Blaring-Depression — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

+$13

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

143

Trades

1,517

lifetime

Volume

$18.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-16

last 06-30 07:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 100% +$12

Politics

25% — —

Other

8% 100% +$2

Tech

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 158 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes		-44	$-13	0¢	$-0	+$13	06-02 13:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	26	$1.2K	1,047	1,047	+0	open	—	06-12 08:27
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	6	$692	400	400	+0	open	—	06-30 07:30
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	6	$585	609	609	+0	open	—	06-13 15:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	4	$380	400	400	+0	open	—	06-12 14:52
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$340	200	200	+0	open	—	05-30 22:40
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	2	$328	200	200	+0	open	—	06-08 20:55
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	4	$304	400	400	+0	open	—	06-02 13:53
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	2	$304	200	200	+0	open	—	06-01 20:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	2	$264	200	200	+0	open	—	06-12 07:35
Fed rate hike in 2026?	2	$256	200	200	+0	open	—	06-15 06:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$252	200	200	+0	open	—	05-28 18:24
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	2	$240	200	200	+0	open	—	06-08 07:21
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	4	$178	150	150	+0	open	—	06-17 20:02
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	2	$168	200	200	+0	open	—	05-29 18:39
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	4	$138	177	177	+0	open	—	06-26 04:26
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	2	$126	129	129	+0	open	—	05-30 04:45
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$124	200	200	+0	open	—	05-24 08:58
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	2	$120	200	200	+0	open	—	06-11 03:26
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	5	$106	86	86	+0	open	—	06-10 11:05
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	3	$94	76	76	+0	open	—	06-06 15:14
will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	5	$74	105	105	+0	open	—	06-26 06:58
will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	2	$73	61	61	+0	open	—	06-09 18:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$60	200	200	+0	open	—	05-22 22:07
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	3	$55	76	76	+0	open	—	06-10 00:50
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$24	100	100	+0	open	—	05-21 04:22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	4	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	06-18 16:26
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	05-14 19:43
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	05-14 18:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	05-18 18:59
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	05-14 19:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 07:30:32	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0x6d7c4e…
06-30 07:27:10	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x3b05db…
06-29 18:42:31	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0x7b030e…
06-29 13:42:10	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0x46b645…
06-27 06:52:04	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	SELL	12	63¢	$8	0x406ded…
06-27 06:51:40	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0x5f3f1f…
06-26 06:58:05	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xdbbb34…
06-26 06:57:44	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	SELL	52	36¢	$19	0x2360e1…
06-26 06:12:14	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	150	88¢	$132	0xe3b90a…
06-26 06:11:49	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x9b1a5f…
06-26 06:08:26	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xbb89dc…
06-26 06:08:26	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	150	88¢	$132	0x91c384…
06-26 04:26:38	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x037a48…
06-26 04:24:29	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	167	39¢	$65	0x2782f5…
06-26 04:24:19	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x73aefc…
06-26 04:24:08	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	177	39¢	$69	0x9ccfe2…
06-25 23:33:47	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x945fd9…
06-25 23:33:46	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	BUY	55	36¢	$20	0x12dd27…
06-18 16:26:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	9	50¢	$5	0x16ef03…
06-18 16:26:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x829d92…
06-18 16:25:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0xb1ce9b…
06-18 13:39:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xee107c…
06-17 20:02:35	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	75	60¢	$45	0x232c6c…
06-17 20:02:22	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	75	59¢	$44	0x869dc1…
06-17 19:59:05	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	75	59¢	$44	0xc5e52a…
06-16 11:38:31	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x4903e8…
06-16 11:37:10	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xf8b7c7…
06-15 06:21:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	64¢	$128	0xdb1426…
06-15 06:16:28	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0x114dbb…
06-13 15:15:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	200	53¢	$106	0x41c3b3…
06-12 16:12:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0x729d63…
06-12 14:52:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	200	80¢	$160	0x353ae2…
06-12 14:50:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0xe4a6ee…
06-12 08:27:25	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	13	55¢	$7	0x0e8a3d…
06-12 08:26:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	21	55¢	$11	0x299426…
06-12 08:26:03	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	13	55¢	$7	0xb0f2dc…
06-12 08:25:27	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	47	55¢	$26	0xf3093f…
06-12 07:35:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	66¢	$132	0xac45ed…
06-12 07:13:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0xc71c6e…
06-12 06:46:45	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	43¢	$86	0x048d04…
06-12 06:18:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0xadaac1…
06-11 19:53:49	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0xf01f3b…
06-11 19:53:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0x7e2d91…
06-11 19:52:55	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	58	38¢	$22	0x8730c4…
06-11 19:51:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0xb731f8…
06-11 19:51:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	38¢	$3	0x645c95…
06-11 19:50:48	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xd38ea1…
06-11 19:50:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	80	38¢	$30	0x015264…
06-11 19:49:27	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0xff131d…
06-11 19:49:22	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0xb9207e…
06-11 19:49:19	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x451857…
06-11 19:49:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xd9cddb…
06-11 19:48:25	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0xd5e956…
06-11 03:26:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	30¢	$60	0x1b4f79…
06-11 03:23:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0x9437e0…
06-10 11:05:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	43	62¢	$27	0x87fa24…
06-10 11:04:03	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	38	61¢	$23	0x229044…
06-10 11:04:03	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x063c92…
06-10 05:42:39	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	43	61¢	$26	0x51eb7a…
06-10 00:50:04	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	SELL	54	36¢	$19	0x29ca27…
06-10 00:44:48	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	SELL	22	36¢	$8	0x058b76…
06-09 19:15:52	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	76	36¢	$27	0x0357ad…
06-09 18:05:45	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	SELL	61	60¢	$37	0x516827…
06-08 20:55:22	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	200	82¢	$164	0x51b58f…
06-08 20:52:09	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0x55fc6a…
06-08 07:21:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	SELL	200	60¢	$120	0xf07331…
06-08 07:16:19	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x755f88…
06-06 18:35:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	200	25¢	$50	0x477387…
06-06 15:14:21	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	74	62¢	$46	0x5b8bb5…
06-06 15:14:15	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x60dab0…
06-06 15:14:12	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	76	62¢	$47	0x2340a3…
06-06 09:34:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0xf7fc2b…
06-05 12:56:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	209	60¢	$125	0x30c696…
06-05 12:53:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	209	60¢	$125	0xa08e89…
06-04 23:44:19	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	41	71¢	$29	0x5217d4…
06-04 23:29:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	159	71¢	$113	0xf64b14…
06-03 20:19:37	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0xda1531…
06-03 15:56:03	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	61	60¢	$37	0xd9512a…
06-03 15:13:36	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	200	69¢	$138	0xbfbb16…
06-03 05:32:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0xdf0907…
06-02 13:53:02	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	SELL	200	12¢	$24	0xf669f3…
06-02 13:27:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	44	29¢	$13	0x8e4f88…
06-02 08:52:31	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x868943…
06-01 20:32:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	200	76¢	$152	0xe853ae…
06-01 15:56:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0x1e5756…
05-31 22:19:35	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	193	62¢	$120	0x8d8143…
05-31 22:14:29	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	7	62¢	$4	0xd2d00f…
05-31 22:14:19	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x7cbdb4…
05-31 15:17:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	15¢	$30	0x66bf01…
05-31 15:03:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x330bd4…
05-30 22:40:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0xd4f2a4…
05-30 21:41:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x2145e0…
05-30 04:45:10	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	129	49¢	$63	0x646679…
05-30 04:44:56	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	129	49¢	$63	0x05b826…
05-29 18:39:56	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	200	42¢	$84	0xa2c4ff…
05-29 18:39:49	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0x8c0d59…
05-28 18:24:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	200	63¢	$126	0x2b12e6…
05-28 16:52:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x7a6ffe…
05-28 12:05:09	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	SELL	200	62¢	$124	0x13c4dc…
05-28 12:05:05	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x6507a8…