Ethical-Kitty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

-$177

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

141

Trades

1,526

lifetime

Volume

$25.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$303

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 07-13 16:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 100% +$12

Other

17% 100% +$1

Politics

16% — —

Sports

4% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	+400	$310	38¢	$150	$-160	07-13 16:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+200	$150	55¢	$109	$-41	07-07 01:40
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	-131	$-68	34¢	$-44	+$24	05-28 16:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	7	$978	800	600	+200	open	—	07-07 01:40
Fed rate hike in 2026?	9	$886	1,000	600	+400	open	—	07-13 16:56
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	6	$705	601	601	+0	open	—	06-13 03:16
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	4	$688	400	400	+0	open	—	06-30 07:30
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	6	$658	600	600	+0	open	—	05-27 18:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$568	400	400	+0	open	—	06-12 09:27
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	5	$540	400	400	+0	open	—	07-03 19:55
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	5	$422	400	404	-4	open	—	06-13 05:55
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	2	$328	200	200	+0	open	—	06-08 20:55
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	2	$292	200	200	+0	open	—	06-04 13:28
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	3	$276	200	200	+0	open	—	06-04 10:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	4	$264	200	200	+0	open	—	06-12 07:35
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	2	$260	200	200	+0	open	—	06-04 22:27
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	2	$252	200	200	+0	open	—	06-12 19:02
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	2	$240	200	200	+0	open	—	06-08 07:21
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	5	$212	166	166	+0	open	—	07-01 10:26
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	2	$208	200	200	+0	open	—	06-01 19:18
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	2	$207	216	216	+0	open	—	07-11 10:49
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	2	$174	200	200	+0	open	—	07-12 16:35
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	2	$152	200	200	+0	open	—	05-26 14:36
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$152	100	100	+0	open	—	05-25 11:09
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	5	$144	200	200	+0	open	—	06-30 03:16
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	2	$142	200	200	+0	open	—	07-08 18:30
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	2	$130	100	100	+0	open	—	07-07 18:28
over 40m committed to the laso finance public sale 638	2	$106	100	100	+0	open	—	07-02 04:22
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	3	$102	400	200	+200	open	—	06-10 06:52
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	2	$91	53	53	+0	open	—	07-03 04:14
will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	2	$88	200	200	+0	open	—	06-30 22:54
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$82	105	105	+0	open	—	06-26 11:05
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	2	$76	63	63	+0	open	—	06-09 18:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 16:56:49	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	29¢	$58	0x16ba1f…
07-12 16:35:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	200	29¢	$58	0x9e6ce9…
07-12 02:52:31	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0x9f1023…
07-11 10:49:55	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	216	48¢	$104	0x19adce…
07-11 02:02:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0xce65ed…
07-09 09:57:41	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	216	48¢	$104	0xacacc7…
07-08 18:30:46	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	27¢	$54	0xc9f792…
07-08 07:12:25	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0x71c75f…
07-07 18:28:35	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	65¢	$65	0xab5aa8…
07-07 18:28:32	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x7e21ee…
07-07 01:40:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	61¢	$122	0xf9d0fb…
07-06 23:21:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0xa9f42a…
07-06 10:42:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	69¢	$138	0x0bdb15…
07-06 10:42:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x0cf5c7…
07-06 01:17:11	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0x3c071a…
07-05 08:57:10	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	14	32¢	$5	0xf3c751…
07-05 08:57:07	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0xe3b6fd…
07-03 19:55:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	125	64¢	$80	0x2f5d45…
07-03 19:46:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	75	64¢	$48	0x9a2bf9…
07-03 19:41:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0xbc9f93…
07-03 13:05:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	200	71¢	$142	0x091e91…
07-03 12:32:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x44b55f…
07-03 04:14:07	Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	53	86¢	$46	0x7507da…
07-03 04:13:43	Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	53	86¢	$46	0xeb395b…
07-02 04:22:28	over 40m committed to the laso finance public sale 638	Yes	SELL	100	53¢	$53	0x371e7f…
07-02 02:44:56	over 40m committed to the laso finance public sale 638	Yes	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x5cfc71…
07-01 10:26:26	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	SELL	73	65¢	$47	0x3a6d5f…
07-01 06:20:56	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	73	65¢	$47	0xf1f651…
06-30 22:54:14	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	Yes	SELL	200	22¢	$44	0xc18b57…
06-30 22:53:29	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	Yes	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0x527d75…
06-30 07:30:32	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0x6d7c4e…
06-30 07:27:10	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x3b05db…
06-30 03:16:05	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x075b4b…
06-30 03:13:40	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	12	36¢	$4	0x574db0…
06-30 03:09:04	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	60	36¢	$22	0x270229…
06-30 03:04:17	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	126	36¢	$45	0xe96fb3…
06-30 02:57:13	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0xdceb62…
06-27 06:51:31	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	SELL	7	63¢	$4	0x6087e6…
06-27 06:51:28	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	SELL	86	63¢	$54	0x1a247f…
06-27 06:51:23	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	93	63¢	$59	0x80ca02…
06-26 11:05:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	105	40¢	$42	0x2baf0e…
06-26 11:01:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	105	38¢	$40	0xe495c3…
06-26 09:19:43	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	87¢	$174	0x617742…
06-26 09:18:13	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x0490ed…
06-26 04:18:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0x80cde5…
06-26 04:17:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	41¢	$19	0x2c58f9…
06-26 04:17:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	41¢	$21	0x30a2cc…
06-17 13:25:16	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x138d10…
06-16 02:38:31	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	49	65¢	$32	0x3c40b5…
06-16 02:38:12	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	151	65¢	$98	0x0e35e4…
06-15 21:53:42	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0xa56f41…
06-14 06:08:15	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0x8177f7…
06-13 09:34:13	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0xada4d7…
06-13 05:55:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	4	39¢	$2	0x4ddda6…
06-13 03:16:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	200	52¢	$104	0x4db640…
06-13 03:16:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x206461…
06-12 19:02:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	200	63¢	$126	0xc75f99…
06-12 19:02:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x038923…
06-12 09:27:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	200	79¢	$158	0x8eb0b4…
06-12 09:21:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x4ab6be…
06-12 07:35:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	170	66¢	$112	0xac45ed…
06-12 07:14:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	66¢	$20	0x67b65f…
06-12 07:13:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	170	66¢	$112	0xf23060…
06-12 07:13:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x8b4287…
06-12 06:46:45	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	43¢	$86	0x048d04…
06-12 06:17:39	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0x68ff03…
06-11 08:21:22	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	SELL	52	41¢	$21	0xa9bd4e…
06-11 08:10:28	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	BUY	52	41¢	$21	0x19f1b5…
06-11 04:53:18	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	No	SELL	70	3¢	$2	0x21c810…
06-10 23:50:58	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	No	BUY	70	31¢	$22	0xa72ed9…
06-10 06:52:06	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	SELL	200	13¢	$26	0x9a4bb8…
06-10 05:17:40	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0x42a2d4…
06-10 00:56:09	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	SELL	76	36¢	$27	0x5dba66…
06-09 19:15:52	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	76	36¢	$27	0x0357ad…
06-09 18:05:45	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	SELL	63	60¢	$38	0x516827…
06-09 16:30:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	200	64¢	$128	0x9fc8a4…
06-09 16:29:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0xa80355…
06-08 20:55:22	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	200	82¢	$164	0x51b58f…
06-08 20:52:09	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0x55fc6a…
06-08 15:01:45	sports prediction markets taxed as gambling	No	SELL	100	69¢	$69	0xe50faf…
06-08 07:21:43	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	SELL	200	60¢	$120	0x761532…
06-08 07:16:19	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x755f88…
06-05 18:53:21	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0x052fb7…
06-05 13:17:33	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0xd212f7…
06-05 13:02:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	0	41¢	$0	0xd62e72…
06-05 12:55:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	201	60¢	$121	0x375a81…
06-05 12:53:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	201	60¢	$121	0x8e4fd2…
06-05 11:59:15	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0xed48d3…
06-05 11:24:18	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	38	41¢	$16	0x8879b2…
06-05 07:36:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	53	41¢	$22	0x3b383a…
06-05 07:14:46	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x1844fe…
06-04 22:27:07	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	200	65¢	$130	0x65944e…
06-04 22:27:06	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x601b99…
06-04 13:28:40	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	200	73¢	$146	0xdb11a8…
06-04 11:56:42	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0xbc7499…
06-04 10:16:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xc6db5d…
06-04 10:16:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	195	69¢	$135	0x844635…
06-03 15:56:03	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	63	60¢	$38	0x728ea4…
06-02 14:48:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	No	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0xcc19bc…
06-02 14:39:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?	Yes	SELL	76	39¢	$30	0xa29483…