Polished-Diadem — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

301

Trades

301

lifetime

Volume

$3.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-07 12:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 234 days

Categories

Other

98% 100% +$6

Politics

2% 80% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or below on May 15?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-15 03:58
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 14?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-14 09:48
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$25	25	+25	No	-$25	05-15 05:53
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 13?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-14 06:20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-13 04:36
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 12?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-12 09:57
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:44
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 11?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-11 15:16
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 11?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-11 06:04
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C or higher on May 10?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-10 04:28
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C or higher on May 9?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-09 05:17
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 8?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-08 09:12
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 28°C on May 8?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-08 05:17
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on May 8?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-08 01:28
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 7?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-07 10:09
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 6?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-07 01:29
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on May 6?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-06 12:13
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 5?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-06 04:06
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on May 5?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-05 08:01
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 4?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-05 02:28
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 4?	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$0	05-04 09:14
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 01:28
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-03 09:00
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 28°C or below on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-03 01:28
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 39°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 08:14
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on May 1?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-02 02:58
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-12 02:15
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:10
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 06:50
highest temperature in seoul on april 6 2026 14c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-06 09:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 12:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 0°C on November 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a64c5…
11-06 09:22:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on November 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc5d117…
11-04 04:28:10	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d9202…
11-03 17:21:37	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on November 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x273c02…
11-02 06:49:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x35faeb…
10-31 15:59:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc3b889…
10-30 15:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd42a3d…
10-29 17:56:19	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x52a2e6…
10-29 09:32:19	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3924f7…
10-28 08:01:41	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbdf155…
10-27 10:11:08	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x034dc5…
10-26 09:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ee2d7…
10-24 11:52:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8f793b…
10-22 10:46:54	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa20c70…
10-20 08:12:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x63278d…
10-19 09:41:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x85b721…
10-18 10:19:29	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x06ba57…
10-17 15:48:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00b4f8…
10-16 14:10:49	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfabd77…
10-15 14:06:32	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x49bed9…
10-14 10:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d5353…
10-13 10:32:25	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 41°C or higher on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x993b5b…
10-12 10:53:05	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbbc53d…
10-11 09:18:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b070e…
10-08 12:34:02	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1ae856…
10-07 15:46:08	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d13b7…
10-06 15:10:33	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa27bf7…
10-05 08:08:35	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c8042…
10-03 09:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc5f84e…
10-02 14:01:41	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc4e8d2…
10-01 09:29:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9173f9…
09-30 14:23:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f2df1…
09-30 03:31:20	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfab8d1…
09-28 10:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x038ccd…
09-27 09:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2d4da0…
09-25 16:54:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x35cc9e…
09-24 09:10:26	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0b296d…
09-23 10:22:35	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x92858c…
09-22 08:46:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0b1541…
09-21 09:50:32	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x82d8c1…
09-20 05:59:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x780c64…
09-19 09:12:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc0cb55…
09-18 07:53:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x62e3d1…
09-17 04:16:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa7684e…
09-16 08:59:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe2f2b1…
09-15 10:26:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd7da3f…
09-14 09:22:52	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbcb3c0…
09-13 03:39:00	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ab3c2…
09-11 09:27:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x93fadd…
09-10 09:13:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x75fd12…
09-09 02:43:00	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4469aa…
09-08 06:21:01	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x35e445…
09-07 08:49:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4a8a48…
09-06 11:45:00	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d22cf…
09-05 06:15:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x81257f…
09-04 01:04:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6b2a9…
09-02 07:59:13	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9c39ca…
08-30 14:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf2ffa…
08-29 09:47:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5fc04c…
08-28 09:48:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x597351…
08-27 09:13:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbe7a93…
08-26 08:49:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x060931…
08-25 09:46:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x02591d…
08-24 15:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c016e…
08-24 01:17:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x41af41…
08-22 09:09:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfe8727…
08-21 08:41:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xac8411…
08-20 09:32:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x212c03…
08-18 08:34:34	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf270e9…
08-17 08:38:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xab27ba…
08-16 14:27:36	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x670d93…
08-15 16:09:21	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x91a03f…
08-14 07:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x03de5d…
08-13 09:10:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x6e4fc6…
08-12 09:23:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf3df88…
08-11 07:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6de2e2…
08-10 08:23:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0da96a…
08-09 07:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x85c926…
08-08 08:06:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9f5763…
08-07 08:25:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x405c6e…
08-06 08:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc6698a…
08-05 08:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf8110e…
08-04 08:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa69f2b…
08-03 07:48:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc8f0ce…
08-02 06:37:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7bf37a…
08-01 07:18:56	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x545a6a…
07-31 14:16:12	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 42°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa5602…
07-30 07:27:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x260d3c…
07-29 07:18:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x52d7d9…
07-28 07:16:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1cfc9e…
07-27 09:42:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6fae5a…
07-26 08:13:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6ae4cc…
07-25 09:14:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf2b387…
07-24 13:40:58	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x01f0b4…
07-23 08:31:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a55c4…
07-22 02:13:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ae092…
07-21 09:24:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xefce7e…
07-21 00:27:10	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x043c68…
07-20 08:37:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa6156d…
07-18 23:32:31	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5816bf…