Probable-Examination — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$674

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.8%

Resolved

238

Trades

1,081

lifetime

Volume

$28.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 05-13 09:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 56% +$674

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775794800	4	$519	494	477	+17	open	—	04-10 04:23
btc updown 5m 1776254400	2	$440	267	261	+6	open	—	04-15 12:04
btc updown 5m 1776305700	5	$376	229	226	+3	open	—	04-16 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$363	219	219	+0	Down	+$67	05-09 02:24
btc updown 5m 1776047700	2	$332	251	240	+11	open	—	04-13 02:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$331	181	181	+0	Up	+$27	05-08 10:34
btc updown 5m 1776250800	2	$312	207	203	+4	open	—	04-15 11:01
btc updown 5m 1776253500	2	$306	211	205	+6	open	—	04-15 11:48
btc updown 5m 1776251700	2	$305	208	203	+5	open	—	04-15 11:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$300	207	207	+0	Up	+$110	05-08 02:14
btc updown 5m 1776254100	2	$283	190	184	+6	open	—	04-15 12:00
btc updown 5m 1776222300	2	$254	159	155	+4	open	—	04-15 03:10
btc updown 5m 1776136800	2	$247	153	149	+4	open	—	04-14 03:24
btc updown 5m 1776324000	3	$240	339	86	+253	open	—	04-16 07:24
btc updown 5m 1776153000	2	$237	167	160	+6	open	—	04-14 07:54
btc updown 5m 1776174900	4	$233	142	138	+4	open	—	04-14 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$225	162	162	+0	Down	+$96	05-13 02:55
btc updown 5m 1776326400	2	$219	142	138	+4	open	—	04-16 08:04
btc updown 5m 1776133800	4	$217	161	156	+5	open	—	04-14 02:33
btc updown 5m 1776253200	2	$205	143	137	+5	open	—	04-15 11:44
btc updown 5m 1776089100	2	$192	139	135	+4	open	—	04-13 14:08
btc updown 5m 1776051300	2	$191	187	179	+8	open	—	04-13 03:36
btc updown 5m 1776152700	3	$186	188	98	+90	open	—	04-14 07:49
btc updown 5m 1776177000	2	$178	135	129	+6	open	—	04-14 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	2	$170	135	135	+0	Up	+$73	05-06 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$169	116	116	+0	Up	+$49	05-10 06:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	4	$166	137	137	+0	Up	$-14	05-09 07:24
btc updown 5m 1776327000	1	$164	360	0	+360	open	—	04-16 08:11
btc updown 5m 1776222900	4	$164	121	117	+4	open	—	04-15 03:20
btc updown 5m 1776252600	1	$161	488	0	+488	open	—	04-15 11:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 09:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x815b30…
05-13 09:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x3aa475…
05-13 09:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xd06299…
05-13 09:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	23	95¢	$22	0xea01cb…
05-13 09:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	23	86¢	$20	0xd0e745…
05-13 09:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	46	46¢	$21	0x4051fd…
05-13 08:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	37	85¢	$32	0x7272e9…
05-13 08:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	37	55¢	$20	0x352954…
05-13 07:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0xc1e79e…
05-13 07:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	103	47¢	$48	0xd5e445…
05-13 07:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	91	57¢	$52	0x566c18…
05-13 07:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	91	53¢	$48	0x04dce4…
05-13 07:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	23	49¢	$11	0xf1a64a…
05-13 07:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xb70b1f…
05-13 07:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	72	44¢	$32	0x29dd37…
05-13 07:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x5116a3…
05-13 07:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	91	42¢	$39	0x1ebff5…
05-13 07:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0x5a3820…
05-13 06:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xc5eddd…
05-13 06:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x0b8ad4…
05-13 06:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xdd745d…
05-13 03:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	45	92¢	$41	0xac3ba8…
05-13 03:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	45	54¢	$24	0x58f3e0…
05-13 03:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	56¢	$14	0x5bd21d…
05-13 02:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x96b2f1…
05-13 02:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	162	99¢	$160	0xd568de…
05-13 02:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	162	40¢	$64	0x2024e2…
05-13 02:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x744047…
05-13 02:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	60	35¢	$21	0x781dab…
05-13 02:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	60	67¢	$40	0xe49ad0…
05-13 02:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xe1a110…
05-13 02:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0xbbca43…
05-13 02:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	77	98¢	$75	0xffe6da…
05-13 02:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0x6dd353…
05-13 02:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	23	71¢	$16	0x3abbd6…
05-13 01:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	157	63¢	$99	0x45b476…
05-13 01:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	57	32¢	$18	0xb46323…
05-13 01:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	45	42¢	$19	0x774694…
05-13 01:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x6cfa31…
05-12 08:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	69	51¢	$35	0xe9399a…
05-12 07:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	57	99¢	$56	0x42cba2…
05-12 07:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0xc7e501…
05-12 07:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	62	98¢	$61	0xa5a5ec…
05-12 07:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	62	63¢	$39	0x1af84a…
05-12 07:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x5f3311…
05-10 09:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0x0fae26…
05-10 09:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	33	39¢	$13	0xddf943…
05-10 09:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	49	69¢	$34	0xc6ead3…
05-10 09:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	49	60¢	$29	0x2ea64f…
05-10 08:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x0287dd…
05-10 08:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xc5bfe6…
05-10 08:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x1a8205…
05-10 08:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x46c906…
05-10 08:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0x853623…
05-10 07:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0x765159…
05-10 07:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	22	71¢	$16	0xc3a6ac…
05-10 07:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xe2d7b2…
05-10 06:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	31	98¢	$31	0x142432…
05-10 06:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	31	58¢	$18	0x8908e5…
05-10 06:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0x39e42e…
05-10 06:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	26	34¢	$9	0x71bdc6…
05-10 06:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	116	94¢	$109	0xf87f10…
05-10 06:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	116	52¢	$60	0xd5f13a…
05-10 06:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	56	71¢	$40	0xa8a9ce…
05-10 06:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	81	37¢	$30	0x701d65…
05-10 06:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	59	49¢	$29	0xf89243…
05-10 05:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	88	17¢	$15	0xd780c5…
05-10 05:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	60	27¢	$16	0x5a3f0b…
05-10 05:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0x6779e1…
05-10 05:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xb93de7…
05-10 05:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0xf58ba8…
05-10 05:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	64	90¢	$58	0xc48c18…
05-10 05:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	64	69¢	$44	0x5392a6…
05-10 05:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	21	63¢	$13	0x2e0755…
05-10 04:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	65	62¢	$40	0x3436fd…
05-10 04:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	111	19¢	$21	0x082a46…
05-10 04:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	54	1¢	$1	0xd977bc…
05-10 04:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0x7996da…
05-10 04:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	29	80¢	$24	0x39fbe0…
05-10 04:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x7bad6a…
05-10 04:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x5e308c…
05-10 04:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xb36e61…
05-10 03:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	31	62¢	$19	0x09714f…
05-10 03:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x6ccc73…
05-10 03:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0xd2d56e…
05-10 03:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	75	99¢	$74	0xcd3d00…
05-10 03:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	75	61¢	$46	0xb43d7c…
05-10 03:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0x26931e…
05-10 03:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	111	36¢	$40	0xc5bdcc…
05-10 03:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x0d0401…
05-10 03:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	76	51¢	$39	0xdfe0e0…
05-10 03:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	45	53¢	$24	0xd3bde9…
05-10 01:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	34	61¢	$21	0xb2edea…
05-10 01:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	52	62¢	$32	0x432b07…
05-10 01:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0xea2157…
05-10 01:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x9ab957…
05-09 11:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	29	96¢	$27	0xb42297…
05-09 11:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	29	55¢	$16	0xaeb715…
05-09 11:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	88	98¢	$86	0xd741ec…
05-09 11:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	88	43¢	$38	0x0ca72f…