Ethical-Kitty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$392

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.0%

Resolved

1,449

Trades

1,635

lifetime

Volume

$30.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 07-13 16:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 99% -$187

Other

22% 88% -$64

Politics

17% 6% -$66

Sports

6% 27% -$43

Tech

3% 0% -$32

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-13).

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	10	$1.2K	1,018	1,018	+0	No	+$0	06-12 09:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	10	$1.1K	800	800	+0	open	—	07-07 01:40
Fed rate hike in 2026?	11	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$70	07-13 16:56
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	7	$790	800	600	+200	Yes	-$110	05-27 18:33
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	11	$774	807	807	+0	Yes	$0	06-13 05:55
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	6	$705	601	601	+0	Yes	+$0	06-13 03:16
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	4	$688	400	400	+0	open	—	06-30 07:30
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	5	$540	400	400	+0	Yes	+$0	07-03 19:55
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$412	400	400	+0	No	-$16	05-20 21:05
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	17	$390	300	300	+0	No	+$0	06-13 02:55
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	2	$328	200	200	+0	No	+$0	06-08 20:55
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?	2	$300	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-22 20:52
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$296	200	200	+0	No	+$0	06-16 23:53
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	2	$292	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	06-04 13:28
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	3	$276	200	200	+0	Yes	$0	06-04 10:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	4	$264	200	200	+0	open	—	06-12 07:35
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	2	$260	200	200	+0	open	—	06-04 22:27
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	2	$256	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	06-02 11:48
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	2	$252	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	06-12 19:02
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	2	$244	200	200	+0	open	—	05-21 19:26
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	2	$240	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	06-08 07:21
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$232	200	200	+0	No	$0	07-09 17:45
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	5	$212	166	166	+0	Max Holloway	+$0	07-01 10:26
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	2	$208	200	200	+0	No	+$0	06-01 19:18
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	2	$207	216	216	+0	Yes	+$0	07-11 10:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$200	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-21 20:16
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	2	$174	200	200	+0	No	-$58	07-12 16:35
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	2	$152	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-26 14:36
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	2	$152	100	100	+0	open	—	05-20 18:43
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$152	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	05-25 11:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 16:56:49	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	29¢	$58	0x16ba1f…
07-12 16:35:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	200	29¢	$58	0x9e6ce9…
07-12 07:56:49	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	74	74¢	$55	0x2f6cfc…
07-12 07:56:29	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	74	74¢	$55	0x3f47d1…
07-12 02:52:31	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0x9f1023…
07-11 10:49:55	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	216	48¢	$104	0x19adce…
07-11 02:02:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0xce65ed…
07-10 18:32:46	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	74	8¢	$6	0xbed840…
07-10 13:32:31	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	74	14¢	$10	0x143bb7…
07-10 08:10:49	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	52	83¢	$43	0x545637…
07-10 08:06:59	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	24	83¢	$20	0xab230f…
07-10 07:42:47	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	76	83¢	$63	0xb9b0cd…
07-09 17:45:26	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x023c56…
07-09 17:45:22	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	198	58¢	$115	0x8024c1…
07-09 17:17:47	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0x62da8e…
07-09 09:57:41	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	216	48¢	$104	0xacacc7…
07-08 18:30:46	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	27¢	$54	0xc9f792…
07-08 07:12:25	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0x71c75f…
07-07 18:28:35	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	65¢	$65	0xab5aa8…
07-07 18:28:32	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x7e21ee…
07-07 01:40:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	61¢	$122	0xf9d0fb…
07-06 23:21:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0xa9f42a…
07-06 10:42:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	69¢	$138	0x0bdb15…
07-06 10:42:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x0cf5c7…
07-06 01:17:11	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0x3c071a…
07-05 08:57:10	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	14	32¢	$5	0xf3c751…
07-05 08:57:07	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0xe3b6fd…
07-03 19:55:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	125	64¢	$80	0x2f5d45…
07-03 19:46:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	75	64¢	$48	0x9a2bf9…
07-03 19:41:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0xbc9f93…
07-03 13:05:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	200	71¢	$142	0x091e91…
07-03 12:32:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x44b55f…
07-03 04:14:07	Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	53	86¢	$46	0x7507da…
07-03 04:13:43	Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	53	86¢	$46	0xeb395b…
07-02 04:22:28	over 40m committed to the laso finance public sale 638	Yes	SELL	100	53¢	$53	0x371e7f…
07-02 02:44:56	over 40m committed to the laso finance public sale 638	Yes	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x5cfc71…
07-01 10:26:26	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	SELL	73	65¢	$47	0x3a6d5f…
07-01 06:20:56	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	73	65¢	$47	0xf1f651…
06-30 22:54:14	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	Yes	SELL	200	22¢	$44	0xc18b57…
06-30 22:53:29	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	Yes	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0x527d75…
06-30 07:30:32	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0x6d7c4e…
06-30 07:27:10	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x3b05db…
06-30 03:16:05	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x075b4b…
06-30 03:13:40	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	12	36¢	$4	0x574db0…
06-30 03:09:04	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	60	36¢	$22	0x270229…
06-30 03:04:17	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	126	36¢	$45	0xe96fb3…
06-30 02:57:13	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0xdceb62…
06-30 02:52:25	Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	169	25¢	$42	0xb0aa97…
06-30 02:38:16	Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	169	25¢	$42	0x5929b5…
06-27 06:51:31	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	SELL	7	63¢	$4	0x6087e6…
06-27 06:51:28	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	SELL	86	63¢	$54	0x1a247f…
06-27 06:51:23	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	93	63¢	$59	0x80ca02…
06-26 11:05:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	105	40¢	$42	0x2baf0e…
06-26 11:01:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	105	38¢	$40	0xe495c3…
06-26 09:19:43	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	87¢	$174	0x617742…
06-26 09:18:13	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x0490ed…
06-26 04:18:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0x80cde5…
06-26 04:17:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	41¢	$19	0x2c58f9…
06-26 04:17:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	41¢	$21	0x30a2cc…
06-25 23:30:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	200	21¢	$42	0x0506da…
06-25 19:44:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0xed04db…
06-23 14:00:49	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	83	60¢	$50	0x345675…
06-23 13:59:40	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x2a8c95…
06-17 13:25:16	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x138d10…
06-16 23:53:28	Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x49d339…
06-16 23:53:14	Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	190	74¢	$140	0x0b6fbe…
06-16 23:15:35	Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x617c24…
06-16 23:13:14	Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x715bff…
06-16 23:06:25	Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	6	74¢	$5	0x27eb62…
06-16 17:27:14	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x188abd…
06-16 14:53:31	Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x4e52e9…
06-16 04:02:25	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x84e92c…
06-16 02:38:31	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	49	65¢	$32	0x3c40b5…
06-16 02:38:12	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	151	65¢	$98	0x0e35e4…
06-15 21:53:42	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0xa56f41…
06-15 16:31:55	Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	41	69¢	$28	0xc67ad5…
06-15 15:58:22	Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0xacbff9…
06-15 15:54:51	Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0xe1dd4b…
06-15 12:54:03	Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	65	69¢	$45	0xe4bfc7…
06-14 14:00:19	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	61¢	$122	0x61a06f…
06-14 06:08:15	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0x8177f7…
06-13 19:44:48	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	59¢	$118	0x647b7f…
06-13 09:34:13	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0xada4d7…
06-13 06:56:09	Will Türkiye be the highest-scoring team in Group D during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	85	19¢	$16	0x645564…
06-13 05:55:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	4	39¢	$2	0x4ddda6…
06-13 05:55:34	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0xc5ce5b…
06-13 05:55:25	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	197	42¢	$83	0x347d46…
06-13 05:55:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xcd2d76…
06-13 05:55:21	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	207	42¢	$87	0x9a837a…
06-13 03:16:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	200	52¢	$104	0x4db640…
06-13 03:16:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x206461…
06-13 02:55:15	Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	No	SELL	40	65¢	$26	0x603fda…
06-13 01:54:57	Will Türkiye be the highest-scoring team in Group D during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	85	35¢	$30	0xac9639…
06-13 01:54:57	Will Türkiye be the highest-scoring team in Group D during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	85	35¢	$30	0x606598…
06-13 00:56:33	Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	No	SELL	17	65¢	$11	0x177fe8…
06-13 00:56:19	Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	No	SELL	14	65¢	$9	0x71c7e7…
06-13 00:51:37	Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	No	SELL	18	65¢	$11	0x2a86c4…
06-13 00:17:12	Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	No	SELL	12	65¢	$8	0xa4eb7d…
06-12 23:58:34	Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	No	SELL	15	65¢	$9	0xed5636…
06-12 22:26:40	Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	No	SELL	28	65¢	$18	0x2d4395…