Ethical-Kitty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

+$23

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

141

Trades

1,453

lifetime

Volume

$19.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$216

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 06-09 19:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 100% +$12

Politics

11% — —

Other

9% 100% +$1

Tech

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 157 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+200	$150	76¢	$153	+$3	06-02 07:41
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	-131	$-68	38¢	$-50	+$18	05-28 16:59
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	-50	$-14	24¢	$-12	+$2	06-02 13:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	6	$658	600	600	+0	open	—	05-27 18:33
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	4	$497	401	401	+0	open	—	06-09 16:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	3	$458	400	200	+200	open	—	06-02 07:41
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	2	$328	200	200	+0	open	—	06-08 20:55
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	2	$292	200	200	+0	open	—	06-04 13:28
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	3	$276	200	200	+0	open	—	06-04 10:16
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	2	$260	200	200	+0	open	—	06-04 22:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$252	200	200	+0	open	—	05-29 18:56
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	2	$248	200	200	+0	open	—	05-31 23:26
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	2	$240	200	200	+0	open	—	06-08 07:21
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	2	$208	200	200	+0	open	—	06-01 19:18
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	2	$152	200	200	+0	open	—	05-26 14:36
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$152	100	100	+0	open	—	05-25 11:09
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	3	$102	400	200	+200	open	—	06-10 06:52
will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	2	$76	63	63	+0	open	—	06-09 18:05
sports prediction markets taxed as gambling	1	$69	0	100	-100	open	—	06-08 15:01
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	1	$68	0	131	-131	open	—	05-28 16:59
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	2	$62	50	50	+0	open	—	06-05 13:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$60	200	200	+0	open	—	05-31 15:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$60	200	200	+0	open	—	05-22 22:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?	2	$59	76	76	+0	open	—	06-02 14:39
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	2	$56	200	200	+0	open	—	06-02 13:52
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	2	$55	76	76	+0	open	—	06-10 00:56
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	4	$43	53	53	+0	open	—	06-05 18:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	05-17 23:43
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	05-14 19:24
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	05-15 14:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	05-17 07:57
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	05-15 14:09
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	05-14 18:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 06:52:06	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	SELL	200	13¢	$26	0x9a4bb8…
06-10 05:17:40	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0x42a2d4…
06-10 00:56:09	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	SELL	76	36¢	$27	0x5dba66…
06-09 19:15:52	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	76	36¢	$27	0x0357ad…
06-09 18:05:45	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	SELL	63	60¢	$38	0x516827…
06-09 16:30:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	200	64¢	$128	0x9fc8a4…
06-09 16:29:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0xa80355…
06-08 20:55:22	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	200	82¢	$164	0x51b58f…
06-08 20:52:09	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0x55fc6a…
06-08 15:01:45	sports prediction markets taxed as gambling	No	SELL	100	69¢	$69	0xe50faf…
06-08 07:21:43	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	SELL	200	60¢	$120	0x761532…
06-08 07:16:19	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x755f88…
06-05 18:53:21	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0x052fb7…
06-05 13:17:33	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0xd212f7…
06-05 13:02:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	0	41¢	$0	0xd62e72…
06-05 12:55:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	201	60¢	$121	0x375a81…
06-05 12:53:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	201	60¢	$121	0x8e4fd2…
06-05 11:59:15	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0xed48d3…
06-05 11:24:18	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	38	41¢	$16	0x8879b2…
06-05 07:36:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	53	41¢	$22	0x3b383a…
06-05 07:14:46	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x1844fe…
06-04 22:27:07	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	200	65¢	$130	0x65944e…
06-04 22:27:06	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x601b99…
06-04 13:28:40	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	200	73¢	$146	0xdb11a8…
06-04 11:56:42	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0xbc7499…
06-04 10:16:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xc6db5d…
06-04 10:16:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	195	69¢	$135	0x844635…
06-03 15:56:03	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	63	60¢	$38	0x728ea4…
06-02 14:48:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	No	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0xcc19bc…
06-02 14:39:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?	Yes	SELL	76	39¢	$30	0xa29483…
06-02 14:39:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	76	39¢	$30	0x8f1780…
06-02 13:52:35	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	SELL	200	12¢	$24	0xa25822…
06-02 13:27:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	50	29¢	$14	0xc4571d…
06-02 08:52:31	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x1d2667…
06-02 07:41:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0xa7b569…
06-02 01:18:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	77¢	$154	0xfd8d72…
06-01 19:18:55	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	SELL	200	52¢	$104	0x7e77f2…
06-01 15:57:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x19f126…
06-01 12:25:45	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0xbb8566…
05-31 23:26:33	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	200	62¢	$124	0xbae73e…
05-31 22:14:19	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x7cbdb4…
05-31 15:17:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	15¢	$30	0x66bf01…
05-31 15:03:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x91212f…
05-29 18:56:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	200	63¢	$126	0x1109f6…
05-29 14:33:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x2a0fe4…
05-28 16:59:14	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	131	52¢	$68	0xb22e13…
05-27 18:33:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0x60828f…
05-27 02:27:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	66¢	$132	0x68d4da…
05-26 14:36:04	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	200	38¢	$76	0xb9b730…
05-26 13:55:23	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0xed1626…
05-25 11:09:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	76¢	$76	0x08f611…
05-25 11:09:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x008df0…
05-22 23:57:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	53¢	$106	0xa711af…
05-22 22:06:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	15¢	$30	0x9c4a14…
05-22 22:02:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x2889a3…
05-22 20:24:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0x8c649f…
05-21 21:12:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	51¢	$102	0x452a8c…
05-21 15:53:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x25ee9c…
05-21 04:22:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x80d16e…
05-21 04:16:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x8be037…
05-18 20:39:21	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x1ca530…
05-18 19:07:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x110f58…
05-18 17:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x3ba11c…
05-18 15:02:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x169f00…
05-18 14:38:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xe6b1e6…
05-18 14:38:49	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x1122f9…
05-18 14:33:22	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x74b346…
05-18 14:14:00	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xe8298b…
05-18 14:13:28	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x752673…
05-18 13:48:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xfe4113…
05-18 13:43:54	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x57bce9…
05-18 13:37:55	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xad88ad…
05-18 13:37:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x850a52…
05-18 12:04:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x065a01…
05-18 11:49:01	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xbc4355…
05-18 01:57:45	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xc3daa5…
05-18 01:19:08	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xd5950f…
05-18 00:57:48	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xbf880f…
05-18 00:38:49	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xec4b1d…
05-18 00:34:20	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x399f2c…
05-18 00:34:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x22d5fd…
05-18 00:08:55	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xe22da1…
05-18 00:03:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x454e8a…
05-17 23:57:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x66a91f…
05-17 23:53:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xdac395…
05-17 23:43:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x18dc01…
05-17 23:42:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xb1d56e…
05-17 23:39:17	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x72a6a2…
05-17 07:57:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x15d57b…
05-16 19:49:07	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0520ca…
05-16 19:49:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xd85506…
05-16 11:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x1dcbad…
05-16 09:09:56	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xe564b7…
05-16 03:04:28	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x1a0827…
05-16 02:29:41	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0960f3…
05-15 15:28:23	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xd064bf…
05-15 14:42:56	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x8c512d…
05-15 14:29:30	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x932465…
05-15 14:09:24	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x6c9592…
05-15 13:58:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xb0c4db…