Belated-Alpaca — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

51.1%

Resolved

Trades

393

lifetime

Volume

$649

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-06

last 07-18 08:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 39% -$4

Other

5% 33% -$1

Tech

2% 100% +$9

Politics

1% 100% +$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-18).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+11	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	05-11 19:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	7	$36	73	34	+38	Down	+$2	05-07 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	34	$34	76	0	+76	Up	-$2	06-01 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	15	$30	67	20	+47	Down	+$10	05-07 04:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	11	$29	33	15	+18	Down	+$1	05-07 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	8	$25	49	0	+49	Down	+$0	05-07 04:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	8	$24	49	0	+49	Up	-$1	06-01 21:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	22	$22	38	0	+38	Down	-$3	06-01 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	8	$22	228	10	+218	Up	-$2	05-11 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	8	$20	31	9	+22	Up	-$2	05-07 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	9	$20	28	12	+16	Up	+$4	05-07 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	9	$20	17	17	+0	Down	+$6	05-29 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	6	$17	19	8	+10	Down	-$1	05-07 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	17	$17	37	0	+37	Down	+$0	06-01 18:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 04:40 UTC	16	$16	43	0	+43	Down	+$4	07-15 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	11	$15	20	20	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	15	$15	74	0	+74	Up	+$3	05-29 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	9	$14	24	6	+17	Up	-$2	05-07 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	6	$14	115	9	+106	Up	+$4	05-07 05:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	8	$14	25	7	+18	Down	$0	05-07 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	9	$13	43	0	+43	Down	-$3	05-08 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	8	$12	30	0	+30	Up	-$3	05-07 04:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	12	$12	21	0	+21	Down	$0	05-29 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	3	$11	147	0	+147	Up	-$11	05-06 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	10	$10	18	7	+11	Down	+$3	05-09 07:04
cs2 clutch1 old 2026 07 14	1	$10	20	0	+20	cancelled	$0	07-15 04:54
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$10	20	0	+20	No	+$10	05-06 04:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	1	$10	34	0	+34	No	-$10	05-06 04:52
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$10	19	0	+19	Yes	+$9	05-06 04:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	7	$9	20	8	+11	Down	-$1	05-07 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	5	$9	29	0	+29	Up	$0	05-07 05:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 08:13:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x6d3356…
07-18 08:12:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5bf205…
07-18 08:10:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd78f9f…
07-18 08:10:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xfef6ce…
07-18 08:09:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4adcd2…
07-17 16:43:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x37c407…
07-17 16:42:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xdff740…
07-17 16:42:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x139de8…
07-17 16:42:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x30d726…
07-17 16:40:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xffefe1…
07-17 16:40:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xac72e5…
07-17 16:40:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf5f188…
07-17 16:40:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0b5f4f…
07-17 16:35:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0b1266…
07-17 16:35:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0a120b…
07-15 04:54:40	cs2 clutch1 old 2026 07 14	OLDBOYS-	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x427499…
07-15 04:46:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5ff697…
07-15 04:46:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5eb08a…
07-15 04:45:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x87465f…
07-15 04:45:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc73fc3…
07-15 04:45:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa3a389…
07-15 04:44:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x6f9e85…
07-15 04:43:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb7d995…
07-15 04:43:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xeac694…
07-15 04:42:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x16ca9e…
07-15 04:42:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xacf459…
07-15 04:42:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1a1ecb…
07-15 04:41:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x53cc44…
07-15 04:41:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x406092…
07-15 04:41:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xcfb27c…
07-15 04:40:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdbe19a…
07-15 04:40:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa120cb…
07-15 04:40:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x534250…
07-15 04:40:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x614b19…
07-15 04:40:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd9e825…
07-15 04:40:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf67aa8…
07-15 04:40:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xbf63b9…
07-15 04:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x4e91ee…
07-15 04:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x1e27e6…
06-01 21:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1661b7…
06-01 21:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x2d9c52…
06-01 21:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x884fd3…
06-01 21:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xdc2ca2…
06-01 21:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x201bdf…
06-01 21:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc4b81b…
06-01 21:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x310565…
06-01 21:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x55e00c…
06-01 21:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb3f5cc…
06-01 21:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x66d03d…
06-01 21:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x028910…
06-01 21:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc9df32…
06-01 21:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaaac05…
06-01 21:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9dbce5…
06-01 21:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x63fc1a…
06-01 21:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x20500d…
06-01 21:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3b4cbe…
06-01 21:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf4131f…
06-01 21:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa7e484…
06-01 21:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb7b5fc…
06-01 21:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x6f845d…
06-01 21:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xdd00ba…
06-01 21:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x493de3…
06-01 21:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9dc969…
06-01 21:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x271df6…
06-01 21:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4e1546…
06-01 21:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x978e02…
06-01 21:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5960c1…
06-01 21:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2d8f01…
06-01 21:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xba98e8…
06-01 21:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe21f82…
06-01 21:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x263389…
06-01 21:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2378f5…
06-01 21:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x92020c…
06-01 21:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3502b4…
06-01 21:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1ec798…
06-01 21:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x82aaab…
06-01 21:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe0f8b9…
06-01 21:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf3fa85…
06-01 21:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x080e94…
06-01 21:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x58a2fe…
06-01 21:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0c5766…
06-01 21:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd6aaf1…
06-01 21:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x5f829a…
06-01 21:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9635a3…
06-01 21:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xffa659…
06-01 21:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xe3b82b…
06-01 21:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x92563e…
06-01 21:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x6eef7c…
06-01 21:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x4915f1…
06-01 21:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x166d4c…
06-01 21:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc7e5e4…
06-01 21:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9dcc4c…
06-01 21:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc7d4f1…
06-01 21:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xbe73b3…
06-01 21:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x265591…
06-01 21:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe41ecc…
06-01 21:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfc342a…
06-01 21:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa686a8…
06-01 21:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x35247f…
06-01 21:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf12ba0…