10c3…
06-08 20:55:22	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	200	82¢	$164	0x51b58f…
06-08 20:52:09	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0x55fc6a…
06-08 11:28:01	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	54	21¢	$12	0xd25bf0…
06-08 11:27:57	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	54	20¢	$11	0xbbac3e…
06-08 08:24:42	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	57	54¢	$31	0x7ec59e…
06-08 07:21:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	SELL	200	60¢	$120	0xf07331…
06-08 07:16:19	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x755f88…
06-07 20:34:49	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	200	72¢	$144	0xd0ee73…
06-07 20:34:04	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0xc84750…
06-07 18:34:10	sports prediction markets taxed as gambling	No	SELL	100	69¢	$69	0x703089…
06-06 15:23:46	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	200	61¢	$122	0xb07a0f…