Fine-Discrimination — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$603

Unrealized P&L

-$27

Hit rate

65.9%

Resolved

1,088

Trades

2,256

lifetime

Volume

$243.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$108

Open exposure

$128

1 position

First seen

2026-03-17

last 11-11 17:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 86 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 53% +$2,200

Other

3% 26% -$1,083

Sports

0% 0% -$514

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 12?	No		+2,146	$154	6¢	$128	-$27	11-11 17:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 64k on july 7 2026	3	$5.6K	8,704	7,383	+1,320	No	+$1,946	07-06 22:06
bitcoin above 62k on june 24 2026	13	$5.2K	9,279	9,279	+0	No	+$3,056	06-24 13:57
bitcoin above 60k on june 26 2026	4	$5.0K	5,618	5,618	+0	Yes	+$1,048	06-26 09:30
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 18?	2	$4.3K	5,567	5,567	+0	Yes	+$3,336	09-18 10:36
bitcoin above 62k on june 23 2026	5	$4.1K	10,989	10,989	+0	Yes	+$2,639	06-23 13:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 20:45 UTC	29	$3.4K	2,279	2,243	+35	Down	+$1,011	03-23 20:49
bitcoin above 62k on june 25 2026	10	$3.3K	4,281	3,281	+1,000	No	+$874	06-24 20:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 11:50 UTC	19	$3.2K	2,117	2,085	+32	Down	+$835	03-24 11:53
bitcoin above 64k on june 22 2026	4	$3.1K	3,363	3,363	+0	Yes	+$1,119	06-22 01:25
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$3.0K	7,328	0	+7,328	Spain	-$3,041	07-19 18:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 02:25 UTC	3	$3.0K	5,331	0	+5,331	Up	+$2,331	03-25 02:24
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	1	$2.5K	5,405	0	+5,405	Argentina	+$2,905	07-15 18:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 13:50 UTC	4	$2.5K	2,887	1,737	+1,150	Down	-$581	04-09 13:52
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 21?	2	$2.2K	2,448	2,448	+0	Yes	+$1,511	09-21 09:45
bitcoin above 64k on june 23 2026	3	$2.2K	1,745	1,745	+0	No	+$1,179	06-23 09:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 01:00 UTC	2	$2.1K	1,386	1,365	+21	Down	+$497	03-19 01:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:00 UTC	55	$2.0K	1,415	1,370	+44	Up	+$478	03-31 15:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 02:40 UTC	3	$2.0K	3,507	0	+3,507	Up	+$1,507	03-26 02:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 04:55 UTC	5	$1.9K	2,490	2,062	+428	Down	+$485	04-01 04:59
ethereum above 2700 on september 30 2026	2	$1.9K	2,703	2,703	+0	No	-$80	09-30 11:02
ethereum above 1900 on july 16 2026	2	$1.9K	1,786	1,786	+0	No	+$701	07-16 10:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 04:50 UTC	3	$1.9K	4,376	0	+4,376	Up	-$1,900	04-01 04:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 05:35 UTC	15	$1.9K	1,270	1,229	+41	Down	+$519	04-01 05:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 02:20 UTC	1	$1.8K	3,021	0	+3,021	Down	-$1,844	03-25 02:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 10:35 UTC	24	$1.8K	1,306	1,286	+20	Up	+$530	03-24 10:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 01:15 UTC	2	$1.8K	1,193	1,174	+18	Up	+$484	03-28 01:19
bitcoin above 62k on july 2 2026	2	$1.8K	2,941	2,941	+0	No	+$762	07-02 13:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 03:30 UTC	2	$1.6K	1,443	1,421	+22	Down	+$102	03-28 03:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 00:05 UTC	1	$1.5K	2,659	0	+2,659	Down	+$1,159	03-24 00:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 20:00 UTC	2	$1.5K	2,499	0	+2,499	Down	-$1,500	03-23 19:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 17:08:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 12?	No	BUY	2,146	7¢	$154	0x8cec11…
11-10 23:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	91	41¢	$37	0xd505e6…
11-10 23:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xc31539…
11-10 23:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x47b37a…
11-10 22:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xafa447…
11-10 22:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x935bbb…
11-10 22:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xa0b0d1…
11-10 22:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x93f108…
11-10 22:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xb0dc57…
11-10 22:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	33	82¢	$27	0xe91afc…
11-10 22:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xea474d…
11-10 22:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xcadc10…
11-10 22:22:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	2,702	9¢	$250	0x579ab6…
11-05 14:55:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?	No	SELL	1,797	24¢	$430	0x489d10…
11-04 21:34:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	1,797	8¢	$152	0xdea4ca…
10-31 01:34:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 2?	No	BUY	3,000	7¢	$210	0x583ad8…
10-31 01:32:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	3,000	7¢	$219	0x1e8c69…
10-31 01:31:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	485	7¢	$34	0xc78793…
10-31 01:31:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	466	7¢	$33	0x7e5b43…
10-31 01:30:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x6767e0…
10-31 01:30:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	35	7¢	$2	0x634ec5…
10-29 02:16:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1,923	13¢	$250	0xff7f74…
10-29 02:10:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 29?	No	SELL	1	47¢	$0	0xfb8aff…
10-29 02:10:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 29?	No	SELL	819	47¢	$385	0x76f0ca…
10-29 02:10:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 29?	No	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xb81893…
10-29 02:09:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 29?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x8ae0d8…
10-29 02:08:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 29?	No	SELL	213	47¢	$100	0xea3f70…
10-29 02:08:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 29?	No	SELL	21	47¢	$10	0x661037…
10-28 19:50:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	1,076	14¢	$150	0x3903e6…
10-28 17:09:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	5,739	7¢	$400	0xdd77b3…
10-27 14:40:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x6955a5…
10-27 14:36:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	819	13¢	$110	0x4317e3…
10-27 14:33:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	4,250	8¢	$323	0x5bdcd6…
10-27 14:31:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	667	8¢	$51	0x196c10…
10-27 14:31:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xe6cd5b…
10-27 14:31:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xb01bd1…
10-27 14:31:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x8645ac…
10-27 14:31:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x8d05f8…
10-27 14:31:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x939082…
10-27 14:29:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xc85ea8…
10-27 14:29:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x42e2a8…
10-27 14:13:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	467	7¢	$35	0x93b451…
10-26 13:02:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	1,807	8¢	$146	0x127ec1…
10-25 21:22:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	2,279	4¢	$100	0xfed26a…
10-24 23:50:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	2,305	4¢	$100	0xac7a18…
10-24 14:40:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	7,352	4¢	$300	0xb437c8…
10-24 14:37:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	SELL	4,664	12¢	$582	0x4330dd…
10-23 11:39:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	No	SELL	2,295	4¢	$103	0xafb7a4…
10-23 11:38:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	No	SELL	831	5¢	$42	0xd3ff6a…
10-23 11:38:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	4,664	11¢	$499	0xf29ca2…
10-22 23:24:06	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 23?	No	BUY	1,000	13¢	$133	0xe3a286…
10-22 23:10:53	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 23?	No	BUY	1,250	12¢	$150	0x84bba7…
10-22 22:52:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2,994	3¢	$100	0xfc5547…
10-22 22:45:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	602	17¢	$100	0xd19f1c…
10-22 22:45:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	1,259	16¢	$200	0xef38ac…
10-22 22:44:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	1,335	15¢	$200	0x07b4be…
10-22 22:44:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	3,392	3¢	$100	0x36b069…
10-22 22:44:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	2,030	2¢	$50	0x7196f8…
10-22 10:48:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 22?	No	SELL	1,420	45¢	$638	0x9d8178…
10-22 01:47:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	1,420	9¢	$125	0xece5a3…
09-30 11:03:36	ethereum above 2800 on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	2,500	8¢	$200	0x1300a3…
09-30 11:03:06	ethereum above 2600 on october 1 2026	No	BUY	2,001	10¢	$200	0xd83008…
09-30 11:02:24	ethereum above 2700 on september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	2,703	34¢	$920	0xee34b8…
09-29 23:03:06	ethereum above 2700 on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2,703	37¢	$1,000	0xfa1dfe…
09-24 15:02:11	ethereum above 2800 on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	4,762	21¢	$1,000	0x375869…
09-24 15:00:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 25?	No	BUY	2,526	20¢	$500	0xc1fcb0…
09-23 12:49:01	ethereum above 2700 on september 23 2026	No	SELL	1,899	17¢	$316	0x4230bf…
09-23 10:30:17	ethereum above 2800 on september 25 2026	Yes	BUY	3,722	27¢	$1,000	0x700c8b…
09-23 01:13:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 23?	No	BUY	1,899	8¢	$150	0x598e88…
09-22 02:28:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	1,683	30¢	$500	0xb15489…
09-22 02:28:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	1,718	29¢	$500	0xbfd567…
09-22 02:27:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 23?	No	BUY	4,635	8¢	$350	0xa715a1…
09-22 02:26:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	550	28¢	$155	0x3472ab…
09-22 02:17:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 22?	No	SELL	1,017	18¢	$188	0x9fc47a…
09-22 02:15:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 22?	No	SELL	25	18¢	$5	0x75009b…
09-22 02:15:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 22?	No	SELL	163	18¢	$30	0x0e0f78…
09-22 02:15:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 22?	No	SELL	485	19¢	$90	0xdddc1a…
09-22 02:15:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 22?	No	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x2ba281…
09-21 20:30:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 22?	Yes	SELL	1,991	48¢	$952	0x666893…
09-21 17:44:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	1,991	25¢	$500	0xe3a766…
09-21 17:36:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 22?	No	BUY	749	27¢	$200	0x7efe94…
09-21 17:36:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 22?	No	BUY	951	26¢	$250	0xfc6219…
09-21 09:45:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 21?	Yes	SELL	2,448	76¢	$1,861	0x0b7a66…
09-21 00:30:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 22?	No	BUY	833	18¢	$150	0xec0505…
09-20 01:35:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	2,448	14¢	$350	0x21d272…
09-20 01:34:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 21?	No	BUY	396	38¢	$150	0x78c7b7…
09-20 01:33:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 21?	No	BUY	3,593	6¢	$200	0x475e12…
09-18 10:36:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 18?	Yes	SELL	5,567	69¢	$3,836	0xf1d8d0…
09-18 00:54:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 18?	No	BUY	4,568	11¢	$500	0xc3adc6…
09-18 00:54:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	5,567	9¢	$500	0xd18aa9…
09-15 01:45:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	714	7¢	$50	0xa378dd…
09-11 04:51:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 11?	No	BUY	6,538	13¢	$850	0x6ea77e…
09-11 04:50:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	6,044	21¢	$1,250	0xd58b6a…
08-08 02:14:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe4b52b…
07-19 18:50:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	7,328	41¢	$3,041	0x8575c3…
07-17 13:15:07	ethereum above 1800 on july 17 2026	No	SELL	855	25¢	$210	0xa6b434…
07-17 02:27:12	ethereum above 1800 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	855	12¢	$100	0x130904…
07-16 10:02:44	ethereum above 1900 on july 16 2026	No	SELL	1,786	73¢	$1,301	0xf2ff18…
07-15 23:47:10	ethereum above 1900 on july 16 2026	No	BUY	1,786	34¢	$600	0xe45301…
07-15 18:15:32	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	5,405	46¢	$2,500	0x3b5fe8…