Imperfect-Humanity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$57

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.0%

Resolved

5,911

Trades

11,761

lifetime

Volume

$13.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 10-26 01:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Other

86% 13% -$33

Crypto

12% 40% +$99

Sports

1% 24% +$12

Politics

0% 0% -$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in london on march 7 2026 9c	14	$386	396	396	-0	Yes	+$303	03-07 15:59
xrp up or down march 7 12pm et	4	$287	270	270	+0	Down	+$252	03-07 18:04
highest temperature in paris on march 13 2026 12c	10	$167	140	140	+0	Yes	+$91	03-13 10:53
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 27?	3	$113	133	0	+133	Yes	+$20	04-27 05:32
bitcoin up or down march 7 4pm et	8	$108	93	74	+19	Up	+$41	03-07 23:03
highest temperature in munich on march 13 2026 17c	6	$91	73	67	+5	Yes	+$42	03-13 15:17
highest temperature in hong kong on april 22 2026 29c	1	$79	100	0	+100	Yes	+$21	04-22 06:12
xrp up or down march 7 5pm et	10	$73	130	29	+101	Down	-$15	03-07 23:00
highest temperature in london on march 13 2026 12corhigher	7	$66	54	36	+18	Yes	+$6	03-13 00:23
highest temperature in london on march 11 2026 12c	13	$62	463	0	+463	No	-$62	03-11 12:12
highest temperature in houston on april 13 2026 80forhigher	7	$62	69	0	+69	Yes	+$7	04-13 08:02
solana up or down march 7 5pm et	9	$62	117	28	+89	Down	-$6	03-07 22:59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?	3	$55	90	0	+90	No	-$55	04-28 05:18
solana up or down march 7 2pm et	9	$53	250	16	+234	Down	-$22	03-07 19:56
highest temperature in wellington on april 24 2026 14c	3	$51	76	0	+76	Yes	+$24	04-24 02:27
xrp up or down march 7 7pm et	10	$49	93	0	+93	Down	-$13	03-08 00:41
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	5	$48	80	0	+80	No	+$32	06-30 19:19
xrp up or down march 7 3pm et	9	$46	306	9	+297	Up	-$28	03-07 20:59
highest temperature in milan on april 20 2026 21corhigher	5	$45	51	0	+51	Yes	+$6	04-19 22:06
Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	2	$44	200	0	+200	open	—	10-26 01:15
solana up or down march 7 7pm et	9	$44	167	0	+167	Down	-$44	03-08 00:42
xrp up or down march 7 4pm et	6	$44	53	19	+34	Up	-$5	03-07 22:05
solana up or down march 7 6pm et	9	$44	165	0	+165	Up	-$16	03-07 23:39
bitcoin up or down march 7 3pm et	5	$43	24	24	+0	Up	+$4	03-07 20:56
solana up or down march 7 4pm et	5	$43	32	23	+9	Up	+$4	03-07 22:00
bitcoin up or down march 7 2pm et	6	$42	187	20	+167	Down	-$3	03-07 19:54
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on May 26?	1	$42	51	0	+51	Yes	+$9	05-26 12:47
xrp up or down march 7 2pm et	7	$39	103	15	+88	Down	-$9	03-07 19:55
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 88°F or higher on April 27?	3	$38	42	0	+42	Yes	+$4	04-26 17:50
highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 13c	7	$37	60	0	+60	Yes	+$23	04-20 11:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 01:15:57	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	199	22¢	$44	0x80612f…
10-26 00:53:02	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xe096ab…
06-30 19:19:58	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x42ff3c…
06-30 19:19:53	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	19	60¢	$11	0x68da2b…
06-30 19:19:44	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	4	60¢	$3	0xe843bb…
06-14 04:38:45	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	29	60¢	$17	0x478e36…
06-12 18:44:24	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x6afe8f…
06-10 15:43:40	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xc94fad…
06-07 21:13:51	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x42d961…
06-07 17:56:40	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x494508…
06-07 17:56:39	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xebf9f8…
06-07 13:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0x8c3e17…
06-07 12:59:22	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xacafb1…
06-07 09:33:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xa852d3…
06-07 09:17:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x798629…
06-07 09:12:24	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x0fd048…
06-07 08:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x68a9de…
06-07 08:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x8e00dc…
06-07 08:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0x1f909c…
06-07 07:42:15	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xd2a086…
06-07 07:32:58	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x40d023…
06-07 07:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xc46789…
06-07 07:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xd5edf0…
06-07 06:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x7eb688…
06-07 06:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xbd72c0…
06-07 06:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x8c878d…
06-07 04:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xcda554…
06-07 04:19:15	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xbb25df…
06-07 04:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x4f3081…
06-07 04:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0xec3df8…
06-07 04:02:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x018f8e…
06-07 03:53:15	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x38b242…
06-07 03:26:04	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xe39c88…
06-07 03:26:04	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x0a1961…
06-07 03:05:31	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xd9ca83…
06-07 03:02:13	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x14b92d…
06-07 02:19:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xbfc951…
06-07 02:16:40	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x1bd23b…
06-07 02:16:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x4a60b8…
06-07 02:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x587eed…
06-07 02:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xeed3b7…
06-07 01:57:54	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x640d1b…
06-07 01:55:39	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x723ae3…
06-07 01:53:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x549ec3…
06-07 01:51:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0xa92473…
06-07 01:51:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x98f0d6…
06-07 01:47:52	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C or below on June 8?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xd9227d…
06-07 01:47:52	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x3b8995…
06-07 01:40:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xdd5df5…
06-07 01:39:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x0db66e…
06-07 01:39:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xdc5506…
06-07 01:38:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x83bba1…
06-07 01:38:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xa0a4d8…
06-07 01:37:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xa3d4ad…
06-07 01:33:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x073453…
06-07 01:33:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xa16fb3…
06-07 01:28:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x1cd5f6…
06-07 01:28:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x422436…
06-07 01:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x72fe7b…
06-07 01:16:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x3bc791…
06-07 01:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x66f911…
06-07 01:16:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xa13cde…
06-07 01:15:00	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x506c9b…
06-07 01:14:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x5197a1…
06-07 01:14:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x0f5cd9…
06-07 01:12:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x66b021…
06-07 01:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xae74f6…
06-07 01:10:45	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x7ab453…
06-07 01:09:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x455570…
06-07 01:08:36	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C or below on June 8?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xd1327b…
06-07 01:05:40	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x9b822f…
06-07 01:05:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xdcfbf4…
06-07 01:04:46	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x620448…
06-07 01:03:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x6306bc…
06-07 01:03:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x7786e8…
06-07 01:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xe13e99…
06-07 01:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x202281…
06-07 00:58:49	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x7a9aa2…
06-07 00:57:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xfde197…
06-07 00:57:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xba3c43…
06-07 00:55:18	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xd93a3f…
06-07 00:44:33	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x6f3e98…
06-07 00:44:22	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xb2d3fc…
06-07 00:44:03	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x0f35a8…
06-07 00:43:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xf186c6…
06-07 00:42:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x16ec29…
06-07 00:36:31	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xf82a9d…
06-07 00:34:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xc70007…
06-07 00:32:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x4b247b…
06-07 00:30:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x215011…
06-07 00:26:22	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on June 8?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xfe5f65…
06-07 00:26:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x6e4692…
06-07 00:26:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0x172417…
06-07 00:26:06	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on June 8?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x9829a5…
06-07 00:23:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x6eca92…
06-07 00:23:10	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xadd5f4…
06-07 00:23:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xa63c22…
06-07 00:20:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x56eb96…
06-07 00:19:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x7c681d…
06-07 00:19:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x98f160…