Blaring-Depression — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

143

Trades

1,452

lifetime

Volume

$15.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-04-16

last 06-09 18:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 100% +$12

Politics

16% — —

Other

7% 100% +$2

Tech

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 158 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes		-44	$-13	24¢	$-10	+$2	06-02 13:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	8	$808	600	600	+0	open	—	06-04 23:44
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	4	$373	409	409	+0	open	—	06-06 18:35
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$340	200	200	+0	open	—	05-30 22:40
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	2	$328	200	200	+0	open	—	06-08 20:55
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	2	$304	200	200	+0	open	—	06-01 20:32
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	4	$304	400	400	+0	open	—	06-02 13:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$252	200	200	+0	open	—	05-28 18:24
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	2	$240	200	200	+0	open	—	06-08 07:21
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	2	$168	200	200	+0	open	—	05-29 18:39
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	2	$126	129	129	+0	open	—	05-30 04:45
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$124	200	200	+0	open	—	05-24 08:58
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	3	$94	76	76	+0	open	—	06-06 15:14
will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	2	$73	61	61	+0	open	—	06-09 18:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$60	200	200	+0	open	—	05-22 22:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$60	200	200	+0	open	—	05-31 15:17
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	1	$27	76	0	+76	open	—	06-09 19:15
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$24	100	100	+0	open	—	05-21 04:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	05-17 07:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	05-18 18:59
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	05-14 17:48
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	05-14 19:43
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	05-14 19:24
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	05-14 18:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	05-15 12:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	05-19 09:48
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	05-14 18:48
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	05-14 19:18
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	05-14 19:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	05-20 15:18
BNB Up or Down - May 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	05-16 09:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 19:15:52	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	76	36¢	$27	0x0357ad…
06-09 18:05:45	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	SELL	61	60¢	$37	0x516827…
06-08 20:55:22	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	200	82¢	$164	0x51b58f…
06-08 20:52:09	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0x55fc6a…
06-08 07:21:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	SELL	200	60¢	$120	0xf07331…
06-08 07:16:19	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x755f88…
06-06 18:35:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	200	25¢	$50	0x477387…
06-06 15:14:21	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	74	62¢	$46	0x5b8bb5…
06-06 15:14:15	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x60dab0…
06-06 15:14:12	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	76	62¢	$47	0x2340a3…
06-06 09:34:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0xf7fc2b…
06-05 12:56:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	209	60¢	$125	0x30c696…
06-05 12:53:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	209	60¢	$125	0xa08e89…
06-04 23:44:19	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	41	71¢	$29	0x5217d4…
06-04 23:29:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	159	71¢	$113	0xf64b14…
06-03 20:19:37	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0xda1531…
06-03 15:56:03	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	61	60¢	$37	0xd9512a…
06-03 15:13:36	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	200	69¢	$138	0xbfbb16…
06-03 05:32:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0xdf0907…
06-02 13:53:02	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	SELL	200	12¢	$24	0xf669f3…
06-02 13:27:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	44	29¢	$13	0x8e4f88…
06-02 08:52:31	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x868943…
06-01 20:32:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	200	76¢	$152	0xe853ae…
06-01 15:56:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0x1e5756…
05-31 22:19:35	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	193	62¢	$120	0x8d8143…
05-31 22:14:29	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	7	62¢	$4	0xd2d00f…
05-31 22:14:19	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x7cbdb4…
05-31 15:17:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	15¢	$30	0x66bf01…
05-31 15:03:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x330bd4…
05-30 22:40:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0xd4f2a4…
05-30 21:41:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x2145e0…
05-30 04:45:10	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	129	49¢	$63	0x646679…
05-30 04:44:56	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	129	49¢	$63	0x05b826…
05-29 18:39:56	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	200	42¢	$84	0xa2c4ff…
05-29 18:39:49	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0x8c0d59…
05-28 18:24:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	200	63¢	$126	0x2b12e6…
05-28 16:52:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x7a6ffe…
05-28 12:05:09	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	SELL	200	62¢	$124	0x13c4dc…
05-28 12:05:05	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x6507a8…
05-24 08:58:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	31¢	$62	0x673d33…
05-24 08:57:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0x4358e3…
05-22 22:07:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	15¢	$30	0xbf39af…
05-22 22:02:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x2889a3…
05-21 04:22:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x80d16e…
05-21 04:16:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x202b24…
05-20 15:18:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x7fab09…
05-20 15:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0xafd3f1…
05-20 14:17:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xa41113…
05-20 14:12:36	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xf889ba…
05-19 14:23:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x3e3199…
05-19 14:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x252002…
05-19 14:07:46	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xc6f057…
05-19 10:58:31	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x018de8…
05-19 09:48:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xd678a7…
05-19 09:28:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x2b91bd…
05-19 07:43:58	BNB Up or Down - May 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xc4a9b3…
05-18 20:39:21	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xa92c59…
05-18 19:07:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xf146e4…
05-18 18:59:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x7adbd6…
05-18 17:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x396bfd…
05-18 15:02:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xc2f27f…
05-18 14:38:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x7b0915…
05-18 14:38:49	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x54cef1…
05-18 14:33:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x1b73f2…
05-18 14:33:22	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x9e2b4a…
05-18 14:18:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x36625e…
05-18 14:14:02	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x76df4c…
05-18 14:13:28	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xc0aa8b…
05-18 13:43:57	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x48cc6a…
05-18 13:37:55	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x8bea9c…
05-18 13:37:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x12fdf6…
05-18 12:04:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x1c3acc…
05-18 11:48:59	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xbd7daf…
05-18 11:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xba3218…
05-18 01:57:45	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x408952…
05-18 01:19:06	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xebd376…
05-18 00:57:48	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7d2a89…
05-18 00:38:47	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x21a623…
05-18 00:34:20	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xbce455…
05-18 00:34:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x3c64f7…
05-18 00:08:54	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x7cca9f…
05-18 00:03:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x742ef8…
05-17 23:57:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x2c924d…
05-17 23:53:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x43d0b4…
05-17 23:43:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x69b73e…
05-17 23:42:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0xf6fa51…
05-17 23:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x237770…
05-17 23:39:17	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xfda159…
05-17 16:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xee2737…
05-17 07:57:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x22527c…
05-16 19:49:07	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc76a19…
05-16 19:49:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x17df58…
05-16 11:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x59ecb1…
05-16 09:18:09	BNB Up or Down - May 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x636da3…
05-16 09:09:56	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x31ec1d…
05-16 07:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6d4b06…
05-16 03:04:28	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xfabbbd…
05-16 02:29:41	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x82b6cf…
05-15 15:28:21	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xbb60e3…
05-15 14:29:30	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xd2046e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Unruly-Raisin 0x4070…cedf	967	$6.77K	992	06-09 18:05
Ironclad-Midnight 0x8c4e…fdd8	954	$11.9K	975	06-06 18:36
Ethical-Kitty 0x77bf…5b94	947	$15.0K	963	06-09 19:15
Greedy-Inhabitant 0x58bc…5d8f	852	$5.10K	864	06-09 18:05
Distinct-Drug 0x218f…91f7	848	$6.62K	875	06-09 18:05
Likely-Civilisation 0xca85…0f4a	844	$6.08K	860	06-09 19:15
Double-Modernity-Atrium 0xbb09…fd18	837	$6.15K	864	06-09 19:15
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	834	$518	3,115	06-08 02:09