Junior-Noun — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.03K

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

57.8%

Resolved

Trades

200

lifetime

Volume

$5.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-18

last 07-09 19:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 54% -$1,072

Other

2% 50% +$25

Politics

0% 67% +$15

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-09).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+58	$5	2¢	$1	-$4	05-12 06:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 15:30 UTC	2	$600	1,386	0	+1,386	Down	-$600	04-18 15:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 15:30 UTC	3	$499	363	348	+15	Up	+$206	04-18 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	5	$445	635	0	+635	Up	-$326	05-13 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	16	$375	448	0	+448	Up	+$31	05-13 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	5	$340	420	0	+420	Up	+$39	05-13 16:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 15:25 UTC	2	$320	1,333	0	+1,333	Down	-$320	04-18 15:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	9	$316	834	0	+834	Down	+$30	05-13 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	8	$268	737	0	+737	Up	+$94	05-13 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	9	$180	272	0	+272	Down	+$50	05-13 16:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 19:00 UTC	2	$170	218	0	+218	Down	-$170	07-09 19:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 15:15 UTC	3	$125	180	0	+180	Down	-$23	04-18 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	8	$111	225	114	+110	Up	+$2	05-13 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	7	$110	182	0	+182	Up	+$72	05-12 07:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 15:10 UTC	2	$110	121	0	+121	Up	-$99	04-18 15:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 03:40 UTC	4	$108	300	0	+300	Up	-$108	04-18 03:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	6	$90	109	0	+109	Down	+$10	05-12 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	4	$80	157	0	+157	Down	+$77	05-12 06:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 15:40 UTC	1	$60	162	0	+162	Down	-$60	04-18 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	3	$60	62	0	+62	Down	+$2	05-13 15:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 04:45 UTC	1	$59	80	0	+80	Up	+$21	04-18 04:46
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	1	$55	90	0	+90	Yes	+$35	07-09 19:09
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 15:15 UTC	2	$50	105	0	+105	Up	+$55	04-18 15:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 15:15 UTC	2	$50	104	0	+104	Down	-$50	04-18 15:23
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 15:15 UTC	1	$50	66	0	+66	Up	-$50	04-18 15:17
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$50	45	43	+1	No	+$1	04-27 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	5	$46	71	0	+71	Up	+$5	05-12 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	1	$45	60	0	+60	Up	+$15	04-27 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$45	86	0	+86	Up	-$25	05-13 16:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 16:25 UTC	1	$40	47	0	+47	Up	+$7	04-18 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	4	$38	96	0	+96	Up	+$8	05-12 07:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 19:10:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x9c5083…
07-09 19:10:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	84	83¢	$70	0xcf552d…
07-09 19:09:01	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	90	61¢	$55	0x913601…
05-13 16:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	119	88¢	$105	0x6bc56f…
05-13 16:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	163	49¢	$80	0xec5ee1…
05-13 16:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x0b56f6…
05-13 16:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x597034…
05-13 16:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	148	74¢	$110	0x084749…
05-13 16:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x64ac5b…
05-13 16:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x522a22…
05-13 16:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa7b7cd…
05-13 16:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x3c3191…
05-13 16:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xfd558c…
05-13 16:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xb43ff2…
05-13 16:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xe3e3bf…
05-13 16:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x97e1fd…
05-13 16:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc3c9d5…
05-13 16:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	66	53¢	$35	0xbc4109…
05-13 16:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xcf89fd…
05-13 16:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	138	80¢	$110	0x7c814a…
05-13 16:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	137	80¢	$110	0x77daf8…
05-13 16:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x75cfe6…
05-13 16:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x7869f1…
05-13 16:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xa8b5f5…
05-13 16:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdacdc0…
05-13 16:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x367895…
05-13 16:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xa705e1…
05-13 16:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x305ba3…
05-13 16:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xfd2360…
05-13 16:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x1f0c24…
05-13 16:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xfafceb…
05-13 16:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xb7172c…
05-13 16:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x17f23d…
05-13 16:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xaa3a4a…
05-13 16:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x8687d5…
05-13 16:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x7ae2d8…
05-13 16:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x9c51dc…
05-13 16:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xf79798…
05-13 16:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xd43a39…
05-13 16:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xbab2ad…
05-13 16:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x920f3a…
05-13 16:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xf840ec…
05-13 16:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x5afa4f…
05-13 16:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x8b2c90…
05-13 16:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x33c7b7…
05-13 16:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x8958ae…
05-13 16:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xcde7cc…
05-13 16:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xdc0f44…
05-13 16:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	114	1¢	$1	0x1d408e…
05-13 16:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x2e168b…
05-13 16:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0xbb1c8d…
05-13 16:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x46c4d6…
05-13 16:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	114	7¢	$8	0x331247…
05-13 16:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x1142c2…
05-13 16:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x9b8aea…
05-13 16:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xe56e8f…
05-13 15:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	357	2¢	$8	0xf1bc8e…
05-13 15:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x7176bb…
05-13 15:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x0d1c16…
05-13 15:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0xedb38c…
05-13 15:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	35	23¢	$8	0x59a34b…
05-13 15:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x90e089…
05-13 15:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xac4b64…
05-13 15:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xa2d7cf…
05-13 15:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xa442ce…
05-13 15:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1e7263…
05-13 15:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x312713…
05-13 15:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xe9f5d4…
05-13 15:47:38	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x6ca315…
05-13 15:47:25	Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x5afbd1…
05-12 07:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xadf605…
05-12 07:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0170f9…
05-12 07:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x740da1…
05-12 07:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x4782a7…
05-12 07:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x98a4bb…
05-12 07:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x1bae47…
05-12 07:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x7c8a45…
05-12 07:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x201143…
05-12 07:19:26	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x8146ec…
05-12 07:18:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x5443b7…
05-12 07:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x2e5dd7…
05-12 07:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x9f57c4…
05-12 07:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x8669e2…
05-12 07:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0xfa4098…
05-12 07:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x138401…
05-12 07:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x6f73ea…
05-12 07:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x6e38a4…
05-12 07:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0x335af7…
05-12 07:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x800b10…
05-12 07:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x8a0eb3…
05-12 07:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0x56fe6d…
05-12 07:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xcfdd37…
05-12 07:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0xf04c53…
05-12 06:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xb100a2…
05-12 06:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x20e8ad…
05-12 06:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xf64dd7…
05-12 06:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x34d2a3…
05-12 06:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x1ec6b4…
05-12 06:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x9eb7c0…
05-12 06:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xd60b22…