Irritating-Intelligence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$143

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.9%

Resolved

Trades

101

lifetime

Volume

$337

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 07-01 03:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 30% -$67

Sports

15% 0% -$52

Other

6% 0% -$5

Politics

6% 0% -$20

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	2	$37	22	22	+0	Up	+$7	05-01 06:55
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	2	$17	33	0	+33	Joshua Van	-$17	05-10 03:43
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$16	114	114	+0	open	—	05-25 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	2	$15	13	13	+0	Up	+$11	05-01 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$15	39	0	+39	Up	-$15	05-06 21:00
Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?	2	$15	79	0	+79	No	-$15	05-10 03:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Down	+$4	05-06 20:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 03:40 UTC	4	$12	21	0	+21	Down	-$9	07-01 03:42
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	1	$11	165	0	+165	Yes	-$11	05-11 23:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	3	$11	89	0	+89	Up	-$11	05-01 12:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$10	7	7	+0	Down	+$4	05-06 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$4	05-06 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$4	05-01 06:20
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$7	16	0	+16	Sean Strickland	-$7	05-10 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$7	78	0	+78	Up	-$7	05-06 16:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 03:35 UTC	7	$7	158	0	+158	Up	-$7	07-01 03:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$3	05-01 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$6	12	0	+12	Down	+$6	05-06 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$6	15	0	+15	Down	-$6	05-06 19:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$4	05-01 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Down	-$5	05-01 05:00
Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?	1	$5	192	0	+192	No	-$5	05-01 05:25
FC Bayern München leading at halftime?	1	$5	25	0	+25	No	-$5	05-06 19:13
Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$5	21	0	+21	Thunder	-$5	05-09 22:58
Will Tatsuro Taira win by KO or TKO?	1	$5	22	0	+22	No	-$5	05-10 03:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	5	$5	47	0	+47	Up	-$5	05-25 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	05-01 05:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$4	120	0	+120	Down	-$4	05-09 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$4	7	0	+7	Down	-$4	05-09 23:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 03:45 UTC	2	$4	13	0	+13	Up	-$4	07-01 03:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 03:46:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x3bcdc9…
07-01 03:46:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x1088b6…
07-01 03:42:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x85d0ea…
07-01 03:42:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x05fbe8…
07-01 03:40:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x58b779…
07-01 03:40:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xc94c8b…
07-01 03:37:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf0055a…
07-01 03:37:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xdd997a…
07-01 03:36:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x04cb03…
07-01 03:36:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe77f55…
07-01 03:36:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x656d70…
07-01 03:35:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x395142…
07-01 03:35:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9113be…
05-25 13:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x312fc6…
05-25 13:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1a1cda…
05-25 13:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x61a51d…
05-25 13:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc6d751…
05-25 13:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x3ba7dd…
05-25 13:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6e9e30…
05-25 13:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x078bd3…
05-25 13:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x06dd97…
05-25 13:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x60ced4…
05-25 13:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd2e159…
05-25 13:00:02	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	114	5¢	$6	0x8ebfb4…
05-11 23:36:32	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	165	7¢	$11	0xc480b1…
05-11 23:28:01	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	9¢	$10	0x931ba0…
05-10 04:24:05	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x61181e…
05-10 03:56:16	Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xbd62f4…
05-10 03:56:03	Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x1325e0…
05-10 03:43:47	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Tatsuro Taira	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xcb95b3…
05-10 03:12:29	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Tatsuro Taira	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x9b6ffe…
05-10 03:11:29	Will Tatsuro Taira win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xe3db39…
05-09 23:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x9f8925…
05-09 23:00:48	Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x92c8ce…
05-09 22:58:54	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x155367…
05-09 22:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xd838d4…
05-09 22:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x02cc4f…
05-09 22:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x5eb587…
05-09 22:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x245710…
05-09 21:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x9eea2f…
05-09 21:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x57e8f3…
05-09 21:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x19ce34…
05-09 21:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x5cba6c…
05-07 19:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x365e7b…
05-06 21:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	39	39¢	$15	0x9a369b…
05-06 20:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x314b7a…
05-06 20:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xf07f55…
05-06 20:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xe4ecc8…
05-06 20:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x837d4c…
05-06 20:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xa3a7f8…
05-06 19:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd546c6…
05-06 19:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xe7e8a5…
05-06 19:13:05	FC Bayern München leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x8e71a8…
05-06 16:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x258551…
05-06 16:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x75c5d2…
05-06 16:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x4d0a67…
05-06 16:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x1c7b5f…
05-06 16:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x310e89…
05-06 14:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x6cbfb7…
05-06 14:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x966df9…
05-06 14:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xabf695…
05-06 14:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3dcdf9…
05-06 14:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x67d22e…
05-06 14:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x806f5b…
05-01 12:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xee40ed…
05-01 12:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x34f601…
05-01 12:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	26	17¢	$4	0x9c9a0b…
05-01 12:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x48c662…
05-01 11:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5580db…
05-01 11:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x620d5d…
05-01 11:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x70104a…
05-01 11:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x82062e…
05-01 11:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x833f05…
05-01 11:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd1de92…
05-01 08:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb34ea5…
05-01 06:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x1fb4e5…
05-01 06:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xa73bcf…
05-01 06:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x557df8…
05-01 06:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x83fe25…
05-01 06:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xdec65f…
05-01 06:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9570a5…
05-01 06:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x5c8c19…
05-01 06:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5a92f4…
05-01 06:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3fa01a…
05-01 06:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x2b0449…
05-01 06:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x1507cc…
05-01 06:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x2ce084…
05-01 06:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x788645…
05-01 06:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x4dda5e…
05-01 05:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd22586…
05-01 05:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc09b32…
05-01 05:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x618a1d…
05-01 05:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x6c248f…
05-01 05:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf556b6…
05-01 05:27:00	Will Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x879128…
05-01 05:26:08	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	127	2¢	$3	0x752fde…
05-01 05:25:56	Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	192	3¢	$5	0xd17080…
05-01 05:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x3f27d9…
05-01 05:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x79cf5f…
05-01 04:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4866ac…