Jolly-Countryside — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

120

Trades

150

lifetime

Volume

$1.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-25 22:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

50% 96% +$6

Politics

32% 100% +$3

Crypto

14% 100% +$1

Tech

4% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	3	$105	57	57	+0	No	+$1	10-18 23:22
LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$97	49	49	+0	Yes	+$1	09-10 19:36
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	2	$97	49	49	+0	No	+$0	09-07 13:03
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$89	45	45	+0	Yes	+$0	10-05 06:12
us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	2	$89	44	44	+0	No	+$0	08-13 01:21
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$84	59	59	+0	open	—	10-25 21:55
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?	1	$49	49	0	+49	Yes	+$0	09-04 08:53
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	1	$46	48	0	+48	No	+$1	08-05 08:50
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$44	45	0	+45	No	+$0	08-15 15:06
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	1	$44	44	0	+44	No	+$0	08-13 17:11
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$43	44	0	+44	No	+$0	08-22 00:14
Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$42	43	0	+43	Yes	+$1	08-20 18:58
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	1	$42	42	0	+42	No	+$0	09-15 04:58
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	1	$41	42	0	+42	Yes	+$1	10-13 10:47
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in August?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	08-27 19:59
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	08-27 07:35
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	1	$38	40	0	+40	No	+$2	09-24 13:38
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	2	$32	55	55	+0	open	—	10-17 13:19
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	05-30 18:51
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	09-21 20:20
will ethereum dip to 1600 in march 2026	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	03-31 13:24
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	1	$21	22	0	+22	No	+$0	07-30 17:28
will coin reach 195 in june 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-28 22:00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	09-16 09:09
Will Italy be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	05-15 22:26
Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$18	18	0	+18	Yes	+$0	05-13 10:24
Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	06-30 04:31
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$15	8	8	+0	No	+$0	10-05 06:13
will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of february 271 168 354 381 713	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	02-25 08:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-28 19:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 22:08:56	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	SELL	420	0¢	$2	0x708ba8…
10-25 21:55:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	59	75¢	$44	0xe54b6c…
10-23 23:58:47	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x7c07bd…
10-23 23:58:11	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xc33ea8…
10-23 23:58:09	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xa49bbe…
10-23 23:58:09	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	117	0¢	$0	0x7db55b…
10-23 23:52:14	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x040e47…
10-23 23:52:05	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x56567e…
10-23 23:51:50	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x054bac…
10-23 23:51:39	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xfc8433…
10-23 23:51:33	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x20c4b5…
10-23 23:51:29	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xab8df5…
10-20 12:55:29	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	59	69¢	$40	0x77a2b4…
10-18 23:22:39	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	56	92¢	$52	0x773339…
10-18 18:49:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x9c6b8c…
10-17 15:46:30	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	57	90¢	$52	0xc53a6b…
10-17 13:19:00	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	55	29¢	$16	0x707690…
10-13 10:47:52	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	99¢	$41	0x9b5136…
10-12 17:42:53	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	55	29¢	$16	0x83d573…
10-05 06:13:22	Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x633c4c…
10-05 06:12:14	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x7fffb8…
10-04 23:58:20	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xc481eb…
09-24 13:38:53	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x058fbe…
09-22 21:03:19	Will Solana dip to $20 in September?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8cc90d…
09-21 20:20:18	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x496c80…
09-16 09:09:39	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x25bbfa…
09-15 04:58:37	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x046fc3…
09-13 05:26:13	Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0a52b3…
09-10 19:36:54	LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x47b2b5…
09-10 04:05:12	LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	49	99¢	$48	0x3edcfe…
09-07 13:03:34	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0xc72ac7…
09-05 03:12:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	49	99¢	$48	0x7bd6c9…
09-04 08:53:06	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x210193…
08-27 19:59:24	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in August?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xc0f241…
08-27 07:35:22	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x5b5f92…
08-26 18:23:13	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xf6f094…
08-25 03:01:03	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x133819…
08-24 04:45:34	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in August?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc01833…
08-22 13:40:54	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0x0a282f…
08-22 00:14:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	44	100¢	$43	0x3b1f58…
08-20 18:58:09	Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	43	99¢	$42	0x0d4185…
08-20 02:50:21	will xagusd dip to 46 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x02ca17…
08-15 15:06:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0x60d56a…
08-13 17:11:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0xfbdb6b…
08-13 09:00:46	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	0¢	$0	0x58bce0…
08-13 01:21:12	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x76e409…
08-11 23:42:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C or below on August 12?	Yes	BUY	170	0¢	$0	0xe99a3a…
08-11 10:59:22	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x3ac458…
08-11 01:31:28	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6f470e…
08-07 12:36:03	will wti reach 140 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x50d17b…
08-05 08:50:53	Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	No	BUY	48	97¢	$46	0x681b7a…
07-30 17:28:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	22	99¢	$21	0xa2f80a…
07-30 17:14:15	will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xaab703…
07-30 03:20:12	Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x023c97…
07-28 23:06:08	will wti dip to 70 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x35affd…
07-28 19:26:50	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x463702…
07-28 05:41:58	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0c4c06…
07-27 20:47:52	will ethereum reach 2400 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x056d2b…
07-25 15:04:18	will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x787445…
07-25 08:52:24	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xda1e04…
07-25 08:43:07	will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2eba6d…
07-25 02:08:15	will xagusd dip to 44 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfd1139…
07-21 04:06:01	will xagusd dip to 44 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x93e0e5…
07-21 03:46:28	will xagusd reach 70 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4f87d0…
07-21 02:06:27	will wti dip to 50 in july 2026 844 913	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x948c19…
07-20 20:39:06	will xauusd dip to 3400 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf528ae…
07-03 02:07:02	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe758c2…
06-30 04:31:08	Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa9f5fe…
06-29 05:00:46	will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x640276…
06-28 22:00:55	will coin reach 195 in june 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x566304…
06-28 02:05:14	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xb1e516…
06-27 04:25:44	Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb0d14f…
05-30 18:51:33	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf0b783…
05-19 16:46:53	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x275dd4…
05-15 22:26:22	Will Italy be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x1d5400…
05-13 10:24:07	Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8d7a1a…
05-11 06:35:04	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9a7417…
05-10 11:59:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc2557e…
05-10 05:52:00	Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x476d8b…
05-09 22:52:38	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x49055f…
05-09 16:52:45	Will ByteDance have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf890a8…
05-09 12:53:16	Will ByteDance have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1b6efd…
05-08 12:34:46	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x3e716b…
05-08 07:39:31	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7a2302…
05-08 05:19:20	Will Moonshot have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x79eccb…
05-07 18:22:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc16de5…
05-06 09:30:30	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9fba46…
05-06 09:06:16	Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9f0dcd…
04-28 19:12:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x10679a…
04-27 10:18:50	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa072dd…
04-26 13:40:36	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $140 end of April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4717c4…
04-25 12:14:12	Will BNB reach $900 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x853629…
04-23 22:09:12	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x028838…
04-22 12:41:52	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb979de…
04-19 17:27:18	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe6eac3…
04-19 13:17:26	Will Baidu have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe74f34…
04-18 13:47:22	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd5f5c7…
04-17 21:41:40	Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x43d56f…
04-17 00:13:52	Will XRP reach $2.20 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb7fc0a…
04-15 19:20:26	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x58f8fc…