Occasional-Personal-Ambition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$60

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.2%

Resolved

Trades

261

lifetime

Volume

$894

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 05-14 01:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 42% +$60

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 251 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	9	$141	272	272	+0	Up	+$77	05-13 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	5	$125	274	0	+274	open	—	05-13 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	22	$65	45	45	+0	open	—	05-13 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$64	39	39	+0	open	—	05-13 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	25	$61	42	42	+0	open	—	05-13 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	17	$45	39	39	+0	Up	+$13	05-13 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	16	$31	19	19	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	12	$27	16	16	+0	Up	+$5	05-13 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	2	$24	20	20	+0	Up	+$13	05-13 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	5	$16	67	67	+0	Up	$-3	05-13 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	4	$16	70	0	+70	Down	$-16	05-13 18:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	3	$16	16	16	+0	Up	+$8	05-13 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	8	$15	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	6	$13	10	10	+0	Up	+$3	05-13 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	6	$13	45	45	+0	Down	+$5	05-13 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	8	$13	21	16	+5	Up	$-1	05-13 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	Down	+$5	05-13 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	7	$12	26	26	+0	Down	$-4	05-13 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	6	$12	20	20	+0	Up	+$4	05-13 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	5	$11	11	11	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 19:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	3	$11	82	15	+67	Down	+$1	05-14 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	7	$11	13	7	+7	Down	$-1	05-13 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$10	24	24	+0	Up	+$2	05-14 01:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$10	8	8	+0	Down	+$6	05-13 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	4	$9	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$8	46	0	+46	Down	$-8	05-13 19:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	4	$8	28	0	+28	Down	$-8	05-13 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	4	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$3	05-13 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	6	$6	13	0	+13	Down	$-6	05-13 21:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 01:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	24	26¢	$6	0x9eb0fc…
05-14 01:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x373d86…
05-14 00:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe0deb7…
05-14 00:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0x28c15a…
05-14 00:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x5fbb79…
05-14 00:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xddb5b5…
05-14 00:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0xc73460…
05-14 00:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x93ed7d…
05-14 00:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	80	5¢	$4	0x06cd19…
05-14 00:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xd0f855…
05-13 23:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x10150c…
05-13 23:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xd6c942…
05-13 23:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xfe4c44…
05-13 23:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x8016d7…
05-13 23:44:11	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x0966af…
05-13 23:35:28	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x831e51…
05-13 23:33:16	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc0f56c…
05-13 23:28:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0c8724…
05-13 23:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0xa6323a…
05-13 23:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x415979…
05-13 23:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xa547b3…
05-13 23:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1c4745…
05-13 23:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x0af882…
05-13 23:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xdf7fc2…
05-13 23:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	29	9¢	$3	0x2a4630…
05-13 23:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	9¢	$3	0xf69748…
05-13 23:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	48	1¢	$0	0xdb8001…
05-13 23:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0x65475d…
05-13 23:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0xfec316…
05-13 23:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	19	32¢	$6	0x25783c…
05-13 23:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x1f1f86…
05-13 23:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	9	94¢	$9	0x2cd111…
05-13 23:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x2d6ae0…
05-13 22:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x9729f0…
05-13 22:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc71e38…
05-13 22:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xba0bf2…
05-13 22:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xd264f8…
05-13 22:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb517e9…
05-13 22:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x46f3b9…
05-13 22:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x37fd21…
05-13 22:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf56cfe…
05-13 22:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5474e4…
05-13 22:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	46	1¢	$0	0xa05e78…
05-13 22:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xbce47d…
05-13 22:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xfe8556…
05-13 22:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xbd46f4…
05-13 22:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	71	0¢	$0	0x77328c…
05-13 22:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x0693e7…
05-13 22:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x2ce5e5…
05-13 22:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x43131b…
05-13 22:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	53	1¢	$1	0xb566e3…
05-13 22:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc71258…
05-13 22:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x2fb74f…
05-13 22:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x5d55ca…
05-13 22:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x294683…
05-13 21:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xef7c34…
05-13 21:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd7ca69…
05-13 21:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb871e3…
05-13 21:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x715041…
05-13 21:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6a47de…
05-13 21:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0b190e…
05-13 21:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb4fffd…
05-13 21:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xade5a5…
05-13 21:01:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xfb270a…
05-13 21:01:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xad3f6b…
05-13 21:01:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x520594…
05-13 21:01:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa6a5f0…
05-13 20:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xbef073…
05-13 20:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe86f26…
05-13 20:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x5a8fa8…
05-13 20:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x18eb1d…
05-13 20:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x3c0864…
05-13 20:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	16¢	$0	0xaa57c5…
05-13 20:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe07b0f…
05-13 20:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2a88cc…
05-13 20:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0ba9d7…
05-13 20:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x39ea7f…
05-13 20:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x641068…
05-13 20:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa30c9a…
05-13 20:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x7cf7d0…
05-13 20:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x15ea29…
05-13 20:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8d303c…
05-13 20:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xab16d4…
05-13 20:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf36b42…
05-13 20:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xcd587d…
05-13 20:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x50ff4c…
05-13 20:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x3586f6…
05-13 20:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x204acf…
05-13 20:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x130d3e…
05-13 20:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x5c930d…
05-13 20:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x42d1e1…
05-13 20:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0x1e66f1…
05-13 20:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xaa7039…
05-13 20:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	37	19¢	$7	0x40c858…
05-13 20:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xac14de…
05-13 20:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x25824c…
05-13 20:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x44d3e9…
05-13 19:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x3c9882…
05-13 19:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfd5d7d…
05-13 19:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa0f904…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	57	$4.78K	366	05-14 01:10
Weird-Peak 0x9f5f…a008	56	$18.0K	1,710	05-14 01:14
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	56	$13.4K	2,261	05-14 01:11
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	56	$6.85K	649	05-14 01:14
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	55	$13.0K	3,283	05-14 01:14
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	55	$12.2K	1,651	05-14 01:12
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	55	$12.1K	2,988	05-14 01:14
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	55	$12.0K	2,002	05-14 01:14