Belated-Alpaca — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.2%

Resolved

Trades

340

lifetime

Volume

$550

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 06-01 21:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 43% +$17

Other

2% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 122 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	7	$36	73	34	+38	Down	+$2	05-07 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	34	$34	76	0	+76	open	—	06-01 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	15	$30	67	20	+47	Down	+$10	05-07 04:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	9	$27	21	15	+6	Down	+$3	05-07 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	8	$25	49	0	+49	Down	+$0	05-07 04:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	8	$24	49	0	+49	open	—	06-01 21:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	22	$22	38	0	+38	open	—	06-01 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	8	$22	228	10	+218	Up	$-2	05-11 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	8	$20	31	9	+22	Up	$-2	05-07 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	9	$20	28	12	+16	Up	+$4	05-07 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	9	$20	17	17	+0	open	—	05-29 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	17	$17	37	0	+37	open	—	06-01 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	11	$15	20	20	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	9	$14	24	6	+17	Up	$-2	05-07 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	8	$14	25	7	+18	Down	$-0	05-07 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	9	$13	43	0	+43	Down	$-3	05-08 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	8	$12	30	0	+30	Up	$-3	05-07 04:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	12	$12	69	0	+69	open	—	05-29 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	12	$12	21	0	+21	open	—	05-29 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	3	$11	147	0	+147	Up	$-11	05-06 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	10	$10	18	7	+11	Down	+$3	05-09 07:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	1	$10	34	0	+34	open	—	05-06 04:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	7	$9	20	8	+11	Down	$-1	05-07 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	5	$9	29	0	+29	Up	$-0	05-07 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	5	$9	19	0	+19	Down	$-1	05-07 05:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	9	$9	19	0	+19	open	—	05-29 05:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	4	$8	16	0	+16	Up	+$0	05-11 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	7	$7	31	0	+31	Up	$-4	05-07 04:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	7	$7	124	0	+124	Down	+$4	05-07 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	3	$7	13	0	+13	Up	$-2	05-07 05:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 21:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1661b7…
06-01 21:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x2d9c52…
06-01 21:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x884fd3…
06-01 21:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xdc2ca2…
06-01 21:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x201bdf…
06-01 21:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc4b81b…
06-01 21:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x310565…
06-01 21:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x55e00c…
06-01 21:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb3f5cc…
06-01 21:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x66d03d…
06-01 21:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x028910…
06-01 21:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc9df32…
06-01 21:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaaac05…
06-01 21:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9dbce5…
06-01 21:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x63fc1a…
06-01 21:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x20500d…
06-01 21:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3b4cbe…
06-01 21:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf4131f…
06-01 21:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa7e484…
06-01 21:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb7b5fc…
06-01 21:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x6f845d…
06-01 21:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xdd00ba…
06-01 21:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x493de3…
06-01 21:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9dc969…
06-01 21:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x271df6…
06-01 21:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4e1546…
06-01 21:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x978e02…
06-01 21:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5960c1…
06-01 21:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2d8f01…
06-01 21:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xba98e8…
06-01 21:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe21f82…
06-01 21:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x263389…
06-01 21:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2378f5…
06-01 21:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x92020c…
06-01 21:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3502b4…
06-01 21:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1ec798…
06-01 21:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x82aaab…
06-01 21:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe0f8b9…
06-01 21:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf3fa85…
06-01 21:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x080e94…
06-01 21:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x58a2fe…
06-01 21:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0c5766…
06-01 21:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd6aaf1…
06-01 21:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x5f829a…
06-01 21:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9635a3…
06-01 21:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xffa659…
06-01 21:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xe3b82b…
06-01 21:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x92563e…
06-01 21:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x6eef7c…
06-01 21:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x4915f1…
06-01 21:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x166d4c…
06-01 21:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc7e5e4…
06-01 21:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9dcc4c…
06-01 21:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc7d4f1…
06-01 21:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xbe73b3…
06-01 21:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x265591…
06-01 21:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe41ecc…
06-01 21:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfc342a…
06-01 21:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa686a8…
06-01 21:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x35247f…
06-01 21:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf12ba0…
06-01 21:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc367cf…
06-01 21:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6b2926…
06-01 21:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3e3010…
06-01 21:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6499d9…
06-01 21:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5790b1…
06-01 21:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4c5e11…
06-01 21:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x54cf17…
06-01 21:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x155b17…
06-01 21:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7be674…
06-01 21:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x6a79cd…
06-01 21:04:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xeae3e9…
06-01 18:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xf82289…
06-01 18:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x99216f…
06-01 18:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3e2a18…
06-01 18:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa0dbff…
06-01 18:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xff2cd7…
06-01 18:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xdca1be…
06-01 18:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb9105f…
06-01 18:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd29b50…
06-01 18:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x6c7d0f…
06-01 18:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xdc1ff5…
06-01 18:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa093de…
06-01 18:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x8a11e0…
06-01 18:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x303377…
06-01 18:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x80889a…
06-01 18:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x469b04…
06-01 18:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc2dd45…
06-01 18:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x48ae31…
06-01 18:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	106	5¢	$5	0xab48d0…
05-29 19:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4ef75f…
05-29 19:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x035747…
05-29 19:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf5bee6…
05-29 19:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x159f0b…
05-29 19:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc0c4a5…
05-29 19:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xab8e47…
05-29 19:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xb8ac8f…
05-29 19:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x410d5f…
05-29 19:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3a8623…
05-29 19:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xcbb1a6…