Square-Leprosy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$200

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.3%

Resolved

Trades

2,577

lifetime

Volume

$391.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$152

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 05-24 03:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

63% 50% $-200

Politics

19% — —

Crypto

17% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 301 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran strike israel on march 3	20	$29.9K	28,228	24,228	+4,000	open	—	03-05 12:07
den fcf ran 2026 03 13 ran	2	$10.0K	5,056	5,056	+0	open	—	03-13 19:48
tur kar fen 2026 03 13 kar	2	$9.2K	4,955	4,955	+0	open	—	03-13 19:27
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 380 399	2	$8.5K	4,283	4,283	+0	open	—	03-13 16:48
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 400 419	3	$8.4K	4,271	4,271	+0	open	—	03-13 15:08
uel cel4 lyo1 2026 03 12 draw	2	$8.3K	4,226	4,226	+0	open	—	03-12 21:54
uel gnk scf 2026 03 12 gnk	2	$7.4K	4,131	4,131	+0	open	—	03-12 21:53
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$7.3K	6,722	6,722	+0	open	—	03-02 05:10
elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 40 64	2	$6.9K	3,739	3,739	+0	open	—	03-02 18:11
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	2	$6.4K	3,216	3,216	+0	open	—	03-02 14:07
col cel aek1 2026 03 12 aek1	2	$6.4K	3,390	3,390	+0	open	—	03-12 20:39
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	5	$6.3K	3,668	3,668	+0	open	—	03-01 12:18
uel stu3 por1 2026 03 12 por1	2	$6.0K	3,082	3,082	+0	open	—	03-12 20:24
uel lil ast4 2026 03 12 ast4	2	$5.6K	2,898	2,898	+0	open	—	03-12 19:41
ere tel psv 2026 03 22 tel	2	$5.6K	2,856	2,856	+0	open	—	03-22 18:00
lal rea mad 2026 03 22 rea	2	$5.4K	2,992	2,992	+0	open	—	03-22 21:58
scop dun cel 2026 03 22 dun	2	$5.4K	2,800	2,800	+0	open	—	03-22 16:59
por mor aro 2026 03 21 aro	3	$5.1K	2,564	2,564	+0	open	—	03-21 17:36
will iran strike israel on march 8	2	$4.8K	2,511	2,511	+0	open	—	03-08 09:06
uel bol1 rom1 2026 03 12 draw	2	$4.8K	2,808	2,808	+0	open	—	03-12 19:37
spl qad ahl 2026 03 13 qad	2	$4.8K	4,800	2,306	+2,494	open	—	03-13 21:03
sea fio int 2026 03 22 draw	2	$4.4K	2,395	2,389	+6	open	—	03-22 21:42
will iran strike israel on march 6	3	$4.3K	5,272	3,272	+2,000	open	—	03-11 11:40
uel bol1 rom1 2026 03 12 bol1	2	$4.3K	2,728	2,728	+0	open	—	03-12 19:23
bra cru san 2026 03 22 draw	2	$4.0K	2,079	2,079	+0	open	—	03-22 21:03
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	1	$3.7K	3,812	0	+3,812	open	—	03-02 18:12
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 140 164	2	$3.7K	1,939	1,939	+0	open	—	03-11 14:48
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	2	$3.5K	2,865	2,865	+0	open	—	03-10 05:56
den vib mid 2026 03 22 draw	2	$3.4K	1,929	1,929	+0	open	—	03-22 20:54
fl1 ren met 2026 03 22 ren	3	$3.1K	2,936	2,936	+0	open	—	03-22 18:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 03:18:19	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	83	0¢	$0	0xc84b10…
05-24 03:18:19	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	8,322	2¢	$171	0x33142f…
05-22 21:04:21	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	9,404	3¢	$302	0x4cb856…
05-18 19:15:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	382	17¢	$65	0xf8c13e…
05-18 19:11:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	SELL	200	12¢	$24	0x2ca99e…
05-18 19:11:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	SELL	7,143	1¢	$44	0x8db25e…
05-18 18:47:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	200	32¢	$65	0x32360a…
05-18 18:47:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	7,143	3¢	$200	0xcf4e4e…
05-17 12:23:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	65	21¢	$14	0x32d97d…
05-16 20:10:04	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xed3170…
05-10 13:34:03	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Team Falcons	BUY	269	93¢	$250	0x34b067…
05-10 13:33:33	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Liudmila Samsonova vs Anastasia Potapova	Anastasia Potapova	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0x147b48…
05-10 11:54:11	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Liudmila Samsonova vs Anastasia Potapova	Anastasia Potapova	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0x023e56…
05-02 21:57:08	BNB Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0x366ae4…
05-02 20:26:44	BNB Up or Down - May 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xeacf96…
05-02 17:57:18	BNB Up or Down - May 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	66¢	$10	0xf1ea8f…
05-02 17:41:12	BNB Up or Down - May 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x7c8643…
05-02 15:55:50	BNB Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$3	0x175a3c…
05-02 13:41:06	BNB Up or Down - May 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x9c9a8c…
05-02 12:13:56	BNB Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x040b3e…
05-02 09:41:52	BNB Up or Down - May 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x9f507e…
05-02 05:25:48	BNB Up or Down - May 2, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x2d3c95…
05-02 02:26:28	BNB Up or Down - May 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x61c766…
05-01 21:58:52	BNB Up or Down - May 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xc59a3a…
05-01 21:43:06	BNB Up or Down - May 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x682da0…
05-01 12:41:52	BNB Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x35b7eb…
04-30 23:58:32	BNB Up or Down - April 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x72d878…
04-30 20:16:02	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	28,602	0¢	$143	0x4f8c65…
04-30 20:13:10	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	11,333	1¢	$68	0x80afbe…
04-30 20:05:16	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0x2ace78…
04-30 20:00:34	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5,269	1¢	$40	0x3360d4…
04-30 19:56:50	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$40	0x3d708c…
04-30 17:41:50	BNB Up or Down - April 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x637e36…
04-30 15:11:22	BNB Up or Down - April 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x38b38b…
04-30 14:55:38	BNB Up or Down - April 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2f2f1f…
04-30 12:55:36	BNB Up or Down - April 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x39ba75…
04-30 11:56:30	BNB Up or Down - April 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2239d7…
04-30 09:42:24	BNB Up or Down - April 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x1eefd5…
04-30 09:13:06	BNB Up or Down - April 30, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x9267c2…
04-30 08:11:22	BNB Up or Down - April 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4d356e…
04-30 06:55:38	BNB Up or Down - April 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xab7277…
04-30 06:41:10	BNB Up or Down - April 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x0e957e…
04-30 06:26:08	BNB Up or Down - April 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x1c70e0…
04-30 04:55:36	BNB Up or Down - April 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb85860…
04-30 02:55:36	BNB Up or Down - April 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4eda27…
04-30 02:26:02	BNB Up or Down - April 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x116916…
04-30 02:13:32	BNB Up or Down - April 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x09eeb2…
04-30 00:12:58	BNB Up or Down - April 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4653a1…
04-29 22:56:28	BNB Up or Down - April 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x50b295…
04-29 21:58:28	BNB Up or Down - April 29, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xe40447…
04-29 21:26:16	BNB Up or Down - April 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xa5e61c…
04-29 18:26:24	BNB Up or Down - April 29, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa27fff…
04-29 17:41:08	BNB Up or Down - April 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x86b669…
04-29 16:43:58	BNB Up or Down - April 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8c8316…
04-29 12:57:46	BNB Up or Down - April 29, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x63da4a…
04-29 09:13:22	BNB Up or Down - April 29, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xce94db…
04-29 07:41:52	BNB Up or Down - April 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe2b4c2…
04-29 07:12:02	BNB Up or Down - April 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x510ca1…
04-28 10:43:32	BNB Up or Down - April 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5a988b…
04-28 10:11:02	BNB Up or Down - April 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc75da0…
04-28 07:40:38	BNB Up or Down - April 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xad07bf…
04-28 07:25:36	BNB Up or Down - April 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbbe297…
04-28 05:27:52	BNB Up or Down - April 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x1dcd85…
04-28 05:11:08	BNB Up or Down - April 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x129099…
04-28 04:13:18	BNB Up or Down - April 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7e89db…
04-28 03:42:38	BNB Up or Down - April 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xa0d886…
04-28 02:11:40	BNB Up or Down - April 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd99939…
04-28 00:55:36	BNB Up or Down - April 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2abcad…
04-27 23:40:38	BNB Up or Down - April 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xde77f3…
04-27 23:14:26	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xd976f7…
04-27 22:43:36	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x1f3f68…
04-27 22:43:14	BNB Up or Down - April 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xce8c47…
04-27 22:34:24	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x8a3e0d…
04-27 22:26:10	BNB Up or Down - April 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x8e9665…
04-27 22:19:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xa3ae60…
04-27 22:14:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x463f5b…
04-27 22:04:12	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x01efac…
04-27 21:33:38	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x11b8ce…
04-27 21:27:16	BNB Up or Down - April 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xb3d693…
04-27 21:13:52	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x3e5eeb…
04-27 20:58:54	BNB Up or Down - April 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc19663…
04-27 20:58:36	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x76c6e8…
04-27 20:39:20	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x384cc4…
04-27 20:18:36	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x9b6ff5…
04-27 19:59:44	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xc6d607…
04-27 19:55:54	BNB Up or Down - April 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x9dac90…
04-27 19:48:56	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x12f6b4…
04-27 19:34:22	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x90bd3d…
04-27 19:09:46	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xe339a9…
04-27 18:54:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x67b123…
04-27 18:44:24	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xc0a2c9…
04-27 18:33:36	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x25c9f6…
04-27 18:23:54	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	92¢	$3	0x3643c3…
04-27 18:13:42	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x9b26d8…
04-27 16:43:28	BNB Up or Down - April 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x26b863…
04-27 16:12:10	BNB Up or Down - April 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x452436…
04-27 13:41:54	BNB Up or Down - April 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xef0202…
04-27 13:27:44	BNB Up or Down - April 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x56f839…
04-27 11:58:48	BNB Up or Down - April 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xeba4a2…
04-27 10:40:36	BNB Up or Down - April 27, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x5e17bd…