Blaring-Depression — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

143

Trades

1,574

lifetime

Volume

$21.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 07-13 13:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 100% +$12

Politics

27% — —

Other

11% 100% +$2

Sports

4% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	26	$1.2K	1,047	1,047	+0	open	—	06-12 08:27
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	8	$1.0K	600	600	+0	open	—	07-01 07:15
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	9	$598	500	500	+0	open	—	07-03 19:55
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	6	$585	609	609	+0	open	—	06-13 15:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	4	$520	400	400	+0	open	—	07-07 01:40
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	6	$385	400	400	+0	open	—	07-08 21:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	4	$380	400	400	+0	open	—	06-12 14:52
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$340	200	200	+0	open	—	05-30 22:40
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	2	$328	200	200	+0	open	—	06-08 20:55
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	4	$304	400	400	+0	open	—	06-02 13:53
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	2	$304	200	200	+0	open	—	06-01 20:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	2	$264	200	200	+0	open	—	06-12 07:35
Fed rate hike in 2026?	2	$256	200	200	+0	open	—	06-15 06:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$252	200	200	+0	open	—	05-28 18:24
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	2	$240	200	200	+0	open	—	06-08 07:21
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	2	$196	200	200	+0	open	—	07-08 11:52
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	4	$178	150	150	+0	open	—	06-17 20:02
will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	2	$170	100	100	+0	open	—	07-11 19:40
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	2	$168	200	200	+0	open	—	05-29 18:39
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	2	$152	206	206	+0	open	—	07-13 13:24
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	4	$138	177	177	+0	open	—	06-26 04:26
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	2	$126	129	129	+0	open	—	05-30 04:45
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$124	200	200	+0	open	—	05-24 08:58
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	2	$120	200	200	+0	open	—	06-11 03:26
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	5	$106	86	86	+0	open	—	06-10 11:05
will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	13	$101	266	266	+0	open	—	07-04 13:22
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	3	$94	76	76	+0	open	—	06-06 15:14
iran leadership change by june 30 2027	6	$93	64	64	+0	open	—	07-13 11:58
will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	5	$74	105	105	+0	open	—	06-26 06:58
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	2	$73	61	61	+0	open	—	06-09 18:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 13:24:34	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	206	28¢	$58	0x6d1c87…
07-13 11:58:28	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	SELL	13	73¢	$9	0x4e9407…
07-13 11:24:26	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	SELL	15	73¢	$11	0x574ef0…
07-13 10:52:37	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	SELL	18	73¢	$13	0x12ae0c…
07-13 10:20:08	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	SELL	16	73¢	$12	0xadee07…
07-13 08:29:41	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x7d5a9c…
07-11 23:58:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	13	20¢	$3	0x695d73…
07-11 23:02:59	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	BUY	64	73¢	$47	0xbae0df…
07-11 22:11:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0x25a61e…
07-11 19:40:50	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0xf26bb5…
07-11 13:52:20	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xe11464…
07-08 21:04:17	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	200	53¢	$106	0x82ea72…
07-08 21:03:56	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0xa7d663…
07-08 11:52:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	200	49¢	$98	0xfa20ba…
07-08 11:52:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0xce0943…
07-08 08:50:58	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	150	43¢	$65	0xc10c18…
07-08 08:50:55	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	18	44¢	$8	0x942eeb…
07-08 08:50:53	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	31	45¢	$14	0x92454a…
07-08 08:48:47	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0x96e119…
07-07 08:59:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0x11e040…
07-07 03:59:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x680d5e…
07-07 01:40:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	61¢	$122	0xf9d0fb…
07-06 23:21:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0xa9f42a…
07-06 10:42:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	69¢	$138	0x41e8e4…
07-06 10:42:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x0cf5c7…
07-06 10:34:04	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xffa5d2…
07-06 10:33:28	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xc5be22…
07-04 13:30:22	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	206	46¢	$95	0xa96683…
07-04 13:22:04	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	Yes	SELL	133	18¢	$24	0x06a196…
07-04 10:41:47	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xd591dd…
07-04 08:24:53	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	Yes	SELL	18	19¢	$3	0x9b6c9d…
07-04 08:24:37	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	Yes	SELL	18	19¢	$3	0xfa30e8…
07-04 08:24:34	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xa06d1f…
07-04 08:24:19	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xdd1ce7…
07-04 08:24:16	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	Yes	SELL	30	19¢	$6	0x847931…
07-04 08:24:02	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x950c0f…
07-04 08:23:46	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xf005c1…
07-04 08:23:43	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	Yes	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0x4adf9e…
07-04 08:22:08	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xb67768…
07-04 08:21:08	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	Yes	BUY	133	19¢	$25	0xd67fb5…
07-03 21:46:47	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	Yes	SELL	59	29¢	$17	0x85a979…
07-03 21:46:44	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	Yes	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x9652ce…
07-03 21:46:44	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	Yes	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0x7e782d…
07-03 21:46:44	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	Yes	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x5fe1b9…
07-03 21:46:41	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	Yes	BUY	62	29¢	$18	0x9be242…
07-03 19:55:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	200	64¢	$128	0x2f5d45…
07-03 19:41:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0xbc9f93…
07-03 13:24:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	200	71¢	$142	0x4de2db…
07-03 12:32:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x44b55f…
07-01 22:45:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0xd2434e…
07-01 22:12:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	69	29¢	$20	0x930fc8…
07-01 22:05:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x7472df…
07-01 21:55:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	21	29¢	$6	0xf3f5ce…
07-01 17:28:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x78cca4…
07-01 07:15:23	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0x382857…
07-01 07:14:11	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x9a6525…
06-30 07:30:32	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0x6d7c4e…
06-30 07:27:10	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x3b05db…
06-29 18:42:31	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0x7b030e…
06-29 13:42:10	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0x46b645…
06-27 06:52:04	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	SELL	12	63¢	$8	0x406ded…
06-27 06:51:40	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0x5f3f1f…
06-26 06:58:05	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xdbbb34…
06-26 06:57:44	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	SELL	52	36¢	$19	0x2360e1…
06-26 06:12:14	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	150	88¢	$132	0xe3b90a…
06-26 06:11:49	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x9b1a5f…
06-26 06:08:26	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xbb89dc…
06-26 06:08:26	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	150	88¢	$132	0x91c384…
06-26 04:26:38	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x037a48…
06-26 04:24:29	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	167	39¢	$65	0x2782f5…
06-26 04:24:19	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x73aefc…
06-26 04:24:08	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	177	39¢	$69	0x9ccfe2…
06-25 23:33:47	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x945fd9…
06-25 23:33:46	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	BUY	55	36¢	$20	0x12dd27…
06-18 16:26:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	9	50¢	$5	0x16ef03…
06-18 16:26:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x829d92…
06-18 16:25:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0xb1ce9b…
06-18 13:39:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xee107c…
06-17 20:02:35	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	75	60¢	$45	0x232c6c…
06-17 20:02:22	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	75	59¢	$44	0x869dc1…
06-17 19:59:05	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	75	59¢	$44	0xc5e52a…
06-16 11:38:31	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x4903e8…
06-16 11:37:10	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xf8b7c7…
06-15 06:21:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	64¢	$128	0xdb1426…
06-15 06:16:28	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0x114dbb…
06-13 15:15:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	200	53¢	$106	0x41c3b3…
06-12 16:12:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0x729d63…
06-12 14:52:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	200	80¢	$160	0x353ae2…
06-12 14:50:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0xe4a6ee…
06-12 08:27:25	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	13	55¢	$7	0x0e8a3d…
06-12 08:26:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	21	55¢	$11	0x299426…
06-12 08:26:03	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	13	55¢	$7	0xb0f2dc…
06-12 08:25:27	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	47	55¢	$26	0xf3093f…
06-12 07:35:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	66¢	$132	0xac45ed…
06-12 07:13:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0xc71c6e…
06-12 06:46:45	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	43¢	$86	0x048d04…
06-12 06:18:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0xadaac1…
06-11 19:53:49	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0xf01f3b…
06-11 19:53:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0x7e2d91…
06-11 19:52:55	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	58	38¢	$22	0x8730c4…