Foolhardy-Cut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$364

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.2%

Resolved

1,103

Trades

3,242

lifetime

Volume

$250.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$77

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 11-04 14:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 126 days

Categories

Crypto

56% 89% +$75

Other

43% 97% +$149

Sports

0% 100% +$139

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 20?	13	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$6	07-20 09:42
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C or higher on July 27?	29	$3.8K	1,908	1,908	+0	Yes	+$21	07-27 16:49
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 26?	32	$3.6K	2,000	1,700	+300	No	-$14	08-26 20:20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 21?	11	$2.8K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	+$4	07-21 04:01
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 14?	11	$2.2K	2,200	0	+2,200	No	+$9	07-14 17:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 09:40 UTC	20	$2.0K	2,164	0	+2,164	Up	+$164	07-25 09:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 09:35 UTC	20	$2.0K	2,149	0	+2,149	Down	-$522	07-25 09:40
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 11?	10	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$8	08-11 07:14
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?	17	$1.9K	1,871	0	+1,871	No	+$7	07-20 11:49
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 15?	7	$1.8K	1,819	0	+1,819	No	+$5	08-14 23:33
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 21?	9	$1.6K	802	802	+0	No	+$2	07-21 04:02
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 3?	15	$1.5K	1,500	0	+1,500	No	+$6	07-03 14:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 15:50 UTC	6	$1.5K	1,500	0	+1,500	Down	+$20	07-26 15:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 14:20 UTC	10	$1.5K	1,500	0	+1,500	Up	+$20	08-01 14:24
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 10?	12	$1.4K	1,400	0	+1,400	No	+$6	08-10 06:41
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 24?	8	$1.3K	1,337	0	+1,337	No	+$16	07-24 05:01
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on July 9?	15	$1.2K	1,246	0	+1,246	No	+$4	07-09 11:15
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 12?	7	$1.2K	1,245	0	+1,245	No	+$9	07-12 14:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 09:55 UTC	12	$1.2K	90,895	0	+90,895	Up	-$898	07-25 10:00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 22?	6	$1.2K	1,204	0	+1,204	No	+$6	08-21 15:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 13:45 UTC	9	$1.2K	1,207	0	+1,207	Down	+$17	07-26 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 12:35 UTC	9	$1.2K	1,204	0	+1,204	Down	+$17	07-26 12:40
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 23?	8	$1.1K	1,137	0	+1,137	No	+$5	07-23 12:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 13:50 UTC	8	$1.0K	892	892	+0	Up	+$20	07-19 13:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 16:10 UTC	10	$1000	1,015	0	+1,015	Up	+$15	07-26 16:14
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 4?	12	$996	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$4	07-03 22:28
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 7?	10	$996	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$4	07-06 21:10
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 24?	5	$996	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$4	07-24 15:18
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 23?	5	$996	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$4	08-22 16:07
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 25?	10	$990	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$10	08-26 00:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 14:21:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x06042c…
11-04 14:19:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x623b79…
11-04 13:41:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5b73bc…
11-04 12:59:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3d84e4…
11-03 04:12:40	Bears vs. Seahawks	Bears	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb7f29d…
11-03 04:05:55	Jazz vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2f4150…
11-03 03:57:13	Jazz vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x5f707f…
11-03 03:31:39	Kings vs. Mavericks	Kings	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8f41a1…
11-03 03:08:27	Nets vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x900f32…
11-02 03:46:37	Clippers vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x64bd11…
11-01 22:55:57	Celtics vs. Magic	Celtics	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe5f349…
11-01 18:35:58	Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x2aba40…
11-01 18:35:48	Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0xba5cd2…
10-30 04:12:33	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Grizzlies	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd8bfb7…
10-30 02:09:25	Kings vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x223c9d…
10-30 02:09:24	Kings vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfabd98…
10-26 21:09:18	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xef0ab6…
10-26 19:04:20	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5cbcb9…
10-26 13:59:45	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbee197…
10-25 19:08:30	Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	72	84¢	$60	0x812f62…
10-25 11:47:51	Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	89	76¢	$68	0xadc62e…
10-16 16:24:54	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	26	51¢	$13	0xd240aa…
10-11 10:03:49	Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	73	83¢	$61	0x6e6c10…
10-11 10:02:10	Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0x0608ce…
10-10 06:47:58	Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x6234a3…
10-04 06:52:17	f1 bahrain grand prix driver podium verstappen 2026 10 04	Yes	BUY	120	76¢	$91	0xd717c7…
09-20 07:32:05	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 20?	No	SELL	19	85¢	$16	0xc473f9…
09-20 07:32:05	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 20?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x370807…
09-20 07:32:04	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 20?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0xe859a2…
09-20 07:32:04	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 20?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xbd1025…
09-20 07:32:02	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 20?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x87dc67…
09-20 07:32:02	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 20?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x09f8cd…
09-20 07:31:44	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 20?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0xe9d9ae…
09-20 07:31:43	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 20?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xf073f0…
09-20 05:33:31	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 20?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x792b61…
09-20 05:33:15	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 20?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x522b6d…
09-19 18:56:18	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 19?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xe13319…
09-19 18:55:59	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 19?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x77f47f…
09-09 21:58:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 90-91°F on September 9?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x58e275…
09-09 21:57:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 90-91°F on September 9?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfa987f…
09-01 23:38:45	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on September 1?	No	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0xaef5f9…
09-01 23:38:22	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on September 1?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xc4b996…
09-01 23:38:22	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on September 1?	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0xb91019…
08-31 19:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 31?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$0	0xcf536e…
08-31 19:55:55	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 31?	No	SELL	25	85¢	$21	0x890824…
08-31 19:55:49	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 31?	No	BUY	26	71¢	$18	0xd3d8ba…
08-30 17:19:04	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 30?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xce7dda…
08-30 17:18:22	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 30?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xfc035a…
08-30 17:13:33	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 30?	No	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0x4dad0f…
08-27 16:29:16	Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on August 27?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xa05ceb…
08-26 20:20:46	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 26?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x9786ae…
08-26 17:55:49	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 26?	No	SELL	430	98¢	$422	0xce8711…
08-26 17:55:49	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 26?	No	SELL	1,000	98¢	$980	0x61c49e…
08-26 17:55:49	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 26?	No	SELL	270	98¢	$264	0x27dab3…
08-26 17:31:43	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 26?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x99f827…
08-26 16:53:06	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 26?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x9a7224…
08-26 16:52:34	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 26?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x3390f7…
08-26 16:50:49	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 26?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x988c1f…
08-26 16:40:25	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 26?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x180e56…
08-26 16:32:52	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 26?	No	BUY	98	99¢	$97	0xae0be0…
08-26 16:32:31	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 26?	No	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0x158c4c…
08-26 16:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 26?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x89dc48…
08-26 16:30:45	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 26?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x086cbe…
08-26 16:29:10	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 26?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x710306…
08-26 16:29:00	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 26?	No	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x72b525…
08-26 16:25:22	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 26?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd87eea…
08-26 16:22:04	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 26?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x984666…
08-26 16:21:31	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 26?	No	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0x2c4103…
08-26 16:20:09	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 26?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0xa7eb9e…
08-26 16:19:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 26?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x0d1e08…
08-26 16:16:27	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 26?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf32904…
08-26 16:14:49	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 26?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x18a5c0…
08-26 16:12:33	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 26?	No	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0xffac4b…
08-26 16:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 26?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe6b728…
08-26 16:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 26?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x45d573…
08-26 16:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 26?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x1fcea4…
08-26 16:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 26?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x756c87…
08-26 15:57:57	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 26?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xa771ba…
08-26 15:57:07	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 26?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xcf122c…
08-26 15:56:34	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 26?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xc3ba9b…
08-26 13:54:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 26?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x1dba0c…
08-26 08:11:10	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 26?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x3488ec…
08-26 00:55:09	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 25?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x0b7d8e…
08-26 00:52:33	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 25?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xfac8f1…
08-26 00:47:00	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 25?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xf16022…
08-26 00:33:28	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 25?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xebbde9…
08-25 16:22:52	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 25?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd7fecf…
08-24 17:43:01	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 24?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x838786…
08-24 16:52:49	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 24?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbe27d6…
08-24 16:12:36	Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on August 25?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4c761f…
08-23 03:33:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 22?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xedc806…
08-22 16:07:58	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 23?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xebcfaa…
08-22 15:02:25	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 23?	No	BUY	208	100¢	$208	0x4673a6…
08-21 15:19:34	Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C on August 21?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xfbbfbd…
08-21 15:05:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 22?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x4735f4…
08-21 15:04:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 22?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x318032…
08-21 15:04:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 22?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$150	0x5e8801…
08-21 15:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 22?	No	BUY	604	99¢	$600	0x014747…
08-21 09:49:04	Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on August 21?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x1aa181…
08-21 09:48:57	Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on August 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x79ac80…